S&P 500 Index forum



📊 Key highlights:
Critical support: 4,495
Current resistance: 5,528 (61.8% Fib level)
Weekly RSI recovering, moving out of the oversold zone.

Week of April 28 – May 2
📈 Monday, April 28 – 57.1% chance of climbing → Leaning bullish.
📈 Tuesday, April 29 – 71.4% chance of climbing → Strong probability. Could see a dip Monday followed by a sharp move up Tuesday, which has been the recent pattern.
📉 Wednesday, April 30 – 33.3% chance of climbing → Very low probability, setting up for a likely dump—even though Wednesdays are typically bullish days.
📈 Thursday, May 1 – 61.9% chance of climbing → Start of a new month with bullish seasonal bias.
⚖️ Friday, May 2 – 52.4% chance of climbing → Coin toss.
Key Reminders:
If the market doesn’t rally as expected during bullish seasonal periods, it’s a warning that underlying forces are stronger. Once the seasonal window closes, those forces will likely show their true impact.
If everyone is sitting and waiting for a pullback to buy, either the market won’t give them a pullback—or if it does, it might not be the smart move to jump in.
Stay sharp!
Hey guys. I'm gonna bring my logic to you so you can see this point of view.
Do you see the HUGE candle we saw on Wednesday 4/9/25? Well, that makes me believe people is waiting desperately to buy. Why? Because this bearish trend is man made. Despite the fact that tariffs context has not finished, we can see bullish indicators that can show us people is getting bored of tariffs. Nvidia and Tesla's inverse head and shoulders are an indicator of a trend reversal. Indexes have broken downtrends.
Also think as If you were a huge investment fund manager. What would you do? Would you invest in all time highs or would you invest a ton of money in every drop of the market? We've seen big corrections. It is clear that we'll see more drops in the near term but I believe market will recover very fast in the short term. This are clear signs we will see a strong FOMO trend short term. Nevertheless, it is crucial that you manage your risk, be careful and stay informed. Context can change everything.
TSLA
NDX
SPX
AAPL
NVDA
Do you see the HUGE candle we saw on Wednesday 4/9/25? Well, that makes me believe people is waiting desperately to buy. Why? Because this bearish trend is man made. Despite the fact that tariffs context has not finished, we can see bullish indicators that can show us people is getting bored of tariffs. Nvidia and Tesla's inverse head and shoulders are an indicator of a trend reversal. Indexes have broken downtrends.
Also think as If you were a huge investment fund manager. What would you do? Would you invest in all time highs or would you invest a ton of money in every drop of the market? We've seen big corrections. It is clear that we'll see more drops in the near term but I believe market will recover very fast in the short term. This are clear signs we will see a strong FOMO trend short term. Nevertheless, it is crucial that you manage your risk, be careful and stay informed. Context can change everything.
In the next month, we'll be $200 higher, and after that, we'll hit $6,000.