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SPX500USD trade ideas

What Do the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s Charts Say?Let's take a look at charts for the S&P 500 SP:SPX S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC to see where the market might be heading. The S&P 500’s Technical Picture Take a look at the S&P 500’s chart going back to early January: Check out the market action from last Friday (March 14) -- a day when New York Stock Exchange winners beat losers by roughly 16 to 3. Advancing volume took a commanding 90.1% share of composite NYSE-listed trade, and an almost as impressive 80.8% share of composite Nasdaq-listed activity. However, aggregate trade nonetheless dropped 3.1% on a day-over-day basis across NYSE-domiciled names and 0.8% for Nasdaq-listed ones. In other words, there was less conviction in last Friday's rally than was visible in any of the recent down days that led to that session. As a matter of fact, that Friday was the quietest trading day for S&P 500 stocks since Feb. 20 -- more than three weeks earlier. Hence, we could probably not call Friday’s rally a change in trend. Then came the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary-policy statement and press conference this past Wednesday (March 19). The Fed left rates unchanged, but its “dot plot” reiterated that the central bank still expects to cut rates by 50 basis points this year – news that helped send the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up more than 1% each. Would technical analysis have told us to expect this? Well, readers will note that the chart above shows a so-called “double top” pattern of bearish reversal from early January through late February (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” in the red boxes above. Next, the S&P saw what we call "Day One" of the bearish change in trend on Feb. 21, marked with an orange box in the chart above. A “Day One” isn’t necessarily the first day of a trend change. Instead, it’s merely the first day of a trend change that occurs broadly and on sharply increased trading volume. The S&P 500’s “Day One” above was followed by a so-called "Confirmation Day" on Feb. 27. A “Confirmation Day” is a session that confirms a trend change. It can come anywhere from two days to several days after the Day One. However, a Confirmation Day must represent a broad move and come on increased trading volume -- and there’s also a catch. There must be a pause in between the Day One and the Confirmation Day. This suggests that portfolio managers took some time, thought about what they were doing and then continued to either increase or decrease exposure depending on the Confirmation Day’s pattern (up or down). Without this pause, what we would have is one long move that doesn’t confirm anything technically. In the above chart, all of what we saw was a spot-on sign of a double-top pattern. But next came a so-called "Outside Day" on March 3 -- a one-day pattern that hinted at increased volatility to come. An Outside Day occurs when the trading range of a given day completely envelopes the day prior and the open and close of said day also encompass the open and close of the day prior. This one-day pattern often signals a coming period of increased volatility. Next, the S&P 500 saw a so-called "faux Day One” last Friday, March 14. That could have kicked off a bullish change in trend, but the S&P 500 rose on light trading volume. Additionally, the SPX never made a serious run at retaking its 200-day Simple Moving Average (or “SMA,” marked with a red upwardly sloping line above). Technical analysis won’t tell us much about the S&P 500 (or the Nasdaq Composite, for that matter) as long as those indexes trade below their 200-day SMAs. That often keeps portfolio managers on the sidelines. In fact, much of the swing crowd tones down their activity as well as long as the major indices don’t even make a run at their respective 21-day Exponential Moving Averages (or “EMAs,” denoted by the green line above). Also note that even on the down day of March 18, the S&P 500’s trading volume (marked with gray bars in the chart above) continued to tail off a bit, indicating increasing uncertainty. That said, readers will see a slight uptick in trading volume for this past Wednesday (Fed Day). The S&P 500 was up nicely that day, and got off to a good start on Thursday (March 20) as well. Alone, that’s not enough to christen a new "Day One" of a bullish trend reversal, partly because the Nasdaq Composite was not as active (as readers will see below). Typically, Wall Street would like to see both major indexes up on sharply increased trading volume to declare a “Day One” bullish reversal. The SPX and Nasdaq have come very close to allowing us to do that, but don’t appear to be there yet. Technical Analysis for the Nasdaq Composite Index Next, let’s look at the Nasdaq Composite’s chart going back to early December: The Nasdaq appears more challenged than the S&P 500 at this time, but both are close to giving us the first step of what the bulls need to see. As with the SPX, the Nasdaq Composite saw a “double-top” bearish pattern in December and January (marked “Top 1” and “Top 2” above). The index then saw a “Day One” and a “Confirmation Day” in late February, followed by an “Outside Day” on March 3. It then saw an “Up Day” on March 19, although on lower trading volume. And as with the S&P 500, the Nasdaq Composite has yet to retake its 200-day SMA (the upwardly sloping red line in the chart above). The Bottom Line Add it all up and the major US equity indices look like they remain in a downtrend. We still need to see a "Day One” move to the upside, then a pause and then a "Confirmation Day." That could take up to a week, but to rush into things without confirmation is closer to gambling than it is to trading. Again, the 200-day SMA is perhaps the most important item to watch on these charts. That's where large flows of capital will come from … if portfolio managers decide to increase their overall long-side exposure. (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle had no position in the securities mentioned at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. 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SP:SPX
by moomoo
1
S&P500 INTRADAY Bearish oversold bounce back Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5714 Resistance Level 2: 5770 Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920 Support Level 1: 5500 Support Level 2: 5387 Support Level 3: 5254 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
The Election Was Support. Has it Become Resistance?Last year’s presidential election was a catalyst for stocks. Today’s idea considers its potentially shifting impact on sentiment. The first pattern on today’s S&P 500 chart is the range between 5597 and 5783. Those prices are the low of November 4 and the high of November 5, the Monday and Tuesday of election week. On January 13, SPX pulled back to find support at the top of the range. That bounce seemed to reflect ongoing optimism about the coming administration. (Inauguration was exactly a week later.) The index remained above that zone through early March before sliding below it. Prices have now rebounded but appear to be stalling at the bottom of the price range. Does that show a newer anxiety about policy? Next, Wilder’s relative strength index (RSI) made lower highs from early December -- despite SPX making incrementally higher highs. That kind of bearish divergence may be consistent with a longer-term trend fading. Third, SPX is under its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Staying here may confirm a break of its longer-term uptrend. Finally, the 50-day SMA recently crossed below 100-day SMA. Both are falling. That may also suggest prices have stopped rising. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
SPX500 2nd Leg Down? 21 Mar 2025 Yesterday's candlestick closed as a bull bar in its lower half with a long tail above. In yesterday's report, we said traders would see if the bulls could create a strong retest of yesterday's (Mar 19) high followed by a breakout above. Or if the retest would lack follow-through buying, stalling around or slightly above yesterday's high area. The market formed a retest of the March 19 high, but stalled and formed a lower high. We said the move while strong, likely was simply a bull leg and a buy vacuum test of the trading range high. If true, sellers would emerge near the trading range high, which was the case. (Please refer to the tagged post) The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. The pullback is currently underway but has a lot of overlapping candlesticks. The bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be. They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of testing the 20-day EMA or the January 13 low. For today, the market may open lower today. If the market continues down, they hope the March 18 low will act as support, forming a small double bottom bull flag. The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increase the odds that the first pullback (current pullback) would be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They hope the leg to retest the March 13 low will begin soon. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase. So far, the pullback has a lot of overlapping candlesticks which indicates that the bulls are not yet as strong as they hope to be. For now, traders will see if the bears can create a strong bear bar today. Or will the market open lower but lack follow-through selling, like yesterday? I will update again later today.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
"US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (5600) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5850 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
Bollinger Bands Pinch, Market Yawns… I Stay Ready Bollinger Bands Pinch, Market Yawns… I Stay Ready | SPX Analysis 21 Mar 2025 It’s Friday, the market’s half-asleep, and I’ve redrawn my trendlines more times than I’ve refreshed my tea. The weekly chart (top left, if you're playing along at home) is shaping up to close with a tight little range bar, which basically tells us what we already knew: we're in a classic sideways smush. (technical term) And yes—I've once again spent time repositioning the bull/bear boundary levels, only to find that my actual triggers haven't changed a bit. The Bollinger Band pinch just confirms the stallout. Nothing new. Nothing sexy. Just… waiting. And honestly? I’m fine with that. Because Monday’s “don’t rush it” dodge saved me from getting trapped on the wrong side of a lazy bounce. Still bearish. Still patient. Still on standby fora push towards 5600, where I’ll happily ring the register on a few bear swings. --- There’s a special kind of frustration in watching a chart do absolutely nothing while you do absolutely everything to analyse it. That’s where we are. SPX continues to compress, now sporting a tight little Bollinger pinch that confirms (again) that the market’s in full nap mode. 🟠 Weekly chart: Range bar. Narrow. Uneventful. 🟠 Boundary redrawing: Done. Re-done. And redone again. 🟠 Bull/Bear triggers: Still the same, above 5705 for bulls, below 5605 for bears. I’ve adjusted my short-term channel view, tried to refine the angles, squinted at a few Fibonacci levels, and... nothing's really changed. . What’s interesting, though, is that while all this noise is happening, the real setups are marinating. My bear swings are aging like fine wine, just waiting for a push toward 5600 so I can cash out a few tranches that’ve been overstaying their welcome. And let’s not forget: 💥 The bull trigger still hasn’t fired. 💥 Monday’s Paddy's Day Party and bull entry swerve? Best decision of the week. 💥 No new entries unless levels break. No exceptions. I’m not expecting a massive move today, though saying that probably jinxed it. If we get some surprise action late in the day, great. If not, I’ll be clicking into the weekend with my blood pressure blissfully normal and my trades still on track. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? Jesse Livermore, one of history’s greatest traders, once said: "The real money is made in the waiting." 💡 The Lesson? The best trades don’t happen when you force them—they happen when you let them come to you.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
I wouldn't be surprised for a capitulatory type of drop tomorrowAs we can see the trend line have held the US500/SPX/SPY price for so many times, we still couldn't break above it. In other word, it's acting as current overhead resistance ever since we broke down from this white line. We tried three times so far this week, 17th, 19th and the 20th, still couldn't manage to break above it. So if anything happens tomorrow, it would be a big red candle to tomorrow with gigantic volume since it is going to be the "Quad Witching" Day. When will the "True Bounce" be happening? I would say, the bounce back window should starts as early as next week if we see capitulation tomorrow.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by MulaTrader2025
MARKET ALERT: Sound the AlarmOver the past few years as price has reached major potential turning points in the market I have sounded the alarm that LONG SIDE RISK has risen and to be on HIGH ALERT for a potential downturn. Of course as we have seen this Bull Market has had significant legs and has continued to grind higher. What now? I told you in September that it did not matter who was elected that the Market would turn weak...and it did We have been going essentially sideways since November I also said that around Jan 15th the market would turn lower...and it has I also said that lower move would take us down to the 5600-5700 region..and it did Now I am telling you that we are setting up for what appears to be ONE FINAL PUSH HIGHER Where does that move take us? Somewhere near 6500 What happens after that? You can expect a SWIFT CRASH LIKE move back to almost exactly where we are now but probably around 5400 And its at THAT point that ALL CARDS WILL BE ON THE TABLE You should expect a retracement back up from that 5400 region If that retracement is CLEARLY CORRECTIVE in nature then you can expect a move down to 5000 and if the market cant hold that region then its: GAME OVER Can I be wrong? Absolutely...and for the sake of the people I love, this country that I call home and my brotherhood of fellow humans around the world I HONESTLY HOPE I AM Because if I'm not wrong then whats coming over the next decade will be potentially MUCH WORSE THAN A RECESSION PREPARE YOURSELF
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
SPX Rising Wedge Spotted an aggressively sloped rising wedge on SPX near the bottom of the recent correction. Theoretically, the more positive slope of the lower support compared to the upper resistance indicates buy-side pressure exhausting at a faster pace than sell-side pressure. Once bulls are exhausted, bears can reclaim control of the trend confirming the continuation. Need a close below the orange wedge for confirmation of breakdown. Significant support at 5,631-5,652 so it is possible for this to catch a bounce before completing the measured move. However, if we break below 5,631 we will likely test the lower support of the blue parallel channel. Break below that structure takes us back to 5,505.
SP:SPXShort
by franklyfresh
US500 Is Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,657.57. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,809.58. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Long
by SignalProvider
1
5700 Holds the Key - But I’m Not Chasing5700 Holds the Key - But I’m Not Chasing | SPX Analysis 20 Mar 2025 There was a time—many, many moons ago—when I’d stare at the screen, heart pounding, watching every single tick, second-guessing myself, sweating over every micro-move. And you know what? It was exhausting. Now? I don’t play that game anymore. I check my charts twice a day—once in the morning, once near the close. That’s it. I don’t get caught in the noise, I don’t set alerts that jolt me into action every five minutes, and I sure as hell don’t stress over every single price fluctuation that nudges my trigger levels. Because I trade a system—not emotions. Right now, SPX is hovering near my key levels, and while others are biting their nails and jumping in too soon, I’m just… waiting. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: I used to think the best traders were the ones who never took their eyes off the screen. That was a lie. 📌 How I Trade Without Letting the Market Control Me I’m a full-time trader, but that doesn’t mean I sit at my desk all day, reacting to every tiny move. I check the charts in the morning to set my plan. I check back near the close to manage open positions. That’s it. No pointless alerts. No staring at every price tick. No overreacting when price comes close to my trigger levels. 📌 Why This Works – Stress-Free & More Profitable Not gluing myself to the screen means: I don’t jump in too soon out of FOMO. I don’t panic if price "almost" hits my level. I let trades play out without second-guessing every move. 📌 SPX Setup – The Same Plan, Still Waiting Despite all the noise, the plan hasn’t changed. 5705 is my bullish trigger. 5605 is my bearish trigger. 5700 is shaping up to be a key pivot level. The market is dancing around these numbers, but I’m not chasing. 📌 Why Patience Pays – Let the Market Do the Work I’m not paid to react—I’m paid to execute. If price confirms my setup, I’ll take action. If it doesn’t, I wait. Either way, I sleep just fine at night. 📌 Final Thought – Trading Is NOT a 9-5 Job The market doesn’t care how long you stare at your screen. Great trades don’t require babysitting. Stress-free trading is real—you just need discipline. The best setups work, with or without you watching. So today, I’ll do what I always do—stick to my plan, check in when I need to, and let the market come to me. Because the real secret to high profits and low blood pressure? Not overtrading. --- 📢 Did you know? In 1958, legendary trader Richard Donchian introduced the 4-week rule—if price breaks out after four weeks of sideways action, it often triggers a massive move. 💡 The Lesson? Great setups don’t happen every day—but when they do, you better be ready.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
S&P 500 Market Update – 20 March 2025Following a notable sell-off in US indices, the S&P 500 recently tested levels around 5500, marking its lowest point since September 2024. Key Levels in Focus: * Recent market activity has seen 5650 as an important level for traders. * 5500 has previously been an area of increased investor interest. * The 5680 level has played a role in past price movements, with some market participants monitoring its potential significance. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:SPIUSD
by easyMarkets
SPX500 20 Mar 25 Market Analysis Previously, we said that traders would see if the bulls could create a strong retest of Mar 17 high followed by a breakout above, if the retest lacks follow-through buying, stalling around or below (Mar 17) high area? The market retested the Mar 17 high yesterday, closing above the middle of its range and closed as a bull bar with a long tail above. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. It is currently underway. They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs. Traders will see if they can continue to create follow-through buying. The next target for the bulls are the 20-day EMA or the January 13 low. For today, the bulls want a retest of yesterday's (Mar 19) high followed by another leg up. The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increases the odds that the first pullback (current pullback) would be minor and not lead to a reversal up. Because of the climactic selloff and parabolic wedge, the market may try to form a minor pullback. The pullback phase is currently underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increases. For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a strong retest of yesterday's (Mar 19) high followed by a breakout above. Or will the retest lacks follow-through buying, stalling around or slightly above yesterday's high area? I will update the post again later today.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
3