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SPX500USD trade ideas

Stock Market Hits Extreme Oversold Levels — Rebound Already ...Trump tariffs and other geopolitical events triggered a market correction. But in the bigger picture, this noise means very little. Mathematical models and indicators are pointing to extreme oversold levels. If a recession hasn't started yet — this could be a great opportunity. Even if it has already begun, strong bounces from current levels are possible across many stocks. In fact, some of those bounces are already happening — and we can see that across multiple instruments. Personally, I picked up a few quantum tech tickers like IONQ, which is already up +40%, and added a bit of NVDA. Holding for now.
SP:SPX
by Yaroslav_Krasko
S&P 500 Setting Up for a Breakout – But Not Before One More TrapAs I’ve said before, the FOREXCOM:SPX500 is a key reference for my crypto trading . That’s why I sat down and took a closer look at the chart – and I’m now ready to place a limit order , based on what I’m seeing. I believe we’re still in a correction phase , and it’s far from over . However, I think it’s realistic that we’ll see a move toward $5,832 next week . Before that happens, I expect either today’s Monday Low or next week’s Previous Weekly Low to get swept, ideally triggering a dip into the 12-hour Fair Value Gap just below. That’s where I see my entry zone forming. It’s also the exact area where Wave B overshoots the starting point of Wave ABC, making it a clean Flat correction pattern, with Wave C completing to the downside before we get a solid move upward. I’m setting my stop-loss below the $5,500 low. If this setup plays out, I expect the S&P to push toward $5,832 , and after that, I’m anticipating a larger correction that could take the index back down to $5,500 or even $5,450 over the coming weeks. Timing remains unclear for that move after, but the structure is here , and I’m looking forward to seeing how it plays out.
FX:SPX500Long
by stromm
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the course of this week's trading session, the S&P 500 achieved the designated target for the Inner Index Rally at 5576, which occurred midweek. This target was accompanied by considerable volatility, ultimately hindering upward movement. On the week's final trading day, the index experienced a notable decline, resulting in a significant drop that reached our critical target, Mean Support, at 5603. Consequently, the index is now poised to target a retest of the Inner Index Rally level 5712, with a subsequent potential target identified at the Mean Resistance level 5840. It is essential to consider that upon reaching the Inner Index Rally target of 5712, a decrease in the current price level is anticipated, which may lead to a retest of the Mean Support at 5601. Furthermore, an extended decline is possible to revisit the completed Outer Index Dip at 5520 before the resumption of an upward rally.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P 500 eases back from 200-dayThe S&P 500 has been on an impressive two-week rally but is now encountering a crucial resistance zone. The index is currently testing resistance near the 200-day moving average and a previous support level in the 5770-5800 range. This key area, highlighted in grey on the chart, could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues. Meanwhile, support is found around 5695-5670, marked in blue on the chart. This zone is significant as it previously served as the launch point for the post-election rally before it lost steam. Reclaiming this level is a bullish signal, but the S&P 500 needs to stay above it through to next week to maintain its upward trajectory. If support at 5695-5670 fails, the bulls could face serious headwinds. A breakdown at this level may trigger renewed selling pressure, similar to the declines seen in previous weeks. The situation could worsen if the index falls below 5600, which was Friday’s low, when a hammer candle was formed. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Intraday Buy Opportunity: US500Intraday Idea - We look to Buy TRADENATION:US500 at 5735 Technical View Trades at the highest level in 12 days The rally has posted a correction count on the intraday chart An overnight negative theme in Equities has led to a lower open this morning Bespoke support is located at 5735 Previous resistance, now becomes support at 5725 Stop: 5695 Target: 5867 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by Signal_Centre1
S&P 500: Bull Run Reversal Underway S&P 500 increased by just 0.08% to close Friday's trade at 5,667 after a four-week decline. It is now down over 7% from February's peak of 6,147. The index has broken its bullish daily structure, signalling the start of a major correction. Critical support at 5,542 must hold to avoid further downside. If support holds, a temporary rebound could reach targets of 5,662, 5,737, 5,858, and 5,932. Failure to maintain 5,542 would lead to the second stage, targeting 5,151. Given current economic pressures, a four-stage correction resembling past corrections is plausible, potentially reaching as low as 4,564.
SP:SPXShort
by Rotuma
Look before you leap. Two up days this week on top of pricing holding support in the previous week. Sound like a good time to be a buyer? Consider this weekly chart of SPX and its trendline over the last year. When was the last time you saw price make a new high that began like this? Oh it can happen, I'm just point out that it is a low-probability bet right now. It would be far more likely for SPX to break its trendline and head lower than it would for prices to make a new high. Think about that before you make your next purchase in stocks.
SP:SPX
by gordonscottcmt
S&P INTRADAY ahead of US Consumer Confidence data The Consumer Confidence Index, set to be released today at 14:00 GMT by the Conference Board, measures consumer sentiment on spending, jobs, inflation, and the economy. Since consumer spending drives the U.S. economy, a strong reading can signal bullish momentum for equities, while a weak reading may indicate bearish sentiment. Traders watch this data closely for insights into market direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5780 Resistance Level 2: 5844 Resistance Level 3: 5920 Support Level 1: 5660 Support Level 2: 5604 Support Level 3: 5500 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Trendline Broken – Is the Bull Run in Trouble?The S&P 500 index is currently exhibiting a critical technical structure. After forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) within a well-respected rising trendline, the price recently made an All-Time High (ATH) but has since shown signs of weakness. The trendline, which has acted as a dynamic resistance multiple times, has now been broken. At present, the price is retesting the key horizontal support zone and the 200 EMA after the breakdown. This retest is crucial—a rejection here could confirm a bearish shift, potentially leading to lower levels near the next key support zone. Additionally, the RSI is displaying a bearish divergence, signaling weakening momentum despite recent highs. Key Takeaway: Watch for confirmation at the retest zone. A rejection may signal a deeper correction, while a reclaim of the trendline and 200 EMA could reestablish the bullish structure. Risk management is key at these pivotal levels.
SP:SPXShort
by unichartz
2
US 500 Index – A Deeper Rally or Retreat?The US 500 rallied 0.8% last week to close at 5666 and in doing so managed to lock in its first up week since early February. The bounce also brought some joy to those dip buyers that had to endure watching the index move into correction territory (10% drop from 6144 high) the previous week when it touched a 6-month low at 5505 on March 13th. Looking forward, it is probably still way too early to say that the selling and rotation away from US stocks into other global indices is over, although what we can say is that traders have taken a pause for reflection ahead of what could be a volatile finish to the end of the first quarter of 2025. Afterall, sentiment towards stocks in the US 500, especially the technology sector, remains fragile. In the week ahead traders are likely to be focused on the finer details of President Trump’s plan for reciprocal tariffs, which are due to hit all countries, including long-time US allies, on April 2nd. The breadth of these tariffs and the extent of retaliatory measures, particularly from China and the EU, are likely to have knock on implications for US economic growth, inflation and consumer confidence (see below) , all of which are key factors that may impact future corporate earnings and the direction of the US 500 across the week. Economic Data: Monday: 1345 GMT US Preliminary PMI Surveys Tuesday: 1400 GMT US Consumer Confidence Friday: 1230 GMT US PCE Index (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) Solid Footing: The US 500 has opened the week on a more solid footing after a weekend report on Bloomberg suggested President Trump’s wave of tariffs are to be more targeted than the all-out assault he has touted on social media over the last few weeks. However, this is yet to be confirmed, and while not the worst-case scenario, it would still be an escalation of the current trade wars and may still result in retaliatory measures from those countries that are hit the hardest. It could also mean traders need to be on Trump social media watch again in the early part of this week. Technical Update: A Question of Fibonacci Retracements The US 500 index encountered an aggressive sell-off of 10.4% from the February 2025 all-time high at 6144 to its March low of 5505, from which attempts to bounce have materialised. This low was important from a technical perspective because the sell off tested a possible support level, marked by a Fibonacci retracement. In the case of the US 500 index, it was the 50% level of the April 2024 to February 2025 advance which stands at 5533 (see chart above). Using Fibonacci Retracements: Fibonacci retracements are useful as they can highlight potential support levels when any price weakness is seen and potential resistance levels when any price strength is seen. Closing breaks below retracement support or above retracement resistance can suggest the possibility of a more extended price move in the direction of the break. We recently published a report on how to use Fibonacci retracements in greater detail, so please take a look at our timeline to read this. Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels Offering Any Insight into Recent US 500 Index Moves? Having already rallied following tests of the 5533 retracement level, this has been confirmed as a support focus moving forward. While closing breaks are not a guarantee of further price declines, with much still dependent on future price trends and sentiment across the trading week, it may well be closes below this level that expose the potential for deeper declines. If this were to happen, downside potential may then shift towards retracement support at the 61.8% level, which stands at 5389 as you can see on the chart above. Fibonacci Resistance Focus: We can also run Fibonacci retracements on the February to March phase of weakness to provide potential resistance levels to focus on in case there is an extension of the recent rally. The 38.2% retracement of the February to March decline stands at 5750 and this is a level that might need to be monitored. If this 5750 level were to be broken on a closing basis, it may be possible to see a more extended phase of price strength which could could skew the focus for traders towards resistance at 5825, which is the higher 50% retracement level, may be even 5900, which is the 61.8% retracement. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It)Why I Took the L (and Feel Great About It) | SPX Analysis 24 Mar 2025 The markets are meandering again, and I’m starting to feel like a one-man tribute band for “Brimful of Asha” on repeat. Another grindy week, another re-run of the up-a-bit, down-a-bit SPX drama. Today’s vibe? Picture those magnificent men in their flying machines… looping up diddely up-up and down diddely down-down with zero destination in sight. The overnight futures opened with some energy - but landed us smack back into the call wall zone at 5700/5720. Meanwhile, the Bollinger Bands are pinching tighter than my jeans post-Christmas, confirming what we already know: this market’s stuck in a range. But here's the thing… I’m not stressing it. I’ve seen this dance before. And I know exactly what I’m waiting for. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Another week, another range, and here I am again – sipping coffee, muttering to myself like a budget oracle, watching SPX push a few points higher and thinking… "Didn’t we just do this yesterday?" The overnight futures gapped higher, but the market basically landed us right back into the same call wall we’ve been dancing with all week – 5700/5720. It’s like déjà vu… but with less excitement. And don’t even get me started on the Bollinger Bands. They’re pinching so tightly now you could use them as a tourniquet. Yes, we’re consolidating. Yes, we already knew that. But now it’s like the market is actively mocking us. 🎯 So what’s changed? Nothing. The plan remains exactly the same: Wait for a breakout-pullback – either direction. Don’t force trades. Stay sharp, but don’t get twitchy. Friday’s rally? It messed with the last of my bear swings, and instead of dragging the positions out like a bad soap opera, I just let them expire and took the loss. Not because I had to. But because they were irritating me. Sometimes, the smartest move is not about managing the trade – it’s about managing the trader. I cleared the decks, reset the headspace, and now I’m ready for what comes next. So here we are: Bullish trigger is still 5720+ Bearish trigger stays below 5605 Everything in between is just noise. And yeah, I’m still leaning bearish, but I’m not forcing it. We’ve seen this pattern before – the grind, the stall, the fakeout. And when the real move comes? That’s when I’ll strike. Until then, it’s back to the charts, back to the tea, and back to waiting with the quiet smugness of someone who knows patience pays better than panic. Let’s see if today delivers… or if we’re just rolling the same episode again. --- Fun Fact 📢 In 1997, when the VIX dropped below 10, traders called it "nap time." The market stayed so calm for so long, many option traders took part-time jobs just to stay busy - including one notorious story of a floor trader who moonlighted as a nightclub bouncer. 💡Lesson? When volatility vanishes, don’t force action – prepare for the return of chaos.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
SPX: uncertainty holdsAnother relatively mixed trading week for US equities. The most important weekly event was certainly the FOMC meeting, where the Fed decided to hold interest rates unchanged for one more time. Important input was that the Fed is still on the track of two rate cuts during the course of the year, which modestly supported positive market sentiment. Still, uncertainties regarding decisions of the US Administration, specially related to trade tariffs are leaving the mark for precaution among market participants. Along with the trade tariffs, consultant companies like Accenture are affected by the DOGE cuts in spending and whose shares suffered a 7,3% drop in value. The S&P 500 was traded higher by 0,5% on a weekly level. However, uncertainty is still evident in the index moves. The highest weekly level was 5.710, while the index closed the week at the level of 5.667. Companies are starting to bring up their estimates regarding future earnings. Currently, some of them noted expectations that trade tariffs will impact their future sales, planning of capital spending and jobs. As long as uncertainty holds on the market, the prices of stocks will be in a volatile mood. In this sense, it should not be expected to see some exponential moves in the S&P 500, like it was during the previous two years.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 5,705.61 1st Support: 5,507.00 1st Resistance: 5,814.09 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
"US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5700) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 2H timeframe (5600) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5850 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "US500 / SPX500" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
Rolling Crisis': How one solution tends to feed the next problemThe Cycle of Crisis: How Fed Interventions and Post-Crisis Policies Set the Stage for Future Turbulence Research suggests that solutions to financial crises—ranging from the Federal Reserve’s early market interventions in 1922 to post-2008 policies—often create conditions that later lead to new crises. Historical evidence indicates that measures such as deposit insurance, deregulation, and quantitative easing can inadvertently encourage risk-taking, creating a cyclical pattern of stabilization followed by vulnerability. ================================ Historical Context and Analysis ================================ The Fed's Role Since 1922 In 1922, the Federal Reserve pioneered the use of open market operations to manage the money supply. By purchasing government securities, the Fed aimed to stabilize credit conditions and influence interest rates. This early intervention set the stage for modern monetary policy and demonstrated how central bank actions can have far-reaching effects on market behavior. Post-Great Depression Reforms and Moral Hazard Following the Great Depression, a series of reforms restored public confidence: Glass-Steagall Act (1933): Separated commercial and investment banking to limit excessive risk-taking. Creation of the FDIC: Insured bank deposits, boosting consumer trust. Fed as Lender of Last Resort: Provided emergency liquidity to prevent bank failures. These measures, while stabilizing, also introduced moral hazard. Banks, knowing they were protected, gradually assumed more risk—a trend that contributed to later financial instability. Deregulation and the 2008 Crisis In the 1990s and early 2000s, financial deregulation intensified: Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999): Repealed parts of Glass-Steagall, allowing banks to merge commercial and investment functions. Commodity Futures Modernization Act (2000): Deregulated derivatives markets, increasing the complexity of financial instruments. Intended to modernize the financial sector, these changes inadvertently enabled risk buildup. The mixing of high-risk investment activities with traditional banking practices contributed to vulnerabilities that eventually led to the 2008 financial meltdown. Post-2008 Policies and Unintended Consequences In response to the 2008 crisis, policymakers adopted aggressive measures: Quantitative Easing (QE): The Fed injected liquidity by purchasing large quantities of Treasury and mortgage-backed securities. Low Interest Rates: Keeping rates near zero spurred borrowing and spending. While these policies stabilized markets and averted deeper recession, they also contributed to unintended outcomes such as asset price bubbles and rising inflation, which may sow the seeds for future economic challenges. ================================ Cyclical Nature of Crisis Responses ================================ A review of historical episodes reveals a recurring pattern where each crisis response, while effective in the short term, can alter market incentives and build vulnerabilities that later trigger new crises. Comparative Analysis 1922–1929: Open market operations stabilized credit but contributed to speculative booms. Post-1930s: Safety nets restored confidence but led to increased risk-taking (moral hazard). 1990s–2000s: Deregulation modernized finance yet enabled risk buildup that precipitated the 2008 crisis. Post-2008: QE and low rates stabilized recovery but fueled asset bubbles and inflation. Lessons for Policymakers Tailored Responses: Each crisis is unique; policies must account for long-term impacts. Guard Against Moral Hazard: Safety nets should be paired with measures to discourage reckless behavior. Balanced Regulation: Financial innovation requires robust oversight to prevent systemic risks. Conclusion From the Fed’s pioneering steps in 1922 to today’s complex economic environment, history shows that every crisis solution has its price. Emergency measures—though vital for short-term stability—can reshape market incentives and create vulnerabilities that may lead to future crises.
SP:SPX
by holeyprofit