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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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S&P500 Remarkable 16year Time Cycles call the Top and CorrectionThe S&P500 index (SPX) just made a new All Time High (ATH) and even though it hasn't picked up the pace since the initial very aggressive post-elections rally, it is entering a bullish phase. In fact that is technically the last rally phase of the Bull Cycle that started at the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis in October 2022. The reason behind this is the index' very reliable and consistent Time Cycle pattern that is repeated over and over again within the 16-year Channel Up that had been holding since the bottom of the 2009 Housing Crisis. As you can see on this remarkable trading blue-print, ever since the index recovered the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and turned it into its long-term Support, strong Cycles of Growth (Bullish Leg) and correction (Bearish Leg) phases became the norm. Using the 1M RSI specific overbought pattern, we can see that from those points onwards, the Bull Cycle usually took around 12 months before it topped (Higher High on the Channel Up) and then corrected. This suggests that by September 2025 we may have a new peak and it would be a good idea to have sold stock investments by then. The first two 12-month rallies (2014, 2018) posted +22.10% increases while the third (2021) posted +27.80%. As a result this gives us a potential range of 6800 - 7200 within which selling should occur, in preparation for the 2026 correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
5
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling. The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
5
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025 Market Overview The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279. Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Point: 6123 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010 📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback! 💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
7
US500 - Follow the Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my latest US500 analysis (attached to the chart), it rejected the blue circle zone and surged by over 5%. What's next? 🏹 As long as US500 remains within the short-term rising channel marked in red, any bearish movement toward the lower red trendline should be considered a correction and a potential opportunity to look for trend-following long positions. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
4
SPX Target 6270 - Can It Get There?SPX Targets 6270 – But Can It Get There? | SPX Market Analysis 20 Feb 2025 The SPX is climbing like a caffeinated squirrel... ok, maybe not. It’s more like a slightly confused sloth trying to find second gear!..., while DJX and RUT are stuck in the mud. The breakout move we’ve been waiting for has arrived, and now the question is—does it have enough fuel to hit 6270, or will it stumble and trigger my hedge at 6100? Bollinger Bands are too tight for reliable setups, so I’m sticking with my 6 money-making patterns until volatility expands. Let’s break it all down… --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📈 SPX is Soaring (like a fat pigeon!) – But the Other Indexes Aren’t Joining the Party While SPX is off making new highs, its friends DJX and RUT seem to have lost their invitations. DJX is struggling to gain meaningful ground 📉 RUT can’t even catch an uptick, making it the weakest of the bunch ❌ Meanwhile, SPX is leading the way, with a clear breakout in play A closely following NDX is nipping at SPX's heals 💡 Breakout Confirmed – But Can It Hold? Scenario #1 from our previous discussions has unfolded—the range has broken out. Target: 6270 🎯 Hedge trigger: 6100 in case the move fails This is the good kind of waiting—waiting for profits to materialise 🔄 Why I’m Avoiding Tag ‘n Turn Setups Right Now Normally, after a breakout, I’d shift back to Tag 'n Turn setups. But there’s a problem… Bollinger Bandwidth is too tight, making moves too fast Price is flipping from one side of the bands to the other A Bollinger Band pinch is forming, indicating more compression before expansion So, what’s the plan? ✅ I’ll continue to use my 6 money-making patterns ✅ I’ll wait for volatility to expand before returning to Bollinger setups ✅ No forced trades—only high-probability moves 🚀 Final Takeaway? The breakout is here, the target is set, and the plan is clear. Now, it’s time to let the market do its thing and wait for the move to play out. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2018, Amazon briefly became a $1 trillion company—but it only stayed there for a few hours before dropping back below the threshold. 💡 The Lesson? Even the biggest breakouts can be short-lived—just because a stock (or index) makes a new high doesn’t mean it will stay there forever. Always have a plan—targets and hedge triggers matter.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
4
$SPX RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 SP:SPX RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 Last week was inflation data week and Monday and Tuesday we opened with a gap up and then stayed flat from there until CPI on Wednesday where we dropped down and filled the Monday gap and bounced on the 50 Day Moving Average. After CPI (which came in HOTTT) and the bounce on the 50Day we took it to the downtrend and then pushed passed resistance And then saw resistance at ATH’s - not making new ATH’s even though we did see that in SPY Friday closed Flat, SPY 0.00%, SPX -0.01% Vix UP 4.06% and we closed within the implied move on the day. —— Watching just the 35EMA and the 30min 200MA we opened the week neutral and when price dropped to the 50DMA the 35EMA bounced on the 30min 200MA and we bounced it from there. —- Stupid Willy reading overbought with initial red signal line
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
4
3 Tools for Timing PullbacksPullbacks in trends can offer some of the highest quality trading opportunities, but not all pullbacks are equal. Some offer high-probability setups, while others are warning signs of deeper corrections or trend reversals. So how do you time your entry with confidence? Here are three effective tools to help you navigate pullbacks with precision. 1. Keltner Channels: Spotting Pullbacks Within Volatility Keltner Channels are a volatility-based tool that adapts to changing market conditions. They consist of a central moving average with two outer bands—typically set at a multiple of the average true range (ATR). These bands expand and contract as market volatility changes. How to Use It: When price moves into or beyond the Keltner Channel’s outer bands, it signals that momentum is outpacing short-term volatility. This surge in momentum provides an ideal setup to anticipate a pullback. For timing entries, a steady retracement back to the basis line (middle band) often presents the best opportunity to join the trend. The strongest pullbacks tend to be controlled, showing reduced momentum compared to the initial move. In contrast, a deep retracement all the way to the opposite band suggests strong counter-trend pressure, which could indicate a shift in market dynamics rather than a simple pullback. Example: Gold Daily Candle Chart In this example, we see gold pushing into the upper Keltner Channel, retracing to the basis line, finding support, and then resuming its uptrend. This pattern repeated multiple times during last year’s bull run, offering traders several high-probability entry points. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 2. Anchored VWAP: Confirming Institutional Interest The Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a tool that’s widely used by institutional traders. It tracks the average price a market has traded at, weighted by volume, over a specific period. The key difference with Anchored VWAP is that you can "anchor" it to a significant price point (e.g., a breakout or major low), giving you a dynamic reference point for future price action. How to Use It: Anchor the VWAP to a key price level, like the low of the trend or a breakout point. A pullback to the anchored VWAP is often viewed as a high-probability area for entry. This is because institutional traders may be accumulating positions at this level, making it an important support or resistance zone. When the price pulls back to the VWAP and starts to hold above it, it suggests that demand is outweighing supply, making it a potentially good place to enter. Example: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Having it highs in November, USD/JPY underwent a steady pullback in December, forming a clear base of support at the VWAP anchored to the September trend lows. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results 3. Fibonacci Retracement: Measuring the Depth of the Pullback The Fibonacci retracement tool is one of the most popular tools for measuring the depth of a pullback. It uses horizontal lines at key Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.) to show potential support and resistance areas during a retracement. How to Use It: Identify the high and low of a trending move and apply the Fibonacci retracement tool to measure the distance of the pullback. Traders should be wary of applying too many Fib levels to their chart, so we would favour focusing on just the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. Never assume that Fib levels will hold, wait for price action-based evidence form confirmation. If price action holds at one of these levels and begins to reverse, it suggests that the trend is likely to resume. The deeper the pullback, the more cautious you should be, but price patterns that align with the 61.8% level should still be considered as potential entry points. Example: S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart We can see from this example that the 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci retracement zone was a useful tool for timing pullbacks on the S&P 500. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Bringing It All Together The best time to enter a pullback is when multiple tools align. For instance: A pullback to Keltner Channel's outer band that also aligns with a Fibonacci level could signal a strong buy zone. Anchored VWAP and Fibonacci levels acting together as support can further confirm the validity of the pullback. By combining these tools, you'll have a more comprehensive understanding of where the market is likely to resume its trend, increasing your chances of a successful entry. Example: EUR/USD Daily Candle Chart Here we can see EUR/USD breaks lower – down into the lower Keltner channel. This is followed by a pullback that end up reversing at a confluent zone that includes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, the basis of the Keltner channel, and the VWAP anchored to the highs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Summary: Timing pullbacks effectively can make a huge difference in trading success, and using the right tools helps separate high-probability setups from lower quality trades. Keltner Channels highlight volatility-driven pullbacks, Anchored VWAP identifies levels where institutions may be active, and Fibonacci retracements offer a structured approach to measuring pullback depth. When these tools align, they create confirmation zones that improve trade timing and risk management. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
9
S&P500 Holding Above ATH Zone–Breakout to 6168 or Pullback FirstS&P 500 (SPX500) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025 The S&P 500 is consolidating above the ATH pivot zone (6,122 - 6,129), maintaining its bullish momentum within an ascending channel. The market is testing key levels, with buyers looking to push toward the next resistance zone. Technical Outlook Bullish Scenario: As long as the price holds above 6,122, the uptrend remains intact, targeting 6,168 and 6,224. A breakout above 6,224 could extend the rally toward 6,279. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,122, it could signal a correction toward the 6,102 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H close below 6,102 could lead to further declines toward 6,031 and 6,010. Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Pivot Zone (ATH): 6122 - 6129 🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6,224, 6279 🔹 Support Levels: 6102, 6031, 6010 📈 Directional Bias: The market is expected to test 6,168, and as long as 6,122 holds, the bullish momentum remains valid. A break below 6,122 could lead to a short-term correction. 💬 Will S&P 500 continue its uptrend, or is a pullback coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
S&P 500 - Ending Diagonal Triangle - February 2025The S&P 500 (SPX) could be nearing completion of an Elliott wave – Ending Diagonal Triangle (EDT) that began after the 11/04/24 bottom. This formation is the terminal phase of a larger degree trend. Price frequently throws over the trendline connecting the peaks of the third and first waves. In this case the target zone is SPX 6,145 to 6,165. Time zone for a top is 02/18/25 to 02/20/25. Its rare for U.S. stocks to peak in February. The last time this occurred was just before the 2020 covid crash. The SPX peak was made on 02/19/20. Its possible another SPX February top could be made almost exactly five years after 02/19/20.
SP:SPXShort
by markrivest
4
SPX500 ,,, Probability of BreakoutUptrend As seen in the chart, the S&P 500 has been in a prolonged uptrend. By focusing on key highs and lows, my prediction is that the index will break out of its current level this week. The next target level is 6270, after which I anticipate a pullback to the newly broken level. Overall, I remain optimistic about the market and recommend identifying stocks with strong upward momentum. Consider establishing new buy positions following the breakout. Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by pardis
4
Breakout or Fakeout? SPX at CrossroadsBreakout or Fakeout? SPX at a Critical Crossroads | SPX Market Analysis 17 Feb 2025 Welcome to another shortened trading week, thanks to Presidents' Day (or maybe an extended Valentine's weekend for the lucky ones). With all the nudge nudge, wink wink out of the way, let’s talk setups. I’m watching two key trade scenarios—a breakout continuation or a break-in reversal (aka a false breakout). For now, it’s time to grab a cuppa and a hobnob while waiting for the markets to open. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: ☕ Tea, biscuits, and breakout confirmations With Tuesday’s open ahead, my focus is on two key setups that could determine the next tradable move. Scenario #1 – The Breakout That Needs to Prove Itself On Friday, SPX tried to break out, but price action was about as decisive as someone staring at a restaurant menu for 20 minutes before ordering a burger. Price meandered sideways, leaving traders guessing I chose to sit this one out, because long weekends can mess with momentum Now, we watch if Tuesday brings real follow-through If this breakout is legit, we should see: ✅ A strong push above Friday’s highs ✅ Sustained momentum without rapid reversals ✅ Clean continuation setups for bullish entries If we get weak price action, I’ll hold off on longs and consider the next setup… Scenario #2 – The ‘Break-In’ (A False Breakout Setup) Now, let’s talk about something you won’t find in trading textbooks—the Break-In setup. Think of it like this: Imagine SPX breaking out, getting everyone excited, then suddenly doing a U-turn and slamming back into the previous range. Traders who chased the breakout get trapped, and those who spot the reversal early have a golden shorting opportunity. Signs of a Break-In setup: ❌ Price fails to hold breakout levels ❌ Quick rejection and reversal back into the previous range ❌ Bearish momentum builds instead of continuation If SPX falls back into the range, I’ll be watching for short setups, because these moves can be quick and brutal. So What’s the Plan? 🧐 1. Watch for Tuesday’s Open – If SPX continues Friday’s breakout, we look for bullish setups. If not, the Break-In trade is on the table. 🎯 2. Avoid Jumping in Too Early – Long weekends can create fake momentum that doesn’t hold. Patience is key. 🍪 3. Keep an Eye on Volatility – If volume is weak, the move could be another dud. But if volatility spikes, we could get a real tradeable move. 🚀 Key Takeaway? SPX has picked a direction, but the real move happens once full liquidity returns. Until then, I’ll be enjoying my tea and biscuits while the market figures itself out. Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest post-holiday market crash happened in 1929, when the Dow plunged 12.8% after a weekend—triggering the Great Depression. 💡 The Lesson? Markets don’t take holidays—they just store volatility for later. That’s why smart traders stay prepared for anything after a break.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
4
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Breaking to New All-Time HighShort term Elliott Wave in S&P 500 (SPX) suggests that pullback to 5774.1 ended wave ((4)). The Index has resumed higher in wave ((5)) and broken above previous wave ((3)) peak. Wave ((5)) is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 5871.9 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 5805.4. Wave ((iii)) higher ended at 5964.69 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 5930.72. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 6128.18 and this completed wave 1 in higher degree. Pullback in wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 5962.92 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 6120.91. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 5923.9 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. The Index has resumed higher again in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 6101.28 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 6003. Up from there, wave (i) should end soon, and the Index should pullback in wave (ii) to correct cycle from 2.12.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 5774.1 low stays intact, expect pullback to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
TVC:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1