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SPX500 trade ideas

Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps. I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.
TVC:SPX
by WiseAnalyze
$SPX Trading Range for Jan 3 2025All right same thing over here as in SPY this trading range is based on the one standard standard deviation movement off of Friday’s close We gapped down underneath the downward facing one hour 200 moving average into the up gap from January 17 which was a previous support on January 27. Now we are underneath it. We’re making lower lows and we also gapped underneath the 30 minute two hundreds moving average and the 50 day moving average so look to those levels as resistance for now. Below us we have an island gap that needs to be filled and it’s really close. I wouldn’t be surprised if we head there next .
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Trump’s Trade War Risks Throwing Markets into Chaos. TARIFFic?Apparently, Trump has slapped Mexico, Canada and China with hefty tariffs. Now all these three are either already retaliating with their own levies on US goods or getting ready to do so. The complex interplay of back-and-forth tariffs risks turning friends into foes and driving up prices. All the while the end consumer is likely to cover the difference. President Donald Trump on Saturday actually went ahead and did what he wanted to do. He launched the game of tariffs. He hit Mexico, Canada and China with hefty import duties, threatening to throw the world’s trade into a spiral of ill intentions, retaliations and higher prices for your Stanley cups and iPhones. The looming destabilization is already coming from both ends — Canada swiftly imposed 25% levies on roughly $20 billion of US goods coming into the country on Tuesday. Another $85 billion worth of goods are getting the same treatment within the next three weeks. China, where nearly everything you get your hands on is made, said it will “take necessary countermeasures to defend its rights and interests.” Trump’s new order requires Canada and Mexico to pay 25% tariffs on imports to the US (with a partial carve out for Canada’s energy and oil exports — 10% levies apply there). The US President was gearing up for a 60% tariff rate on China while he was running for office but said he’s imposing a 10% tariff that will likely get higher in time. These three countries in 2023 collectively accounted for about 40% of all US imports. That year, the US imported about $3.85 trillion worth of goods. In November 2024, the US pulled in about $351 billion worth of stuff and then sold it to Americans. What are tariffs and who pays them? At the basic level, tariffs are a way for an economy to protect itself from foreign competition. Through tariffs, domestic businesses are somewhat shielded from outside interference and can snatch up a bigger portion of the local market. Tariffs are just taxes placed on products that are made overseas and then imported to the country. Here’s the kicker: the foreign companies that make these goods and then import them aren’t on the hook for paying the tariffs — American businesses are. Tech companies like Apple AAPL , which makes about 95% of its stuff in China, or Tesla TSLA , which makes half of its cars in China, will end up paying more for their products as they come into the US. Who’s collecting that import duty? The US government. What could happen when these tariffs get cracking? The US consumer will most likely cover the difference. Nearly every product will be affected — from cars to baby toys to the already expensive eggs (can egg prices get even higher?) Here’s an example: potash, the product that’s used by US farmers as fertilizer, just got 25% more expensive. That extra cost, paid by the farmers, is likely to trickle down to the end consumer so farmers could keep trucking and produce at the same rates. What could happen to the stock market? One thing is certain — the companies that don’t pass on the added cost to the consumer will see their corporate profits dwindle. But if they want to keep generating value for shareholders, they’ll need to pass it forward to the end user. With the first quarter now well under way, the next earnings season will be a sight to see. (Friendly reminder to keep an eye on the economic calendar for all corporate earnings and updates.) An analysis from Barclays estimates that all S&P 500 companies could see their profits shrink by 2.8% once the tariffs get in full flow. Perhaps a bigger, scarier fallout is possible. Inflation can perk up again. Inevitably, the higher costs across the border risk undoing what the Federal Reserve was doing to combat inflation. Goldman Sachs came out with the forecast that the looming tariffs could have an initial knock on effect on inflation to the tune of 0.7% to the upside. Gross domestic product could drop 0.4%. And most of all, there’s one thing investors fear the most. Rising inflation could bring back interest rate hikes. A revival in consumer prices might prompt the Federal Reserve to walk back its intentions of more interest rate cuts and lean against the economy by raising borrowing costs. There are early signs of this already. Fed chief Jay Powell last week said the central bank is in a wait-and-see phase as Trump’s policies unfurl. The scary tariffs already knocked the wind out of stocks and crypto. Monday morning saw one of its worst openings in years, especially for Ethereum ETHUSD . The second-largest coin fell as much as 27% from the get-go as the bullish sentiment was nowhere to be seen. Bitcoin BTCUSD also got a slap losing 6% in its first deals to settle near $91,000 before paring back some of the drop. And stock futures were looking at steep declines with Dow futures DJI shedding as much as 700 points ahead of the opening bell in New York. The only winner was the US dollar DXY , which stands to gain popularity in a high-tariff environment. Until now, the market has been overwhelmingly on Trump’s side. He stepped into the White House riding on the promises of a strong economy and booming business. But if he takes aim (even indirectly) at shareholders’ profits, he might end up losing the support of all those billionaire executives who worked hard to get him elected. What do you think? Is Trump acting in the best interest of America or is he driving markets into a ditch? Share your thoughts below!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
55
Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. 💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch 📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? 📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. 📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: 📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 : Big Tech Stocks Slide as Trump’s Tariffs Shake MarketsBig Tech Stocks Fall After Trump Imposes Sweeping Tariffs Shares of major Big Tech firms declined after U.S. President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price dropped approximately 1.98% following Trump's tariff announcement. The price is expected to test 5,969, and if it manages to close a 4-hour or 1-hour candle above this level, it may push higher to test 5,996 and 6,020. However, if the price stabilizes below 5,969, it will likely continue its bearish trend toward 5,937. A break below this level would expose 5,893 and 5,863 as additional downside targets. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5969 Resistance Levels: 5996, 6020, 6051 Support Levels: 5937, 5893, 5863 Trend Outlook: Bullish if the price breaks above 5,969 Bearish while trading below 5,969
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX: spooky words “DeepSeek” and “tariffs”It was a shaky week on the US equity markets, which included a lot of news. The week started with shocking news that a Chinese, a $6 million start-up company overtook the AI market with its program DeepSeek. As per news, the program was superior to the ChatGPT and swiftly took the first place at the Apple store in terms of downloads. No need to say that it was quite painful for the price of Nvidia shares, which tumbled immediately, ending the week at 16% loss. The next important event during the week was the FOMC meeting and rate decision. The Fed decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was expected by the market. And the minute investors thought that the rest of the week would be calm, the next news came from the new US Administration, that the US will impose trade tariffs for goods imported from Canada, Mexico and China. The tariffs will be applied from Saturday, while markets had a strong negative reaction on Friday's trading session. During the week the S&P 500 was traded in a mixed manner, considering a bunch of significant news. Although the index tried to reconcile during the week, from its starting point at 5.970, it is ending the week at the level of 6.040, after reaching the highest weekly level at 6.115. Certainly, there is the weekly gain, however, what is actual investor sentiment regarding the tariffs will be seen at the beginning of the week ahead. For the moment, investors are still optimistic with respect to tech equities. If we exclude the “out of nowhere” shock related to DeepSeek, investors are waiting with anticipation for the quarterly results of Nvidia. Apple posted relatively solid results during the previous week. Although the sale of IPhones is not doing quite well, still, Apple is able to cover the decrease in sales with an increase of income from services. Amazon and Google are also posting results in the week ahead. With nonfarm payrolls scheduled for a release, it is a promise of another challenging week on financial markets.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX - Presidential Update - Downside potential to 3500 in 4 yearHello everyone! Apologies for the audio quality - my laptop has been acting up. I take this moment to update a prior video I did 4 years ago looking at presidential cycles. Historically speaking, looking at the 90s through today, we tend to see bigger corrections during republican leadership. Clinton - Essentially no corrections. Bush - Two major corrections (dot-com bubble and housing bubble) Obama - Essentially no corrections. Trump v1 - 3 corrections, including COVID Biden - 1 correction in 2022 Trump v2 - Remains to be seen Trump has already made significant waves and has demonstrated that he is not afraid to do so. We will probably see some volatile times ahead. I outline in the video 3 important levels to watch: SPX 4800 - Prior all time high in late 2021 SPX 4200 - Seen as support and resistance in 2022/2023 (was the low in Oct 2023) SPX 3600 - 2022 low and Oct 2021 high A correction to 3600 would be a huge correction and would be worst case scenario in my eyes - I'd be more inclined to think 4800 will be the place we will go. This likely will take *years* to complete and is fully dependent upon how Trump situates the USA from a global perspective. Don't get caught on the wrong side of the trade. Make sure you are diversified and have some cash on hand to take advantage of value plays that will almost certainly present themselves to us. Trade safely, friends!
TVC:SPX
by bitdoctor
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 5,979.20 1st Support: 5,818.18 1st Resistance: 6,113.40 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
1
Black Monday is Coming – Time to Short This Beast!Alright, listen up, traders! The storm is brewing, the signs are clear, and if you haven't noticed yet—wake up! Black Monday is knocking, and the market is looking ripe for a proper dump. Now, I'm not saying sell your grandma’s jewelry and go all-in, but if you're looking for a juicy short entry, this might just be it. Ideally, you want to get in around that sweet spot in the yellow zone (check the chart) or even from the current levels if you're feeling extra spicy. Risk? What Risk? (Just Kidding, Manage It!) Stop-loss? Yeah, slap that bad boy above $6,150 on the 4-hour close. If price secures above that level, it's a no-go—cut it and move on. Take profits? Scale out as price nosedives. No need to be greedy; let the market pay you in chunks. The Big Picture This ain't financial advice—just a battle plan from someone who's seen enough bloodbaths in the markets to smell the fear. High risk? Absolutely. But hey, no risk, no champagne. Remember, risk management is king. Play it smart, lock in profits, and let the market do the heavy lifting-because when the dust settles, only disciplined traders will be left standing.
SP:SPXShort
by TottiVincenzo
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮 📅 Mon, Feb 3 ⏰ 10:00 AM ET 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI Previous: 49.3 Forecast: 49.2 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SP:SPX
by PogChan
Bullish Zone Testing and Breakout PotentialThe current price action is trading at a bullish level within a sensitive zone, marked between 6,102 and 6,002. For today's projection, the price is expected to initially test the upper boundary of this zone at 6,102. Upon reaching this resistance level, it is anticipated that the price will face rejection, leading to a short-term correction. However, following this retracement, bullish momentum may resume, driving the price upwards again with an aim to break the last resistance level at 6,102. If this breakout occurs, the market would likely establish a new high level, signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, for a bearish scenario to unfold, the price would need to decisively break below the 6,002 support level. This would require a 4-hour candle to close below this critical zone, confirming a downward trend. If such a break occurs, it could lead to a significant price drop, potentially targeting the lower support levels.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Disco-Dave
2
Heading to the daily 50 (6000)Two days with a devastating selloff at the close, a clear sign that the index is not yet ready to position itself above 6100. The first short-term light blue support was broken at Friday's close, and now the index will move towards the underlying support indicated by the blue trendline, where the daily SMA50 also passes through near 6000 points . Holding this support will initiate a new attempt to break 6100. Conquering 6100 is an important phase that will start a new bullish cycle and subsequently act as strong support. The breakout must occur with strength and large volumes.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by balinor