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SPX500USD trade ideas

S&P 500 Correction Channel Keeps Bulls in Control, for NowThe S&P 500 has formed an uptrend channel after breaking out of the "tariff panic" downtrend, which had dragged the index down more than 10%. But is this new short-term uptrend merely a correction, or has the real direction changed? That’s the key question, one that will likely be answered in early April when the new tariffs take effect. February consumer confidence data didn’t look promising, but much of the negativity had already been priced in during the earlier 10% sell-off. However, this week’s PCE report, combined with next week’s tariffs and jobs report, could become a catalyst for determining the short- to medium-term direction. The 200-hour SMA has now reached the upper line of the trend channel. Together, they may create a strong resistance level. To the downside, 5700 is a key horizontal support level. By the end of this week, it will converge with the lower boundary of the channel, right as both the GDP and PCE data are released. Including the time factor, this confluence could mark the main short-term support. As long as the trend channel holds, bulls remain in control.
SP:SPX
by ftdsystem
1
03/24 SPX Weekly GEX Outlook, Options FlowYou can see that every expiry has shifted into a stronger bullish stance heading into Friday, with GEX exposure moving upward across the board—though total net GEX is still in negative territory, while net DEX (delta exposure) is positive. This combination points toward a likely near-term rebound this week, which makes sense after testing the 5600 range last week…. Here’s a more detailed breakdown of the key zones and likely moves this week: Bullish Target: The current uptrend could reach 5750 on its first attempt (already reached in Monday, thx bullsh :) ). If a positive gamma squeeze emerges at that level, we might see an extension to 5800 or even 5850 as a final profit-taking zone for bulls this week. HVL (Gamma Slip Zone): Placed at 5680, this threshold currently supports a low-volatility environment. A drop below 5680, however, could reignite fear and fuel bearish momentum. Put Floors & Net OI: The largest net negative open interest (OI) cluster is at 5650, with the next key level near 5600. At 5600, net DEX reads fully positive, suggesting strong buying support if the market tests that lower boundary.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction. Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted. Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
TVC:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
S&P500 - Donald Trump Is Crashing Markets!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is starting a correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Since Donald Trump was elected the markets have been super volatile and clearly not too easy to trade. But now it seems like bears are slowly taking over the entire U.S. stock market after we just saw a drop of -10% within a couple of days and a correction becomes more and more likely. Levels to watch: $6.100, $4.800 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXShort
by basictradingtv
26
S&P500: Recovered the 1W MA50. Best buy opportunity of 2025.The S&P500 is marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.606, MACD = -47.070, ADX = 35.637) as it is in the process of recovery from the previous oversold condition. What the index did recover however, and which is a massive buy signal, is the 1W MA50. Technically this trendline held two weeks ago, despite marginally crossing under it, and provided the basis for a new long term bottom. Basically it is the exact same pattern as the October 23rd 2023 bottom, which was also a HL on the 3 year Channel Up, declined also by -11% and the 1W RSI was almost on the same level as today's low (the S1 level). Every bullish wave inside this 3 year pattern hit at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Given that this bottom was made on the 0.618 Channel Fib level, like both of the last two HL (Aug 5th 2024, April 15th 2024), we expect a test of the Channel's top by the end of the year. A TP = 6,700 would still be under the 2.0 Fib extension and that's out long term target. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
Buy SnP500Ready to Rally? I think so. My best trading strategy is to follow the big money—to follow the actions of the market conductor. Right now, I see buying activity in the market and believe this idea has strong potential. This is a med-term trade, so size your position wisely to avoid overloading your portfolio with a single trade. There are and will be plenty of great opportunities in the market. Give this position the time and space to realize its full potential. Exact targets are unknown. The best way to proceed here is by using a trailing stop-loss. The first Stop Loss is set at 5495. As the asset rises. move the stop loss higher.
SP:SPXLong
by kventinka
1
S&P 500 eases back from 200-dayThe S&P 500 has been on an impressive two-week rally but is now encountering a crucial resistance zone. The index is currently testing resistance near the 200-day moving average and a previous support level in the 5770-5800 range. This key area, highlighted in grey on the chart, could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues. Meanwhile, support is found around 5695-5670, marked in blue on the chart. This zone is significant as it previously served as the launch point for the post-election rally before it lost steam. Reclaiming this level is a bullish signal, but the S&P 500 needs to stay above it through to next week to maintain its upward trajectory. If support at 5695-5670 fails, the bulls could face serious headwinds. A breakdown at this level may trigger renewed selling pressure, similar to the declines seen in previous weeks. The situation could worsen if the index falls below 5600, which was Friday’s low, when a hammer candle was formed. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Trading a Pause in the Price Action Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move. While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions. What Is a Doji? A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close. The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period. Standard Doji Pattern Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms: • A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside. • A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable. This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge. A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout. Doji’s Range Becomes Significant Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Doji Breakout Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Use the Doji in Trading The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower. Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher. Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop. These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move. Trading the Doji Breakout If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following: • Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue. • Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal. • Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range. Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation. Summary: The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger. While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025 You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it? That’s me right now. Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction. No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall. And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing. And today is one of those days. 📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band ⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused 🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal We’re in “hover mode”. Which, translated to trader speak, means: "Don’t be clever. Just wait." 🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700  🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive. If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation. If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button. Why? Because I know this pattern. The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later. Either way, I’m not front-running it. And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎 --- Fun Fact 📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1. 💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history. Moral of the story? In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
Intraday Buy Opportunity: US500Intraday Idea - We look to Buy TRADENATION:US500 at 5735 Technical View Trades at the highest level in 12 days The rally has posted a correction count on the intraday chart An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning Bespoke support is located at 5735 Previous resistance, now becomes support at 5725 Stop: 5695 Target: 5867 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Signal_Centre1
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA? The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days. In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted. The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger. The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15). If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag. The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel). The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up. They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control. They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance. The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway. For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead? If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest. If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase. For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase. But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to resistance area of 5830.Colleagues, the previous forecast is not canceled, but I decided to update it a bit in the form of a new forecast. I have set the target a little closer, so that I don't have to wait too long. I believe that the price will continue its upward movement and will reach the area of 5830. It is quite possible that the price will correct to the area of 5597, completing the wave “2” of small order. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
18
Mastering Market Movements: Understanding Impulses and CorrectioHello, Navigating the stock market successfully isn’t just about luck—it requires a keen understanding of market trends and the ability to spot price patterns. One of the most useful concepts traders rely on is the interplay between impulses and corrections. Recognizing these alternating phases can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, allowing you to make more confident and informed trading decisions. In this article, we’ll break down what impulses and corrections are, how to identify them, and how you can use them to improve your trading strategy. Understanding Impulses and Corrections Stock prices move in cycles, alternating between strong trends (impulses) and temporary retracements (corrections). These movements are driven by market psychology, where shifts in supply and demand dictate price action. Impulses: The Driving Force of Trends Impulses are powerful, directional moves in the market that reflect strong momentum. These often occur when sentiment aligns with fundamental catalysts, such as positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. Impulses are the backbone of trends and can provide great opportunities for traders who know how to recognize them. To spot impulses, look for: Strong Price Movement: Impulses are characterized by significant and sustained price shifts, indicating a surge in buying or selling pressure. This is as shown in the Volume Expansion: When an impulse occurs, trading volume typically increases, confirming that more market participants are involved and supporting the price movement. Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels: Impulses often push through important technical levels, signaling strength and the continuation of a trend. Corrections: The Market Taking a Breather Corrections, also called retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals within an ongoing trend. They provide opportunities for the market to pause before resuming its dominant direction. To identify corrections, watch for: Counter-Trend Price Movement: Corrections move against the main trend but usually retrace only a portion (25% to 50%) of the previous impulse. Lower Volume: Unlike impulses, corrections occur on decreased trading volume, suggesting a temporary decline in market participation. Support and Resistance Levels: Corrections often find support or resistance at previously established price levels, which can serve as potential reversal zones. Applying Impulses and Corrections in Trading Understanding these market phases can significantly improve your trading approach. Here’s how: Identifying Trends: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, you can determine the overall market direction and align your trades accordingly. Finding Entry and Exit Points: Impulses signal strong trends, while corrections present opportunities to enter trades at better prices before the next move higher or lower. Managing Risk: Setting stop-loss levels strategically—such as below key support levels during corrections—can help minimize losses while allowing room for potential gains. Final Thoughts Recognizing and utilizing impulses and corrections can make a huge difference in your trading success. By learning to identify these patterns, you’ll gain deeper insights into market behavior, improve your timing, and enhance your ability to make smart, strategic moves. Take a look at the US500FU chart—it clearly illustrates impulses and corrections in action. Good luck, and happy trading! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500FUEducation
by thesharkke