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Trump Pump Just Broke the Charts12% Up in a Day. Now What? What a difference a headline makes. Monday: Markets dump. Panic. Retail sells the low. We hit our bearish targets like clockwork. Wednesday: Markets explode like they found a cheat code. SPX rallies 9.5% in a day. Nasdaq? A completely unhinged 12% up. All because… tariffs might be paused again. You can’t make this stuff up. But you can trade it. When Euphoria and Edge Collide The Trump Pump Parade After last week’s fake-news-induced dump, we now have headline euphoria. No earnings beat. No rate cut. No macro shift. Just one rumour: “Trump might pause tariffs.” Cue the biggest one-day rally since 1933. Nasdaq: +12% SPX: +9.5% SPX now kissing the 5400 bull trigger level Financial media? Throwing a rave. Retail? FOMOing back into the top. It’s madness. But it’s not structure. The System Trader’s Reality Meanwhile, in the AntiVestor camp… The bear swing is still on but under review. Why? Because we trade levels, not vibes. And 5400 has always been our pivot. We’re now sitting right on it, with overnight futures starting to drift lower – like the market just realised it left the oven on. The decision zone is here. Hold 5400? It’s time to shift gears. Bull thesis activates. Tag ‘n Turn setups. Bull Pulse Bars. GEX Bulls Eye trades. Lose 5400? We go right back to feeding the bears. It’s not emotional. It’s mechanical. This is what system trading looks like. --- Expert Insights: The Market Owes You Nothing Mistake: Getting emotional after missing a rally or overstaying a short. Fix: Use a system with defined levels. 5400 was always the line. You don’t need to guess the pivot. You just need to trade it when it confirms. This rally may be overblown. But until the market proves otherwise, you don’t fight the tape – you ride it with structure. --- Fun Fact The last time the Nasdaq moved more than 10% in a day? March 13th, 2020 – the height of COVID panic buying. That rally was followed by… a further drop. Then a V-bottom. Then a massive bull market. So… is this the start of something new? Or just another overcaffeinated bounce? History says: Don’t decide early. Let price confirm.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Do not panic. Let's look for opportunity.Don't panic. Let's try to find the opportunity here. Let this be a place free of fear p0rn. Yes, we bounced, but as you can see - we bounced at a perfectly logical place. IF we go lower, where MIGHT the bottom be? Where might we get a major bounce? Let's assume this is something "historic". What I have indicated in the chart would be a crash worse than COVID, but not AS BAD as the Global Financial Crisis. Take the long-term support (going back to GFC) and extend it out. Take the PRE-COVID high and extend it out. This may be an important coordinate, and even if we touch either of the lines, I would expect some bounce. Let's see how it plays out. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY. Don't panic!
SP:SPX
by MonsterStockPicks
S&P500: Trump's 90-day tariff pause just saved the day??S&P500 is having so far a +9.50% rise from today's low as even though Trump announced a 125% raise to China tariffs, he lowered and paused tariffs for 90 days to all countries that contacted the U.S. for negotiation. The 1D technical outlook is about to get neutral (RSI = 42.537, MACD = -181.510, ADX = 39.036) as the rebound is taking place at the HL bottom of the Bullish Megaphone, while the 1W MA200 stayed intact. A similar Megaphone was last seen during the previous 2018 Trade War and was completed with the COVID crash that started an abnormal rally to new ATH to correct the equally abnormal crash. Needless to say, it was based on quick rate cuts but the situation isn't all that different today. Trump's stance towards negotiating, coupled with highly anticipated rate cuts, can deliver an equally abnormal rally now. The previous HH of the Bullish Megaphone hit the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This time if the rally extends to the end of the year, targeting the 1.5 - 1.618 Fibonacci Zone would be considered fair (TP = 6,900). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
SPX500 & Nasdaq: Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!With consumer confidence off at circuit breaking levels, the market, technically, has reached extreme levels of support. Let's look at it: Technicals: (1) Horizontal Levels of support (2) 50%/61.8% fib confluence (3) exDiv1 (4) extreme indicators (5) Chikou span testing cloud support (6) 28% drop is SPX All of these levels are lining up around the same location. And just like in real estate "Location! Location! Location!" is the adage; in markets, "Confluence! Confluence! Confluence!" is the adage!
FX:SPX500Long
by Rocketman
13
DEATH CROSS on the SP500?We just witnessed the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA — a technical signal known as the Death Cross. Historically, this pattern has been associated with: Trend reversals from bullish to bearish Extended downside pressure A loss of investor confidence in the short-to-medium term 🧠 While not always followed by major crashes, the last time this pattern showed up in a similar setup was followed by an accelerated drop — and that’s exactly what we’ve seen again. The real question now is: 👉 Was this a false signal or is more downside ahead? 🔍 Keep an eye on price action around the 5,400–5,500 zone. If it fails to recover, this death cross might just be the start of a deeper correction...
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by SmartSignalss
$SPX - APRIL 16 2025 contract Today’s Trading Range has Downward pressure from the top - you can see it in the way the moving averages come down and their angle. The implied move is 5320-5475 today (1.35%) 5295-5500 tomorrow (1.88%) And 30 day average volatility 5205-5590. (3.53%) That spreads am I looking to today? 5320/5296 Bull put spreads feel too close for me… But I’m still keeping them on my radar. That is 25 dollars wide. If we Trade up 5475/5500 That’s a real possibility because of the 1hr 200MA coming down like that. (That is also a 25$ wide spread today.) But more likely - and especially because we have Jerome powell today at 1:30 ET, I will be looking 5230/5205 bull put spreads & 5565/5590 above. Big Bear gap at the top as well. Let’s see how it goes today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P INTRADAY oversold bounce backUS stock futures dropped and the dollar weakened as concerns grew that the trade war could cause lasting economic damage. This came despite a surge in European and Asian equities, which followed a major rally on Wall Street after President Trump unexpectedly paused most of his tariffs. The move lifted global risk sentiment temporarily, but also isolated China as the primary target of Trump’s trade offensive, limiting Beijing’s options for near-term de-escalation. In response, Chinese leaders are meeting today to consider additional economic stimulus. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasuries gained as investors sought safety following a volatile session. The Federal Reserve, for its part, signalled it plans to keep interest rates steady, aiming to prevent tariff-driven inflation even if the labour market weakens. Officials have publicly downplayed the need for rate cuts, choosing to prioritize stability over pre-emptive easing. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 4815 Support Level 2: 4700 Support Level 3: 4585 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
It That was Just Wave C - Big Puke ComingI had a fair crack at being bullish and it was profitable for a while but last attempt ran my entry levels. We're back to retesting them now but I've ditched all my longs other than super lotto calls. If might turn out that big W move was just an ABC. That 6% down day was wave 1. The failed new high was wave 2. If those things are true, I think you're going to see limit down days. I don't throw that term about loosely. If we're heading into wave 3, at some point limit down days are likely.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
The Stock Market (SPX) Will Also RecoverGreat news my dear friends, reader and followers, truly great news. The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is now reversing after challenging a strong support level. This level is the 0.618 Fib. retracement for the bullish wave that started after the October 2023 market low. A strong bounce is visible as soon as this level was hit. The correction is a classic ABC and the C wave is very steep. When a move is really strong, great force, it can't last that long. So the drop happened all at once, fast, and this means a fast end as well as a strong reversal, but the reversal will not be the same. We are more likely than not to experience a long drawn out recovery, higher highs and higher lows long-term. Higher prices next. This is the main support level, 0.618 around 4885. If this level breaks, the next strong support sits at 4540. We are going up. It is not only Bitcoin and the Altcoins, the stock market will also grow. The correction is over. Total drop amounts to a little more than 21%. This is huge and more than enough. The bears are satisfied. The bears are done. A bearish wave is followed by a bullish wave. Short bearish action, long bullish action. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
7
US500 (S&P 500) Sell Limit Trade IdeaBearish Daily Signals Align with Key Resistance Levels 📅 Published: 14/04/2025 14:22 | ⏳ Expires: 15/04/2025 12:00 Market Outlook The US500 is showing signs of fatigue at higher levels. A Doji-style candle formed near the highs suggests indecision and potential reversal. Current levels are near the 50% Fibonacci pullback at 5485, an area that previously attracted selling pressure. The 20-day EMA at 5466 and the pivotal level at 5501 reinforce this as a strong resistance zone. With no major economic events in the next 24 hours, technicals are likely to dominate near-term price action. Trade Details Entry (Sell Limit): 5459 Stop Loss: 5611 (-152 pts) Take Profit: 5016 (+443 pts) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.91:1 Key Levels Resistance: R1: 5446 R2: 5501 (Pivotal Level) R3: 5600 Support: S1 : 5381 S2: 5280 S3: 5135 Technical & Sentiment Highlights ✅ Bearish Daily Signals – Doji candle and declining momentum suggest exhaustion at highs. ✅ EMA & Fibonacci Confluence – 5466 EMA + 5485 Fib zone aligning with resistance. ✅ High Reward Potential – Offers a strong 2.9:1 risk/reward ratio. ⚠️ No Major News Catalysts – Technicals expected to guide near-term direction. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Signal_Centre1
Modified Count to Reflect Recent DeclineIn truth, the levels we're seeing this morning when the SPX cash market opens, I was not anticipating seeing till the 3rd quarter of this year. Mid last week, we had positive MACD divergences on the intraday charts and was setting up to be almost a textbook bottom. Nonetheless, the SPX cash market will not hold the must hold zone when it opens this morning. This means we will get a retracement higher in a minor wave B that should last some time. This will represent one the final opportunities traders will have to relieve themselves of excess portfolio leverage and risk. We very well may spend the summer months retracing higher...but there is no doubt some of you reading this will assume this will result in the resumption of the previous bull market. It will not be.
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
S&P 500 Index Goes 'Death Crossed' Again, Due To Unruly EconomyThe "Death Cross" is a technical chart pattern signaling potential bearish momentum in the US stock market, occurring when a short-term moving average (typically the 50-day) crosses below a long-term moving average (usually the 200-day). Despite its foreboding name, historical data shows its implications are often less dire than perceived, serving as a coincident indicator of market weakness rather than a definitive predictor of collapse. Historical Examples and Market Impact The death cross gained notoriety for preceding major market downturns: 2000 Dot-Com Bubble: The Nasdaq Composite’s death cross in June 2000 coincided with the burst of the tech bubble, leading to a prolonged bear market. 2008 Financial Crisis: The S&P 500’s death cross in December 2007 foreshadowed the 2008 crash, with the index losing over 50% of its value by early 2009. 2020 COVID-19 Crash: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2020 amid pandemic-driven panic, though markets rebounded sharply within months. 2022 Ukraine's War Crisis: The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq 100 all formed death crosses in March 2022 due to proinflationary surge on Ukraine's war and Arab-Israel conflict, leading to a prolonged bear market within next twelve months, up to March quarter in the year 2023. These examples highlight the pattern’s association with extreme volatility, but its predictive power is inconsistent. For instance, the 2022 death cross in the S&P 500—its first in two years—occurred amid Fed rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, yet the market stabilized within weeks rather than entering a prolonged downturn. Perspectives on Reliability and Use Cases While the death cross reflects deteriorating short-term momentum, its utility depends on context: Lagging Nature: As a lagging indicator, it confirms existing trends rather than forecasting new ones. The 50-day average crossing below the 200-day often occurs after prices have already declined. False Signals: Post-2020 data shows the S&P 500 gained an average of 6.3% one year after a death cross, with Nasdaq Composite returns doubling typical averages six months post-cross. Combined Analysis: Traders pair it with metrics like trading volume or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) to validate signals. Higher selling volume during a death cross strengthens its bearish case. Strategic Implications for Investors For market participants, the death cross serves as a cautionary tool rather than a standalone sell signal: Short-Term Traders: May use it to hedge long positions or initiate short bets, particularly if corroborated by weakening fundamentals. Long-Term Investors: Often treat it as a reminder to reassess portfolio diversification, especially during elevated valuations or macroeconomic uncertainty. Contrarian Opportunities: Historical rebounds post-death cross—such as the 7.2% Nasdaq gain three months after the signal—suggest potential buying opportunities for risk-tolerant investors. Fundamental Challenge Stocks Extend Drop as Powell Sees Economy ‘Moving Away’ From Fed Goals Powell sees economy ‘moving away’ from job, price goals due to Trump's tariff chainsaw. Fed well positioned to wait for policy clarity. Strong jobs market depends on price stability, he adds. Stocks extend declines, bonds rally as Fed chair speaks. Conclusion The "Death Cross" remains a contentious yet widely monitored pattern. Its dramatic name and association with past crises amplify its psychological impact, but empirical evidence underscores its role as one of many tools in technical analysis. Investors who contextualize it with broader market data—such as earnings trends, interest rates, and macroeconomic indicators—are better positioned to navigate its signals. While it may foreshadow turbulence, its historical track record emphasizes resilience, with markets often recovering losses within months of the pattern’s appearance. -- Best wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎 // Think Big. Risk Less
SP:SPX
by PandorraResearch