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SPX trade ideas

S&P Bearish case - Multi year shows risk of top / market crash?Please see chart notes I am wrong if we get a blow off top back up and over the top of channel but if it falls back then this long term chart works. Its tough to get out at the top unless you are hedged now Market crashes typically come in late aug / Sep / Oct so just be careful out there We have not dropped back recently to test the Weekly 200 EMA for a long time, even longer for a big set back. May be relatively better to go to Gold as it showing strength. If you are aggressive move into an inverse hedge fund like XXX - Inverse Nasdaq Tech etc Other Index confirmation: DJIA also has a top against channel / Japan looks in trouble / India looks like end of banana and China has broken down already. Sentiment indicators compared with times just before crashes are mostly higher signaling worst case now than they were before prior crashes I want to be long but need to be very cautious now due to late Aug / Sep / Oct potential crash with all this JPYUSD carry trade unwinding it could reveal further risk off / have a deeper issue
SP:SPXShort
by William_Playfair
SPX - Quick Update (08/14/2024)SPX did have an uptrending day yesterday and we're now positioned. Managing risk is an important part of the game and I don't recommend taking risky trades. If you are in this for the long haul (and you should be!), then you need to be able to understand what managing risk is. Let me take a moment to explain something. I was a heavy buyer back on August 5th on the massive dive. Now all of those assets are up significantly. NVDA is up 20% from where I bought it. CRWD was a beaten down stock that I picked up and it's almost up almost 20% as well. My short positions, in a bull market, are to hedge against my long positions. Only risk what you're willing to lose and when you enter a trade, understand that the money you're putting at risk may go away. If your trade is invalidated, cut the loss and move on, but don't keep trying over and over again, otherwise you'll be trying to short the market like many did in Q2-Q4 2020. Two daily closes above the 61.8 invalidates this trade and I'll retreat on my hedge, while still keeping the gains from all my equity positions. Take it one day at a time with a methodical approach and don't rush it. You'll be glad you waited for the right trade. Have a great day everyone!
SP:SPXShort
by bitdoctor
CPI Report in Focus: Futures Steady, Key Levels to WatchFutures Steady Ahead of Key Inflation Report The price has pushed up and reached our target successfully, with momentum still aiming for 5,460 and 5,491. Today’s CPI report is expected to significantly impact market movements. Bullish Scenario: The price is likely to attempt reaching 5,460, with further movement depending on the CPI result. If the CPI comes in below 3.00%, this could drive the price higher. Bearish Scenario: A CPI reading of 3.00% or higher could trigger a decline, with the price potentially falling to 5,409 and 5,372. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5,460 - Resistance Levels: 5491, 5539, 5584 - Support Levels: 5409, 5,72, 5320 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 5,372 and 5,491. previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 5407.Colleagues, the price has moved down a lot, but that means we have an opportunity to enter a long position more favorably. I still believe that price is still in an upward move of great impulse, and now there is a complex correction taking place. I expect an uptrend to begin around the 5172 area. The first expected target is in the 5407 area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
2
Possible Continued Bullishness on Wall StreetInvestors have been focused on July inflation data. The headline rate has been expected to remain at 3.0% and the core rate to rise to 3.2%. Despite a difficult start to August, the bull market in stocks has been able to continue. The possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, coupled with recent lower-than-expected inflation data, has created a favorable environment for stocks. Although all three major stock indices have posted declines in August, the S&P 500 has remained on track to close the year with a 13% gain, suggesting that the market has remained optimistic. Looking at the S&P500 chart (Ticker AT: USA500), currently the Checkpoint (POC) is at 5,468 points with the current price being 5,435.25 points. The index has recovered in 4 trading days 6.68% of the -10.33% correction suffered since mid-July. This data added to the fact that the uptrend supports have bounced upwards could be another additional signal to expect a return to highs if the indicated control zone is surpassed. Europe: Preliminary Eurozone quarterly GDP data have been expected, with anticipated growth of 0.6%, up from 0.4% in the prior period. Other highlights have included French CPI and industrial production in the Eurozone. Asia: Asian bourses closed negative, with the Nikkei down 2.1% and the Hang Seng down 2.4%, reflecting a day of widespread selling in the region. Cryptocurrencies and Commodities: Cryptocurrencies have shown high volatility, with Bitcoin trading around $61,000 and Ethereum at $2,700. In the commodities market, gold has held at $2,501 per ounce. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
S&P 500 Potential Downtrend Line Breakout At $5444.17 14.08.2024Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
SP:SPXLong
by Stuart_Cowell
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: SPX Resumed the RallyShort Term Elliott Wave View in SPX suggests the trend should continue higher within the sequence started from March 2023 low as the part of daily sequence. It favors upside in wave ((5)) while dips remain above 5124.76 low. Since March 2024 high of (3), it starts a correction as wave (4) ending in April at 4953.56 low and bounced again. The market resumed the rally building an impulse as wave (5) ended at 5669.67 high and also wave ((3)) in higher degree. SPX begins a large retracement in July 16 high. Down from wave ((3)), the index dropped developing a double correction structure. First leg lower, built a zig zag correction to complete a wave (W) at 5390.95 low. Then, the market did a flat structure higher as wave (X) ended at 5566.16 high. The index resumed to the downside forming another zig zag as wave (Y) of ((4)). The cycle was completed at 5119.26 low and also wave ((4)). Actually, SPX has continued higher trading in wave (1) of ((5)). The wave 1 of (1) ended at 5330.64 high and wave 2 of (1) finished at 5195.54 low. The wave 3 of (1) started and we are expecting more upside. While price action stays above 5119.26 low, we are calling for more upside to continue the rally as wave ((5)).
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
lin reg session breakout hello this is a strategy that can be used by those with little time on their hands that prefer one trade a day. It boasts a 73.3% accuracy from July 2nd to august 13th in this strategy you need an ATR stoploss finder and a sessions chart that shows the previous sessions. its pretty simple just draw a linear regression channel from 9:00 am to the begining of the asian session. wait for price to close clearly outside of the linear regression channel and take a trade in the direction of the breakout. you can also add a volume indicator to clarify if the breakout has strength or is false.
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by ckirk91
1
S&P 500, Final Leg of this bull runThis is my expectation of probable path for S&P 500 for the final leg (wave 5), This is going to be steep and parabolic. We should top by the end of year 2024. As the time span of this Wave 5 is small, expect volatility as we move ahead. The fall post wave 5, will be steep and sharp. Look to book profits and reduce exposure as we ascend. This is not a financial advise. Please don't take risk and follow proper risk management. Avoid options and futures. If you like this idea, kindly like and share.
SP:SPXLong
by coding_thoughts
SPX500 - Next Wave Up Could Be UnderwayHere we see the importance of constantly using all the time frames to see what candles have printed. Bears are cheering the next wave down as if it is inevitable. But let's take a closer look... Notice the very long wicked Hammer candle (green arrow) on the S&P week chart that printed last week. Considering how bullish indexes are, that is an immediate "nail in the coffin" for the bearish case. We have seen Hammer candles in the past that led to more bearish action (other green arrows). But this candle is so bullish that it could also be called a Dragonfly Doji. So one candle on the week chart is not conclusive, but having seen it; I now favour the move up. This is also considering that the pivot low was a perfect 1.618 extension Golden Window capture. And if this week's candle is shallow or anything more bullish then the next wave up may already be underway. Not advice.
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by dRends35
Big week for dataYesterday’s performance across US stock indices amounted to a ‘big, fat nothingburger’ to use a technical expression from our Wall Street colleagues. There was a dearth of fresh information to process, while there’s a large pile of important economic updates to consider throughout the rest of the week. This starts today with July Producer Prices (PPI), followed by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) tomorrow. Then there’s Retail Sales, weekly Unemployment Claims and a few second order economic measures to follow on Thursday. Last week we saw just how sensitive markets can be to US data, when a mildly-improved weekly claims number triggered an upward price surge across risk assets. It’s also fair to observe that markets were looking for a catalyst to trigger a rebound, given the size and severity of the move lower. Despite this, any of this week’s numbers have the potential to move markets, should they deviate much from expectations. US stock indices ended little-changed yesterday. The S&P failed to register any change in percentage terms, while it was left to the Russell 2000 to be the standout, by closing 0.9% lower. The Russell was a tad weaker this morning as well, although the rest of the majors were mildly firmer. The second quarter earnings season is pretty much wrapped up now, although there are some big retailers still to report. These include Home Depot today and Walmart on Thursday. As for tech, Cisco reports tomorrow. But investors have to wait until Wednesday 28th August to hear from NVIDIA, the last constituent of the ‘Magnificent Seven’ to update. There have been rumblings about the possibility of a retaliatory attack backed by Iran, or its proxies, on Israel. But it is difficult to assess how markets may react without knowing the scale of the response, and ultimately, its effects. Looking at the charts, these look fairly constructive as far as the US majors are concerned. The bulls will take comfort from the fact that the stock indices have managed to hold, and build, on Thursday’s large gains. But sentiment can shift in an instant, and markets feel quite febrile as investors prepare for this week’s economic data dump.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by muggins
SPx Maintains Bullish Trend After Successful Retest, Targets5412S&P 500 Maintains Bullish Trend After Successful Retest, Targets 5412 The S&P 500 (SPX) has stabilized within a bullish trend by holding above 5,327, targeting 5,363 and 5,412 soon, especially after the successful retest it completed yesterday. The current volatility and technical indicators continue to suggest bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 5356, it will support a bullish trend toward 5412 Bearish Scenario: the price should drop to stabilize under 5327 to be downtrend toward 5260 Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5356 - Resistance Levels: 5412, 5450, 5525 - Support Levels: 5327, 5260, 5214 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 5291 and 5412. Direction: looks bullish above 5327
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Rising Wedge As the S&P 500 approaches 2400 ( Resistance Level) and interim Supply Zone, on the 4hr Chart we can see 1. Since last Friday price entering a consolidation, with progressive formation of Descending candles. 2. This structure looks a lot like a Rising Wedge. If not this, then it certainly is a rising channel, which is usually in the context of an uptrend, a reversal signal. 3. Volume is continuously falling, even during the NY session. The Buying pressure is abating The past 2 days has seen indecision in this market, and a spread that is 1/5th the ATR. In the coming NY session , it will be interesting to see if 2400 is broken or rejected. For now, the Wedge pattern suggests a breakdown to 1. The supporting trendline at 5275 (most likely) 2. Demand - at 5200 .
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Umlingo