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Bullish bounce?US500 is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance. Pivot: 5,925.30 1st Support: 5,872.30 1st Resistance: 6,018.10 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ULong
by ICmarkets
1
S&P biblical top? island top - falls back to 200 EMA weekly 22%S&P has made an island reversal It will at some point fall back to the 200 EMA on the daily or weekly 22% Bearish opportunity I think that a multi year top is now in place for this index, this first 22% down may trigger the topping process for this index as sentiment indicators are at record levels and retail participation is at an all time high. Plus money mngt firms are fully long with next to no spare money to invest in a dip. So like in the 1929 who is left to buy ? As per Jesse Livermore book 'Even the shoe shine lad said to the banker that he had bought stocks' and the banker went and sold out his entire holding and made himself rich as he realised there were no new buyers left everyone was all in just like now! May be Trump stops the Fed continually printing debt to use it to buy up the market? If debt is issued maybe they use it to buy stable coins now not the traditional markets which would lead to a huge multi year bear market for equities Good luck to all and stay safe! Luck is when opportunity meets a prepared mind!
SP:SPXShort
by William_Playfair
Is the pull-back another buying opportunity?US stock index futures were all on the back foot this morning, continuing to sell off after yesterday’s losses. The domestically-focused, mid-cap Russell led Thursday’s decline, dropping 1.4% during the session. But it is the tech sector which is leading this morning’s move lower, with fairly uniform declines for the ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell managed to spook markets during a speech and Q&A session last night. He said that the economy was not giving out signals to suggest that the US central bank should be in a hurry to lower rates. His comment led to a pullback in equities and a rally in bond yields. There was also a sharp reversal in rate cut expectations as measured by the CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yesterday morning, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s FOMC meeting next month stood at 82%. This dropped to 62% in the aftermath of Powell’s comments. So, once again, there’s plenty of uncertainty building ahead of the December meeting. The Fed can blame this on recent data, particularly this week’s CPI and PPI releases, but also on what a Trump administration may mean for the US economy. Even though it appeared that both Trump and Powell were in favour of lower rates – the former to goose the economy, the latter to ease the pain of the $1.5 trillion of real estate loans which reset next year – it’s possible that Powell’s hawkish tilt will put the pair back on a collision course, reminiscent of their clash during Trump’s first term. Retail Sales are out later today, and Alibaba is the big earnings release. The question is whether this week’s pullback proves sufficient for investors looking for better long side entry points, or is there more downside from here? If US stock indices can find support around current levels, say 5,900 on the S&P, and rally into the weekend, then this could set the stage for more upside. But if the selling accelerates into today’s close, then investors will have more reason to cut their exposure as we head towards the year-end.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500: No signs of correcting as long as the 1D MA50 supports.S&P500 is on excellent bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 63.046, MACD = 60.810, ADX = 33.473) as it is capitalizing on the 1D MA50 bounce on the day of the U.S. elections. The long term Channel Up is still in full effect since September 2023 and even though we are close to its top, the uptrend can be extended for as long as the 1D MA50 supports. We have so far 3 corrections inside this Channel Up. The two prior to the current one, rebounded to or very close to the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Based on that, we are targeting long term this level (TP = 6,400) for as long as the 1D MA50 holds. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
Nasdaq 100 preps for next move after Trump winThe Nasdaq 100 has traded sideways this week, hovering around levels from last Friday. This is expected following Trump's victory, which saw the index generate a strong bullish surge of 5.84%. Traders now require consolidation or correction, which is precisely what we're observing. The default is for markets to pull back. Still, they can also move sideways, allowing indicators like the RSI to reach neutral levels and creating an environment where traders may feel ready to go long once the trend resumes upward. Currently, we're watching this week's low at 5,965. If the index stays above this level, we could see a push toward Wednesday's high of 6,014, followed by a target of 16,664 based on the descending triangle pattern forming on the chart. However, if the index breaks below this week's low—a critical short-term level—the NASDAQ 100 could fall to 5,910. For now, though, this is not the primary scenario. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
SLong
by ThinkMarkets
SPX500The SPX500 is a popular symbol used to represent the S&P 500 Index, which is a benchmark of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the United States, selected for their market capitalization, liquidity, and sector representation. Key Points About SPX500: • Market Coverage: It covers industries like technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods, providing a broad snapshot of the U.S. economy. • Importance: It’s one of the most followed indices globally, often used to gauge the performance of the U.S. stock market. • Trading: You can trade SPX500 via derivatives like futures, options, or CFDs, but not the index itself. Alternatively, you can invest in ETFs that track its performance, such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).
SKILLING:SPX500Long
by HavalMamar
S&P 500: Bearish Momentum Below 5927 S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped perfectly as we mentioned in the previous idea so now still has a bearish volume to get 5891 and 5863 as long as it trades below 5927 otherwise, it should close 4h candle above 5928 to be bullish till 5952 and 5972 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5927 Resistance Levels: 5952, 5972, 5989 Support Levels: 5891, 5863, 5833 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Trend while below 5927 - Bullish trend if break 5939 previous idea
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities OANDA:SPX500USD PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low. PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high. PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range. PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed. These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14 Simple as that.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Jaytradermb
10/28 GEX of SPX for this weekThis week is especially exciting because, on Thursday, we’ll be releasing our automatic GEX level indicator! (Halloween night, yes, very spooky...) Here's a little preview of what’s coming—just a few more days to go, and we can hardly wait! Based on the key aggregated GEX levels valid as of today's market open, we can see that SPX started the week in a positive territory following last week's minor correction. Currently, the gamma profile suggests positive outlooks through Friday as the market opened above the HVL level, which is now at 5820. The primary levels to watch are: Call Wall (5900): This level, with the highest positive Net GEX value, may serve as a strong resistance point this week. As the price approaches this level, upward momentum may slow as market liquidity tends to stabilize movements here. Put Support (5800): This is the key support level where negative gamma presence helps cushion price declines. Should the price dip below this level, moves might accelerate, so it’s worth monitoring movements around 5800. With the gamma profile above the current HVL level (5820), GEX is positive , which can help stabilize the market and support further gains. Observing options market dynamics, this level suggests the direction of momentum, where market participants may anticipate further upside. As we saw last week, this level could mark a point of heightened volatility for SPX! Additional important levels, like the 2nd Call Wall and 2nd Put Wall, can also be seen on the chart, providing potential barriers and support points for price movements throughout the week. Gamma levels are updated multiple times daily and may shift with market moves.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
SPX500 D1 | Falling to pullback supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,876.68 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracement levels. Stop loss is at 5,670.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 6,204.33 which is a level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
S&P 500: Inflation Concerns Weigh on Market Ahead of CPI Release S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped from its ATH and is continuing toward 5928 and 5891. This decline is driven by the upcoming CPI report, with the previous result at 2.4% and expectations at 2.6%. Given recent reports on job data and retail sales, there's a likelihood that CPI will exceed 2.6%, indicating higher inflation, which would negatively impact the indices market. Alternatively, a 4H candle close above 5990 could signal a bullish movement toward 6027. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5989 Resistance Levels: 6027, 6045, 6068 Support Levels: 5949, 5928, 5891 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Trend while below 5989 - Bullish trend above 6027
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P500 Eyeing 6180 on this diverging Channel Up.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 27 2023 High. More recently it has been following a shorter (dotted) Channel Up since the August 05 2024 Low, which made its most recent Higher Low on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) the day before the U.S. elections. The rally that followed since, hit the top of the 1-year Channel Up but the current 2-day red streak may not be a rejection to the new Bearish Leg (red Channels) as the (dotted) diverging Channel Up is on its 2nd Bullish Leg. If it is similar in strength to the September - October one, then we expect to see 6180 short-term. As you can see, every Bullish Leg of the 1 year Channel Up has consisted of two smaller buy highly symmetric Bullish Legs, all of which look very similar with each other (black sequences). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
S&P 500 INDEX to 6000 before mid 2023Firstly a big thank you for taking me past the 10k likes on Tradingview. That’s a great milestone and tells me the ideas must be appreciated. If it is okay with you I’ll continue to share them freely. As a thank you for taking my ideas past this milestone I want to share the idea that will challenge 95% of those reading. You will just not believe what is about to happen in the following 6-9 months. Use this idea as a cheat code to take you to the 5% club. It is highly probable the market will rip higher and I’m betting on a new all time high before the middle of next year in the area of 6000. Then we can have our recession. Still reading? Or have you gone straight to the comments for some club 95% ‘you mad bro’ comments? What’s the evidence? There’s technical and fundamental. Firstly the technical on the above weekly chart: 1) A ‘great buy’ signal has printed. Look left. 2) Every year that ends with a ‘2’ for the last 70 years has beautiful symmetry with its roots in pi-cycle theory, but I’ll not go into that here, just accept it. Each of the annual charts below are the last 70 years with years ending in a ‘2’ with the vertical lines approximately identifying a 12 month window. 1952 - 1962 - 1972 - 1982 - 1992 - 2002 - 2012 - And finally 2022 - see a pattern? The Fundamentals 1) Mid-term elections - the FED will not crash the market with up and coming mid-term elections. They never have in the above years. 2) Insider trading - The people making the decisions / your glorious leaders, they are actually buying the dip: “U.S. House speaker Pelosi discloses trades in Apple and Microsoft” Source: www.reuters.com This is not an isolated event. 3) Sentiment is at the lowest it has been for 40 years! Not even 2008 comes close. People are so bearish right now that it is actually bullish. 4) The Put / Call ratio. The number of retail traders ‘short’ on the market is at levels not seen since August 2020. Remember then? The world was ending then too. 5) The ‘Put/Call’ ratio is printing bearish divergence just as it was back in August 2020. The market ripped higher afterwards. Well that’s it - Hope you enjoyed, this took some hours of study and preparation. Ww Type: trade Risk: <=6% of portfolio Timeframe: 6 to 9 months Return: 50-80%
SP:SPXLong
by without_worries
271
US500 Is Going Down! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,996.5. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,900.6. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1