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SPX500 trade ideas

Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.31.2024🔮 ⏰ 9:00am S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 1️⃣ GAP ABOVE HPZ: If we do gap up definitely be bearish 2️⃣ OPEN WITHIN EEZ: There is a slight bullishness left but I think that goes in the premarket, trade the futures if you want, but I do believe that the last trading day will be a V shape 3️⃣ GAP BELOW HCZ: Once again will cause a mechanical bounce #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPXShort
by PogChan
"US500 / S&P 500" Index Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / S&P 500" Index market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the Red MA line Breakout, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 63,00.00 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
2
Is a Pullback Coming?The S&P 500 has advanced steadily since late 2023, but now some traders may expect a pause or pullback. The first pattern on today’s chart is the December 20 low of 5,832 -- slightly below the mid-November trough. That contrasts with the previous bounce, which featured a higher low. Next is last week’s zenith below 6,050 -- also shy of the December 6 record. In other words, the index made a lower low and now a lower high. That could mark a disruption of its uptrend. It also creates a potential falling channel. Second, prices tested but never closed below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) in early November. This month, on the other hand, they broke the SMA before bouncing. They’ve also returned to the line more quickly (and without making a new record high). Is the intermediate-term trend fading? Third, shorter-term signals may have turned bearish. MACD is falling and the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has dipped below the 21-day EMA. (See our 2 MA Ratio custom script in the lower study.) Finally, the S&P 500 has gone more than a year without a full 10 percent correction. Investors looking for such a pullback may expect a move toward 5,500 based on the recent high. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
1
Benner's cycle tops Benner Cycle is a chart depicting market cycles between the years 1924 to 2059. The chart was originally published by Ohioan farmer Samuel Benner in his 1884 book, "Benner's Prophecies of Ups and Downs in Prices". The chart marks three phases of market cycles: A. Panic Years - "Years in which panic have occurred and will occur again. B. Good Times - "Years of Good Times. High prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds. C. Years of Hard Times, Low Prices, and a good time to buy Stocks, 'Corner Lots', Goods, etc. and hold till the 'Boom' reaches the years of good times; then unload.
SP:SPX
by ipitch
S&P 500 over-valued and showing signs of weaknessIf you aren't going to speak your mind, why say anything? Here is the situation; The SPX has a Shiller Price to Equity Ratio of 37.6. There are only two other times in the last 100 years that valuations were higher. 1. Back in 2021 valuations reached 38.6 before a ~25% correction. 2. During the 2000 dot com mania it got to 44.2. After the bubble broke, it was over 12 years before the S&P 500 exceeded its previous Dec 1999 high. 3. The average PE ratio for the previous 20 years is 26.7, this would imply the market is around 30% over-valued (Reversion to the mean would put the market at the 4100 level). That is unless we have reached a new investing paradigm, where the actual income generated by a business is uncorrelated to the value of the business. But, of course we haven't. 4. Safe investments like the 10 year treasury (4.63%) exceed the income generated by owning the S&P 500 (1.3%). If you also get capital gains, it is acceptable. But, when the market delivers losses, the safety of Treasuries will start to look really good. Even very optimistic people would admit that we are closer to the top, than the bottom of the market. A discount is inbound. Who knows how much it will be, I am picking prices will over-shoot. Time will tell. Oh year, bearish divergence. Which, can be a very strong indication of reducing momentum, and a change of market direction.
TVC:SPXShort
by flyinkiwi10
S&P 500: Consolidation and Bearish Momentum Below Key LevelsS&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped on Friday and stabilized within bearish momentum. In general, as long as it trades below 6,022, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 5,936, with the potential to reach 5,863 if the downward momentum persists. The S&P 500 is currently consolidating between 5,993 and 5,936 until a breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5993 Resistance Levels: 6022, 6053, 6099 Support Levels: 5936, 5919, 5863 Trend Outlook: Consolidation between 5993 and 5936 Bearish Trend while below 6022
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: optimistic in 2025?The last trading week for the S&P 500 passed in an optimistic sentiment, however, Friday's trading session decreased some of weekly gains. The index started the week at the level of 5.837, moved to the highest weekly level at 6.044, but ended the week at 5.970. The levels above the 6K could not hold. Analysts are noting that the US equity market could not sustain developments on the Treasury bonds market side. The 10Y US benchmark yields surged to the level of 4,6% on Friday. This came after concerns over US tariffs and future productivity. All sectors included in the S&P 500 posted daily losses on Friday, including the tech industry. TSLA shares were down by 4,5%. The major investment banks and companies provided some insights of their expectations for the US equity markets in the year 2025. The expectations are marked with policy uncertainties, especially taking into account the start of a new Presidency in the US and the market noise related to it. Considering uncertainties, some higher volatility might be in store for markets in 2025. Analysts from CITI bank are recommending to investors to turn their attention toward sectors with strong fundamentals and reasonable valuations. Also they are pointing toward industries like health care, communication services and energy. Within the field of tech industry, CITI analysts are pointing toward the semiconductors industry sector. The biggest investment firm in the US BlackRock, provided their view on key topics for both US and emerging markets. One of the sentences noted in the document says “we see macro policy becoming a potential source of disruption”, which describes nicely the sentiment of economic analysts regarding the Fed's past policy moves. Industries to which BlackRock analysts are pointing to are those related to further AI buildout and the low-carbon transition. With respect to macro developments, they expect that the Fed will further cut rates in 2025, while the jobs market will remain under pressure as well as US GDP growth. Based on analyst forecasts, the year 2025 will be marked with uncertainties. Certainly some volatility might be expected, but general trends on equity markets from 2024 are most probable to continue also through 2025.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.30.2024🔮 📅 Mon Dec 30 ⏰ 9:45am Chicago PMI: 42.7 (previous: 40.2) ⏰ 10:00am Pending Home Sales m/m: 0.9% (previous: 2.0%) 📅 Tue Dec 31 ⏰ 9:00am S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: 4.1% (previous: 4.6%) 📅 Thu Jan 2 ⏰ 8:30am Unemployment Claims: 220K (previous: 219K) ⏰ 9:45am Final Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.3) ⏰ 11:00am Crude Oil Inventories 📅 Fri Jan 3 ⏰ 10:00am ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.4) GAP ABOVE HPZ: Markets are playing traders like a fiddle. If it pumps then an impeding drop OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Tag the upper levels before drop into 5951 area GAP BELOW HCZ: This will cause extreme hedging which will drag the markets up higher before a dump lower #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SP:SPX
by PogChan
SPX 500 - Be patient and wait to see how it goes up.Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trade on what we see the price movement on chart. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position. This ensures every trading position is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:SPX500
by QQGuo-Shane
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 6,027.45 1st Support: 5,869.16 1st Resistance: 6,182.03 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
SPX Crash Targetsit's important to zoom out frequently to gain some additional perspective. I've given some wild targets for the next 12-18 months and most probably think it's silly, but I can assure it is not. I don't have to be right and it may not be as bad as I think although I highly doubt that. Either way, this is a one month chart going back to the late 90s with what I consider to be the most important longer term levels. It's very easy to get caught up in what's happening now and hopefully we've all made money on the rally, but the last two years has just been a final blow off that happened rapidly at the end of a 15 year bull run, not so significant in the end. I don't actually know what will happen or how far it will fall, but TA can help with that. Maybe we will enter some sort of alternate dimension and it never falls, who knows. Seems extremely unlikely to me, but we'll see. A summary of downside targets and potential paths I will look for: - First target is going to be the ascending trendline from the dotcom peak to the 2021 ATH. A retest of this trendline should be the first stop and it would be a big correction. Many would expect this to be enough, but in reality we won't even be in a bear market until it is broken. - Next two targets are the 2021 ATH and ascending trendline from the COVID bottom. This would put us around 4,800 and may be considered the most reasonable downside target before a recovery. I would also say that in reality we have not even entered a big correction unless these levels break. - If we cannot hold the 2021 ATH, next stop is the ascending trendline from the 2009 bottom and the bottom in 2022 almost right at 3,500. Personally I think this is a reasonable spot to expect a bottom, but this would be the best scenario if you ask me. This would be bad, but not 1929 material. - If we cannot hold 3,500 then it starts to get ugly and I see this as most likely. I think the ultimate bottom will be in a range anywhere from the COVID low down to the 2000/2008 peak. basically 2,200 - 1,500. It's at that point I think things will begin to turn around, but I still have hope for a bottom around 3,500 instead. There you have it. I'm posting this now for you all to laugh at, I'm afraid the laughter and mockery will age like milk, but only time will tell. I hope I'm wrong and if I am, that's a win as far as I'm concerned. Remember, it doesn't matter how confident I am, if these major levels are not broken it won't happen and I won't bet on it, still playing the fluctuations and beginning to build longer term short positions for now. Price will move from key are to key area as it always does. The fluctuations in between are largely insignificant and predicting how extreme the market may get and when is nearly impossible. I've been warning about this publicly since June, my timeframe has always been the fall of 2024 and after the first rate cut with a potential catalyst at any moment before. The market shrugged of all negative catalysts in classic fashion and we melted up instead obviously. However, I think the extreme drops and volatility we have had are noteworthy. This is very similar to 1929 where in the months leading up to the crash we had several huge dumps that recovered in the same day. Highly unusual, eventually there will be no recovery. These events like in early August just show how overleveraged vulnerable the market is toa catastrophic margin call event. TLDR: I think I have posted enough on this topic, but I feel like I'm losing my mind seeing something like 90% of Americans say they do not expect a recession anytime soon so it makes me want to keep going. This is very concerning to me which is why I'm doing it, so maybe I can help educate and stop this from happening again in the future. I don't have much hope unless we abolish the federal reserve, but maybe my efforts can help one person or a few at least. If we all continue to do nothing, we will forever be stuck in this dreaded cycle of engineered recessions and bull markets that are controlled entirely by a very small group of people who do not have America's best interests at heart and lie uncontrollably while they are doing it. If you made it this far, thanks for reading. This is exactly what a major top looks like it, it could not be more obvious and I want teach people how to identify these things using the most basic tools such as the bond market and retail sentiment. Saylor is running back his dotcom ponzi bust at 10x the scale and it is terrifying. Retail is going to get rugged so hard on stocks and BTC, while having perhaps the highest investor confidence level in history. Retail is all in on stocks and BTC with confidence soaring more each day as if it's impossible to lose. I have never in my life seen the bullish sentiment for something be so extreme as it is right now on BTC. This does not end well, it is just a matter of time. Maybe do some research on cryptography rather than repeating the same meaningless buzz words like "decentralized." I don't expect many will care or read what I say right now, but hopefully this archive of information I'm creating in the moment can be here to view in the future for educational purposes. Godspeed.
SP:SPXShort
by AdvancedPlays
15
S&P 500 Index key levels to Watch this weekIf you're trying to figure out the stock market's next moves, watch the S&P 500 Index. Last Friday marked a crucial point, with the index dipping to 5,930. This is the line you don't want to cross. Slipping below means we're below the 50-day moving average again and likely heading further south. Falling past this 5,930 mark breaks the trendline for the second time, and you'll probably see more pressure to dip below the post-FOMC low — that's your second critical level. Things might get dicey from there, but if the selling picks up speed, I'd start eyeing the 200-day moving average as a target for early January 2025. Here's the bottom line: don't hurry to jump in at the start of January. We need some clarity on where the market's headed first.
SP:SPX
by IrinaTK
Navigating the S&P 500🟢 Navigating the S&P 500 The S&P 500 index is near all-time highs, and many voices are starting to question these prices, even talking about a bubble. But is this true? Setting aside opinions and focusing on technical analysis, it's important to note that as long as we don't lose the $5,860 level, we will remain in a bullish market . Therefore, buying in that area is interesting in terms of risk/reward. Losing this level places us in a sideways zone, where range trading can be sought, knowing that we could be sideways for months. Finally, if the $5,670 zone is lost, we would indeed be facing a bearish market where more severe corrections could occur. ✅ What pattern is unfolding in SP:SPX ? We are seeing a Head and shoulders pattern developing, but we need to break the 5.860$ level to confirm it. Consequently the break of the level confirms at least a Neutral market but also a H&S pattern! ✴️ Do you want me to analyze any market? Just comment below which market you want me to analyze. ENJOY AND FOLLOW for more 😊
SP:SPX
by TopChartPatterns
[Education] Stop Lying To Yourself About Your Trading DisciplineYou know exactly what's wrong. You've read all the books. Watched countless YouTube videos. You understand that discipline is crucial for trading success. Yet here you are, breaking your rules again. I lost $15,000 and blew over 20 prop firm challenges before I finally faced the brutal truth: Understanding the importance of discipline isn't enough. You need a system to force yourself to be disciplined. The Expensive Lessons of "Just One More Time" Let me share something embarrassing. Last year, I was trading a $200,000 funded account. My rules were simple: 1% risk per trade, no trading during news, no moving stop losses. One day, I was up 3% for the week. NFP was approaching. My position was in profit. "Just this one time," I told myself, "I'll hold through the news." You can guess what happened. The price started to go against me so fast that it slipped my stop loss. My stop loss got blown through. What should have been a 1% risk turned into a 4% loss. Just like that, I lost two months' worth of profits because I thought rules were meant to be broken. Why You Keep Breaking Your Rules (Even Though You Know Better) Let's be honest. You know you shouldn't move your stop losses, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t revenge trade after losses, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t risk more than 1-2% per trade, but you do it anyway. You know you shouldn’t trade during major news events, but you do it anyway. Why? Because knowing isn't the same as doing. It's like going to the gym - everyone knows how to lose weight (eat less, move more), but knowing doesn't get you abs. The Real Reason You Lack Discipline Here's what I discovered after coaching dozens of traders: The problem isn't lack of discipline. It's having too much flexibility in your trading plan. Think about it: "Wait for confirmation" - But what exactly is confirmation? "Don't risk too much" - But what's too much? "Let winners run" - But how long should you let them run? Vague rules create room for interpretation. And where there's room for interpretation, there's room for breaking rules. The System That Forces Discipline After losing enough money, I developed what I call the "No-Choice Trading Framework." No choice, you gotta follow. Here's how it works: 1. Pre-Trade Rules (No Exceptions) Write exact entry price, stop loss, target, and your emotions BEFORE entering Screenshot your analysis Calculate position size using this formula: (Account size × 1%) ÷ Stop loss in pips Set alarms at entry levels No entering without completing all steps 2. During Trade Rules (Zero Flexibility) No looking at charts if using limit orders No moving stop losses for any reason other than breakeven No adding to positions No checking P&L until trade closes Phone must be in another room 3. Post-Trade Rules (Must Complete) Journal entry within 10 minutes of trade closing Score yourself on rule adherence (1-10) Screenshot final result Write what you'll do differently next time Implementing The Framework 1. Start With Small Size Trade 0.25% risk until you can follow rules for 20 straight trades Only increase to 0.5% after proving discipline Reach 1% risk only after 50 trades with perfect rule adherence 2. Create External Accountability Share your pre-trade checklist with a mentor Post your analysis before entering Join a community where discipline is valued over profits 3. Remove Temptations Delete trading apps from your phone Set up a separate trading computer Create a dedicated trading space Turn off P&L display The Uncomfortable Truth You're not going to like this, but you need to hear it: If you can't follow rules with a $1,000 account, you won't follow them with a $100,000 account. The only difference is that with a bigger account, your lack of discipline will cost you more money. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts. The trades I take on a $200,000 account are exactly the same as the ones I take on a $10,000 account. The only difference is the position size. Your Next Steps Write down your exact trading rules (no vague statements) Create a checklist that must be completed for every trade Trade minimum size until you can follow rules perfectly Track your discipline score separately from your P&L Remember, the market doesn't care about your goals, your dreams, or your excuses. It only cares about whether you can execute your strategy with discipline. The choice is yours: Continue lying to yourself about "just this one time," or commit to building systems that force you to be disciplined.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj