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SPX500USD trade ideas

S&P 500 Technical Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Building?Looking at this SPX Daily Chart, we’re seeing some clear signs of weakness in the market. 🔹 Breakdown from the Rising Channel – After months of uptrend, SPX has broken below its previous rising channel, signaling potential downside ahead. 🔹 Failed Recovery Attempt – The recent bounce formed a bear flag (highlighted in brown), but today’s sharp drop indicates that the relief rally has been rejected. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels in Play – The 0.382 Fib retracement was acting as support, but price has now slipped below it. Next key level: The 0.5 Fib (around 5,550) and the 0.618 Fib (near 5,438) could act as crucial support zones. A deeper retracement to 4,982 (0.786 Fib) isn't out of the question if selling pressure accelerates. 🔹 Moving Averages & Volume – The price is now under the 200-day moving average (blue line), which is typically a bearish signal if confirmed. Volume has been increasing on red days, hinting at stronger selling conviction. 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones – Resistance: ~5,822 (recent bounce level) and ~6,097 (previous high) Support: ~5,402 and ~4,982 if selling intensifies. 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical structure is turning bearish, and if the S&P 500 doesn’t reclaim key levels soon, further downside could be on the horizon. Bulls need to step in fast to avoid a deeper correction.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
My last warning To Donald Trump and Americansif you Attack Iran's infrastructure, America enters a shitty situation that will last for not years but for decades. you can fix the problem by supporting the Iran's King Reza Pahlavi and the people and the mullahs will be overthrown easily but you are Unknowingly doing it in a very wrong way, if you do it Stockholm syndrome will happen. ---- Price has ping on the channel edges. I hope it becomes just a simple correction but Americans ego is is in line with technicals.
SP:SPX
by trollist
US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025) Price Action Summary: Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction. Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists. 4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding. 1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher. Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup) Short Setup: Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance Stop Loss: 5,770 Take Profit: TP1: 5,620 TP2: 5,550 Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750. Swing Trading Setup Short Setup: Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation Stop Loss: 5,650 Take Profit: TP1: 5,300 TP2: 5,100
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Andrei_C
3/27/2025 SPY outlook_bearishHello traders, Hope you’re doing well in this choppy market. I initially expected a squeeze after rebounding from the 5500 area, but that didn’t happen. Instead, the 200 SMA acted as resistance, forming a bear flag over the last few trading days. I expect a break below the bear flag support line, leading to a move toward the 5100 area. I’m not trading SPY directly, but since most stocks follow SPY these days, I wanted to share my outlook. Buying UVXY could be a good option. May the trend be with you. AP
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by aparkon
Bull vs Bear: The 5700 FlipzoneBull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025 Some days, the best trade is no trade at all. It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go running. We’re smack-dab in the middle of the “flip zone” - right around 5700. The market’s pacing like a nervous cat, pretending to pick a direction, but mostly just knocking things off the shelf to keep us on our toes. And honestly? I’m good with it. Because when the market hesitates like this, it’s usually winding up for something worth waiting for. Stick with me and I’ll show you how to turn “nothing happening” into “something smart”. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Today felt a bit like turning up to a party early and realising no one’s there yet. Just me… and the punch bowl. I’ve barely done a thing trade-wise. And I’m perfectly happy about it. Because when there’s no clear setup, the smartest thing you can do is absolutely nothing. Here’s why: The 5700 level continues to act like the social bouncer of this range - nobody gets through without a convincing ID. It’s the pivot point where bulls and bears are circling, eyeing each other like it’s a West Side Story dance-off. Bear pulse bars? None yet. So while price has dribbled downward in that slow, lazy style, we’ve had no real confirmation of fresh bearish momentum. Bull pulse bars? Not exactly punching through the ceiling either. For that, we need to see solid moves above 5720 and, ideally, a breakout-pullback pattern to load up a fresh bull swing. What’s more interesting is the GEX (Gamma Exposure). This week’s setup highlights 5700 as the flip point, reinforcing what we’ve already seen in price behaviour. When the options market lines up with technicals, I start paying even more attention. The ES futures chart (with overnight data) shows the same range boundaries a little more clearly. It’s painting a picture of compression. And as you know from experience, compression always precedes expansion. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: patience pays. We're in the eye of the storm - the kind where people get twitchy, traders get emotional, and portfolios get wrecked... unless you're working the system. So here's the play: No new bear trades until pulse bars form below 5700. Bull trades only trigger on solid breaks above 5720. Until then? Watch. Wait. Brew tea. Because I’d rather miss the first 10 points of the move than get slapped for trying to be clever. --- Fun Fact There’s a stock ticker called YUM. Yes, really. YUM Brands – owner of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut – trades under the very appropriate ticker: YUM. Now that’s branding you can taste. YUM Brands spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 and has since become a global fast food empire. With over 50,000 restaurants in more than 150 countries, it’s been gobbling up global market share like it’s a late-night snack. The ticker symbol “YUM” is one of Wall Street’s more deliciously accurate tickers – and proves that branding doesn’t stop at the menu. Fun fact: KFC was once known as “Kentucky Fried Chicken” until the name got a trim for health-conscious times. Go figure.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction. Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted. Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
TVC:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction. No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall. And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing. And today is one of those days. 📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band ⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused 🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal We’re in “hover mode”. Which, translated to trader speak, means: "Don’t be clever. Just wait." 🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700  🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive. If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation. If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button. Why? Because I know this pattern. The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later. Either way, I’m not front-running it. And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎 --- Fun Fact 📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1. 💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history. Moral of the story? In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA? The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
SPX 5800 Strong resistance200 days HILO EMA central line has always given a strong support resistance in the past and I would expect that to be so this time as well. Since the market structure broke when prices crossed the lower outer ema band, even if the price goes above the middle line I would not consider it to be bullish.Only when the prices hit the upper or lower band a new trend can be confirmed. For now I am just going to be short term trader and a cautious long term investor accumulator of fundamentally good stocks. Not Tesla :) Notice how the inner lines align with the the other lines before the breakdown! A kind of step formation, indicating the period selection of 200 ema is sound
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz
Retest SPX 200 SMA Patience The S&P 500 (SPX) is at a pivotal moment this week as it tests its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that often dictates market sentiment. With volatility creeping higher and investors weighing economic data, interest rate expectations, and earnings forecasts, the index's ability to hold this level could determine the next directional move. I am staying patient, watching and waiting. A successful defense of the 200-SMA could signal a bottoming process, inviting dip buyers back into the market and potentially setting up a rebound toward key resistance zones. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a wave of technical selling, accelerating downside momentum as traders reassess risk exposure. For now, I remain on the sidelines. I go long when Kenjen is above price, ensuring I trade with momentum and confirmation rather than speculation. All eyes are on how price action develops around this crucial support.
SP:SPX
by invinoveritas7671
S&P INTRADAY ahead of US Consumer Confidence data The Consumer Confidence Index, set to be released today at 14:00 GMT by the Conference Board, measures consumer sentiment on spending, jobs, inflation, and the economy. Since consumer spending drives the U.S. economy, a strong reading can signal bullish momentum for equities, while a weak reading may indicate bearish sentiment. Traders watch this data closely for insights into market direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5780 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5920 Support Level 1: 5660 Support Level 2: 5604 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation