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Up again for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD retested the 4H FVG once more and made a (corrective) move down into the Daily BPR. This was exactly the move I've predicted and I hope you took some value from it. Now price rejected from the Daily BPR so next week we could see this pair go up again to the higher Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a bullish change in orderflow and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the market’s now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/R—don’t miss this one! 😊 Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Let’s dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, it’s firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trend—exactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , we’ve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and we’re on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now we’re primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, let’s check the 1-Hour Timeframe. For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but don’t close the whole position—since we’re trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, I’ve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! I’d wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, there’s zilch. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out— let’s grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) ✌️
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticWise
1
S&P500: Vanna Snapback is Over – Short Gamma Drift Underway Belo📝 Summary Short gamma regime re-entered after 20Y auction shock. Below 5870, dealers face structural sell pressure from vanna + gamma + charm convergence. Wait for VIX to fall before buying any dip. 📊 Price Levels to Watch 🔺 Upside Breakout Trigger: 5885 → Reclaiming this level flips dealers back toward neutral gamma, opening short-covering squeeze potential toward 5925–5950 🔻 Downside Acceleration Zone: 5870 → Structural pressure zone. Vanna-driven delta hedging intensifies. Below here, the market enters a volatility expansion regime 🧱 Gamma Walls: Call Wall: 5950 Put Walls: 5875 / 5850 / 5800 🔍 Structural Regime Analysis Macro trigger: Last night’s 20Y Treasury auction was weak, triggering a sharp risk-off move. SPX broke 5935 → 5875 in 15 mins, entering short gamma zone (GEX 🔴🔴). Volatility Regime Shift: VIX spiked >20, breaking the downward vol trend that supported recent vanna snapback rallies. This marks the end of volatility compression. Vol expansion regime is in effect. Dealer Hedging Mechanics: Below 5870, Vanna pressure increases sharply as price declines + IV rises. Dealers short puts must delta hedge by selling ES, amplifying downside in a feedback loop. No Dip Buy Until Vol Stabilizes: VIX must fall or implied volatility flatten before any long bias resumes. Until then, treat rebounds as short entries, not long setups. ⚠️ Volatility Metrics Supporting This View GEX: 🔴🔴 (Negative Gamma on both 0DTE and aggregate expiries) IVx 5D Change: +4.04% → Implied volatility rising into the drop PUT$: 85.6% → Option flow heavily defensive (puts > calls) Skew: High, supporting demand for tail risk hedging 🧭 Tactical Strategy Short bias below 5870, scale-in entries on failed intraday bounce attempts First targets: 5850 → 5800 (Put gamma cluster + dealer momentum zone) Invalidate short above 5885 (where short gamma neutralizes) 📌 Final Note We are now inside a third-order Greeks-driven sell zone: Speed ↑, Color ↑, Ultima ↑ → this is a self-reinforcing volatility trap. No long setups are valid until structural vol metrics cool down.
CBOE:SPXShort
by mithril174
2
Full Bear Break PlansToday we took out our second important support level and have sold off strong under it. We're in a rally as I write this but it's still inside the expected corrective range. We still have not net where I'd expect critical supports to be around 5500 but at this point KI feel we do have enough info to make a forecast of what a crash would probably look like. People always think crash forecasts are hard to make. Top forecasts are hard to make. Accurate forecasts on when a crash break will or will not happen are hard to make. When it comes to the actual swings of a crash when they happen - historically always been very simple to make. If the bull trap low and high is known, the crash levels have always been foreseeable. For example, when this low and high was known in 2007, all the important levels and the low of the 2008 / 2009 move could be mapped out. This isn't an isolated case. It's happened in all previous crashes. If you follow my work you'll have seen me trade important levels in drops / lows many times and it's always based on some derivative of this. If we know the high/low of the bull trap then we can identify the important break level and map out all the levels to the downside that would typically hit. We can know the zones where there's the risk of this and also know early if the bear setup is failing. If SPX was going to make a classic break it'd be quite easy to approximate the classic swings we'd have now. The first continent for this is a wick rejection on the monthly chart, and ideally in the last part of the month. This may be underway now. The selling has to stick with us either going lower or at least holding down - but if things keep going as they have recently we'll have the wick candle. I recently showed how we tend to have the failure of bullish wick candles before a trend break. In that setup we usually see a big bullish wick candle. Often an attempt to rally and rejection so we have opposing wick candles (bull wick is usually bigger) and after this comes a bearish engulfing candle which is bigger than all the candles around it and takes out the wick low. That move would take us to about 4500. And almost certainly be news driven. From here we usually enter into a period of choppy action. It feels bullish and bearish but it's really just going sideways. Often this will end with two big bluffs. First a bluff at being about to break to the downside and then a big spike out of the recent highs. This choppy action would likely go on for a few months in total with a high somewhere around 5000. That'd be the last major bull trap and from there we'd start to head into the crash section. During this section we'd travel as much as the full bear swing from high to the current low had taken but we'd do it in a fraction of the time. Over the space of a couple months we'd make a massive news supported capitulation to under the 2022 low. That'd then complete a 50% drop from the high. Even in extremely bearish setups we tend to get a bounce from around the 50% off the high level and we also tend to get a bounce when we spike out an obvious support zone - so whatever the overall move would be, if and when the 2022 low was spiked out this is around where I'd expect an important low. This is a step continent trade plan. We can define a marker and if it hits then the bias is towards the next marker. The first marker was there would be a monthly wick candle. The following marker would be there is a rejection and close down end of month. Third marker would be a massive bear candle taking out the wick low. Fourth marker would be the "Recovery" being muted and stalling out around 500. If all of those things happen, then the risk of a following breakout becoming a crash event would be high. In theory, we could be about 6 months from a major crash and we could put in a series of specific markers as warning signs along the way. First warning sign is there being no V recovery to this selling and the monthly candle closing with a wick. This post touches on various things that have been explained in far more detail in recent posts. It'd be recommended to read those for full context.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
3
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to 38.2% - 50% Fibo lvl 5489.Colleagues, I have reviewed the waves a bit and I believe that when the strong psychological level of 6000 is reached, a reaction and correction in wave “2” is possible. I propose to consider this movement as a strong five-wave movement. Wave “1” will be over soon. I consider the 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci levels of 5489 to be the main target of the correction. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Hellena_Trade
5
S&P INTRADAY corrective pullback - support retest?Trump-Era Tariffs Canceled: A US court struck down the “Liberation Day” tariffs, effective immediately. This boosts sentiment for industrials, consumer goods, and global supply chain-reliant stocks. The government is appealing the ruling. US Dollar Strengthens: The DXY is back above 100, up 1.8% from last week’s lows. A strong dollar helps importers but may pressure exporters and commodities. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Decline: Markets now price 42 bps of rate cuts in 2024, down from 50 bps. This supports financials (e.g. banks), but challenges rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and small caps. Mixed Eurozone Data: Positive Italian confidence figures offset weak German and French job numbers, offering slight global risk support. Limited direct impact on US stocks. Fed Flags Stagflation Risk: Minutes show the Fed is worried about stagflation. This could weaken confidence in growth stocks and favor defensive sectors. Today’s US Data Watch: Q1 GDP 2nd estimate (expected -0.3%) Weekly jobless claims Fed speakers All ahead of Friday’s key PCE inflation data Market Outlook Positive: Trade relief, resilient dollar, stronger bank outlook Caution: Slowing growth, inflation worries, fewer rate cuts Focus Areas: Industrials, financials, tech (watch for pullbacks); avoid rate-sensitive sectors short term Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6010 Resistance Level 2: 6070 Resistance Level 3: 6160 Support Level 1: 5780 Support Level 2: 5740 Support Level 3: 5700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
US500 Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,960.96. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,538.99. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
SPX500USD still going upHi traders, How accurate do you want an outlook to be? Last week I said price rejected from the Daily BPR so we could see this pair go up again to the higher Daily FVG. And that's exactly what happened. And after price swept the liquidity to the left, it made a correction into the 4H FVG. So next week we could see the continuation of the upmove. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a bullish change in orderflow and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has undergone considerable price fluctuations during the trading sessions of this week, successfully reaching a critical target at the Mean Support level of 5800. Presently, the index is exhibiting an upward trend with a focus on the retest of the Inner Index Dip at 5955 and Key Resistance at 5965. Furthermore, additional significant levels have been identified, including the Next#1 Outer Index Rally at 6073, Key Resistance at 6150, and the Next#2 Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential for the index prices to downfall aiming to retest Mean Support 5800 and to complete the Outer Index Dip, noted at 5730.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SPY update for todayHello everyone, Not much new to update today, the main highlight is that the market has broken down from the trendline. This is definitely something to take note of. However, today’s move came with relatively low volume, which suggests that while price dropped significantly, there wasn’t a lot of strength behind the move. This reminds us of a key principle in trading: the market can do whatever it wants. It may look bullish today and turn bearish tomorrow. So always react to what the market is showing you, not just what you expect it to do. Easier said than done, I know, but it's essential. Looking ahead, this potential pullback could present better entry opportunities, assuming the market doesn’t flip into a full bearish meltdown. For now, we need to give the market some room to breathe, observe how it reacts at key levels, and stay patient for the right setup. Remember: we're still in a broadly bullish environment. So let’s wait for strong reactions at the right price points before jumping in.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading
SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money📊SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money is already betting on the future (SPX) U.S. Equities: 2025 Cyclical Bear Cycle & Secular Bull Cycle through 2030 Dollar Hegemony 2.0 → U.S. Debt Soft-Anchored to Bitcoin 🧠 The market is testing your conviction — not your logic 📉 April’s violent correction shattered not just technical levels, but also investor sentiment ⚡ The steep V-shaped rebound gave no time to explain the move, leaving sentiment frozen in April’s fear 🔁 Emotional dislocation is the perfect fuel for a new leg up 📉 Every -1% day reactivates April trauma 😵 Most investors still don’t believe the rally is real 🧯 Bears keep shorting, bulls fear getting trapped at highs 🎆 The market doesn’t want to give you a “perfect entry” — it wants to make you miss it 💰 Smart money signals are loud and clear 📍 A $3B+ long-dated tech options trade quietly hit the tape 🎯 Targeting a major bull market leg by June 2027 🧠 This isn’t speculation — it’s strategic positioning 📌 Top funds like the Druckenmiller Family Office are also long the same timeframe ✅ Shared positioning = shared conviction 🧭 Why do they dare to bet big? 🧠 The AI + chip cycle feels like the internet infrastructure boom before 2000 💡 Productivity surge + disinflation + peaking rates → echoes of the 2010s bull run 💵 Dollar hegemony still holds, capital is rotating back into U.S.-led assets 🪙 A new narrative is forming: Bitcoin as the soft anchor to U.S. debt 📈 Technically, major U.S. indices have just retested historical highs and are primed to accelerate 📌 This is not the end — it’s the reset 📊 The Secular Bull is likely to continue through 2030 📉 A Cyclical Bear may arrive in Q4 2025 🔁 But it’s not systemic — a mid-2026 rebound looks likely 🎯 While everyone is waiting for a pullback, smart money has already bought the future 🕳️ Markets don’t wait for your readiness — they launch when you doubt the most 📅 April shook your confidence, May kept you skeptical 🚀 After June, the market may fully leave the hesitant behind 📌 TL;DR｜SIGMA Macro Summary 📉 1. 2025 Outlook: Q2 likely retests prior highs → Q3 pulls back but extends → Q4 enters a Cyclical Bear 🛡️ Not systemic → Not a Secular Bear 🔁 Mid-2026 rebound expected → Bull Market resumes 📈 2. Long-Term Cycle: Secular Bull likely continues through ~2030 🧠 Smart money already positioned via 2027 LEAPS 💵 Dollar hegemony still intact 🪙 U.S. debt increasingly soft-anchored to Bitcoin 📊 西格玛财经解盘｜你还在犹豫，而聪明钱已经下注未来 美股 2025 周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear Cycle）& 超长期牛市（Secular Bull Cycle） 美元霸权 2.0 → 美债“软锚定”比特币 🧠 市场正在挑战你的信念，不是你的逻辑 📉 四月的暴力回撤不仅打破技术形态，更深刻改变了投资者的情绪结构 ⚡ 快速而陡峭的 V 型反弹没有给市场解释行情的时间，情绪依旧停留在 4 月的恐慌中 🔁 情绪错位，正是行情启动的温床 📉 每一次超过 1% 的下跌，都在唤醒“4 月创伤” 😵 投资者普遍不相信上涨是真的 🧯 空头继续做空，多头也害怕高位被套 🎆 市场根本不想“给你好点位”——它在逼你失误 💰 聪明钱的信号已经非常明确 📍 一笔超过 30 亿美元的长期科技期权大单悄然出现 🎯 目标直指 2027 年 6 月前的大级别牛市行情 🧠 这不是投机，是战略性的卡位 📌 包括德鲁肯米勒家族基金在内的顶级机构也在重仓相同方向 ✅ 共性不是巧合，是共识 🧭 为什么他们敢下注？ 🧠 AI 与芯片周期，如同 2000 年前夜的互联网基础设施爆发 💡 生产率提升 + 通胀回落 + 利率触顶 → 重演 2010s 多头格局 💵 美元霸权仍在，全球资金持续回流美国主导资产 🪙 美债信用危机的新解法：比特币成为“锚定物”的叙事正在强化 📈 技术结构上，美股核心指数回踩历史高点，具备中期加速条件 📌 这不是终点，而是中继 📊 长期牛市（Secular Bull）预计延续至 2030 年 📉 2025 Q4 或进入周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear） 🔁 但不是系统性崩溃，预计 2026 年中再度回暖 🎯 所有人都在等回调，聪明钱已经建仓未来 🕳️ 市场不会在你准备好时启动，而是在你怀疑时发车 📅 四月让你恐慌，五月让你半信半疑 🚀 六月之后，市场可能会让不敢买的人彻底失去主动权 📌 TL;DR｜西格玛宏观总结 📉 1. 2025 展望： Q2 测试前高 → Q3 回踩拉高 → Q4 周期性熊市来袭 🛡️ 非系统性风险 → 不是长期熊市 🔁 预计 2026 年中反弹，牛市重启 📈 2. 长期趋势： 超长期牛市预计持续至 2030 年 🧠 聪明钱已押注 2027 年 LEAPS 期权 💵 美元霸权仍在支撑资产定价 🪙 美债正被“软锚定”到比特币
SP:SPX
by THREESIGMAGROUP
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 26 May 2025 - S&P 500 reversed from support level 5775,00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 5970,00 S&P 500 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 5775,00 (former resistance from March, which formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star). The support level 5775,00 was strengthened 20-day moving average and by the 38.21% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from April. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5970,00, top of the previous minor impulse wave 1 from the middle of May.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Are we trading the market or trading our own opinion?It was said that 99% of the traders out there failed to make profits. I pondered hard over this statement and realised that whatever tools I am using, it is equally available to the millions of traders out there. The same for the financial information which I read on CNBC, SCMP, etc. Nothing that I have is one level above others. Then, when I look at the charts, for a long time, I have also convinced myself of buying at support and selling at resistance and gaps get filled up. From this chart, we can see that 3x the support failed with the last one breaking past the support line before staging a rebound. Just because it has worked in the past, it does not mean it will again. 19 Feb to 7 Apr 2025, this must be the shortest bear market in history. Could we witness more of such rise and fall in the coming future? Most would hesitate to go LONG now for one of these reasons : 1) it is reaching the resistance level soon and likely profit taking so price may retrace. Let's wait. 2) Donald Trump and team is getting sued on the tariff matters , volatility is expected in the market so price may move sideways for a while 3) The US market is overvalued per many analysts out there, PE over 28 or 30 and the fall is going to be great like 40-50% downfall. Wait some more or taking partial profits 4) My friends are making good money from cryptocurrency and the profits are huge, I should ditch SPX and followed him The list could goes on......... I am still LONG on the SPX and is now awaiting for opportunities to accumulate. What is stopping me is the gap and resistance which I am afraid of. In my mind, I am thinking it is better to get it cheaper , right ? Guess I am looking for a catalyst or better reasons to convince me to go LONG............. Like to hear some others views
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
S&P 500 and the 200-Day Moving Average – A Simple Trend SignalLooking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 with the 200-day moving average (turquoise line), you could build a very basic—but often effective—trend-following system: ✅ Price above the 200-day MA = Bull trend ❌ Price below the 200-day MA = Bear trend 🔄 Price oscillating around it = Possible trend change ________________________________________ 📊 Current Setup: We’ve broken sharply below the 200-day MA and have seen only a minor bounce back above it—with little follow-through. This kind of price action typically suggests a weakening bull trend. ⚠️ If we break below the 200-day MA again (currently around 5773), I’d start viewing that as a bearish signal. Right now, I’m watching this level very closely, as the next move could offer a strong clue about the market’s direction. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SP:SPX
by The_STA