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SPX500 trade ideas

Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction. Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted. Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
TVC:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction. No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall. And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing. And today is one of those days. 📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band ⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused 🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal We’re in “hover mode”. Which, translated to trader speak, means: "Don’t be clever. Just wait." 🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700  🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive. If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation. If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button. Why? Because I know this pattern. The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later. Either way, I’m not front-running it. And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎 --- Fun Fact 📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1. 💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history. Moral of the story? In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA? The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
SPX 5800 Strong resistance200 days HILO EMA central line has always given a strong support resistance in the past and I would expect that to be so this time as well. Since the market structure broke when prices crossed the lower outer ema band, even if the price goes above the middle line I would not consider it to be bullish.Only when the prices hit the upper or lower band a new trend can be confirmed. For now I am just going to be short term trader and a cautious long term investor accumulator of fundamentally good stocks. Not Tesla :) Notice how the inner lines align with the the other lines before the breakdown! A kind of step formation, indicating the period selection of 200 ema is sound
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz
Retest SPX 200 SMA Patience The S&P 500 (SPX) is at a pivotal moment this week as it tests its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that often dictates market sentiment. With volatility creeping higher and investors weighing economic data, interest rate expectations, and earnings forecasts, the index's ability to hold this level could determine the next directional move. I am staying patient, watching and waiting. A successful defense of the 200-SMA could signal a bottoming process, inviting dip buyers back into the market and potentially setting up a rebound toward key resistance zones. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a wave of technical selling, accelerating downside momentum as traders reassess risk exposure. For now, I remain on the sidelines. I go long when Kenjen is above price, ensuring I trade with momentum and confirmation rather than speculation. All eyes are on how price action develops around this crucial support.
SP:SPX
by invinoveritas7671
Where Next for the S&P 500? With the S&P 500 tumbling 10% from its mid-February highs, we take a look at whether this correction is running out of steam—or just getting started. A weak bounce and a looming resistance zone suggest the index has work to do before the bulls can regain control. Tariffs, Turmoil, and the End of ‘American Exceptionalism’? For much of the past two years, U.S. stocks have outpaced global peers, fuelled by strong economic growth and corporate earnings. But that narrative is being rapidly unwound. Trump’s sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China have triggered fears of a slowdown, prompting Wall Street to question how long U.S. assets can maintain their edge. The fallout has been brutal. The Federal Reserve has already downgraded its growth forecasts, citing tariffs as a key headwind. Meanwhile, a rare twin sell-off in both the U.S. dollar and equities suggests global investors are losing confidence in the ‘American exceptionalism’ trade. Add to that a sharp decline in major tech and healthcare stocks, and it’s no surprise the S&P 500 has struggled to find its footing. A Weak Bounce, a Tough Road Ahead After a sharp sell-off, the S&P 500 has started to consolidate, but there’s little sign of momentum shifting in favour of the bulls just yet. While the index has bounced from its March lows, price action remains sluggish, and a key resistance zone is emerging. The 200-day simple moving average, the broken January swing lows, and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the trend highs all align to form a confluent resistance zone to keep a close eye on. Even if buyers can push prices higher, this confluence suggests they’ll need to overcome strong overhead pressure before any sustained recovery can take hold. S&P500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Short-Term Traders Eye the Range On the hourly chart, last week’s price action has carved out a well-defined range, setting up a key battleground for short-term traders: • A break above the range could see the S&P 500 challenge the resistance zone outlined on the daily chart. • A break below would likely put the March lows back in play, potentially triggering another leg lower. S&P 500 Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced.Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced. | SPX Analysis 25 Mar 2025 The tide turned Monday, and for once, the charts didn’t just mutter vaguely in Morse code – they actually gave us something to work with. After weeks of grindy, gummy-bear movement, SPX finally flashed a bullish signal. The classic breakout-pullback has shown itself on the 30-minute timeframe, and the daily chart has joined the party with a sharp reversal, flipping us right back into the prior range. Let’s just say this… not rolling those final bear swings? Smartest decision I didn’t overthink. I just wanted to stop the bleeding. Turns out, it also kept me out of harm’s way. Now, with the bear slippers safely tucked back into the winter cupboard, I’m eyeing the bull setups. But as always – I’m not jumping just yet… --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Monday brought a much-needed shakeup – not the kind that rattles your coffee mug off the desk, but the kind that whispers: “Something’s changed…” And it has. The 30-minute chart formed a clean breakout-pullback, the kind you could frame on the wall and call “textbook.” The daily chart? We’ve got a bullish reversal pattern that’s pushing price back into the old range. That means my bearish bias has officially flipped. Goodbye bear slippers. Hello, Bull Boots. Let’s talk about those bears for a moment… Last week’s trades didn’t go to plan. Friday’s rally chewed them up, and instead of rolling endlessly like a gambler doubling down, I did what needed to be done: closed them. Cleared the head. Took the "L". And now, I’m glad I did. Sometimes, the best trade is no trade. Or at least, no new pain. During my Fast Forward mentorship call, we did our usual morning deep dive. We looked at: The GEX flip (Gamma Exposure momentum line) Intraday call wall pressure And the speculative cap at 5765 for the high of day With that info, I made the call to delay my bull swing entry. Why chase a top when the market’s whispering “pullback pending”? I’d rather find a smarter entry… with more meat on the bone. So what now? Bias is bullish 5765 & 5805 = overhead friction Waiting for a deeper pullback before entering long - Ideally 5720 My trigger’s locked. My chart’s marked. Now I wait. And if that pullback doesn’t come? Fine. I’ll let it go and re-evaluate. No FOMO. No flinching. The plan is simple: Trade with the setup, not the hype. -- Fun Fact Benjamin Graham once said, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.” But he never accounted for meme stocks, social media panic, and Reddit-fuelled rocket ships. Today, it often feels like the market's a slot machine with a Twitter feed. Still – patterns like breakout-pullbacks? They’re timeless, regardless of the noise.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day. In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high. If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase. For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling). Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5777 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920 Support Level 1: 5604 Support Level 2: 5539 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Considering Long Positions for S&P 500 Amid Market Uncertainty - Key Insights: Though the S&P 500 is in a corrective phase, signs of potential bullish reversals present opportunities for long positions. Monitor economic reports and geopolitical events closely, as these are likely to influence market movements. - Price Targets: Next week, we suggest the following targets: - T1: 5700 - T2: 5750 - Stop Levels: - S1: 5600 - S2: 5582 - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 concluded the week marginally above its starting point, revealing market volatility and potential for both upward and downward adjustments. Indicators show both consolidation and opportunities for a rebound. - Expert Analysis: Despite feeling overvalued, analysts are observing mixed signals with both bearish and bullish possibilities. There's a heightened focus on inflation indicators and central bank policies, crucial for future market direction, alongside a performance gap favoring value stocks. - News Impact: Recent tech sector sell-offs, especially in semiconductors and Tesla, suggest challenges face growth sectors. Geopolitical factors, including recently announced tariffs by President Trump, could further heighten volatility. Upcoming consumer confidence and GDP revisions are key reports to watch, possibly influencing next week's market tone.
CBOE:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$US500 Intraday PaydayI don't do Intraday chart posts for various reasons however this chart is the most important watch of the year. Right now we are testing a very important triple top where heavy resistance is being printed in the pre-market. Several times bull have tried to break through with large one minute candles and being stiffly rejected. This is of extreme importance because the current formation on all indexes in a bear flag looking for continuation to the 5400 level. If rejection sets in, short to the 5400 and then go neutral for a week and re-asses.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Midgar-
BUY SPX500SPX500 Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup Market Overview The SPX500 has shown strong bullish momentum, and a continuation of this trend is likely if price holds above the 5,772-support area. A confirmed breakout from this level could provide an ideal buying opportunity. Trade Setup Entry: Buy at 5,733 (waiting for confirmation at key support) Stop Loss (SL): 5,525 (below strong support zone) Take Profit (TP): 6,154 (next key resistance level) Analysis & Rationale ✅ Bullish Trend Continuation – Price action suggests strong momentum, favoring further upside. ✅ Key Support at 5,772 – A breakout above this level will confirm bullish strength. ✅ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio – Well-defined SL and TP provide a balanced strategy. Trading Plan & Execution Wait for confirmation at 5,772 before entering. If price holds, execute a buy order at 5,733. Set SL at 5,525 to limit downside risk. Take profit at 6,154, adjusting the stop-loss accordingly if price gains momentum. This trade setup follows the bullish market structure, providing an opportunity to capitalize on SPX500’s continued upside potential. However, monitor economic data and global market sentiment for any shifts in trend. 📌 Risk Disclaimer: Always implement proper risk management and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
FX:SPX500Long
by Jazzy_Qmolautsi