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SPX500USD trade ideas

Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway. I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain: Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted) Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist) I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SP:SPXShort
by merchtank19
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day. In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high. If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase. For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling). Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5777 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920 Support Level 1: 5604 Support Level 2: 5539 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Considering Long Positions for S&P 500 Amid Market Uncertainty - Key Insights: Though the S&P 500 is in a corrective phase, signs of potential bullish reversals present opportunities for long positions. Monitor economic reports and geopolitical events closely, as these are likely to influence market movements. - Price Targets: Next week, we suggest the following targets: - T1: 5700 - T2: 5750 - Stop Levels: - S1: 5600 - S2: 5582 - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 concluded the week marginally above its starting point, revealing market volatility and potential for both upward and downward adjustments. Indicators show both consolidation and opportunities for a rebound. - Expert Analysis: Despite feeling overvalued, analysts are observing mixed signals with both bearish and bullish possibilities. There's a heightened focus on inflation indicators and central bank policies, crucial for future market direction, alongside a performance gap favoring value stocks. - News Impact: Recent tech sector sell-offs, especially in semiconductors and Tesla, suggest challenges face growth sectors. Geopolitical factors, including recently announced tariffs by President Trump, could further heighten volatility. Upcoming consumer confidence and GDP revisions are key reports to watch, possibly influencing next week's market tone.
CBOE:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
$US500 Intraday PaydayI don't do Intraday chart posts for various reasons however this chart is the most important watch of the year. Right now we are testing a very important triple top where heavy resistance is being printed in the pre-market. Several times bull have tried to break through with large one minute candles and being stiffly rejected. This is of extreme importance because the current formation on all indexes in a bear flag looking for continuation to the 5400 level. If rejection sets in, short to the 5400 and then go neutral for a week and re-asses.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Midgar-
BUY SPX500SPX500 Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup Market Overview The SPX500 has shown strong bullish momentum, and a continuation of this trend is likely if price holds above the 5,772-support area. A confirmed breakout from this level could provide an ideal buying opportunity. Trade Setup Entry: Buy at 5,733 (waiting for confirmation at key support) Stop Loss (SL): 5,525 (below strong support zone) Take Profit (TP): 6,154 (next key resistance level) Analysis & Rationale ✅ Bullish Trend Continuation – Price action suggests strong momentum, favoring further upside. ✅ Key Support at 5,772 – A breakout above this level will confirm bullish strength. ✅ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio – Well-defined SL and TP provide a balanced strategy. Trading Plan & Execution Wait for confirmation at 5,772 before entering. If price holds, execute a buy order at 5,733. Set SL at 5,525 to limit downside risk. Take profit at 6,154, adjusting the stop-loss accordingly if price gains momentum. This trade setup follows the bullish market structure, providing an opportunity to capitalize on SPX500’s continued upside potential. However, monitor economic data and global market sentiment for any shifts in trend. 📌 Risk Disclaimer: Always implement proper risk management and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
FX:SPX500Long
by Jazzy_Qmolautsi
US500 - Bullish Reversal Setup Overview: The US500 (S&P 500) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a significant pullback. We have reached a key support level where buyers are stepping in, suggesting a possible move higher. Technical Analysis: Support Zone: Price has tested a strong demand zone and is rejecting lower levels. Bullish Structure: A higher low formation is developing, which is a sign of trend reversal. Moving Average Confluence: Price is looking to reclaim the 50-day moving average, adding further confirmation for a bullish push. Risk-Reward Setup: A favorable risk-to-reward ratio is in play with a stop below the recent lows and a target back towards recent resistance levels. Trade Plan: 🔹 Entry: On confirmation of bullish momentum near the current zone. 🔹 Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low. 🔹 Take Profit: Targeting the previous high near resistance. 💬 Let me know your thoughts! Will US500 bounce from here? 🚀 #RSTRADING #SPX500 #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by RSTrad1ng
SPX Forecast - Further Consolidation with Slightly Bullish TrendVix fell slightly as SPX closed the week relatively flat. FMOC made it clear the Fed expects economic harm from current plans despite unwillingness to update guidance on rate cuts. Forthcoming April 2nd tariff war milestone will likely cause the market to simmer further in anticipation of the execution. Major tech earnings have concluded and the market enjoyed it's first week of relative stability since the historic 14 consecutive days of sell-off. All these indicate there may be little buyer interest at new levels prior to resolving looming uncertainty and could lead to further consolidation within prior ranges while maintaining the slightly bullish local structure. Break below 5,615 would invalidate the structure and confirm continuation to the downside.
SP:SPXLong
by franklyfresh
S&P short recovery before 52-5400 S&P short recovery before 52-5400 , If the trend from 2015-2016 repeats, we are due for a short recovery towards 5900 or 10MA and then follow for a larger correction by summer. If things look good at Macro level that would be great opportunity to resume bull cycle otherwise short recovery towards 5400 and following for a 2021 ATH 4800 area to complete bear market and settle down in 2026 to see new ATH inly in 2027. In that case 2025 Christmas would be good opportunity to buy. This is not a an advice including myself
SP:SPX
by PJCharts4FUN
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 17.3-21.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 10th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13, now in the second phase. The bear is completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels are outlined here. The expected range for the base cycle low is mid-May to mid-June. At this point, I anticipate a reversal between the extreme forecasts of June 16 and June 23, marking the start of a new 4-year cycle. The beginning of any cycle, even a bearish one, is always bullish, and the start of a 4-year cycle can be very strong. 👉 Meanwhile, retrograde Venus and Mercury are predictably working against each other. As I mentioned in early March and in previous posts, retrograde Venus played out with a one-week lag upward. Retrograde Mercury on March 17 did not support the phase start as I expected last week; instead, it delayed the bullish move but lacked the energy to reverse it. Venus remains the stronger influence. The situation resembles the beginning of the second phase of the base cycle. Note the weak start of this phase. ⚠️ Technically, we are in a bearish base cycle. Therefore, the second phase is also expected to be bearish, with a short rally followed by a steep drop below the opening. A strong resistance level is at the familiar 5850 mark. The next extreme forecast is March 24 – the midpoint of retrograde Mercury. There is also a pivot forecast on March 27, but that is more relevant to crude.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SPX at a Critical JunctureThe SPX is approaching a make-or-break moment. Over the next two weeks, we should gain clarity on whether the broader market is gearing up for new all-time highs, or if it's time to consider the possibility of a top forming — potentially signaling the onset of a more serious downside move (i.e., a bear market). Key resistance levels are in focus. Any strong rejection from these areas will be interpreted as a sign of weakness and could serve as an early signal for a lower low in the making. The red line on the chart represents a critical threshold — price should not close below it on a daily basis (and ideally, not on a weekly basis either). Also worth noting: the 5400 level holds significant liquidity, making it a key area to watch. For now, the approach is to remain cautiously long, as long as these levels continue to hold.
SP:SPXLong
by CampmanTrades
US100 – Elliott Wave Count & Expanding Flat ScenarioThis chart reflects my interpretation of the Elliott Wave principle, focusing on the rule of alternation. I've mapped a running flat in wave (II) and an expanding flat in wave (IV), which feels valid in this structure. Currently, I'm tracking the final stages of wave 5 in the weekly count – potentially setting up for a daily leg higher into wave (V). Key levels to watch: Weekly vector body: 5,928 Daily vector body: 6,110 Final target zone: around 6,200+ Human behavior doesn’t change — the cycle will always repeat. The carry trade could unwind at point X or at the end of daily wave 5. Let’s see how it plays out. This is not financial advice – purely my perspective for learning and discussion.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by The_Market_Architect
Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) seasonal strategists and swing tradersThrift Savings Plan (TSP) swing traders and seasonal swingers update AMEX:RSP SP:SPX AMEX:SPY AMEX:VOO : it is very tempting to call this the local bottom, but I caution against making that assumption just yet. We aren't trying to catch falling knives. Instead, we're riding the momentum. Let's look at previous examples, in which the assumption was that we bottomed, highlighted in boxes. What would I like to see before jumping back into C-Fund? S&P 500 stocks above the 200-day moving average, staying above 50%. Next, I'd look for the equal weighted S&P 500 ETF AMEX:RSP to make a higher low, which should also show up on the weighted S&P 500.
TVC:SPX
by Davy_Dave_Charts
S&P500 The Week Ahead 24th March '25S&P500 bearish & oversold, the key trading level is at 5766 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
SPX500 2nd Leg Down? 21 Mar 2025 Yesterday's candlestick closed as a bull bar in its lower half with a long tail above. In yesterday's report, we said traders would see if the bulls could create a strong retest of yesterday's (Mar 19) high followed by a breakout above. Or if the retest would lack follow-through buying, stalling around or slightly above yesterday's high area. The market formed a retest of the March 19 high, but stalled and formed a lower high. We said the move while strong, likely was simply a bull leg and a buy vacuum test of the trading range high. If true, sellers would emerge near the trading range high, which was the case. (Please refer to the tagged post) The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. The pullback is currently underway but has a lot of overlapping candlesticks. The bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be. They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of testing the 20-day EMA or the January 13 low. For today, the market may open lower today. If the market continues down, they hope the March 18 low will act as support, forming a small double bottom bull flag. The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increase the odds that the first pullback (current pullback) would be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They hope the leg to retest the March 13 low will begin soon. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase. So far, the pullback has a lot of overlapping candlesticks which indicates that the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be. For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong bear bar today. Or will the market open lower but lack follow-through selling, like yesterday? I will update again later today.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
Bollinger Bands Pinch, Market Yawns… I Stay Ready Bollinger Bands Pinch, Market Yawns… I Stay Ready | SPX Analysis 21 Mar 2025 It’s Friday, the market’s half-asleep, and I’ve redrawn my trendlines more times than I’ve refreshed my tea. The weekly chart (top left, if you're playing along at home) is shaping up to close with a tight little range bar, which basically tells us what we already knew: we're in a classic sideways smush. (technical term) And yes—I've once again spent time repositioning the bull/bear boundary levels, only to find that my actual triggers haven't changed a bit. The Bollinger Band pinch just confirms the stallout. Nothing new. Nothing sexy. Just… waiting. And honestly? I’m fine with that. Because Monday’s “don’t rush it” dodge saved me from getting trapped on the wrong side of a lazy bounce. Still bearish. Still patient. Still on standby fora push towards 5600, where I’ll happily ring the register on a few bear swings. --- There’s a special kind of frustration in watching a chart do absolutely nothing while you do absolutely everything to analyse it. That’s where we are. SPX continues to compress, now sporting a tight little Bollinger pinch that confirms (again) that the market’s in full nap mode. 🟠 Weekly chart: Range bar. Narrow. Uneventful. 🟠 Boundary redrawing: Done. Re-done. And redone again. 🟠 Bull/Bear triggers: Still the same, above 5705 for bulls, below 5605 for bears. I’ve adjusted my short-term channel view, tried to refine the angles, squinted at a few Fibonacci levels, and... nothing's really changed. . What’s interesting, though, is that while all this noise is happening, the real setups are marinating. My bear swings are aging like fine wine, just waiting for a push toward 5600 so I can cash out a few tranches that’ve been overstaying their welcome. And let’s not forget: 💥 The bull trigger still hasn’t fired. 💥 Monday’s Paddy's Day Party and bull entry swerve? Best decision of the week. 💥 No new entries unless levels break. No exceptions. I’m not expecting a massive move today, though saying that probably jinxed it. If we get some surprise action late in the day, great. If not, I’ll be clicking into the weekend with my blood pressure blissfully normal and my trades still on track. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? Jesse Livermore, one of history’s greatest traders, once said: "The real money is made in the waiting." 💡 The Lesson? The best trades don’t happen when you force them—they happen when you let them come to you.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton