Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett argues that the weakening of the dollar is not merely a temporary adjustment, but rather a warning sign of the beginning of the end of U.S. dominance. The U.S. share of global stock markets has risen from 40% during the 2008 crisis to 67% today. At the start of 2024, most investors continued to bet on the sustained dominance of U.S. assets, while largely ignoring risks such as recession, prolonged bear markets, and escalating trade wars.
However, things are now shifting. Since the beginning of the year, we’ve seen growing interest in alternative paths, such as China's AI giant DeepSeek and emerging markets. All of this is part of a broader trend of global “capital liberation,” which could mark the start of a long-term decline in the dollar’s value and raise questions about the U.S.'s leadership in the global economy.
The historical cycle of reserve currencies supports this hypothesis. Over the past 500 years, monetary hegemony has shifted approximately every 80 to 100 years — from the Spanish real to the Dutch guilder, then to the British pound, and finally to the U.S. dollar. Current geopolitical and economic shifts suggest that the dollar’s era as the unrivaled global currency may be approaching its end. BTCUSDSPXGBPUSDEURUSD
NVDAPLTRTSLASPXQQQ chances of black Monday as Cramer and few other analysts predicting? Or WS will play to create one ? I have hedged for weekend protection but still would like to know if I should hold hedges for a while?
SPX accordings to latest man on USA streets reports, 85% of american citizens believe that Twump's echonomics plan for F-U to deep states global-hojmo plan is pinpoints acchurate. Twump's score is 4.8 out of 5 on tariffs
BTCUSD look at covid crash, SP500 4 weeks of red candles, now we are 5 weeks at red candles. Next week we will stay steady and then recovery. Big players(black rock) selling on retail, scaring retail. Everything is fine, healthy correction market needed.
BTCUSDT According to the latest Forbes survey, Wall Street elites' support for the Trump administration's economic policies has dropped significantly. 72% believe that Trump's economic plan is ineffective, and 66% say they do not support his economic policies. On the issue of tariffs, Trump's score is 1.86 out of 5.
Week of April 7–11 ⚖️ Monday, April 7 – 47.6% chance of climbing → Coin toss.
📈 Tuesday, April 8 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.
⚖️ Wednesday, April 9 – 47.6% chance of climbing → Another coin toss.
📈 Thursday, April 10 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Same setup as Tuesday.
⚖️ Friday, April 11 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Slight bullish edge.
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SPX Week of April 14–17 📈 Monday, April 14 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Strong bullish start to the week.
📈 Tuesday, April 15 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Income Tax Deadline (U.S.)
📈 Wednesday, April 16 – 61.9% chance of climbing
⚖️ Thursday, April 17 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Monthly options expiration day. Historically, the Dow has been up 19 of the last 28, and the NASDAQ up 21 of the last 24 days before Good Friday.
Note: Friday, April 18 – Market closed for Good Friday. Every day during the week of April 14 is above 61% probability except Thursday, which still slightly leans bullish.
GOLD The End of the Dollar Era?
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