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SPX500USD trade ideas

$SPX - Recap of Last Week April 14-17 Last week we had a shortened Trading week because of Good Friday. We opened the week with a gap up and got a rejection at the 30min 200MA. ++ You typically don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average. ++ And this did play out all week. We got rejected at the downward facing 200MA on Monday, again on Tuesday. On Wednesday we gapped down (UHC weighed on the market). Wednesday we had a big down day - closing about 2.25% And then on Thursday we came back up but stayed underneath the 35EMA. Thursday was the last day of the trading week, and look tat the setup we started the day with. Red 35EMA trading under the Blue 30min 200 (That was bearish) 30min 200 pointing down - that was bearish. And bear gap at the top of the implied move.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 correction before the global fall.S&P 500 correction before the global fall of the usa stock market. Hey traders! I’m sure many of you have noticed that after the introduction of retaliatory tariffs, the markets started getting pretty choppy. The S&P 500 took a serious dive. • On the weekly chart, I’ve marked a support level + the 161.8% Fibonacci level, where we might see a bounce back to the $5680–$5800 range. • But from there, I think we could see the start of a major crash—both in equities and crypto—that could last 1–2 years. • Based on my estimates, the S&P 500 could drop back to 2020–2021 levels, a wide range of 2200–3000. • For Bitcoin, we’re talking around $5000; for Ethereum, $100–$300; and for Solana, $2–$12. 3D Chart: 3W Chart: Real-world events that could tank the stock market this hard: Global Recession: If major economies (US, China, EU) slide into a recession at the same time—think trade wars, rampant inflation, or a debt crisis—investors will dump risky assets like hot potatoes. Trade War Escalation: Harsher tariffs between the US and China/EU could wreck supply chains, crush corporate earnings, and spark a full-on market panic. Geopolitical Conflict: A big blow-up—like a full-scale war or crisis (say, Taiwan or the Middle East)—could send capital fleeing to safe havens (gold, bonds), while stocks and crypto get slaughtered. Collapse of a Major Financial Player: If a big bank or hedge fund goes bust (Lehman Brothers 2.0-style) due to an overheated market or bad debt, it could trigger a domino effect. Energy Crisis: A spike in oil/gas prices (from sanctions or conflicts, for example) could kneecap the economy and drag risk assets down with it. Market Bubble Burst: If the current rally turns out to be a massive bubble (and plenty of folks think it is), its pop could pull indexes down all on its own. Looming Wars: A potential Russia-Europe war starting as early as 2025, or an Iran-Israel conflict that drags in multiple nations, could destabilize global markets, spike energy prices, and send investors running for the exits.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by SergioRichi
Post-Easter Drift: Markets Hit the Snooze ButtonMonday will be the first proper day back in the saddle after a long Easter weekend. The chocolate coma has almost worn off. Markets will be waking up. Kind of. These post-holiday opens are notoriously sluggish. Volume’s light. Direction takes a while to reveal itself. And everyone’s pretending to care about macro while waiting for real price action to show up. But we’ve already got our map. And the Wolfe Wave that paid us last week? Still unfolding. I’m sitting tight with a fresh cup of caffeine, watching the 5400 level as our bull/bear toggle… and waiting to see if Trump rage-tweets another black swan into existence before the bell rings. We’re not here to chase headlines. We follow the system that pays. -- SPX analysis 22 April 2025 The Wolfe Wave setup we traded last week hasn’t invalidated and still has room to run. The projected target near 5000 remains in play, and we’re well within the structure for a continued grind lower. The swing income trade is live. And because this is options – not directional heroism – we don’t need the full drop to get paid. But a fast tag of 5000 will certainly do us a favour on timing. On the GEX front, things remain bearish: 5400 = resistance + gamma flip level 5250 = highest negative gamma magnet this week No bullish flips yet, and no major hedging pressure being relieved That leaves our plan unchanged: Bear bias holds under 5400 Swings remain on Be ready to reassess if we bounce or overshoot key levels Business as usual. Let price confirm. Let the system trigger. Patience to profits. --- Expert Insights: (Trading Mindset for Today) The strategy is simple: Wait for the setup. Place the trade. Walk away. The temptation today will be to force something just because it’s the first day back. Don’t. You’re not paid to predict. You’re paid to follow the rules. A calm trader with a plan outperforms a hyper trader with opinions. Common Trading Mistake & How to Avoid It ❌ Confusing movement with opportunity Just because the market opens doesn’t mean it’s ready to trade. ✅ Let the setup come to you Rule-based trading means you wait for confirmation – not caffeine. Fun Market Fact – When Gamma Gets Negative… Did you know that negative gamma magnifies market moves? Here’s how it works: Dealers hedge in the same direction as price That creates more volatility, not less Which means… wild swings are more likely when GEX is negative This is why we’re watching 5250 this week – it’s where gamma says “this way, please” (and dealers cry quietly behind the screens). --- Rumour Has It… Trump’s latest tweet simply read: “ SP:SPX = Sad. Bears win.” Futures dipped 0.3% before recovering. 5400 is now being described as “psychological resistance” – which means nobody has a clue but it sounds clever. GEX models reportedly enrolled in therapy after being ignored all weekend. (This section is entirely made-up satire. Probably.)
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 H1 | Approaching a multi-swing-low supportSPX500 is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,206.22 which is a multi-swing-low support. Stop loss is at 5,045.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 5,490.31 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:SPX500Long
by Tradu
US500's performance this week will be crucial in determiningUS500 Weekly Analysis The US500 index is currently exhibiting bearish tendencies, but a crucial level to monitor is $5491. This level has the potential to act as a resistance point, and we're looking for a possible selling opportunity around this area. However, if the market breaks above $5491, it could signal a shift in bias towards bullish territory, potentially leading to a significant upward move. Key Levels to Watch: 1. Sell Zone: $5491 - This level is critical in determining the next move. We'll be watching for confirmation to sell, such as bearish candlestick patterns or trend indicators. 2. Resistance Area: $5730 - $5790 - A strong resistance zone that could potentially cap upward movements. Trading Strategy: 1. Wait for Confirmation: We'll wait for the market to reach the $5491 level and look for confirmation to sell. This could include bearish candlestick patterns, trend indicators, or other technical signals. 2. Breakout Scenario: If the market breaks above $5491, we'll reassess the bullish potential and look for opportunities to buy. 3. Risk Management: It's essential to manage risk effectively, setting stop-losses and take-profits according to our trading plan. Market Outlook: The US500's performance this week will be crucial in determining the next direction. We'll be monitoring the market closely, analyzing price action, and providing updates on any developments. Stay tuned for our analysis and guidance on potential trading opportunities. By keeping a close eye on these key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make more informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Peter_Wade
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by mytw0cents
"US500/SPX500" Index Market Money Heist Plan (Day / Scalping)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries. 📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊." 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (5200) Day trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💴💸"US500/SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day / Scalping Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness🐂.., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro economics, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis,Positioning and future trend targets with Overall Score...... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
SPXGiven the escalating tariff pressures, it's clear that this scenario is unsustainable for any economy in the long term. I anticipate a resolution to the US-China trade issue within the next few weeks to months. The current market correction is likely a reflection of the accumulated negative impacts from Trump's second term, and from a technical analysis perspective, further downside levels are indicated on the charts. However, looking at the broader, four-year horizon of Trump's presidency, there are several potentially bullish factors, including tax cuts, financial deregulation, continued Fed dovishness, and the possibility of renewed quantitative easing.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Lazy-Lizard
SPX path forwardThe SPX appears to be transitioning out of Wave 4 and initiating Wave 5 of the current Elliott Wave cycle. This breakout from Wave 4 suggests the final leg of the broader impulsive structure is underway, typically characterized by renewed momentum and trader interest. At this stage, we can expect a pullback or bounce near the previous Wave 3 low, which often acts as a key support level during the early stages of Wave 5 development. Should this level hold, price action is likely to resume downward, completing Wave 5 within the projected target zone. Downside targets for Wave 5 completion are currently in the 4,700 to 4,600 range, aligning with a typical Fibonacci extension (0.618–1.0 of Wave 1 through Wave 3) and previous structure zones that may offer confluence.
SP:SPXShort
by confidentMoth0305
S&P INTRADAY key resistance at 5509 Donald Trump said there was “big progress” in trade talks with Japan, easing fears of higher tariffs. This boosted the Nikkei 225, as traders grew less concerned about U.S. pressure for a stronger yen. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures pointed to a rebound after Wednesday’s selloff. The drop was sparked by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who struck a cautious tone on tariffs and signaled no rush to cut rates, disappointing markets looking for quicker support. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Could be a good time to build a longer term SPX long Potentially good reward:risk here for investors / longer timeframe swing traders or position traders Last week was a big test for the SPX index - it tested two crucial supports 1) Retest of the 2022 highs 2) Retest of the major trendline which has held the trend for around 2.5 years now It looks like buyers came in strong at support giving us a big bullish candle - likely forming a capitulation low. Major pullbacks like these come only a few times a year - and if managed well can be good R:R trades. For investors/position traders: If the low from last week holds, any pullbacks into 5250 or lower seem like a good time to add - for a longer term hold for a few months or even a few quarters. For traders wanting to see some clear momentum first: The most important resistance up above is the 5600-5800 area & the 20w ema (which aligns with it currently). You might want wait for a clean reclaim of this resistance first. For investors, you could think of adding to your buys once this resistance is reclaimed strongly. TLDR; SPX might have capitulated This is a decent area to start buying for a longer term hold - targeting the prior highs first and holding some into price discovery Invalidation: if a weekly candle closes below the recent low When to observe PA closely: test of the 5600-5800 resistance / 20w ema
TVC:SPXLong
by thesimpltrader
Stock Markets Consolidate Ahead of the HolidaysStock Markets Consolidate Ahead of the Holidays A lull is expected on the financial markets today due to a shortened trading week related to the Easter holiday celebrations. It is reasonable to assume that traders will get a “breather” after a news-heavy April, which caused a volatile “shakeout” in the stock markets. US Stock Markets On Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was both cautious and somewhat aggressive in his forecasts regarding US monetary policy, stating that Trump’s tariffs could delay the achievement of inflation targets. In response, US President Donald Trump accused Powell of “playing politics”, hinting at his possible dismissal. European Stock Markets On Thursday, the ECB cut interest rates for the seventh time in the past 12 months, and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde left the door open for further easing. Analysts had expected a rate cut from 2.65% to 2.40%, so the financial markets reacted relatively calmly to the ECB’s decision. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) On the charts of European and US stock indices today, a narrowing triangle pattern is forming, indicating a balance between supply and demand — in other words, price is more efficiently factoring in all influencing elements. On the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the triangle is highlighted in grey. The ADX and ATR indicators are trending downwards, which underlines signs of consolidation. From a bearish perspective, the market is in a downtrend (marked by the red trend channel) — but from a bullish point of view, price is in the upper half of the channel. Although the situation appears “reassuring”, the long weekend may bring a string of high-impact statements from the White House, which could disrupt the balance and lead to a breakout from the triangle. It is not out of the question that the bulls may seize the initiative and challenge the upper boundary of the channel in an attempt to lay the groundwork for an upward trend (shown in blue lines). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
Global Market Overview. Part 2 — U.S. Stock Indices Start of the series here: Indices? What about the indices? When the market isn’t an economy, but a chessboard riddled with landmines. As much as we’d like to see rationality reflected in index charts, indices are not the economy. They are derivative instruments that track the capital flow into the largest publicly traded companies. In our case — they serve as a mirror of the U.S. stock market. But here’s the thing: There’s one core principle that most analysts love to forget: Once interest rates are cut — the game flips bullish. Cheap money doesn’t lie idle. It flows straight into corporate balance sheets. And one of the first strategies that gets deployed? Buybacks. Share repurchases are the fastest way to inflate stock prices — without changing the product, the market, or even the strategy. It’s an old Wall Street tune. And it’ll play again the moment Jerome Powell gives the signal to cut. Even if he says, “It’s temporary,” the market won’t care — it’ll act automatically. But what if the cut doesn’t come? What if the Fed drags its feet, and U.S.–China relations fully descend into trade war? What if instead of cheap money, we get a recession? That scenario benefits neither the U.S. nor China. Despite political theatrics, the two economies are deeply intertwined. Much more so than their leaders admit. The unspoken threat from China If Beijing wanted, it could cripple the U.S. economy overnight — Nationalizing all American-owned assets on Chinese soil, from Apple’s factories to Nike’s logistics chains. If that happens, dozens of U.S. corporate stocks would be worth less than toilet paper. But China doesn’t make that move. Because blackmail is not the tool of strategists. Beijing thinks long-term. Unlike Washington, it counts consequences. And it knows: with Trump — you can negotiate. You just have to place your pieces right. Want to understand China? Don’t read a report — read a stratagem. If you truly want to grasp how Beijing thinks, forget Bloomberg or the Wall Street Journal for a minute. Open “The 36 Stratagems” — an ancient Chinese treatise that teaches how rulers think. Not in terms of strong vs. weak — but when, through whom, and against what. You’ll see why no one’s pressing the red button right now: the game isn’t about quarterly wins — it’s about future control. The economy is built for growth. That’s not ideology — that’s axiomatic. Argue all you want about bubbles, fairness, or who started what. One thing never changes: the global economic model is based on growth. No ministry or central statistical agency can stand before a microphone and say, “We want things to fall.” Markets reflect future expectations. And expectations are, by definition, based on belief in growth. Even crashes are seen as temporary corrections, paving the way for recovery. That’s why people always buy the dip. Not retail. Smart money. Because no panic lasts forever — especially when the whole system is backed by cash. The U.S. controls the market through headlines This logic fuels Washington’s strategy. Today, Powell “waits.” Tomorrow, the White House stirs panic with tariff threats. The day after — surprise! “Constructive dialogue.” And just like that: Markets rally, dollar corrects, headlines flip from “crisis” to “hope.” It’s not coincidence. It’s perception management. Markets crash fast — but they rebound just as fast, once a positive signal drops. Especially when that signal touches the U.S.–China trade front. One line — “talks are progressing” — and by nightfall, S&P 500 is back in the green. Why? Because everyone knows: If there’s de-escalation — it’s not a bounce. It’s a new cycle. The recovery scenario Here’s what happens if negotiations progress: The dollar weakens — capital exits safe havens S&P 500 and Nasdaq spike — driven by tech and buybacks Money flows back into risk assets — especially industrials and retail, exposed to international trade Gold and bonds correct — as fear fades We don’t live in an era of stability. We live in an era of narrative control. This isn’t an economic crisis. This is a crisis of faith in market logic. But the foundation remains: capital seeks growth. And if growth is painted via headlines, buybacks, or a surprise rate cut — the market will believe. Because it has no other choice. In the markets, it’s not about who’s right — It’s about who anticipates the shift in narrative first.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by StarTradePro