SPX Well, things are looking pretty grim. Bloody — because we’re seeing one of the biggest weekly declines since the COVID crash in 2020. And dark — because the big question now is when to buy, if at all. This is supposed to be one of the “safe” investments, right? Even the S&P 500 is often used as a benchmark, with its performance metrics — like the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin ratios — serving as reference points to measure how well an investment performs relative to the risk it carries.
That said, looking purely at the technicals, I see three key zones:
4818 – a level that, if reclaimed, would confirm a new active bullish range.
4200 and 3400 – both appear to be solid discount-buying zones.
The rising channel’s upper boundary has already formed, and now it seems like the lower boundary is in the making. But for now — and by “now” I mean the coming weeks — things remain uncertain. The drop has been massive, and it's probably not the time to act just yet.
SPYSPX I currently have 80 open calls, I think I am gonna close maybe 20 to collect a bit of profit and keep the rest open over the weekend ! Looking back at historical data as well each time VIX has been 45+, take Feb 28 2020, 5 Aug 2024 even dating back to Sep 29 2008 - 3 days later an average max loss as per statistics has been 0.63% and max gain 3.90%. Pretty good ratio imo and we are massively oversold on multiple time frames. Still more downside I believe but a dead cat bounce is due and I’m all in for it ! Have a great weekend gentlemen. Hope everyone makes money !
Remember three things: 1. EU is yet to respond 2. Expect US government retaliation in response to retaliation 3. Interest rates will start rising up in response to inflation.