Bulls and Bears zone for 02-05-2025 All this week markets have been very volatile.
During ETH session traders are testing yesterday's Low.
Level to watch: 6046 ---6044
SPX500 trade ideas
SPX (POTENTIAL BULLISH BREAKOUT AFTER RETEST)A decline toward the 5,947 level is likely before the market resumes a sharp bullish trend above 6,002, targeting the last high level at 6,102. If the price successfully breaks this level, it is expected to continue its upward movement, reaching the new high level at 6,160. The 6,102 resistance level has already been tested multiple times, indicating that another touch might be necessary for a successful breakout.
However, if the price falls below 5,947, negative pressure will intensify, potentially signalling further declines.
Global Stocks Decline Amid Alphabet Earnings; S&P 500 Faces Key Stocks Hit by Alphabet Earnings
Global stocks declined on Wednesday after disappointing earnings from Alphabet weighed on Wall Street futures.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price is likely to test 5970 after failing to hold above the resistance zone at 6051.
The next bearish trend will be confirmed if a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below 5969.
On the other hand, for the price to regain bullish momentum, a 4-hour candle must close above 6020, which could lead to a move towards 6051. A breakout above this level may push the price further to 6077.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5996
Resistance Levels: 6020, 6051, 6077
Support Levels: 5969, 5937, 5896
Trend Outlook:
Bullish if price breaks above 6020
Bearish correction expected down to 5969
BTCUSD shows a clear downtrend🚀 BTCUSD Analysis: Preparing for a Potential Move 📉
Analyzing BTCUSD across multiple timeframes – **Weekly**, **Daily**, and **4-hour** – suggests a bearish correction is imminent.
📉 Current Price:** $97,706**
Potential Target:** $94,000 - $92,500 zone**
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 **Immediate Support:** $95,000 - $94,000
🔹 **Resistance:** $100,000 - $102,500
🔒 Suggested Stop Loss:** Above $102,000**
📊 Technical Signals:
🔸 **RSI Overbought:** Indicates a possible correction
🔸 **Lower Highs:** Suggests weakening bullish momentum
🔸 **Bearish Divergence:** Detected on the 4-hour chart
BTCUSD shows a clear downtrend, with potential for further downside after breaking the $95,000 support.
**Bearish View:** Expecting a drop toward the $92,500 range if support at $95,000 fails.
**Bullish View:** Breakout above $100,000 may resume the uptrend.
⚠️ **Note:** If BTCUSD falls below $92,500, we could see an extended bearish correction. ⚠️
🔔 **Be sure to follow updated ideas for real-time insights!** 🔔
⏰ **Analysis Time:** BTCUSD across multiple timeframes.
⚖️ **Always set a Stop Loss** to protect your capital! 🚨
S&P resistance for coming days...S&P is at the resistance of all time high.
A breach will take it 6800 level and it will also spread positivity across global markets.
Whereas a breach of lower trendline will take it for correction.
Stay safe and trade safe.
Note: View shared for educational purpose only.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Bearish Move From Resistance
Amid the uncertainty caused by the recent actions of Trump,
US500 may continue the intraday bearish movement.
The market may reach at least 5994 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Gann Trading Strategy Lessons: Mastering Time & Price Cycles. Gann Trading Strategy Lessons: Mastering Gann’s Time & Price Cycle for Precise Market Reversals!
In this Gann Trading Strategy Lessons, we dive deep into W.D. Gann’s powerful trading strategy using the 144-Time Cycle and 225-Price Cycle, specifically applied to the EUR/USD pair. This method helps traders identify high-probability reversal points by aligning time and price for precise market entries.
What You’ll Learn:
1. Understanding Gann’s concept of periodic and rhythmic movements.
2. How to apply the 144-time cycle as a turning point in the market.
3. The significance of the 225-price cycle and why markets move in multiples of 225.
4. Step-by-step guide to spotting time and price equilibrium for trade setups
5. Real chart examples to see how this strategy works in live market conditions
Key Levels to Watch:
- Monitor 144, 288, and 432 bars for market reactions
- Measure price movement in 225-pip cycles for trade confirmation
- Use trading tools like TradingView’s date and price range tools to analyse charts effectively
Why This Works:
Gann believed that time and price must balance before a trend reversal occurs. This strategy allows traders to anticipate major moves, reduce risk, and enter trades at the best possible levels.
📌 Timestamps: Mastering Gann’s Time & Price Cycle for Precise Market Reversals.
00:00 ▶️ Introduction
00:52 ▶️ Financial Disclaimer.
01:19 ▶️ Gann’s Market Cycle Theory.
02:32 ▶️ Gann’s most important time cycles — The Gann 144-time cycle.
03:27 ▶️Gann Time and Price Analysis Using the 225-Price Cycle and Squaring Techniques.
04:38 ▶️ How to identify the Gann cycles on the charts.
06:04 ▶️ Gann Time & Price Cycle - Example 1
08:30 ▶️ Gann Time & Price Cycle - Example 2
10:59 ▶️ Gann Periodicity, Disharmony & Strength Points
12:00 ▶️ Gann Key Takeaways & Conclusion.
Gann Trading Strategies with a focus on Time & Price Cycles, including the 255 and 144 cycles, to predict market reversals with precision. This lesson covers Gann’s price-time synchronization, squaring techniques, and cyclical patterns, helping traders identify key turning points and trend shifts accurately.
spx5 I see price at a 4 hour zone
this is good break to upside with bearish rejection
giving me a buy bias
I have an entry here with a 1:2
take partials or full at 1:2
but also would like to see price go to next zone at 1:4
The LeapJust an idea I am working on…..
Here is an initial set of indicators that I have put together for a strategy. Try it out if you want.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.5.2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News:
📊 Trade Balance: The U.S. trade deficit is expected to widen to $96.50 billion in December, up from $78.20 billion in November.
📈 Key Data Releases:
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (8:15 AM ET): 🏢 Forecast: 148K | Previous: 122K
Services PMI (9:45 AM ET): 🏭 Forecast: 52.8 | Previous: 56.8
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): 📊 Forecast: 54.2 | Previous: 54.1
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up will get a rejection below 6032.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher as a continuation and drop down 1% off the HCZ.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower and pump back higher.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 4 25Look at the difference here in SPX compared to SPY how the 30 minute 200 moving average was a resistance yesterday. So when in doubt choose SPX because SPY trades off of SPX so right now 30 minute two hundred moving average is right above us . just underneath that down gap and that 35 EMA is coming down and if it crosses underneath then we’ve gone on this timeframe it is possible today, look to the price underneath that we have the flat 50 day and one hour two hundred MAs so let’s see what happens. I have iron butterflies and iron condors here so the flat the better but I also have orders open if we do go to the edges.
U.S. Indices on the Brink: A 10-15% Market Correction Ahead?At Vital Direction, our Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, and Gann analysis suggests that the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000, and broader U.S. markets are approaching a major topping formation, setting the stage for a sharp 10-15% correction.
We anticipate this downturn to unfold between now and mid-April, with potential bottoming phases emerging either in early March or mid-April. From there, we expect a strong recovery, leading indices back to their all-time highs or near them by August to November 2025 before a massive reversal unfolds.
Investor Caution Advised!
Sentiment remains extremely bullish, but we urge traders to prepare for heightened volatility and downside risks in the short term. This could be a pivotal moment before the next major bullish phase!
Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: $SPX Performance Wall Street Rallies on Trade Optimism: S&P 500 Performance Update 📈
1/9
The S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX ) closed higher today, fueled by optimism surrounding U.S.-China trade negotiations. Energy stocks led the charge, driven by rising oil prices and demand forecasts. 🔋📊
2/9
Energy Sector Surge: Energy stocks played a crucial role in today's SPX gains. Rising global demand and oil price increases are sparking investor confidence. 🚀 Is this trend sustainable?
3/9
Trade Optimism: President Trump's decision to delay tariffs on Canada and Mexico boosted sentiment. However, new U.S. tariffs on China and China's retaliatory measures remain key risks. ⚖️ Trade talks are still a tightrope walk.
4/9
Corporate movers today:
PepsiCo and Estée Lauder fell after weak earnings forecasts. 📉
Palantir soared on a strong revenue outlook. 📈
Earnings season continues to shape sector performance!
5/9
Investors now await Alphabet's earnings, set to drop after market close. Tech giants like Alphabet can significantly impact SPX momentum in coming sessions. Will it be a bullish or bearish catalyst? 🕰️
6/9
Economic Context: The SPX's performance today highlights a market adapting to trade uncertainties. Investors are shifting their focus from immediate trade impacts to longer-term prospects. 💡
7/9
Looking Forward: Alphabet's earnings could either reinforce today's rally or inject new volatility into the market. Tech earnings remain a major influence on overall market sentiment. 🧮
8/9
Today's SPX rally is a reminder of the market's sensitivity to macroeconomic factors—trade policy, sector rotation, and earnings expectations are all in play. Are you positioned for these shifts? 📊
9/9
What’s your market outlook for the SPX this week? Vote now! 🗳️
SPX will continue rising 📈
Expect some volatility 🔄
Bearish pullback ahead 📉
SPX - do you really want to buy here ? 2022 all over again ?Looking at this SPX chart of 25 years and the MACD lines getting closer and closer I just can't see why to buy here except for short trades from one week to the next.
The MACD is ticking down and it could lead to another or even worse 2022.
We could get a blow-off top to 6300-6500, but looking at charts of big tech, Bitcoin, Gold and considering the uncertainty created by the new US administration, I am not seeing the sentiment for more bullishness. Might change over the next few days, who knows.
$SPX500 Technical Analysis: Divergence Signals and Key LevelsOANDA:SPX500USD
The SPX500 is currently displaying notable divergence on the daily timeframe chart, highlighting resistance near $6121 while the critical daily fractal support teeters at $5920.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support and Resistance Dynamics: The index faces significant resistance at $6121. Meanwhile, maintaining support above $5920 is crucial to sustain current bullish sentiment.
Confirmation of Support Breakdown: A decisive drop below $5920 would signal a potential retest of the weekly fractal support at $5776. This level's breach would confirm a false breakout above resistance, potentially leading to further downside for the index.
Potential Downside Targets: If the SPX500 extends its decline below $5776, attention should shift to the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, projecting a deeper correction towards $5557. This scenario sets the stage for a potential bullish shark pattern formation near the golden Fibonacci extension level.
Technical Patterns: Previously identified patterns include a bearish deep crab around $6042, suggesting possible downside targets around $5737, near the .382% Fibonacci retracement level. A subsequent bullish shark pattern aligns with the .50% Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing a critical zone for potential reversals.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
S&P500 4H Bullish Cross signals rally to 6200.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been consolidating within a Rectangle pattern, which is coming out a MA100/200 Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame. The identical consoliation phase of July - August 2024 bottomed right after such Bullish Cross and then rebounded towards the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level before pulling back to the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again.
With the 1D MACD about to confirm the bottom with a Bearish Cross similar to September 04 2024, we expect a strong rally to start by the end of the week and target 6200 (just below the 1.382 Fibonacci extension).
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SPX500 Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,976.37.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 6,081.10.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
4-2 US500:Trade war puts pressure on US currencies and stocks. Especially now that China is hitting back hard with taxes on US goods. This should have a negative effect on this index. We have a sell at 5917.0.
Rate Cuts Coming Up?Simply put, yes , the Fed has appeared to switch its position on the FRED:FEDFUNDS remaining flat and are expecting further rate cuts. So what can we hypothesize the market's reaction will be? Well, you guessed it, the market will probably like the news and cash will flow into "risk-on" assets including crypto assets and, of course, stocks. Furthermore, we can infer that the market is not currently pricing in any rate cuts and we have yet to see a TRUE correction specifically in the TVC:DJI , TVC:NDQ , and the $SP:SPX.
The image above shows an example of the 200 EMA significance and how it can be used to buy the dip at the right timing. PLEASE do not try to buy each top and bottom as it's virtually impossible to perfectly time the market. However, it should be suggested that you buy the day after the underlying bounces off the EMA. This is the most effective way to avoid a "fake out" in the trend. When this EMA it touched and rebounded, it could imply that a correction has taken place and that momentary downtrend is about to reverse to continue its previous bull trend. This could look as shown below.
Just because it is shown on the chart doesn't make it so. Please keep in mind an equal and opposite possibility, where the EMA is broken through and a Bear market begins. Even though the odds for this are less than likely, the market simply not getting a rate cut could lead to this situation becoming a reality. In this market, nothing is impossible so be ready for everything.
In conclusion, prepare for rate cut from not only the Fed, but ECB, and Bank of England as well. With this, we can expect rising markets as cash moves its way into risk assets. However, no one is a visionary, so if the markets don't get what they want (and we all know that it wants rate cuts more than anything), expect a lowering market and prepare to exit positions until a rebound appears reasonable.
NAS 100/SPX 500you can see liquidty on both pairs you had a nice sweep and bullish structure and its also been holding. which ever one gets to the zone last is the one i want to buy and also looking at US30 to sweep
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.4.2025🔮
📅 Tue, Feb 4
🌎 Market-Moving News:
📢 Tariffs in Focus: 🇺🇸🔁🇨🇦 U.S. imposes 25% tariffs on Canada & Mexico, 10% on China, while Canada retaliates with 25% tariffs on U.S. goods.
🏦 Central Banks: 📉🇪🇺 ECB cuts rates to support growth, while 📈🇯🇵 BOJ hikes rates, signaling diverging global monetary policies.
📊 Key Data Releases:
📉 JOLTS Job Openings (10 AM ET): Forecast 8.68M (Prev. 8.75M)
🏭 Factory Orders (10 AM ET): Forecast +0.2% (Prev. -0.7%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Initial push higher before rejecting below 6044, leading to consolidation.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Rebound attempt, but potential rejection back into the Equity Equilibrium Zone, causing choppy action.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Early dip, potential bounce, but structure favors continued weakness before stabilization.
#trading #stockmarket #SPX #SPY #daytrading #charting #trendtao 🚀
