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SPX500USD trade ideas

S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, the Index did steady to higher prices, distancing itself from the rendered obsolete Mean Resistance level of 5455 and targeting the next significant mark identified as Outer Index Rally 5550. This trend lays the groundwork for a continued upward movement; however, there is also a considerable risk of a sharp pullback to the Mean Support level of 5370 after reaching the Outer Index Rally at 5550. Contrariwise, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum continuation resulting in meeting the primary target Outer Index Rally 5550 by challenging the Mean Resistance of 5672 and extending toward additional levels: Mean Resistance 5778 and Outer Index Rally 5945.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
US500 TRADE IDEAhi again The US500 has shown strength by breaking the resistance at 5483.5 and is now at 5535. If the price reaches 5604.6 and a pullback occurs, targeting a temporary decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level is a good strategy. Fibonacci retracement is often used to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might pause or reverse. The 50% level is one of the commonly watched levels by traders as it often indicates a significant turning point in price movement. good luck all **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by mytw0cents
S&P 500 index Wave Analysis – 29 April 2025 - S&P 500 index broke key resistance level 5500.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 5700.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the key resistance level 5500.00 (former support from March, which also stopped A-wave of the active ABC correction B from the start of April). The breakout of the resistance level 5500.00 coincided with the breakout of the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 5700.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Economy - Moving ForwardWhat's expected of the economy? For 2025, the stock market started strong, the three major U.S. indexes soared to its all-time highs, putting confidence in retail investors. End of Q1, we've seen a shift in the market due to tariffs and the start of a trade war. Why are the tariffs bad for the U.S. economy? The biggest problem with tariffs is that it could drive higher prices in consumer goods through "taxes" in imported goods. It also causes disruption in supply chain, slower economic growth, retaliation from foreign countries, etc. The economic data also shows signs of a possible recession. Not everything is lost. Asian countries such as Japan, Korea, and Indian are taking in the lead in trade talks with Donald Trump. China has given exemptions to certain U.S. goods in order to ease the trade war, leading to a potential trade talks with the economy giants, the U.S. The 90 day reciprocal tariffs are also an opening for talks. Let's see how it goes.
TVC:SPX
by Lurn
Stromm | S&P 500 & NASDAQ a RESISTANCE is NearThe S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are basically moving in lockstep right now — their structures look almost identical. Starting with the S&P 500: We’re currently trading into a 4-hour Fair Value Gap between $5,546 and $5,634, Sitting just under a 4-hour Order Block that could trigger a short-term reaction. At the moment, though, it doesn’t really look like we’re going to flush all the way back down toward the $5,000 level (2-hour Order Block sitting much lower). More likely? This 4h Order Block just gives us a brief pullback, a minor reaction — and then price pushes higher again. This would line up perfectly with my original scenario of Wave A completing around $4,805. Personally, I’m already positioned around $4,800, so obviously, I'd love to see that level hold and price continue moving higher — ideally heading toward $6,000. That would be the perfect extension — but nothing is guaranteed yet. Still, structure right now leans bullish unless we see a sudden breakdown. Now, for the Nasdaq CME_MINI:NQ1! : Almost the same setup — We have a 2-hour Order Block just above the current price, acting as short-term resistance, And another 2-hour Order Block way lower, which now seems less likely to be tested unless something drastic happens. So for the Nasdaq, the most realistic short-term scenario: Hit resistance at the current 2h Order Block, Maybe a small pullback toward 18,900–19,000, Then continuation higher toward 20,000 or even 21,000 over the next few weeks.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
1
$SPX Urgent! My <3 & My Soul: Slow Bleed Crash to 3k by Q4 26' Do be warned. Very important post here. I put my heart and soul into this. I made a video earlier and then it got deleted by accident, so I made a less happy one right after. I've got news for all the bulls and investors out there that feel they will be able to continue buying every single dip out there. Get ready for the dip that keeps dipping. Big names already cracking heavy. NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:NVDA to name a few. Big tech is getting cleaned out and layoffs are on the rise. Tariffs create huge amounts of uncertainty. I don't feel like this is rocket science. Buffet is all cash. 89% of Hedge Fund managers believe the US market is the most expensive its ever been and Tutes have been selling at the highest rate ever before. I think it's time the US finally gets a shake down. Bullish conditioning has been running rampant, and I've seen Social Media Accounts discourage charting and only paying attention to price action? Price action involves the entire collective, not just one Timeframe. Anyways, here's an overlay from 01' ... the only one I could find that matches. Says short 560 around May 7th and then take profits around 500 again. Let's make this a nice one. Calls till 560 into May then flip to Puts into June. From then short 530 every time you can. $450 is My first target after we break previous lows. I will update as we go. Have a good one yall.
SP:SPXShort
by TazmanianTrader
SPX: Good push at EOD 4/30, but…Possible H&S? Hear me outGood push at end of day on 4/30 at close. Zooming out, it’s starting look like it’s forming a H&S. I’m starting to see a lot of people flipping bearish as well. But, also near close today, volume was not promising, declining at the close. I swung short-term puts on SPY, I like SPX puts for a day trade due to this formation but this H&S can possibly out within the end of week with more data and uncertainty or the following week. I’m short at the touch of the light red line: 5655.79 to the downside. Gaps below 5354.76, 5206.44 Would say by EOW to next week, if we pull back, may form/complete the right shoulder. Do your DD! Let me know your thoughts! #NFA
SP:SPXShort
by sweatytrigger
S&P500 Should the FED LEAVE POLITICS aside and finally cut??The S&P500 index (SPX, illustrated by the blue trend-line) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 3 months, basically the start of the year, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell insisted once again yesterday that the Fed is on a wait-and-see mode, without the urge to cut rates. But can it afford not to do so? A detailed look into the past 35 years of recorded Yield Curve (US10Y-US02Y) price action, shows that when it flattens and rebounds, the Fed steps in and cuts the interest rates (orange trend-line). It did so last year but paused/ stopped the process in an attempt to get Inflation (black trend-line) under control to the desired 2% target. As you see on that 1M chart though, this hasn't always been beneficial for stocks as especially for September 2007 and January 2001, it took place parallel to the Housing and Dotcom Crises. This however happened both times when Inflation and Rates were both high. The Inflation Rate now seems to be at a low level (and dropping) that has been consistent with market bottoms and not tops. As a result, it appears that it is more likely we are in a curve reversal that is consistent with bull trend continuation for the stock market, after short-term corrections, in our opinion either post March 2020 (COVID crash) or pre-2000, which is consistent to previous studies we've made that the current A.I. Bubble market is in similar early mania stages like the Dotcom Bubble in the early-mid 1990s. So to answer the original question, we believe that the Fed can afford to cut the Interest Rates now and offset some of the medium-term slow in growth that the trade tariffs may inflict and as there are more probabilities it will do more good to the stock market than harm. Your thoughts? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
12
Approaching the 200-Week SMA – AgainHistory doesn’t repeat… but it sure does rhyme. If all you did was buy the S&P 500 every time it touched the 200-week moving average, you would’ve: ✔️ Bought 2011, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2022… 💰 Absolutely cleaned house. Now in 2025, we’re approaching the same level again. That SMA has acted like a trampoline for the last 15 years — will it bounce once more? 🧠 Food for thought as fear builds and the market cools. Let’s see if the buyers step in where they always have. 👀
SP:SPXLong
by SmartSignalss
"US500/SPX500" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500/SPX500" Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Pink MA Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most nearest or swing, low or high level for Pullback Entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 1D timeframe (5500) Day/Swing trade basis. 📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 4750 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸"US500/SPX500" Index Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Future trend targets with Overall outlook score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Thief_Trader
S&P500 - The Correction Is Over Now!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting massive support: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of days, we have been seeing a quite harsh stock market "crash" with an overall correction of about -20%. However, as we are speaking the S&P500 is already retesting a major confluence of support and if we see bullish confirmation, this drop might be over soon. Levels to watch: $4.900 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXLong
by basictradingtv
60
SPX: hard way upThe S&P 500 index tried very hard to sustain a bit of market optimism, however, it ended the trading week at almost the same level, where it started it. Monday was a positive day, where the index managed to open higher from Friday's close, reaching 5.450, however, through the rest of the week, it was traded with a negative sentiment. Thursday closed at the level of 5.282. Friday was a non-working day on Western markets, due to the Easter holiday. It will be closed also on Monday, which might be treated as a positive, considering current sentiment. Regardless of a drop in the value of the index, the stocks were traded in a mixed manner. Market favourite Nvidia gained almost 3%, supported by its business plan for the next period, increasing their projections for exports to China. This was positive, considering the uncertainties related to trade tariffs between the US and China. Elly-Lilly, a drug maker, gained almost 14%, after posting positive results on a trial of its weight-loss drug. Generally, US companies continue to provide relatively positive results, considering the ongoing uncertainties related to trade tariffs. The another topic which is bringing uncertainty in investors is a pressure from the US Administration on Fed to cut interest rates. Fed Chair Powell, noted during a speech that tariffs implemented by the US Administration could drive up inflation higher, which is certainly something that the market is not at all happy to hear at these sensitive moments. Increased inflation would imply that the Fed will not be in the position to cut interest rates, as planned, during the course of this year. So, regardless of positive results that US companies are still managing to post, still, the inflation fears are the most critical moment for investors, which continues to drive their sentiment for investments.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500: Defensive Plays Dominate as Growth Sectors Falter- Key Insights: The S&P 500, currently priced at **5275.7**, reflects cautious investor sentiment, with defensive sectors like **utilities**, **consumer staples**, and **real estate** outperforming amid market volatility. Elevated uncertainty is evident from higher VIX levels, driven by geopolitical tensions, weak forward earnings guidance, and concerns about growth sectors such as **technology** and **semiconductors**. Institutional flows into safe-haven assets like **gold** signal limited risk appetite, suggesting near-term weakness in equity markets. - Price Targets: For the upcoming week, a cautious long position is suggested, given support scenarios and stabilization prospects. - **Target 1 (T1): $5380** (short-term resistance) - **Target 2 (T2): $5450** (psychological level) - **Stop Level 1 (S1): $5180** - **Stop Level 2 (S2): $5135** - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 displayed mixed performance, with defensive sectors outperforming while growth sectors like technology lagged due to pressures from macroeconomic factors. The broader equity landscape remains volatile, as indicated by the elevated VIX readings and constrained trading ranges in major indices such as the Russell 2000. - Expert Analysis: Analysts recommend defensive positioning, favoring sectors like **utilities** and real estate, as investors grapple with recessionary risks and inflation concerns. Technology and semiconductor stocks, particularly **Nvidia** and **AMD**, face headwinds from regulatory restrictions and trade tensions with China. Federal Reserve statements suggest potential rate cuts later in the year, but near-term hawkishness persists, given inflationary pressures. - News Impact: Key earnings reports from **Tesla**, **Google**, **Intel**, and **Boeing** could drive sentiment shifts. Tesla's results may influence market trends heavily, reinforcing key technical levels. Additionally, renewed U.S.-China trade concerns over semiconductor tariffs add uncertainty. A weakening U.S. dollar favors safe-haven assets such as **gold**, while geopolitical risks and economic softness point to limited upside for risk assets in the near term.
SP:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
What If Trump’s Tariffs Are Actually Bullish for SPX ?Hello Traders 🐺 In this idea, I want to take a closer look at SPX and break down why the new U.S. tariffs and Trump’s economic policies could either boost or damage the U.S. economy in the coming months. So make sure to stay with me until the very end. 🔍 Let’s start with the chart: As you can see, SPX is currently holding above a weekly support level, marked by the orange ascending trendline. So far, so good. However, we’re also seeing a massive bearish divergence on the RSI — and in my opinion, this was one of the key reasons behind the recent Black Monday-style selloff. ⚠️ But here’s the deal: If SPX breaks below this orange trendline, the next strong support is around 3375 — aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci level and the monthly blue trendline inside our green support zone. 🤔 Should we be bearish on SPX and the U.S. economy? That’s the big question… and it’s tricky to answer right now. Let’s break it down. 🔧 1. Tariffs and Trump: What’s really going on? We’re currently in a pause phase of the ongoing tariff war — with countries negotiating to avoid escalation. But here’s the catch: markets hate uncertainty, and that’s why we saw panic selling recently. Still, most people miss the bigger picture here. The U.S. has long been a consumer-driven economy, importing heavily from other nations. Meanwhile, U.S. producers have struggled to compete — both domestically and internationally — due to low tariffs at home and high tariffs abroad. So what do Trump’s new tariffs do? ✅ They level the playing field for U.S. companies at home ✅ They push other countries to lower their tariffs through negotiation ✅ They reduce dependency on foreign imports and support domestic production In short, if combined with smart monetary policy, these moves could actually help revive U.S. manufacturing and strengthen the economy in the mid-to-long term. 📉 Final thoughts on SPX: I personally don’t believe the bearish breakdown is coming — but as a trader, I focus on reality, not preference. Right now, we’re still holding above major support, and unless that breaks, the bullish scenario remains in play. Let me know what you think about this macro setup in the comments. And as always remember: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
SP:SPXEducation
by Kiu_Coin
1
S&P 500 Outlook Post-PowellBelow is a focused prediction for the S&P 500’s direction in both the short term (next few days to 1–2 weeks) and long term (next 3–12 months) following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech on April 16, 2025. The analysis is based on Powell’s remarks, market reactions, and economic context, avoiding speculative overreach and grounding predictions in available data. Short-Term Prediction (Next Few Days to 1–2 Weeks) Outlook: Downward Bias (60%–70% Probability of Decline) Prediction: The S&P 500 is likely to face further declines, potentially dropping toward 4,800–4,900 or Morgan Stanley’s projected 4,700 level (a 7%–8% decline from the April 8, 2025, close of 5,074.08, likely lower post-speech). A temporary bounce is possible but expected to be limited. Key Drivers: Hawkish Fed Stance: Powell’s cautious tone, emphasizing persistent inflation (PCE at 2.3% headline, 2.6% core) and no urgency for rate cuts (rates steady at 4.25%–4.5%), has dampened hopes for monetary easing. His view that Trump’s tariffs could drive sustained inflation increases the risk of prolonged high rates, pressuring equities. Tariff Uncertainty: Powell’s remarks on “larger-than-expected” tariffs, alongside U.S.-China trade tensions and the World Trade Organization’s slashed 2025 trade forecast, fuel fears of a trade war, higher costs, and slower growth. Weak Sentiment: Declining household (March 2025 confidence at its lowest since January 2021) and business sentiment, as noted by Powell, could curb spending and investment, weighing on stocks. Market Momentum: The S&P 500’s 9% drop in the week ending April 8 and its decline during Powell’s speech signal bearish momentum. Technical weakness, with many stocks below their 200-day moving averages, suggests vulnerability. Potential for a Bounce (30%–40% Probability): Oversold conditions could trigger a technical rally toward 5,200–5,300, especially if trade policy fears ease (e.g., signals of negotiation) or softer economic data renews rate-cut hopes. However, Powell’s inflation focus limits upside, making a sustained rally unlikely. Key Levels: Support: 5,000 (psychological), 4,800–4,900, or 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target). Resistance: 5,200–5,300 (recent pre-sell-off levels). Catalysts to Watch: Q1 2025 GDP (due in ~2 weeks): Weak growth could deepen fears, while strong data might reinforce inflation concerns. Trade policy: Escalation (e.g., new tariffs) could drive further declines; de-escalation could spark a bounce. Inflation data (CPI, PCE) and consumer sentiment reports. Short-Term Verdict: Expect downward pressure toward 4,800–4,700, with a possible short-lived bounce to 5,200–5,300 if positive catalysts emerge. Monitor GDP, trade developments, and Fed commentary. Long-Term Prediction (Next 3–12 Months) Outlook: Cautiously Optimistic with Volatility (55%–60% Probability of Modest Gains) Prediction: Over the next 3–12 months, the S&P 500 is likely to experience volatility but could see modest gains, potentially reaching 5,500–5,800 (8%–14% above April 8’s 5,074.08 close) by mid-2026, assuming no severe economic downturn or trade war escalation. However, significant risks could cap gains or lead to stagnation/declines. Key Drivers Supporting Gains: Economic Resilience: Powell noted the U.S. economy remains “in a solid position,” with a balanced labor market (4.1% unemployment, 150,000 jobs added monthly) and positive consumer spending. If growth stabilizes (e.g., Q1 2025 slowdown proves temporary), corporate earnings could support higher valuations. Historical Trends: The S&P 500 often performs well in the second half of election years under a first-term president, with gains potentially extending into the following year. Seasonal strength could bolster markets if trade and inflation fears subside. Potential Fed Pivot: If inflation moderates toward 2% (e.g., due to weaker demand or resolved supply chain issues), the Fed could signal rate cuts by mid-2025, boosting equities. Markets historically rally when monetary policy eases. Corporate Adaptability: Companies may adjust to tariffs by diversifying supply chains or passing costs to consumers, mitigating earnings damage over time. Key Risks Capping or Reversing Gains: Persistent Inflation: If tariffs drive sustained inflation (Powell’s concern), the Fed may maintain or raise rates, squeezing valuations. Core PCE above 2.6% or rising CPI could trigger tighter policy. Trade War Escalation: A full-blown U.S.-China trade war or broader global trade disruptions could slow growth, hurt earnings, and push the S&P 500 toward bear market territory (e.g., 4,500 or lower). Economic Slowdown: If Q1 2025’s slowdown (weak GDP, souring sentiment) persists, consumer spending and corporate investment could falter, risking a recession. Morgan Stanley’s bearish scenario (4,700) could extend if growth weakens further. Geopolitical and Policy Uncertainty: Trump’s trade policies, combined with global risks (e.g., China’s response to chip restrictions), could keep volatility high, deterring investment. Key Scenarios: Bull Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation moderates, trade tensions ease, and the Fed cuts rates by Q3 2025. The S&P 500 could rally to 5,800–6,000, driven by strong earnings and renewed optimism. Base Case (55%–60% Probability): Volatility persists, but growth stabilizes, and tariffs are partially mitigated. The S&P 500 grinds higher to 5,500–5,800, with periods of pullbacks. Bear Case (20%–25% Probability): Inflation spikes, trade wars escalate, or growth slows sharply, prompting tighter Fed policy or recession fears. The S&P 500 could fall to 4,500–4,700 or lower. Key Levels: Upside Targets: 5,500 (near recent highs), 5,800 (moderate growth scenario). Downside Risks: 4,700 (Morgan Stanley’s target), 4,500 (bear market threshold). Catalysts to Watch: Fed policy: FOMC meetings (e.g., May 6–7, 2025) and Powell’s comments on inflation vs. growth. Economic data: GDP, inflation (PCE, CPI), unemployment, and consumer confidence over Q2–Q3 2025. Trade policy: Resolution or escalation of U.S.-China tariffs and global trade dynamics. Earnings: Q1–Q2 2025 corporate earnings for signs of tariff impact or resilience. Long-Term Verdict: The S&P 500 is likely to see modest gains to 5,500–5,800 by mid-2026, driven by economic resilience and potential Fed easing, but volatility will persist due to tariff and inflation risks. A bearish outcome (4,500–4,700) is possible if trade wars or inflation worsen. Stay vigilant on Fed signals, trade policy, and economic indicators.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SnyperTA
1
SP500 & Oil Analysis: Elliott Waves a Fun Fact from RussiaI don’t track SP500 closely since I trade on the Russian exchange, where SP500 liquidity is thin 💧. But @Fewhale asked, so here’s my take: 📉 SP500 appears to have completed its consolidation and is now poised for a Wave 5 collapse. Note that despite the sprawling Wave 4, it doesn’t overlap with Wave 1 — aligning perfectly with Elliott Wave rules ✅. Oil’s Looming Drop 🛢️ Oil is also gearing up for a significant downward move before a prolonged pause — mirroring SP500’s setup. Fun Fact 🤓 Did you know Russian traders nicknamed the S&P500 "сиплый" (pronounced "sipliy"), which means "hoarse, husky"? That's because if you write "S&P" in Cyrillic letters, it becomes СИП (pronounced "sip") Key Takeaways 1️⃣ SP500: Wave 5 drop likely after clean Elliott Wave structure. 2️⃣ Oil: Sharp decline ahead, similar to SP500’s trajectory. ⚠️ Reminder: Trade with your own strategy, not somebody else's charts! 📉❄️ 💬 Your thoughts? 👉 Drop a comment: Are you betting on the crash or staying sidelined? 🎯
FX:SPX500
by Fomenka
1
We Now Have Conditions for Limit Down Days in SPXMassive intraday pop today but it did not manage to advance much past the last high. The size of the move today means if we had a big one day rejection of it that would now be a limit down day. Which this specific thing does not have to happen (could down trend over a few days) break the low in this setp would give a strong case for limit down days to come. It's not a term I use loosely. In an optimistic outlook today we have a bullish wave 3 and the foothills of a new uptrend (or at least bull trap). But if today rejects and turns out was a big bull trap - then we'd be about to head into the crash section of the move. If you think it's been crashy so far - know that the second half is not slower than the first.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
64