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SPX500 trade ideas

S&P 500 Index -- Weekly Volatility Potential Good Afternoon! This week, I want to talk about the CBOE:SPX and its weekly potential for how I read historical volatility to weight it then to implied volatility -- this creates my custom trading ranges. Implied ranges for this week are calculated at 4 DTE using my strength of IV method. You can find out more how I do this over at my highlights page on 'X' - Find me @askHVtobidIV We are entering a short week, with IV currently in the 89th percentile for the year ( 18.31% ) and resonating between bi-weekly ( 19.36% ) and monthly ( 15.13% ) historical values. Quarterly volatility trends ( 31.79% ) have risen more than 10% this year alone due to macro concerns and increased news from tariff uncertainties. This is creating a volatile environment that, in turn, only increases our trading ranges. Something I personally like. Near-term trends are above the currently high IV environment, suggesting further expansion. This provides premium value on what is happening to what is projected to happen and a “strength of IV” of >100% indicating rising volatility, slowly towards quarterly means, while resonating around monthly trends. If price action drives downwards, our gap from May 16th could fill around $5,692.56 with confluence of HV21 trends at $5,710.91. Conversely, I can see HV10 ranges with rising pricing action and good macro news with EU tariffs breaking $5,971.33—Expanding to the price of $5,995.95 with continuing expansion and regression towards means. Come back next weekend as I will review the chart to see how we developed! For those interested in volatility analysis and the application of weighted HV ranges to IV, I encourage you to BOOST and share this post, leave a comment, or follow me to join me on this journey.
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
US500 - Will the stock market reach ATH?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect the index to continue moving, and on the other hand, if the index declines towards a certain zone, you can also look for the next S&P long positions with a risk-reward ratio. Yesterday, a U.S. federal court halted the implementation of President Trump’s “Freedom Day” tariffs. The U.S. Court of International Trade ruled that these tariffs exceeded the legal authority granted to the president and unanimously decided to revoke them. Nonetheless, Trump still retains the right to appeal the ruling. Following the court’s decision, President Trump promptly filed an appeal. In response, the White House issued a statement asserting, “The decision on how to handle a national emergency should not fall into the hands of unelected judges.” Meanwhile, the market reacted strongly to Nvidia’s latest financial report. The company’s stock surged by as much as 5.8% in after-hours trading, before settling at a 4.8% gain compared to the previous day. This bullish movement reflects investors’ confidence in Nvidia’s continued strong performance. Nvidia is actively expanding into new markets, including the Middle East—an indication that the company is poised for sustained growth even if its presence in China is constrained. The rally in Nvidia’s stock didn’t just lift semiconductor companies; broader markets followed suit. The S&P 500 index climbed to 6,005.75 points, representing a 1.7% increase from the prior session. According to the company’s announcement, Nvidia posted $44.1 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, marking a 69% increase year-over-year and slightly surpassing analysts’ expectations. Revenue from data center operations rose 73% to reach $39.1 billion. CEO Jensen Huang stated: “Our Blackwell NVL72 AI supercomputer—designed for reasoning and acting as a ‘thinking machine’—is now being mass-produced by system builders and cloud service providers.” He added, “There is enormous global demand for Nvidia’s AI infrastructure. Over the past year alone, AI inference token generation has grown tenfold. As AI agents become mainstream, the demand for AI compute will continue to surge.” A Reuters poll now projects that the S&P 500 will reach 5,900 by the end of 2025—down from the 6,500 level forecast in February. Similarly, the Dow Jones index is expected to close 2025 at 43,708, compared to the previous projection of 47,024 from the February survey. Separately, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) reported that the increase in U.S. bank profits was largely driven by growth in noninterest income. Bank earnings in the first quarter of 2025 rose by 5.8%, reaching $70.6 billion. While overall asset quality remains favorable, the commercial real estate loan portfolios continue to show signs of weakness. The number of “problem banks” declined by three, bringing the total down to 63. The banking industry also reported a slowdown in lending growth; the annual loan growth rate for the first quarter was just 3%, down from the pre-pandemic average of 4.9%.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Ali_PSND
SPX500 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 6001.65, a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 5849.37, a pullback support. The stop loss is set at 6153.88, a swing high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Short
by Tradu
"US500/SPX500" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (5200) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸"US500/SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis,Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score...... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
SPX500 : We could look for mean reversion here. "London should buy again if US is Selling." This chart suggests a potential redistribution of liquidity across sessions, highlighting a play on inter-session trade balance and session highs/lows targeting. 🔑 Key Confluences: 1. Premium Zone Rejection Price is consolidating below a premium supply zone, rejecting near 5,926–5,930. EQH and BOS suggest liquidity was swept above the recent high. Bears defending weak high structure—potential for a fakeout to downside if buyers step back in from London or Asia. 2. Session-Based Imbalance Logic New York (NY) session drove into premium and is now distributing/selling. Watch if London/Asia step in to reaccumulate from the discount OB zone (~5,856–5,877). Volume spikes confirm institutional decision points — highest vol aligned with New York push into highs. 3. Equilibrium Reclaim Potential 5,901.41 is marked as equilibrium. Expect buyers to defend this zone if NY fades — if price reclaims EQ, bullish continuation is in play. Fail = revisit strong demand below. 4. ORB Range Context (0930–0945 ET) ORB high = 5,877.37 ORB low = 5,856.85 Price is above the ORB, reinforcing current bullish structure unless US session breaks structure down. 5. CHoCH + BOS Sequencing Multiple CHoCH → BOS → EQH sequences signal internal structure breaks, consolidating into reversal potential. If Tokyo holds current low (5,924 avg), price may spring higher during upcoming London session. 📈 Trade Bias: Bullish Bias (Conditional) Watch for a liquidity sweep → reclaim setup around 5,901 or deeper at 5,877 for a long entry toward 5,940+. 📘 Scenario 1 – Buy Setup: Entry Zone: 5,877.37–5,901.41 Invalidation: Below 5,856.85 Targets: TP1: 5,926 (retest of EQH zone) TP2: 5,940+ (true breakout) 🛑 Scenario 2 – Sell Setup: If NY drives price below 5,856.85, look for a break-and-retest of EQ for shorts into 5,830 zone (volume gap fill). 🧠 Institutional Flow Insight: This chart reads like a "sessional liquidity rotation": Tokyo: Buy programs London: Accumulated New York: Profit-taking / Distribution So if US sells, London may bid again, making this a great session echo play.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Establishing Real-Time Price Action!1). Place Fib tool wherever it works, as theses will be key levels of Buy/Sell entries! 2). Strike a trendline off of whatever works best! 3). Establish a 5-wave/ABC sequence that seems to work! 4). Remember, wave 1 defines directional bias of price action! 5). Wave 3 slightly broke above a previous high, therefore the upward bias is likely still intact! 6). It's all the same price action principles on any timeframe any Instrument! 7). Practice...It's actually quite simple! KEEP IN MIND, WAVE 2 COULD DROP DEEPER... AS IT REMAINS THE ACTIVE WILDCARD!
SP:SPXShort
by ScotThomsen
US500 – Buy the Dip Near Trend & EMA SupportTrade Idea Type: Buy Limit Entry: 5,870 Target: 6,020 Stop Loss: 5,820 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3:1 Duration: Intraday Expires: 28/05/2025 12:00 Technical Overview Price action continues to respect the primary bullish trend with recent buying off the 78.6% Fibonacci pullback level at 5,868. A bullish engulfing candle on the 4H chart reinforces a short-term momentum shift to the upside. The 20-period 4H EMA (5,864) is rising and should provide dynamic support near the entry level. The setup favors buying dips, aiming for a move to 6,020, while keeping stops tight below key support at 5,820. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Signal_Centre1
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Liquidity Sweep or Continuation? | Probabi🕒 1H Chart | Smart Money Concepts | Volume | ORB Framework We are currently trading around 5,888, after a recovery from the equilibrium zone near 5,760–5,770, which served as a strong reaction point. Here's how we at WaverVanir International LLC are assessing probability-based outcomes using our DSS and institutional concepts: 🔍 Key Levels & Observations: 🟥 Premium Supply Zone: 5,925–5,945 shows signs of multiple CHoCHs (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), and prior liquidity grabs. This zone is now a potential trap for late buyers. Prob. of rejection: ~70% based on historical confluence. 🟦 Discount Demand Zone: 5,742–5,770 is our equilibrium/discount reaccumulation zone with a high-probability reaction area. Swept liquidity clean on May 24–27 with volume spike confirmation. Prob. of support: ~75% short-term if price retraces with exhaustion. 📈 Trade Ideas (Probability-Weighted): Short Setup (Reactive) Entry: 5,928–5,940 (inside premium) Stop Loss: Above 5,950 (above weak high) Target 1: 5,860 Target 2: 5,785–5,765 (equilibrium zone) Confidence: 65–70% Long Setup (Reversion Play) Entry: 5,765–5,745 (bottom of imbalance) Stop Loss: Below 5,729 Target 1: 5,859 Target 2: 5,910–5,920 Confidence: 70% if sweep occurs with declining vol. 🔄 ORB Confluence: Opening Range Breakout (0930–0945) shows recent buy-side aggression, but this move is suspect unless volume continues climbing. A fade below 5,859 without impulsive volume confirms seller re-entry.
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 26 May 2025 - S&P 500 reversed from support level 5775,00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 5970,00 S&P 500 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 5775,00 (former resistance from March, which formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star). The support level 5775,00 was strengthened 20-day moving average and by the 38.21% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from April. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5970,00, top of the previous minor impulse wave 1 from the middle of May.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Monday Bounce from 4H Demand ZoneAfter taking a controlled loss on Friday, I came into Monday focused and clear-minded. Price tapped into a clean 4H demand zone and printed a strong bullish engulfing candle — a textbook rejection from imbalance. I waited for the 4H candle close before entering long. Risk was tight below the demand zone, with a clear target above — offering a high RR setup. This trade wasn’t about the day of the week; it was about respecting structure, imbalance, and confirmation. Pair: US500 Timeframe: 4H Setup: Bullish engulfing off 4H demand zone + imbalance fill Entry: After 4H candle close Stop Loss: Below demand wick Take Profit: Major clean high above imbalance Risk-to-Reward: Over 3R This is why I trade the 4H. One clean move. No stress. No noise. Just structure + patience. – THE 4H TRADER
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Austin-August
S&P 500 Weekly PotentialVolatility, expressed through standard deviation, quantifies market elasticity and presents a level of probability and precision that humbles us all. This week with SP:SPX bi-weekly trends have risen to just below our monthly values and are currently expansive over the markets IV prediction. Right now as I see it, HV10 is going resonate alongside our monthly values showing continued strength over IV. We could full regression to quarterly means as we move our of corrective territory then see consolidation to cool the markets down. BOOST the post, drop a follow and comment, BUT don't circle back at the end of the week to revisit and observe how our trending markets preformed!
SP:SPX
by splitmyIVandmelt
Is Trump Triggering a Mini Market Crack to Drive Capital into Tr📉 Is Trump Triggering a Mini Market Crack to Drive Capital into Treasuries? Recent remarks by former President Donald Trump — including threats of 50% tariffs on EU goods and pressure on Apple to manufacture domestically — have sparked sharp red moves across the U.S. markets. Which leads to a serious question: 👉 Could this be a deliberate strategy to induce fear in the stock market and push both institutional and retail money toward U.S. Treasury bonds? In a context where the U.S. government needs to issue and absorb massive debt, and where yields are rising to attract buyers, a sell-off in equities might: 💰 Boost demand for Treasuries 🔥 Justify aggressive fiscal or monetary actions 🎯 Reposition political actors as “economic saviors” I’m not making claims — just thinking out loud... Are we witnessing a calculated move to reroute capital from equities into U.S. debt, using fear as the vehicle? What do you think — coincidence… or strategy?
VANTAGE:SP500
by perezliz37
GAP to Fill in RectangleThe S&P 500 (SPX) is poised to fill its recent gap, having re-entered the prior consolidation range and now challenging the 200-day moving average. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting near overbought territory, the market may need a brief cooldown before resuming its trend. At the same time, rising bond yields are casting a shadow on equities, as investors weigh the impact of higher borrowing costs on corporate profits. Until yields stabilize, we’re likely to see heightened volatility around key technical levels.
SP:SPXShort
by Bipolar_trader
SPX500 H1 | Multi-swing-low support at 38.2% Fib retracementSPX500 is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,822.41 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 5,770.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 5,932.39 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu