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S&P500 Bullish breakout support at 6040 The US dollar hit a three-year low and Treasury yields declined after reports suggested Donald Trump may replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier than expected. Investors interpreted this as a sign that rate cuts could come sooner, adding uncertainty to the outlook for the dollar and US bonds—already under pressure from tariff concerns and a growing fiscal deficit. Oil Sector: Shell ruled out a takeover bid for BP, putting to rest speculation of a potential mega-merger between the two energy giants. Despite BP's weak stock performance and activist pressure, Shell appears unwilling to pursue a deal. Corporate Highlights: Nvidia shares hit a record high, once again becoming the world’s most valuable company. Xiaomi launched its first electric SUV, the YU7, aiming to challenge Tesla’s Model Y. Shell denied reports of merger talks with BP, reaffirming its current strategy focus. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6145 Resistance Level 2: 6178 Resistance Level 3: 6210 Support Level 1: 6040 Support Level 2: 6010 Support Level 3: 5978 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Weekly Red Candles Signal Potential PullbackOn the weekly chart, two clean red candles have formed. The price is struggling to move higher — every attempt to break above is being sold off. An additional factor is geopolitical tension, which puts extra pressure on bullish momentum. After such an exponential rally, I expect at least a pullback . Could there be a new high and breakout above resistance? Yes, it's possible. But the current setup offers a clear stop-loss just 1.60% below the current price — a small and comfortable risk. This is not a quick trade. I plan to hold the position anywhere from 1 week to 1 month, depending on how the market develops. Therefore, I choose an optimal position size for my account, knowing that margin will be frozen.
SP:SPXShort
by kventinka
US500.4h chart pattern.US500 (S&P 500), here's a breakdown of the potential bearish targets you're pointing to: --- 📉 Market Overview: Price has broken below the trendline and is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud support. The bearish path is outlined on the chart with multiple target zones indicated by horizontal lines and a large blue arrow. --- 🎯 Bearish Targets (as shown on your chart): 1. First Target Zone: Around 5,920 – 5,930 Minor support area just below current range. 2. Second Target Zone: Around 5,860 – 5,870 A more solid prior demand zone. 3. Final Target Zone: Around 5,780 – 5,790 Major support zone, aligns with previous consolidation area. --- 🧭 Strategy Notes: If price closes below 5,950 on the 4H or daily candle, it may confirm a stronger bearish continuation. Keep an eye on volume and price reaction near 5,920, as this is likely the first bounce zone. Would you like a marked-up version of this chart with exact price levels and arrows for clarity?
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Money_Magnet5
17
S&P500 INTRADAY support retest The Israel-Iran conflict has now entered its fourth day, with no signs of de-escalation. Iran launched more missile attacks, while Israel struck back, targeting a major gas field and a key military figure. Notably, Israeli strikes damaged Iran’s uranium facility in Isfahan, and an Iranian missile caused minor damage near the U.S. consulate in Tel Aviv. While these developments added geopolitical stress, markets showed some resilience: Oil prices pulled back after initial gains but remain volatile as the risk of supply disruption in the Middle East — a region supplying ~1/3 of global crude — persists. S&P 500 futures edged higher, indicating investors are not fully in risk-off mode, but remain cautious. On the political front, Donald Trump reportedly blocked an Israeli plan to assassinate Iran’s Supreme Leader. He mentioned the possibility of a future agreement between the two sides but said more conflict may come first. Trump is attending the G7 summit in Canada today, where leaders will discuss how to manage the Middle East crisis and navigate diplomacy with Trump. For S&P 500 traders: Monitor oil prices — a sharp spike on new escalation could weigh on risk sentiment. Headlines from the G7 and any sign of U.S. involvement or de-escalation efforts could shift markets. Geopolitical risk remains elevated, but the market is currently pricing in a contained conflict. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6,058 Resistance Level 2: 6,138 Resistance Level 3: 6,200 Support Level 1: 5,953 Support Level 2: 5,913 Support Level 3: 5,845 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 Channel Up buy opportunity.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up and is now on a count (5) pull-back, breaking below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) holds, we expect the index to resume the uptrend, similar to the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. That Leg almost reached the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and made a Higher High. Our Target is marginally below the new 1.5 Fib ext at 6130. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
What do we need to know before investing?If you are thinking about investing money for the potential returns it offers, you should know that it may go well, but that there are always risks. That’s why we are going to give you some basic tips to bear in mind before making any investment decision. How much money are you going to invest? First of all, you need to decide how much money you want to put towards your financial investments. The markets are subject to change The financial markets are constantly fluctuating. The term volatility is the most commonused term to describe and measure the uncertainty provided by changes to theprices of financial assets. Additionally, there are times in the market when the prices are more pronounced and every now and then there are crisis periods and asset prices fall dramatically. Investing in financial markets means that we have to assume that our investments will always be subject to these types of fluctuations. If you are going to invest in the financial markets the money that you invest must be money that you will not need during the investment term. That’s why, investing in order to obtain short term gains is inevitably associated with high risk. Furthermore, the larger our intended gains, the larger the associated risk. Always bear in mind that the greater the expected returns, the greater the assumed risk. Once again, be sure that you do not need the money that you are going to invest, as it may have losses. The opposite can be said of long term investments, where the capacity to wait and overcome falls in the market means that you can assume more risk with your investments. With a long term vision you will avoid having to experience any possible losses with your investment period due to any eventual liquidity needs. How much risk are you willing to take on? Before investing it is important to know the risk you can assume. Every investor has their own risk tolerance level that they need to be aware of. Risks and returns go hand in hand, because for more returns you also need to take on more risk, and vice versa. It is also good to know that just as with normal market conditions, those assets with a higher risk tend to suffer more fluctuations with their prices than those assets with less risk. Therefore, in general terms: When the forecasts for the financial markets are favourable and the market goes up, those assets with higher expected returns generally perform excellently. Whenever the financial markets are going through uncertain times, those assets with higher expected returns, and therefore more risk, tend to perform worse. You must start from a strong financial position To invest you need to be at a point where your accounts are well under control, including your debts. We do not mean to say that if you have any outstanding credit you cannot invest, but it is essential that everything is in order and that you are in a situation where you can fulfil your financial obligations. On the other hand, to build long term wealth, it is important that you assign part of your income to your savings, meaning that you have to invest with the money left over after making your payments while also saving part of what you earn. It is important to keep a composed outlook Now we know that investing bears its own risks and that the market is subject to change, it is essential to be composed when investing. When investing it is important to think positively, as if you don’t really believe that things will work out, why invest? It is one thing to be cautious, and to know how much money to invest and what level of risk tolerance to assume, and another to think negatively each time there is a drop in the market. In reality, investing is a combination of caution and composure. Diversification is the key to success Somebody with less investment experience may make the mistake of putting all of their investment budget into just one thing. However, it is much better to have diverse investments, as while some investments may not quite work out as you would have liked them to, some do even better. Losses are normal, and so are returns We previously said that when investing it is important to stay calm, and that is true. In this regard, you also have to bear in mind that it is normal for some investments in your portfolio to not perform as well as you had expected. We cannot predict the behaviour of the financial markets or of certain assets. We can also unexpectedly find ourselves with some assets that don’t perform as well as we had hoped. That is why we recommend, in addition to not risking more than you can invest, to diversify your investments well. We have already said that investment involves risk, which is why it is good to know that if you are willing to invest, you are also willing to take on risks. If you are prepared to take on this risk, you can be successful in your investments. Did you like it? Share with your friends by HollyMontt
SP:SPXEducation
by hollymontt
Geopolitics vs. Fed: SPX500 Trading Below Key Pivot at 5966SPX500 – Overview Geopolitical Tensions & Rate Decisions Keep Markets on Edge Investor focus has shifted from monetary policy to geopolitics, as speculation grows over a potential U.S. military strike on Iran. According to Bloomberg, senior U.S. officials are reportedly preparing for possible action in the coming days. This comes as global markets remain cautious ahead of key central bank meetings that are expected to provide updated guidance on growth and inflation. Technical Outlook: SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 5966. A break and hold below 5966 targets 5938, with further downside toward 5902 and 5885 For a shift to bullish momentum, price must stabilize above 6010 • Support: 5938 / 5902 / 5885 • Resistance: 5989 / 6010 / 6041
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPY where are we going into OPEX and last week of June tradingYesterday was almost an indecision candle on daily. Markets cheered the jobs data earlier in day with a nice green candle, however the pump faded going into FOMC, where AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX were around 600/ 6000 at 2pm. FOMC event mostly turned out to be a "non-event". While the no rate cut and 2 for 2025 were largely expected, Powell spooked the markets commenting that he expects higher inflation in months ahead due to tariffs. Off course this set of a set of comments from Trump which was expected as well. While markets are closed today (Juneteenth) futures are open, and in after hours and now we have drifted downwards... as of this writing SPX is around 5950. Bulls lost the 9 sma yesterday and now are trying to defend the 20 sma. Tomorrow is OPEX so expect some volatility and movement to where big money is positioned. Certainly bulls can show up and reclaim 9 ma at 6003 or if we lose 5950, the next level down is below 5800. Meanwhile JPM collar is intact... Do we go down from here. Tomorrow will be key as we will know if we have lost 20 sma or regained 9 sma and how this week candle looks like. Bulls can charge but is there enough gas in tank to make meaningful upside move? Maybe possible pump to open next week (around 6060 was recent high), but bears are now lurking to take us down towards that 5800 level next week. As I said earlier tomorrow will be telling and I will update over the weekend.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by Options_Life_
SPX500 Under Pressure Amid Renewed Israel-Iran TensionsSPX500 Overview Israel-Iran Truce Hopes Collapse Investor hopes for a swift de-escalation between Israel and Iran were quickly shattered as both sides resumed hostilities. The situation intensified further after U.S. President Donald Trump urged Iranian civilians to evacuate Tehran and abruptly ended his participation at the G7 summit, reportedly convening the U.S. National Security Council. These developments have fueled broad risk-off sentiment across markets. Technical Outlook: SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 6010. A continued drop toward the key support at 5966 is likely, with a break below this level potentially opening the path to 5938 and 5902. However, if the price stabilizes above 5966 without breaking it, we may see a rebound attempt toward 6010 and 6041. Any signs of negotiation or de-escalation in the conflict could trigger a strong bullish reversal. Support: 5966, 5938, 5902 Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
Markets Watch: Caution Ahead? U.S. stock index futures rose Monday, buoyed by easing oil prices, even as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran simmer in the background. All eyes are now on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. 👀💼 But here’s the catch on the S&P 500 👇 🔹 Price is stalling at a resistance line, tracing back to March highs 🔹 Daily RSI shows major divergence, signalling a loss of momentum 🔹 Rally is slowing just as it approaches the Feb all-time high at 6147 📉 If the index fails to hold and breaks below: 🔻 The 200-day MA at 5808 🔻 Key pivot levels at 5773 (Jan low) and 5787 (March peak) …then we could see real downside pressure emerge. 🛑 For now, the market is showing red flags at a critical level. Stay alert — this could get interesting. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SP:SPXShort
by The_STA
SPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed DecisionSPX500 – Cautious Optimism as Market Eyes Fed Decision Futures tied to the S&P 500 are slightly higher as traders appear to be shrugging off Middle East tensions, viewing the situation as contained for now. However, geopolitical uncertainty remains a risk, and attention is shifting toward upcoming Fed commentary and policy direction. Technical Outlook: The index may pull back toward 5989 and 5966. A break below 5966 opens the path toward 5938, with an extended target at 5902. However, a 1H close above 6010 would signal renewed bullish momentum toward 6041. Key Levels: • Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143 • Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Is SPX at a crucial point here.... inflection point?Until yesterday, it seemed that bulls were fully in control chugging along to make new ATH or go closer to previous ATH. Seemed like SPX was breaking from ascending triangle. Looked bulllish going into this Opex close, certainly propped by good data and good tariff comments. Now with the recent war news, and the dip we had yesterday, seems like new pattern emerging (rising wedge) which is bearish. Also keep in mind the JPM hedge that expires end of month. The open interest shows that JPM hedge is still alive (they havent closed) and based on my calculations currently JPM has a loss of around $622M. To stem losses market at minimum needs to be below 5900 by end of month (at 5900 JPM loses $59M but its chump change for them) and for them to be neutral or make money then SPX needs to be 5300 and below by end of month. Currently around 5975, would mean a drop of 500-600 points in next 2 weeks... certainly can happen.... Appreciate your comments!
FOREXCOM:SPX500Short
by Options_Life_
4
SPX500 – 4H Smart Money Concepts | Compression Breakout & LiquidThe S&P 500 has broken down from a tight ascending wedge within a premium zone, confirming a CHoCH and suggesting a shift in short-term order flow. A corrective move is now unfolding. 🔻 Bearish Short-Term Outlook: Weak High + CHoCH within the premium zone confirms rejection. Multiple FVGs below offer potential draw zones: 5,900 5,850 Strong liquidity pool near 5,668.57 🧠 Smart Money Roadmap: Structure suggests a short-term liquidity hunt below recent lows. Equilibrium zone rests near 5,650, ideal for reaccumulation/reload. 📈 Long-Term Outlook Remains Bullish: If liquidity objectives are met and macro improves, we may see a bullish reversal back above 6,050 toward: 6,200+ Mid/long-term fib targets near 6,500 📊 Strategy Insight: Short-term trade: Scalps into the 5,700–5,660 zone. Macro timing: Watch July CPI/FOMC for bullish or bearish confirmation. Long-term positioning: Start building once price reclaims structural BOS with a displacement. 🎯 Smart money plays both ways — sweep liquidity, then reprice. #SPX500 #SMP500 #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderFlow #LiquiditySweep #FVG #CHoCH #PremiumZone #TechnicalAnalysis #VolumeProfile #EquityMarkets #WaverVanir #TradingView
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
US500 Will Fall! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 10h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,979.56. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,838.14 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1