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SPX Grand Super Cycle- Possible Target $ 6000 to 7000There is no denial for a short-term pullback in the market, which will be healthy for the market. Also lots of speculation/leverage in the current market So the market maker may shake out the weak hands soon. If we see SPX in the quarterly chart Wave 1 started in 1976 and ended in 2000 which was around 26 years. Wave 2 was from 2001 to 2009. Total nine years for wave two corrections. Wave 3 started in 2009 and correction in 2020 March was quick just two months correction (Most probable it should not be wave 4 correction). This can be a nest (each wave is built of smaller waves and, at the same time, each wave is a part of a bigger wave) and wave II of a second nest. In my opinion, there would be two probable scenarios, the first one is SPX is still in wave three and it will go to 6000/7000 in this decades. As if we go with SPX Grand Super Cycle then- possible targets can be 4700 to 5000 or more before a major crash (Wave 4 correction multi-years) happen and after the wave 4 correction wave 5 targets can be 6000 to 7000 or more The second one is to complete wave 5 around 4600 to 5300 and 60-80 % crash to 1500 - 2000 So just remember a sharp correction/crash wouldn’t be the end of the world, it will be an opportunity to invest for the long term Trend-based fib extension support the first scenario. This is just my view please share your views in the comment section. Thank you Disclaimer This idea does not constitute financial advice. It is for educational purposes only,
TVC:SPXLong
by RNB98
2
]S&P 500 Sets a Record: Six Weeks of Steady GainsThe S&P 500 Index has set a new record by completing its sixth consecutive week of gains, a feat that underscores its strength in 2024. With this performance, the index has recorded its 46th and 47th highest closes of the year, underscoring the market's resilience amid challenging economic conditions. Continued S&P 500 Successes The S&P 500's positive streak has been driven by a number of factors, including encouraging financial results from large corporations, which has fostered a climate of confidence among investors. This steady growth reflects renewed optimism about the ongoing economic recovery. Dow Jones milestones Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has surpassed the 43,000-point mark, reaching multiple record closes along the way. This performance highlights the strength of large company stocks, which have played a key role in the overall market advance. Growth Drivers The S&P 500's rise has been fueled by several elements. A positive retail sales report has improved market sentiment, while expectations that the Federal Reserve may achieve a “soft landing” have strengthened confidence in the economy. In addition, the performance of financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs has indicated a pickup in investment banking activity. Instability in the Technology Sector However, the technology sector has shown some volatility. ASML disappointed by failing to meet quarterly order expectations. However, an outstanding report from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) revived optimism in the sector, reinvigorating artificial intelligence-related trading. Technical Outlook S&P 500 (Ticker AT: USA500) has been moving in a sideways range initiated in May, which was pierced as of September 18 to new highs returning to the long-term trend that can move the index up to 6,000 points with a current high of 5,886.35 points. The control zones show a value in the zone of 5,471 points precisely within this lateral range, sustained by a support at 5,398 points where it has bounced twice. The RSI indicates a slight overbought of 65.18% which could indicate a continuation of the index's growth. The golden crossover indicator indicated an entry from August 13. Golden crossovers occur when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, indicating a definite uptrend. This trend shows no signs of ending at the moment, so the bullish expansion may last at least until the issuance of the next nonfarm payrolls and fed adjustments. Looking Ahead This week is anticipated to be a key one, with a series of earnings reports from major companies, including electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla. These results could significantly influence the performance of the S&P 500 and other stock indices. The combination of an upbeat macroeconomic outlook and positive financial results suggests that the S&P 500 will continue its upward trajectory. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
SPX: not ready to slow downThe S&P 500 counts the sixth straight week of winning streaks, and seems ready to count for more. During the previous week a fresh new all time highest level was reached at the level of 5.876. Only during the previous week the index gained 0,96%. Tech companies were again in the center of the market attention. The environment of decreasing interest rates and posted positive quarterly results of companies included in the index, continue to be main drivers of investors optimism. As per analysts comments, the 75% of companies which posted quarterly results have beaten market expectations, which was another positive boost for the index. On the opposite side are some analysts who are noting that such moves of equities are “atypical” for the election year. Normally, the equity market will post some volatility prior to elections, considering that the US is only three weeks away from the final election day. On the other side are analysts who are more oriented toward the economical background of such strong moves. Namely, they are noting that the ongoing surge in equities is partially due to government deficit spending, as it is currently 14% higher from the same period last year.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
More up for SPX500Hi traders, Last week SPX500USD went up, dropped and went up again. I think next week we could see another move down into the 4H FVG to finish the correction and after that a continuation of the upmove to finish wave 3. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
SP500 Secondary Trend. Bowl + handle. Resistance zone. 11 2023Logarithm. Large timeframe 1 week. On the chart a big bowl, you can say already with a handle, the price is testing the resistance of the previous market highs for the 3rd time (entering this zone). Breaking through it, this resistance will become a very strong support during the pumping (probability no more). Simplifying the complex is the key to success. Complicating the simple is a guarantee for your own confusion and mistakes on the plain. It is based on knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!! The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. The SP500 index (500 companies of the global hegemon) is a reflection of the "health of the US economy" and, conventionally speaking, of all markets in the world. It is needed more as an indicator of the direction of other markets, including cryptocurrency (the market is maturing), than for trading as such. 1️⃣ The increase in % rates will stop closer to the US presidential election, which is logical. 2️⃣ Before elections, the ruling party always shows the people the positive in its work for the people, even if there is none, i.e. injects money into the economy. 3️⃣ Handing out "free money" to potential voters before elections. Who will take it to the stock and cryptocurrency markets. 4️⃣ Changing the bear market cycle to a conventionally bullish one in 2024 and a bullish one in 2025. 5️⃣ Overcoming previous all-time highs, this is the third time we have tested this resistance of the SP500 index. In other words, everything is as always. Before the elections, “everyone is good” and is pushing the economy up. USA together with the Fed. Only the so-called “black swan” can influence this, whether it is real (there are no such things) or staged, it doesn’t really matter. But, this is all a hypothetical probability, nothing more, which must always be kept in mind. Therefore, when the market rises, protect your profits with stop losses or hedge with correlated positions. As a rule, nothing happens, and if it does, the event itself is always inflated by the media and bloggers tens of times in importance, thereby creating the illusion of fear. Don't fall for such tricks, either. The present, and especially the future, is not always a projection of a repetition of the past. It may be conditionally the same, but the details are radically different. This must always be remembered. On linear, it looks like this: The main trend of the index More than 100 years for clarity. Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. The whole trend. Anniversary 100 years Vertical growth by +372% (madness, super pump) Before the super collapse of the “Great Depression” Publication 11/22/2022 SP500 index. Pumping before the "Great Depression" Code 372-69 The game controls the people, not the people the game. The concept of a lot is always replaced by a little, a little more, until all their expectations “burst” from greed. This encourages some to become wiser, some, on the contrary, the closer the abyss, the cuter the devils.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SpartaBTC
5
SPX in Consolidation Bearish Outlook Unless Key Resistance BreakTechnical Analysis: The price currently trades within a liquidity zone between 5,849 and 5,891, showing consolidation. A retest of this liquidity zone is likely, with a potential rejection if the price fails to break above 5,891. If the price breaks and holds above the 5,891 level, the next target would be the resistance line at around 5,939. On the downside, a rejection from the liquidity zone could send the price back down towards the support line near 5,825 or even further towards 5,781. Retest Possibility: A retest of the liquidity zone between 5,849 and 5,891 is probable. If the price holds below this zone, a bearish move is expected. Correct Direction: Bearish: If the price fails to break above 5,891 and the liquidity zone holds as resistance, the price is likely to move towards 5,825 or lower. Bullish: If the price breaks and closes above 5,891, a bullish continuation towards 5,939 is expected. The overall bias is bearish unless there is a confirmed breakout above the liquidity zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5891, 5915, 5939 Support Levels: 5836, 5807, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5863 Bullish above 5891
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Forecasting: A Complex TaskForecasting the S&P 500 index is a challenging endeavor due to the multitude of factors that influence its movement. These include economic indicators, corporate earnings, geopolitical events, investor sentiment, and market psychology. Key Factors to Consider: Economic Indicators: GDP Growth: A strong economy generally supports stock prices. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can put downward pressure on stock prices, while falling rates can boost them. Inflation: High inflation can erode corporate profits and investor confidence. Corporate Earnings: Profit Growth: Strong corporate earnings are often a positive sign for the stock market. Earnings Expectations: The market's expectations for future earnings can influence stock prices. Geopolitical Events: Global Conflicts: Political instability or geopolitical tensions can create uncertainty and impact market sentiment. Trade Wars: Trade disputes or tariffs can disrupt global supply chains and affect corporate profits. Investor Sentiment: Risk Appetite: Market sentiment can shift rapidly, influenced by factors like economic data, geopolitical events, and market psychology. Fear and Greed Index: This indicator can provide insights into investor emotions. Forecasting Methods: Fundamental Analysis: This involves analyzing economic indicators, corporate earnings, and geopolitical events to assess the underlying value of the S&P 500. Technical Analysis: This method uses historical price data and charts to identify patterns and trends that may predict future price movements. Quantitative Analysis: This approach employs statistical models and algorithms to analyze large datasets and identify correlations between variables that may influence the S&P 500. It's important to note that no forecasting method is foolproof. Stock markets are highly volatile, and unexpected events can significantly impact the S&P 500. A combination of fundamental, technical, and quantitative analysis can provide a more comprehensive understanding of market dynamics. Would you like to explore any of these factors or methods in more detail? I can also provide information on specific forecasting tools or resources.
SP:SPX
by ITManager_US
SPX Hitting Extreme Resistance Level - Epic Crash imminentBack in October 2021 I attempted to project a fibonacci ration that would predict the top of the current market cycle from the bottom of the 2008/2009 crash. I used smaller fibonacci rations such as the 236 and 146 to identify where a fibonacci from the top would end up. The result was approximately 5814. We passed this level this week and there is weakness showing. I believe this week ends with some type of abandoned baby pattern then we see the drop. I'm not sure what this corresponds to on a fundamental analysis level, but this one will be big. This would end a 5 wave elliot pattern Super Cycle from the 1920's crash where the 4th wave was the 2008/2009. Good luck everyone!
TVC:SPXShort
by Cavedrew
27
usdjpy us500 us100 long resultsusdjpy long target 1 done 31% lev x 100 6% lev x 20 us100 Target 1 done 35% lev x 100 7% levx 20 Us500 target 1 done 25% lev x 100 5%LEVX 20 congratulations followers Trading is not easy, there are difficult times too. However, with a lot of courage and strategies, we always end up coping with these bad moments. Don't be afraid to hit stop losses, there is no shame in hitting stop losses. fame doesn't make you a bad trader. Even a good trader does not win all of his trades, but he wins more than 75% of them or at least he remains positive or stable in his wallet.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by RODDYTRADING
SPX500 at Resistance: Breakout Potential or Reversal Ahead?S&P500 INDEX The price is in a consolidation zone near the resistance level of 5,891.1. If it breaks above this zone, the next resistance target is around 5,950. If it fails to break through the resistance, a pullback is likely, targeting the support area around 5,863 and potentially dropping further towards 5,781 if bearish momentum continues. Best Direction: Bullish: If the price breaks and holds above 5,891.1, this would indicate further upward potential. Bearish: If the price fails to break above 5,891.1 and reverses, a short-term downward move toward the support levels is anticipated. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5891 - 5863 Resistance Levels: 5891, 5915, 5939 Support Levels: 5836, 5807, 5759 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5863 Bullish above 5891
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.17.24 Tomorrow’s Implied move is between 5805 and 5880 and that is from options. The 30 day average volatility is between 5785 and 5900 and that also lines up with the implied move on Fridays contract - and that’s the strike I’ll be looking to if we pop to sell bear call spreads. To the upside we have ATH’s at 5871.41. I’m guessing that if NYSE:TSM earnings come in great and we see a move up there then ATH’s will be the Target on the day. But if not, then the 35EMA is just underneath us so look to that for clues. If we break it then support is where we saw the gap that we opened the week with (5815) and then underneath that the bottom of the implied move is at 5805 5790 on Fridays contract and that’s the strike I’m going to look to if we drop ( for bull put spreads) Underneath all of that is the 30min 200MA and we are quite far away from that. It’s not in tomorrow’s trading range but could be a target next week if we see a down move from tomorrow’s earnings. GL tomorrow, y’all
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading