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SP500 vs. US intrest rateInterest rate hikes correlated with SP500 growth. Recent growth from the bottom of the March 21' COVID crash was financed by printing trillions US dollars. It allowed to mitigate unemployment rate spike. Inflation started to rise rapidly and interest rates are expected to grow. Will SP500 growth continue? Or is it overpriced by now? Maybe, Shiller P/E ratio for SP500 is now around 39 with median at 16 and maxiumum at 44 on Dec 1999. But how similar is current economics to previous decades? What to expect with unprecedented money supply and modern technologies? Is it time of Modern Monetary Theory? Maybe I would be able to answer any of the questions if I had any formal economic education ;) tradingeconomics.com www.multpl.com
SP:SPXLong
by greater_fool_
Market SnapshotHow do you see the economic future of America? www.youtube.com www.saferbankingresearch.com "As such, as of Q3 2023, the total equity of the banks participating in the 2024 stress test was already lower than their loans to shadow bankers. Given that on-balance sheet loans to shadow bankers have increased by nearly 20% since Q3 2023, and assuming off-balance sheet loan commitments have grown at the same rate, total loan commitments to shadow bankers from the largest banks are now even higher. This makes shadow banking lending one of the largest segments—and, for some, already the largest—of these banks' credit books."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 14 Ok so where are we at. We broke out above the downtrend yesterday just under ATH’s. 35MEA is underneath the implied move which often signals too fast to soon and a pull back is normal before moving higher. 30min 200MA is underneath both days implied move and you can see that for CPI and PPI that 35EMA bounced on the 30min 200 after 3 weeks of consolidation. All right, ATH’s on deck. Let’s see what happens. I did put on an IRON SPYDER which works well after big moves for a more neutral day - the flatter the better for me today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025 Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade. But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off? Let’s break it down… SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last? After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet. 🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen: A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains A market that keeps traders on their toes 📉 Bear Trades Expire Today My bearish positions are expiring We never quite got the drop to range lows A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath 🔄 What’s Next? ✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today ✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉 📌 Final Takeaway? The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting. 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points. 💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 Is Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,125.45. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,020.86 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by SignalProvider
1
SPX500The S&P 500 (SPX500) is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as a benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. stock market and economy. The index includes companies from various sectors, including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods. Trading activity is highest during U.S. market hours, with additional volatility during major economic events and earnings reports. Investors and traders use the S&P 500 for long-term investments, portfolio diversification, and market trend analysis.
THINKMARKETS:SPX500Short
by HavalMamar
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 13 February 2025 - S&P 500 approaching key resistance level 6125.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 6200.00 S&P 500 index recently rose sharply and is currently approaching the key resistance level 6125.00, which has been reversing the index from December. The subsequent price movement will depend on whether the index can break above the resistance level 6125.00 . If the S&P 500 index breaks above 6125.00, the price can then rise to the next resistance level 6200.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3). In the opposite scenario, the price is likely to correct down to the next round support level 6000.00.
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
SPX 500 Returns to All-Time HighsDuring the last session, the SPX 500 index gained more than 1.2% following the release of PPI data in the United States. The core PPI (m/m) remained in line with expectations at 0.3% , providing a slight relief to the market, which had been on the edge after annual CPI inflation came in at 3.0%, exceeding the 2.9% forecast. This mixed inflation data has given the U.S. index an opportunity to recover, as it remains uncertain whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive interest rate policy. Persistently high rates have been impacting domestic consumption in the U.S. for several months, and if the central bank maintains rates at 4.5% in upcoming decisions, it could eventually become a bearish factor for the SPX 500. Momentum Builds In recent weeks, the SPX 500 had been trading within a sideways range, with a ceiling at 6,080 points and a floor at 5,840 points. However, the growing buying momentum has now pushed the index back toward all-time highs. If bullish pressure remains strong through the end of the week, a breakout from this range could pave the way for a more significant upward movement. MACD Indicator Both the signal line and the MACD line remain above the neutral level at 0 , adopting a steady upward slope. The histogram has begun to oscillate slightly above the zero level. If these conditions persist over the next sessions, bullish momentum could continue in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 6,082 points – The most critical resistance level at the moment, corresponding to the previous all-time high. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias, opening the door to a stronger uptrend. 5,960 points – Nearby support, aligning with the mid-range of the consolidation phase and coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If price action falls back below this level, it could strengthen selling pressure and delay the possibility of new highs in the short term. 5,840 points – Distant support level, where a pullback to this zone could put the long-term uptrend at risk. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom