S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent shortened trading session, the Index recorded steady to lower prices, distancing itself from the Mean Resistance level of 5455, as indicated in the previous week's Daily Chart analysis. This trend establishes a foundation for continuing the downward trajectory, targeting the Mean Support level 5140. Should this downward momentum persist, further declines may extend to the next Mean Support level of 4970 and ultimately reach the completed Outer Index Dip at 4890.
Conversely, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum at the current price level, which may challenge the Mean Resistance of 5455 and extend toward the Outer Index Rally at 5550.
SPX500USD trade ideas
WILL THE S&P 500 COME CRASHING DOWN? TRIPLE RSI DIVERGENCE?!S&P 500 (SPX) Is considered to be one of the primary benchmarks for the U.S economy. Recently it appears to be showing a triple bearish RSI divergence, DMI indicating bearish with ADX above 20, and a bearish MACD on the 1 Month chart. The technical analysis seems to have a highly bearish hypothesis in my opinion. If we give some thought to Ray Dalio's Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order , some haunting indicators appear to be forming. Could this just be a minor correction? Or is this the beginning of an extended economic downturn?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Bulls and Bears zone for 04-16-2025Earlier this week S&P 500 has formed a Death Cross which could be significant or not only time will tell.
Any test of yesterday's Close could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch: 5354 --- 5356
Reports to watch:
U.S. Housing Market Index at 10:00AM EST
U.S. Jerome Powell Speaks at 1:30PM EST
$SPX - APRIL 16 2025 contract
Today’s Trading Range has Downward pressure from the top - you can see it in the way the moving averages come down and their angle.
The implied move is 5320-5475 today (1.35%)
5295-5500 tomorrow (1.88%)
And 30 day average volatility 5205-5590. (3.53%)
That spreads am I looking to today? 5320/5296 Bull put spreads feel too close for me… But I’m still keeping them on my radar. That is 25 dollars wide.
If we Trade up 5475/5500 That’s a real possibility because of the 1hr 200MA coming down like that. (That is also a 25$ wide spread today.)
But more likely - and especially because we have Jerome powell today at 1:30 ET, I will be looking 5230/5205 bull put spreads & 5565/5590 above.
Big Bear gap at the top as well.
Let’s see how it goes today.
China is about to decided whether retailiate or not. Donald Trump and hes administration went to far and to many direction.
EU and China at the same time is just too much but tretening the whole world is just an enormous startegic error.
He made woke up not1 but 170 bear at the same time while the bears were sleeping and dreaming. And the dream ended. The USA not enymore realiable, trustworty, and therefore friendly country. The bears are dissapointed and angrys.
They dont wanna have does fals dreams at the next time, and its seems that Trump is in a deadend roed.
Honestly this story can be continued for pages but lets just speak about the an abnormal situation.
BONDS UP 10Y 5Y - trough agressive selling of US debt which is really will tied up the FED hands if the inflation does not happen due to the lack of the tarrifs. 10Y is at the 4,3
The questions can china put the USA in a situation then interest rate cat wount help on the longrun since China and may some of their contries under their influence reaching high detach in a US10Y 5Y and interest rate relation and sending US in to debt cicle.
The slow one is that that will slowly sell as much debt of US that they are cancelling the fed rate cuts.
The fast one is sending aup rates by at least 6% and making the big boys on the stock market to capitulate.
I will update and elaborate this idea better , but I hope if someone reads gets some hints.
SPY: Breakout Brewing?📍SPX500 | Triangle Compression Before Breakout?
SPX500 is currently coiling into a symmetrical triangle on the 5-min chart, suggesting a volatility expansion is imminent.
🔍 Fibonacci Levels in Play:
Key Support: 5,419 – 5,428 (0.5 to 0.618 retracement)
Breakout Target: 5,482.83 (Fib 1.382)
Higher Projections: 5,499.94 (1.618), 5,516.82 (1.854)
📈 Probabilities:
Bullish Breakout → 5,455 / 5,483 = 65%
Sideways Chop in 5,420–5,440 range = 20%
Bearish Fade < 5,419 = 15%
🚨 Watching for confirmation above 5,434 with volume for long entry.
This setup aligns with our high-probability DSS framework for intraday signals. Mark your levels. Monitor the breakout.
🧠 Discipline is your alpha.
📊 Chart by: Wavervanir International LLC
#SPX500 #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #TrianglePattern #BreakoutStrategy #SmartMoney #QuantEdge #Wavervanir #MarketUpdate #DayTrading #DSS #SP500
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime.
maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible.
-Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off!
-we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience)
- hopefully bullish
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions.
Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs.
Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment.
Earnings in Focus:
Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector.
Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report.
Oil Market:
The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5509
Resistance Level 2: 5660
Resistance Level 3: 5787
Support Level 1: 5110
Support Level 2: 4947
Support Level 3: 4816
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$SPX - Recap of April 14 2025So if you just read SPY - this is just a copy and paste because of course we had almost identical price action here. Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and we also gapped right to the top of the bear gap (always considered resistance and strengthened by the downward momentum of the 30min 200.
We did see resistance with those combined bearish levels and we brought is back down to the middle, closed the gap from open and took it back to the 30min 200MA and got pushed back at close.
This chart setup was bearish today - even though we closed green - how? The 30in 200MA pointing down. The bear gap under that. And the 35EMA trading Under the 30min 200MA.
It was an easy trading day and just looking at the momentum you could feel that price was going to stay in the center of the implied move. At least I mentioned that in last night’s video.
Excellent day. How did you guys do??
S&P500: Bottom is in. 5,800 Target imminent.S&P500 is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.927, MACD = -131.940, ADX = 29.116) as it has recovered from the tariff selloff, finding support a little over the 1W MA200. The 1D RSI made a double bottom and is much like the October 27th 2023 bottom. Both DB bullish divergences in contrast to the LL of the price. The immediate target on the rebound that followed in 2023 was the R1 level. Trade: long, TP = 5,800.
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SPX500USD (S&P 500) Technical A`nalysisThe S&P 500 (SPX500USD) is currently approaching the 5,500.0 resistance zone after a strong bullish recovery.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price successfully breaks and retests 5,500.0, continuation towards the 5,708.6 resistance zone may follow.
A further break could push the market up to 5,795.6.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If SPX500USD fails to break and sustain above 5,500.0, a rejection could send price down towards 5,196.8 support.
A deeper breakdown below 5,196.8 could extend losses towards 4,859.8.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any decisions.
DEATH CROSS on the SP500?We just witnessed the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA — a technical signal known as the Death Cross.
Historically, this pattern has been associated with:
Trend reversals from bullish to bearish
Extended downside pressure
A loss of investor confidence in the short-to-medium term
🧠 While not always followed by major crashes, the last time this pattern showed up in a similar setup was followed by an accelerated drop — and that’s exactly what we’ve seen again.
The real question now is: 👉 Was this a false signal or is more downside ahead?
🔍 Keep an eye on price action around the 5,400–5,500 zone. If it fails to recover, this death cross might just be the start of a deeper correction...
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs."
But let’s look at the facts:
📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like:
MSFT: -7.55%
AAPL: -18.66%
NVDA: -12.94%
Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty.
🟥 Tariffs = market stress
🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength
What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction.
💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
SPX Tariff Relief dips to buy: 5282 ideal, 5100 a Must-Hold zoneStonks got sold in panic then bought in fomo.
We of the Fib Faith indulge in logical serenity.
We plan and execute calmly and deliberately.
5428-5454 bounce would indicate Strong Bull.
5271-5282 Bounce would be ideal structural dip.
5109-5136 is the Must-Hold or it was a bull trap.
==========================================
S&P 500 off earlier highsThe major US indices have come noticeably off their earlier highs, following the positive start on the back of the weekend news of temporary tariff relief on technology sector.
The fact the indices could break out to test waters above last week's highs, suggests traders have not been convinced that they have had the all-clear just yet. Perhaps volatility will ease a little this week, but with earnings from tech giants to come in the next couple of weeks, on top of all the trade war saga, anything is possible. Traders must remain nimble.
It is all about the 5380 level now on the S&P 500. This is where it found resistance on Friday and now this level could turn into support. But if we break decisively below it again, then this could trigger a big of selling towards the next support at 5272.
However, the near-term trend has turned bullish following the big recovery last week. So, dip-buyers will be lurking. Let's see where we go from here.
In any case, more bullish price action is needed to completely nullify the bearish control. Specifically, the key resistance zone between 5490 to 5550 must give way before the bulls can be confident that we have see a major low last week.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
SPX: Eye of The StormIn a hurricane the EYE of the storm is region of "calm" and even blue skies
To the unaware, the break in the clouds and the blues skies may bring a sense of relief that "the worst is over"
But the informed know that the OTHER SIDE of the storm is coming and the worst has yet to happen
IMO the aforementioned scenario accurately describes what we are about to see in markets
The Administration is slowly backing off the more severe of the tariffs
Over the weekend they removed tariffs on major electronics and associated components coming from China which should bring a sense of relief to markets
We will most likely see continued softening on the worst of the tariffs as the administration grapples with the true reality of things: MARKETS ARE IN TROUBLE
This softening will give the appearance that things will be OK and we may even see markets rally to new ALL TIME HIGHS
But a rally to new ATHs will be akin to the "eye of the storm" as just like with a Hurricane..the other side of the storm is coming