SP500 market structure analysis on 4h and M15 timeframes- 4H swing is bearish => Current is pullback. - M15 swing is bearish High probability of price decrease following the main trend of 4H timeframe. We can look for selling opportunities in the supply zone of 15min timeframe by quangcttnUpdated 9
US500 Price can continue move down Hi traders what do you think about US500 given suggestion in comments. US500 suggesting a bearish trend with potential support levels at 6015.00 and 5810.00. If you're considering taking a position based on this analysis: Bearish Trend: You might expect the price to continue lower from current levels. Entry at 6015.00: If the price approaches this level and starts to show signs of reversal, you could consider shorting (selling). Support at 5810.00: the price continues to fall or reverses. If it breaks this support, further downside may be expected. if you like this analysis please support my work like and fallow thanks for love. Shortby FxJennefir15
Crystal Balling...Yep views are 2025 and possibly 2026 are going to be bad years for markets - expecting trump to say they left him a mess/disaster in the down years and come 2028 everything to be at new highs and him boasting about how good everything is.Shortby Swoop610
Blood on the Street Next Week, S&P Drop incomingI had expected to see the index start falling this past week, so it was surprising to see it rise in such aggressive bursts, even leaving gaps preceding the last three days' openings. This displayed great strength which, Im expecting, induced many investors to go long. This in my view is just as intended to trap them and close them out on a loss this upcoming week by breaking down sharply and filling out the gaps left behind. As a confirmation of this I'm awaiting to see it move below Friday's low which should really tip the price pressure lower after initially catching some of Friday's longs and generating momentum on those liquidations. Ideally, the price won't revisit the high at 6,055 but the ultimate invalidation point is at the all-time high. Happy Trading :)Shortby HydraFinance9
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Short to support area 5718 (Wave C).Dear colleagues, I believe that the downward movement will continue within the correction (A B C). I expect wave “C” to start moving very soon. I think that the nearest target is the area of 5718 level, because there is a strong support area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!Shortby Hellena_TradeUpdated 222240
SPX500 Bullish Bias! HI,Traders ! SPX500 is trading in an Uptrend and the Indice has Formed a bullish flag Pattern so as the Indice Is breaking out we Are bullish biased And we will be expecting A further move up! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Longby kacim_elloittUpdated 10
S&P 500 / Consolidation with Bearish and Bullish PotentialS&P 500 Analysis The price needs to stabilize below 5,969 to target 5,937, and breaking this level would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend towards 5,893. Alternatively, the price must break above 5,969 by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle to signal a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 6,022. Currently, the market is consolidating between 5,937 and 5,969. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5,969 Resistance Levels: 6,000, 6,022, 6,057 Support Levels: 5,937, 5,908, 5,864 Trend Outlook: Consolidation is observed between 5,937 and 5,969.Longby SroshMayiUpdated 10
Spx versus GoldMake sure you are on the right side of the macro capital flow trends when they turn via a Capital Rotation Event. They can drastically alter your probabilities of success. Spx lost over 86%, then over 94% and 88% versus gold. No reason to go through that pain.by Badcharts5
US500 sellhello friends I hope you are well. By forming this pattern, we can enter into a sales transaction with capital management. If you want an analysis, send us a message. *Trade safely with us* Shortby TheHunters_CompanyUpdated 6
SPX: on a tricky pathDuring the previous two weeks, the US equity market went through a short term correction, amid investors fears that the Fed might halt further cuts of interest rates during the course of this year, due to stronger than expected jobs market and potential surge in inflation in the US. The December inflation figures were posted during the previous week, which showed that the inflation in the US was held below market expectations, which brought back some optimism among investors. The S&P 500 recovered from losses, and ended the week at the level of 5.996. However, the question still remains if the index took a path toward the upside, or is this only a short term optimism? An inauguration of the new US Administration is scheduled for January 20th, where the markets will closely watch what measures will be actually taken within the first week, from all the promises from the pre-election period. The most challenging move is the one related to trade tariffs with China, which might bring some negative impact to the US economy. In this sense, Monday will be a day to watch during the week ahead. For one more week, tech stocks were in the focus of market attention during the previous week. Tesla stocks gained over 3% for the week, followed by other big tech companies and the semiconductor industry. The only stock that is still struggling to regain market cap is Apple, whose shares were hit by news that Apple is losing market share in China due to strong competition from local smartphone producers. Banking sector was also closely watched, as they posted quarterly results. As their earnings were higher from expectations, the stocks of major US banks gained significantly within the week. Goldman Sachs and CITI Group were traded higher by roughly 12%, while JPMorgan was traded higher by 8%. For the week ahead, Monday is the day to watch. After the President-elect won the US elections in November, the market reacted in a positive manner. Whether this optimism will continue to hold after his inauguration is to be seen during the week ahead. by XBTFX6
Weekly GEX Insights: 01/13 SPX dropTotal Correction? What Can an Options Trader Do in This Situation? How Far Might We Fall This Week? We’ll tackle these questions in this week’s options newsletter! It looks like the new president hasn’t even been sworn in yet, but the market is already reacting with fear to every statement he makes. Last week’s economic data didn’t help ease those concerns either. SPX Weekly Analysis Friday’s red candle set a bearish tone heading into this week. Everyone is predicting and pricing in a potential market apocalypse, and I keep getting the same question: “Greg, how far can we fall?” My answer remains the same: we can fall indefinitely—nobody can know for certain ahead of time. What we can do, however, is analyze our charts and use the our weekly GEX profile to identify the key levels, so we can better understand the market’s dynamics. Examining expirations through Friday, every NETGEX profile is negative , so we can expect volatile movements this week. We’re currently trading below the HVL level, which means that market makers are likely to move in tandem with retail traders. This typically results in bigger swings. We already saw this heightened volatility last week—just look at the size of the candles, and you can tell how quickly sentiment can shift. Below 5965 (the HVL level), we are in a high volatility zone what lies underneath? 1st Support Range: 5780–5800 5800: Currently the strongest PUT support level on the downside. A correction may pause here due to profit-taking. Right beneath this level is the previous gap-fill zone. Remember, these areas function as ranges rather than single lines, as I’ve highlighted down to 5780. This could easily be a take-profit target for traders playing gap fills—an approach that’s quite popular. 2nd Support Range: 5700–5650 (Very Strong) Starting at 5700: We encounter another robust PUT support zone. This area is reinforced by previous lows, previous highs, and the 4/8 grid boundary from our indicator. Even if nowhere else, many expect at least a local rebound to occur within these levels. Putting it all together, it’s clear that the weekly trading range is shaping up to be roughly between 5680 and 5965, expecting big & volatile moves. Remember, CPI and PPI data are coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, which could trigger additional volatility. When looking at SPX, SPY, or /ES futures, my opinion is that the rapidly spiking implied volatility (IV) during a market drop, along with a PUT pricing skew, can present favorable opportunities for options traders. The distance to the strongest lower support zone is around 100–150 points, so you could: Trade directionally for the short term—hoping to be either right or wrong quickly, or Try to profit from the market situation in a more strategic way (which is what I typically do). Personally, I prefer the second approach: I’ll open short-term (a few days) credit put ratio spreads for a small credit, which gives me a wide breakeven range and a big “tent” on the downside. by TanukiTradeUpdated 9
Have We Topped?Structure wise fits for a top to be in or damn close here - many are expecting 2025 to be a great year for markets however I think we're going to trend down.Shortby Swoop66
US500 in a Possible Bullish ABC WaveUS500 in a Possible Bullish ABC Wave Since January 6th, the price has decreased by nearly 2.45%, from 6018 to 5871. This decline formed a 5-wave movement. It appears the bottom was completed at 5871, and the price may now start forming the C wave of the ABC pattern. If everything proceeds as expected, US500 should develop as shown in the chart, with resistance areas found near 5927, 5962, and 5994. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️Longby KlejdiCuni5549
The S&P 500 May Have Positive SignsStocks have declined since early December, but some traders may expect the longer-term uptrend to resume. The first pattern on today’s S&P 500 chart is 5,783, the close on Election Day (November 5). The index tested and held that level last week, potentially suggesting support is in place. Second is the falling trendline along the recent peaks. SPX may be attempting to push back above that resistance. Third, MACD is turning higher and prices are back above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Next, the 63-day rate of change has been positive since November 2023. It bounced slightly above 0 last week to preserve that condition. Prices also held their rising 100-day SMA. Those points may confirm longer-term strength. Speaking of November 2023, last week saw the 10-year Treasury yield revisit levels from that period before dipping. Staying below those levels may be a positive for sentiment. Speaking of sentiment, the American Association of Individual Investors' (AAII) weekly survey just had a bullish reading of 25 percent and a bearish reading of 41 percent. Those were the most extreme on the negative side since early November 2023. In other words, three indicators point back to the start of the current bull run in November 2023: 63-day rate of change, the 10-year Treasury yield and AAII sentiment. In addition, data from FactSet suggests earnings are poised for their quickest growth since late 2021. Could those points -- combined with the technical patterns on SPX -- be interpreted as positives? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means. by TradeStation5
US Investors Focus on Earnings and S&P 500 OutlookUS Equity Investors Focus on Corporate Earnings and Policy Announcements US equity investors are set to focus on major corporate earnings this week while also keeping an eye on potential trade policy announcements from the Trump administration and developments in macroeconomic data. S&P 500 Analysis The S&P 500 price continues to exhibit bullish momentum, supported by strong buying pressure and robust fourth-quarter earnings results. There is potential for a corrective move toward 6000, which could act as a springboard for a further rally. If the price pushes higher, it may target 6051, and a sustained move above this level could see it test 6099. A 4-hour candle close above 6099 would strengthen the bullish case. To turn bearish, the price must break below 6000 and achieve a 4-hour candle close below 5969. Key Levels Pivot Point: 6020 Resistance Levels: 6051, 6099, 6143 Support Levels: 6000, 5969, 5937 Trend Outlook The trend remains bullish while the price stays above 6020 and 6000. A break below these levels could indicate a bearish shift. Previous idea: Longby SroshMayi5
S&P500 Only buy above this level.S&P500 is trading on a Channel Up and today crossed over the MA50 (1d) again. In order to confirm any bullish sentiment, it has to cross above the Falling Resistance coming from the previous high. If it does, it can technically follow the growth % of the previous bullish waves that was +7.15%. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price crosses above the Falling Resistance. Targets: 1. 6180 (+7.15% from the bottom). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has already crossed over its MA trendline. Already a strong bullish breakout. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan: by TradingBrokersView6
Can a breakthrough to the upside be maintained of S&P500?From the technical side, we are seeing a small push higher, breaking above a short-term downside line. Despite this being a somewhat positive occurrence, we would rather wait to see where we close at the end of Friday. For more information, please see the video. MARKETSCOM:US500 RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.06:58by Marketscom6
US Stocks Surge as Trump Takes Office: Will the Rally Continue?The US stock market is buzzing with excitement as President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20 approaches. On Friday, January 17, the major indices saw significant gains, with: ● S&P 500 SP:SPX rose 59 points, or 1% ● Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI increased 335 points, or 0.8% ● Nasdaq composite NASDAQ:IXIC surged 292 points, or 1.5% ◉ Major Sector Driving Gains The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, has been instrumental in this upward momentum. ◉ Investor Sentiment Investors are optimistic about Trump's policies, but concerned about potential inflationary pressures. Experts believe Trump's administration could lead to significant growth due to: 1. Increased Government Stimulus: Trump's background as a real estate developer may result in policies designed to stimulate economic growth. 2. Technological Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology are expected to create new industries and opportunities. 3. Lower Interest Rates: There is speculation that Trump may implement lower interest rates to further encourage economic expansion. Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic, with investors closely monitoring Trump's policies.Longby NaranjCapital2
Stock Market Show Relative Initial Calm After Trump InaugurationFollowing the inauguration of Donald Trump and the observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, U.S. stock markets resumed activity with a positive tone, as the S&P 500 advanced 0.4% at the start of the session. This initial optimism is supported by the relative calm that followed the first day of operations under the new administration. Although the president reiterated his intention to reform the trade system to “protect Americans” and threatened tariffs and duties on foreign countries, later making specific references to Mexico and Canada with a potential 25% tariff starting in February, the absence of concrete measures created a sense of tranquility in the markets. This lack of immediate action, contrasting with prior rhetoric, has been a key factor for stabilization. The initial moderation in implementing trade measures, compared to the campaign tone, has injected caution and optimism into the markets. This pause allows investors to carefully assess future economic directives. This respite is also reflected in the fixed-income market. Yields on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond have declined, dropping below the 4.6% threshold after hitting a multi-year high of 4.8% on January 14. This decline in yields supports risk-taking in other assets, fueling optimism in the equity market. However, it is crucial to remain cautious. While the absence of drastic initial measures has calmed markets, uncertainties surrounding trade policies are likely to resurface in the future. Potential trade moves and their impact on inflation remain a risk factor to closely monitor. It is too early to celebrate a definitive victory on the trade front. Tensions are highly likely to reignite and generate market volatility. The key will be to observe the evolution of negotiations and the actual implementation of announced policies. Looking ahead, attention will begin to shift to the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Investors will be particularly attentive to any indications providing clarity on the stance of the Federal Reserve (Fed), especially following the economic optimism that characterized the early weeks of January. Recent inflationary economic data, such as the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), which showed positive surprises, have helped to relatively moderate expectations for a more restrictive monetary policy. The FOMC meeting will be crucial to understanding the Fed’s view on the current state of the economy and its future outlook. Any signals regarding the direction of interest rates, as is customary, will have a significant impact on the markets. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. by Pepperstone3
$SPX Exit Stage LeftWe have several things going on with the SP:SPX Right now. Some say its a bullflag, Some say it's a head and shoulders. The simplest explanation often being the best, SP:SPX is testing a downtrend line that was formed as a result of price action continuously rejecting at a Supply Level. Price is consolidating, however with the aggressive short attack on the SP:SPX at the close Friday, valuations being in the clouds and meme coin holders being rugged by world leaders, I would say there is a more than fair chance all this stupidity marks a top. With a very dubious and undecided CCI, weather we break above first or break lower first does not matter. We are going down. First target is a closing of that huge Wide open space at 5850. Then Liquidity at 5700 and a third target at 5400. We will see after that. Don't forget to Short the NSE:BANKNIFTY too...Shortby Midgar-4
SPX: correction is over?The start of the year was not very pleasant for the US equity markets. The latest drop in the value of the major US indices was induced by adjusted expectations on the effects of “higher for longer” interest rates in the US. Namely, the US economy is standing relatively good with a still strong jobs market. The US added 256K jobs in December, which was strongly higher from market expectations. At the same time, the unemployment rate dropped by 0,1 percentage points, to the level of 4,1%. These figures are absolutely good for the US economy, however, they did not make investors happy. The tricky part is that the market is now expecting that the Fed will halt further decrease of interest rates, where some analysts are noting the potential for the first 25 bps cut in September this year. The environment of still increased interest rates will not support the growth of US companies, especially small-caps, in a way that the market has previously estimated. This was the initial premise, based on which, the S&P 500 ended the week lower, reaching the level of 5.827 on Friday. At this moment the main question is whether the market will continue with a correction, or is it now a good time to buy the dip? Probably some higher volatility is expected around and on the day of the FOMC meeting in January, when investors will get additional information regarding the course of the US interest rates from FED officials. This date will set the course for the rest of the year. Still, during this period some higher volatility is possible. In technical analysis there is a clear line which connects bottoms on a 1D chart, from October 2023, then bottom in august 2024 and current bottom at Fridays levels. So, charts are noting, if this level is sustained during the next week or two, then the market will revert back to the upside. In case that current levels are breached toward the downside, that should be an indication of a higher correction in the future period. by XBTFX7
Breakout or back to lower bound?Crucial moment for s&p500... Breakout here? Resume uptrend? Or back to the lower bound of the channel... around $5750, for another lower low? Exciting for bulls... scary for bears... Stay Strong, Co9by Co93
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.16.2024🔮 📅 Thu Jan 16 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core Retail Sales m/m: 0.5% (prev: 0.2%) 📊 Retail Sales m/m: 0.6% (prev: 0.7%) 📊 Unemployment Claims: 210K (prev: 201K) 📊 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index: -5.2 (prev: -16.4) 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: On a gap up, we will hold and run higher. Weekly will pin it down. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Craziest thing was the amount of people trying to call the top today. For tomorrow, any dip would be bought back up unless people start being unanimously bullish. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Instead of a decisive move, it will be volatile, so daytrade. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing by PogChan2