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US500: Resumed the Predominant TrendUS500 Resumed the Predominant Trend US 500 index on a 4-hour timeframe, is showing upward price movement with target levels marked at 5,980 and 6,100. The current price is indicating strong bullish momentum after the breakout of this solid triangle pattern. The price may test the broken resistance zone again near 5730 before it moves up further. If the price holds above key support levels, it could aim for the upper targets. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
4
If SPX Uptrends Above 86 Fib, It's Buy All DipsIt's really surprising to see SPX rallying again today after the 86 fib hit - with the drop off it holding basic trending conditions. This doesn't happen very often. When you look at all instances of this in SPX history you'll find about 80% of the time it drops much more from here. Whether it's a bull or bear move overall. In this area there's a lot of risk of being rugged on the long side because the move is hyper extended / high ATR and even a moderate correction can be 10% - however, if we continue to consistently uptrend above the 86, then it's buy all dips. When an 86 breaks without any notable pullbacks, it tends to trend on small timeframes. Bluffs bear moves a lot - but keeps holding inside the last low and makes new highs. This is something that can happen inside of both tops and breakouts. Topping moves can spike out the high by a nominal amount and then drop - like the2007 high did. Trending moves can break the high, hold retests and continue to grind up, like the 2021 rally did. In either event - the smart bet is to buy all the dips because they offer 1:3 RR, you'll usually only have to lose 3 of them to work out that's a bad idea and that means it's quite unlikely youll lose money - conversely, if it continues to uptrend, you'll make bank! If the 86 is not a resistance level, then next upside level is 6130. This would seem best case scenario for bears. In the bigger picture, SPX has come down off extremely important long term resistance levels. These could be a major top. It's a considerable risk ... but if those levels are going to break, then we are probably going to head into exceptional uptrends. If we do not top out at the macro resistance levels, then it's probably going to become close to impossible to make money as a bear. And I mean that in terms of over the next couple years. Not just for a little while. The last 5 yrs have been optimal yrs to be willing to trade both sides of risk assets. There have been a lot of ups and down. I think if we have a failure of the bear attempt here that will turn into a market that's very unfriendly to bears. Even if you only trade good levels you'll lose money. If you used good entry and stop trailing rules, there've been fortunes to be made on the bear side of the last years. But if we break this time, I find it very unlikely you'll see me being bearish for the foreseeable future. The upside potential on a monthly resistance break here would be staggering. While we were at the low I made a detailed explanation of how my bias over the coming years would be informed by the outcome of the rally. We're into the action end of that now. If we uptrend above resis, it's buy all dips. There could be a tricky spike out bull trap and there could be an exceptional rally. In the rally scenario, we'd soon enter into conditions where massive profits could be made over the next 2 year.
SP:SPX
by holeyprofit
1
We're Likely to Come Out this Zone Extremely Strong. Inside the general zone I have marked in here is where the 4.23 / spike out range of the 2008 drop was. The 4.23 is a massive inflection level and when we get to a 4.23 three are usually one of two things that happen. The trend either drops by usually more than 50% - or the trend goes onto double in a manner far faster than the previous occasions. It's difficult to put an exact price or condition on when this zone has failed because stop hunts suck - but if we keep uptrending above local resistance levels then it's wise to begin to consider the failure or the resistance zone may be happening. I really want to enthesis the historic importance of 4.23s. At them we're usually seen major bubbles end (1929 was a 4.23 top) or uptrends turn into exceptional bubbles (Nasdaq broke a 4.23 in 1996 and went ultra parabolic). Truly exceptional conditions are likely to happen upon the resolution of this 4.23 zone. What happens here I think will set the trend for the coming couple of years. And if it breaks, I think you'll see SPX doubling from the high price. Based on all historical instances, if we break the resistances markets are liable to go vertical here. Really not a time to be stubborn with a bear bias. Bear trades into resistance have a good case, but buying all the 76 dips until they fail is a total no brainer and would become insanely profitable if the breakout holds. Even if we're going to make a top, you could typically make about 10% based on 1% risk per trade 1:3 RR on longs if local lower highs hold. To my bearish friends, be very careful. If the break comes, it's likely we'll only get stronger and stronger.
SP:SPX
by holeyprofit
S&P turns flat after bouncing off lows The S&P 500, which ended Friday's session flat, has turned flat in today's session as well, after bouncing back from its earlier lows on reports that the US and Chinese leaders will meet to discuss trade after the two sides accused each other of violating their recent trade deal. June could be a more challenging month for stocks if trade uncertainty persists, following what had been a strong May for global equities—marking their best monthly performance since November 2023. Much of that rally was driven by optimism that the worst of the US tariff threats had passed, encouraging investors to return to risk assets. However, any sense of calm was quickly disrupted after in the last few days, when Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%. This move has reignited concerns about a potential resurgence of trade tensions, adding to the already growing list of market risks. On top of that, investors are also bracing for political gridlock in Washington, as lawmakers prepare to negotiate a sweeping tax and spending bill amid escalating concerns about US government debt. With the debt ceiling deadline approaching, June could bring renewed market volatility, casting a cloud over the near-term S&P 500 outlook. From a technical point of view, the trend is bullish but the doji candles in the last few trading sessions suggest that the momentum is waning and that a bit of a pullback could be on the cards. Resistance at 5,900 was being tested at the time of writing. A daily close above this level would be a bullish outcome, in which case a run towards last week's high near 6,000 could be on the cards. However, if resistance at 5,900 holds, then a potential drop to the next support area around 5787 would be the more likely outcome first. Further support is seen between 5,670 to 5,695. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,780.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,973.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon! This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges. Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like. Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends. If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91. Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means. Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed! For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
Structure Over Sentiment: Multi-Asset View into Month-End📊 Structure Over Sentiment: Multi-Asset View into Month-End | May 30, 2025 This isn’t a crash. This isn’t a rally. This is digestion. The multi-asset view tells the real story — and it's not as chaotic as it looks. 🔍 What the Chart Shows: This correlation lens plots key macro and market drivers YTD: 🟣 Gold (XAUUSD): Leading with +24.71% — this is the quiet macro bid no one’s talking about 🟢 Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Holding +8.47% — volatile, but still showing risk appetite 🔴 10Y Yield (US10Y): Up +5.31% — signalling rates peaking 🟠 Nasdaq (NDX): Nearly flat, -0.36% — NVDA strength masking internal rotation 🔵 S&P 500 (SPX): -2.32% — structurally fine, just not euphoric 🔵 Dow (DJA): -5.91% — lagging, cyclical drag 🔵 Russell 2000 (RTY): -13.60% — small caps under pressure, risk-on caution flag 🟣 Dollar Index (DXY): -6.44% — fading after a strong Q1 🟢 Oil (WTIUSD): -10.26% — no inflation panic here 🧠 Key Insight: Despite the tariff headlines, sticky PCE, and conflicting narratives — the market remains internally consistent. Gold is leading Yields are rising but not sharply Bitcoin is positive Equities are flat-to-negative Oil is weak Dollar is fading This is classic late-cycle digestion, not a crisis. 🛡️ Titan Mindset Check-In: Don’t get lost in single headlines Follow structure, not speculation Let leaders lead (NVDA, Gold, BTC) Protect equity when breath narrows Zoom out, reduce noise, trade the curve — not the chaos 📍“Volatility isn’t risk. Misinterpretation is.” Take Profits, Not Chances. #MultiAssetView #StructureOverShock #TitanProtect #SPX #NDX #BTC #Gold #DXY #WTI #US10Y #MacroFlow #MarketMindset #LateCycleSignals #DigestDontPanic
SP:SPXEducation
by Rizq-FX
US500 - Will the stock market reach ATH?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the index to continue moving, and on the other hand, if the index declines towards a certain zone, you can also look for the next S&P long positions with a risk-reward ratio. Yesterday, a U.S. federal court halted the implementation of President Trump’s “Freedom Day” tariffs. The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that these tariffs exceeded the legal authority granted to the president and unanimously decided to revoke them. Nonetheless, Trump still retains the right to appeal the ruling. Following the court’s decision, President Trump promptly filed an appeal. In response, the White House issued a statement asserting, “The decision on how to handle a national emergency should not fall into the hands of unelected judges.” Meanwhile, the market reacted strongly to Nvidia’s latest financial report. The company’s stock surged by as much as 5.8% in after-hours trading, before settling at a 4.8% gain compared to the previous day. This bullish movement reflects investors’ confidence in Nvidia’s continued strong performance. Nvidia is actively expanding into new markets, including the Middle East—an indication that the company is poised for sustained growth even if its presence in China is constrained. The rally in Nvidia’s stock didn’t just lift semiconductor companies; broader markets followed suit. The S&P 500 index climbed to 6,005.75 points, representing a 1.7% increase from the prior session. According to the company’s announcement, Nvidia posted $44.1 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, marking a 69% increase year-over-year and slightly surpassing analysts’ expectations. Revenue from data center operations rose 73% to reach $39.1 billion. CEO Jensen Huang stated: “Our Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer—designed for reasoning and acting as a ‘thinking machine’—is now being mass-produced by system builders and cloud service providers.” He added, “There is enormous global demand for Nvidia’s AI infrastructure. Over the past year alone, AI inference token generation has grown tenfold. As AI agents become mainstream, the demand for AI compute will continue to surge.” A Reuters poll now projects that the S&P 500 will reach 5,900 by the end of 2025—down from the 6,500 level forecast in February. Similarly, the Dow Jones index is expected to close 2025 at 43,708, compared to the previous projection of 47,024 from the February survey. Separately, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) reported that the increase in U.S. bank profits was largely driven by growth in noninterest income. Bank earnings in the first quarter of 2025 rose by 5.8%, reaching $70.6 billion. While overall asset quality remains favorable, the commercial real estate loan portfolios continue to show signs of weakness. The number of “problem banks” declined by three, bringing the total down to 63. The banking industry also reported a slowdown in lending growth; the annual loan growth rate for the first quarter was just 3%, down from the pre-pandemic average of 4.9%.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
SP500 // Stock Market Still a Buy? Here’s My ETF ApproachUnlike the Forex market, in the stock market—even when we’re hitting new highs and running out of chart space—it still makes sense to continue accumulating positions in U.S. indices. For a more profitable and diversified approach, ETFs offer a wide range of options: SPY, TQQQ, QQQ, and international ones like VEA. Where do you trade stocks? I'm curious to hear what platforms and strategies others are using. If you have any questions about building a portfolio or selecting ETFs, feel free to reach out. Happy to share insights and help where I can. Wishing you consistency and strong returns.
BLUEBERRY:SP500Long
by InvestWorld_777
SPX500 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 6001.65, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 5849.37, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 6153.88, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Short
by Tradu
"US500/SPX500" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (5200) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸"US500/SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis,Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score...... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
SPX500 : We could look for mean reversion here. "London should buy again if US is Selling." This chart suggests a potential redistribution of liquidity across sessions, highlighting a play on inter-session trade balance and session highs/lows targeting. 🔑 Key Confluences: 1. Premium Zone Rejection Price is consolidating below a premium supply zone, rejecting near 5,926–5,930. EQH and BOS suggest liquidity was swept above the recent high. Bears defending weak high structure—potential for a fakeout to downside if buyers step back in from London or Asia. 2. Session-Based Imbalance Logic New York (NY) session drove into premium and is now distributing/selling. Watch if London/Asia step in to reaccumulate from the discount OB zone (~5,856–5,877). Volume spikes confirm institutional decision points — highest vol aligned with New York push into highs. 3. Equilibrium Reclaim Potential 5,901.41 is marked as equilibrium. Expect buyers to defend this zone if NY fades — if price reclaims EQ, bullish continuation is in play. Fail = revisit strong demand below. 4. ORB Range Context (0930–0945 ET) ORB high = 5,877.37 ORB low = 5,856.85 Price is above the ORB, reinforcing current bullish structure unless US session breaks structure down. 5. CHoCH + BOS Sequencing Multiple CHoCH → BOS → EQH sequences signal internal structure breaks, consolidating into reversal potential. If Tokyo holds current low (5,924 avg), price may spring higher during upcoming London session. 📈 Trade Bias: Bullish Bias (Conditional) Watch for a liquidity sweep → reclaim setup around 5,901 or deeper at 5,877 for a long entry toward 5,940+. 📘 Scenario 1 – Buy Setup: Entry Zone: 5,877.37–5,901.41 Invalidation: Below 5,856.85 Targets: TP1: 5,926 (retest of EQH zone) TP2: 5,940+ (true breakout) 🛑 Scenario 2 – Sell Setup: If NY drives price below 5,856.85, look for a break-and-retest of EQ for shorts into 5,830 zone (volume gap fill). 🧠 Institutional Flow Insight: This chart reads like a "sessional liquidity rotation": Tokyo: Buy programs London: Accumulated New York: Profit-taking / Distribution So if US sells, London may bid again, making this a great session echo play.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Establishing Real-Time Price Action!1). Place Fib tool wherever it works, as theses will be key levels of Buy/Sell entries! 2). Strike a trendline off of whatever works best! 3). Establish a 5-wave/ABC sequence that seems to work! 4). Remember, wave 1 defines directional bias of price action! 5). Wave 3 slightly broke above a previous high, therefore the upward bias is likely still intact! 6). It's all the same price action principles on any timeframe any Instrument! 7). Practice...It's actually quite simple! KEEP IN MIND, WAVE 2 COULD DROP DEEPER... AS IT REMAINS THE ACTIVE WILDCARD!
SP:SPXShort
by ScotThomsen