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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
7
$SPX: wait for the confirmation! Hello everyone! Today, I want to publish a chart showing the relationship between CBOE:SPX and the SPX/M2SL. Briefly, the idea is that if the ratio reaches its extreme (the upper or the lower Bollinger Band), the SPX will bounce. I marked it with colorful arrows, and the vertical lines show the exact timing of the decision moments, with the following direct moving in the opposite direction. M2Sl is simply the M2 Money Stock measure, which is a key indicator of the money supply in the United States. It includes all components of M1 (such as cash and checking deposits) plus several less-liquid assets like savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money market funds (according to the fred.stlouisfed.org) If the SPX/M2SL confirms its double bottom this time, we may see a relief rally (even in the short term for the current bearish environment). I like this framework, it is slow, and helps to find some ground under your feet. Stay profitable!
SP:SPXLong
by ChartsPlusFun
It doesn't look good.The indexes have shown a lot of wild swings recently, as the markets react to the economic policies from the federal government and the geopolitical outlook. Tariffs are a tax imposed to imported products and passed along to the end consumer, causing higher prices, so higher inflation. As the president said, it's going to cause "a little disturbance". The market is anticipating a longer pause in the reduction of interest rates, since higher inflation is not a good environment to be dovish. Higher inflation, pause on interest rates, unemployment rate at 4.0%, and yet to know how it moved in February after the layoffs, foreign countries retaliating with tariffs on products from USA, an unresolved peace agreement in Ukraine and Palestine are ingredients for a Bear Market. The RSI is already showing a bearish divergence that started in May-July last year. The RSI exited the Overbought area and it's crossing down the midline, which signals a bearish market. The SPX crossed down the 20ma in the Weekly and it made the cross of death (20 ma crossed under 50 ma) in the daily. Yesterday the index settled at 5842, under the 20 weekly ma, and it found support, so we may expect a couple of days with an uptrend rally in what is known as "Back to Normal". The VIX has been stubbornly above the 20 level. Yesterday it closed shy from this level. Unless we see a more relaxed VIX then this level signals we'll have volatility and lower lows in the weeks ahead. The market never moves in a straight line, on the way down previous resistance levels turn into support. If the divergence is confirmed by a lack of new all time highs (most likely), and if the market won't trade in the range, then brace for impact. If the economy enters into recession, which looks like it's being done on purpose, the Fed will be "forced" to reduce the interest rates. We'll see if the policies will be softened, or if the government is going in full force, and in that case, I hope it'll be a "controlled" crash landing.
SP:SPXShort
by Madrid
3
S&P500: Potential Channel Up rebound on the 1D MA200.S&P500 is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.564, MACD = -60.140, ADX = 38.870) as it unfolded the bearish wave of the long term Channel Up. The sequence has hit its 1D MA200 though, which is the major Support on this timeframe and being also the bottom of the Channel Up, we should be expecting a rebound. The first bearish wave of the Channel Up surpassed the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, so that is a valid technical target. The trade is long, TP = 6,300. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
1
S&P500 INTRADAY Bearish energy build up below 5920Bearish Scenario: The intraday sentiment remains bearish, with the recent price action appearing as a corrective pullback. The key resistance level to watch is 5920—a rejection at this level could trigger renewed selling pressure. A move lower could target initial support at 5730, with further downside extending toward 5624 and potentially 5600 if bearish momentum persists. Bullish Scenario: Alternatively, a breakout above 5920 and a daily close higher would negate the bearish outlook and shift momentum in favor of the bulls. This could open the door for a rally toward 6000, followed by 6052 and ultimately 6160 if buying pressure continues. Summary: The S&P 500 is at a critical decision point, with 5920 acting as the key level. A rejection here favors further downside, while a breakout and sustained strength above it could signal a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action for confirmation of the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Markets Bouncing Like Gummy Bears – What’s Next?Markets Bouncing Like Gummy Bears – What’s Next? | SPX Market Analysis 06Mar 2025 The market is bouncing around like a gummy bear on gummy juice—up one day, down the next, sometimes both in the same session. But now, a short-term price range is forming, making trade setups much clearer. This new range, which is easier to see on ES futures, aligns perfectly with my 6 money-making patterns, guiding bullish, bearish, and neutral scenarios. ADD is at an upper extreme, overnight futures are selling off, and we have tariff wars & red flag news on deck—so patience continues to rule the day. The market is setting up for its next big move, and I’ll be ready when it fires. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The markets continue to whipsaw traders, creating choppy and indecisive price action. But amidst the chaos, a short-term range is forming, providing clearer trade setups based on my 6 money-making patterns. 📌 The Market Setup – A Tight Range is Emerging A short-term, well-defined price range is forming (visible on ES futures) This creates clear "what to do" signals based on my system Three possible scenarios: Bullish breakout – if buyers take control Bearish breakdown – if sellers push through support Neutral range-bound action – if price continues to chop around 📌 Key Market Observations Today ADD is at an upper relative extreme – signalling a possible short-term pullback Price is near the upper boundary of the range – a natural resistance level Overnight futures are already selling off – adding to the bearish bias 📌 What Could Trigger the Next Big Move? Tariff wars unfolding – potential for market-moving headlines Red flag news this month – major economic reports could act as a catalyst Markets at a tipping point – just waiting for the right push 📌 How I’m Trading This: ✅ Hedged for movement in either direction—no need to predict, just react ✅ Waiting for confirmation before making a move—patience wins ✅ Watching for breakouts or failures at range extremes This is a textbook setup—range-bound markets lead to breakouts, and I’ll be ready to capitalize on the move when it comes. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? In 2009, a Twitter hoax claiming President Obama was injured caused the S&P 500 to drop 1% in minutes, wiping out billions in market value—before bouncing back when the truth came out. 💡 The Lesson? The market reacts to headlines before verifying facts—a reminder that patience and confirmation matter in trading.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
SPX500 - Bulls Need Strong Entry Bar - 6 Mar 2025 The report below uses the Spy chart which is the Normal Trading House. • The market traded lower earlier to retest the March 4 low but formed a higher low. The market then reversed higher into the close, closing the daily candlestick as a bull inside bar closing in its upper half. • The bulls see the market trading in a broad bull channel and want the move to continue for months. They want an endless pullback bull trend. • They want a retest of the all-time high (Dec 6) followed by a breakout and trend resumption. They see the current move (Mar 4) as a bear leg within the trading range. • They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jan 13 and Mar 4) and a wedge (Feb 25, Feb 28, and Mar 4). • They hope the bottom of the 22-week trading range will act as support. They want a failed breakout below the January 13 low. So far, the breakout below the trading range low has limited follow-through selling. • At the least, they want a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-day EMA). They must create a strong entry bar today (March 6) to increase the odds of the bull leg beginning. • If the market trades lower, they want the November 4 or October 3 low to act as support. • The bears got a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal, a wedge top (Dec 6, Jan 24, and Feb 19), and a smaller double top (Jan 24 and Feb 19). • They see the market as being in a 22-week trading range. • They got a bear leg to retest the January 13 low and hope to get a breakout followed by a measured move based on the height of the 22-week trading range. • So far, the breakout below the January 13 low has limited follow-through selling. • If the market trades higher, they want the bear trend line or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance. • They want at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the March 4 low after a pullback (bounce). • So far, the market is trading in a 22-week trading range. • The SPX broke below the January 13 low (Mar 4) but the follow-through selling has been limited. • The move down is strong enough for traders to expect at least a small second leg sideways to down after a pullback (bounce). • For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a strong bull entry bar today. • Or will the market trade slightly higher, but stall and close with a long tail or a bear body instead? • The bulls need to create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to show that they are back in control. • The bears must create a strong breakout below the January 13 low with follow-through selling to convince traders a breakout could be underway. • Traders may BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within the trading range until there is a breakout from either direction with follow-through buying/selling.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by Tech_Trader88
2
SPX 1D 200 EMA Retest? As the 9&21W EMAs cross and a new local low printing after a SFP top, could the S&P500 be getting its first major correction since Jan 2022? From a TA standpoint this kind of setup looks to be high probability with good R:R for the bears. Targeting the 1W 200 EMA is the most logical area as it remains major support and whenever tested holds strong. From a bulls standpoint this is worrying but could be rectified with a reclaim of the 9&21 EMAs preventing a "death cross" from there acceptance above the high would be the next step to maintain the rally. Fundamentals play a major role and the geopolitical world shows no signs of slowing down, perhaps the tariffs angle is introducing uncertainty in American companies? Or the index is just exhausted from 2.5 years of climbing? Either way the chart is an interesting one to monitor for now.
SP:SPX
by ProR35
4
Another 682 point crash for S&P500 to 5,130?It's been a brutal year so far with the Trump Presidency. And it's been a rough year for the S&P 500, dropping from 6,149 to 5,811. The main culprit? Political instability in the U.S. The current administration’s unpredictable decisions, sudden tariff hikes, and policy shifts have left investors uneasy and consumers lacking confidence. Here are six executive orders that have dragged the market down: Tariff Hikes on China, Mexico, Canada and Europe – Higher import costs hurt U.S. businesses, especially in tech and retail, slashing profits. Remember imposing tariffs are one thing but there will be retaliatory action. Environmental Rollbacks – ESG investors pulled back, hitting energy and industrial stocks. Work Visa Cuts – Tech and healthcare struggled to hire, slowing innovation. Healthcare Subsidy Cuts – Uncertainty in insurance and pharma led to stock drops. Also with the cutting of USAID and with turbulence with WHO this isn't helping the situation Trade Agreement Pullouts – Supply chain chaos hurt multinational corporations. ALso with the cutting ties with Ukraine and now with the UK prohibiting funding to the Ukraine (latest on) With shaky policies and no clear direction, market confidence is shot. Until stability returns, expect more turbulence. With the price action, it is possible to see this M Formation play out for the SP500. And it is looking bad, really bad - not great - In Trump's voice. M Formation Price<20MA Needs to break <200MA Then the next target will be around 5,130... Let's actually hope I am wrong this time and something miraculously happens to pump up the market again. We can take advantage and short stocks, indices etc... But there is a moral issue involved with wanting the market to crash. Remember that.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Timonrosso
2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level2022 Déjà Vu? Markets Stalling at a Critical Level | SPX Market Analysis 05 Mar 2025 We expected roller-coaster swings this week, and the market hasn’t disappointed. The price action feels oddly familiar, reminiscent of early 2022, when a failed all-time high attempt led to a slow, choppy bear market. Right now, the market is stuck at a key decision point—dithering at the lower range like it can’t decide whether to break down or bounce back up. ADD data leans slightly bullish, suggesting a possible range-bound chop with an upward bias, unless sellers take full control and push us into the February/March correction cycle. No need to guess—I’m hedged and ready for either outcome. The only thing left to do? Wait for the market to tip its hand. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The market is moving exactly as expected—lots of noise, little commitment, and price action that mirrors early 2022, just before the slow-motion bear market began. 📌 What’s Happening Right Now? Markets failed to make new highs and are now chopping near the range lows The last time we saw this structure? Early 2022 before a major shift downward Price is hesitating, signalling traders are waiting for a catalyst 📌 Two Possible Outcomes: 1️⃣ A Range Reversal (Bullish Scenario) ADD data suggests a short-term bullish bias A grinding, sideways move with an upward tilt is likely Ideal for small, quick trades—but no trend confirmation yet 2️⃣ The February-March Correction Cycle (Bearish Scenario) If support fails, sellers could accelerate the move lower Seasonal trends often bring a correction this time of year Watching for signs of a decisive breakdown 📌 How I’m Approaching This Market: ✅ Staying hedged so that a move in either direction is fine ✅ Being patient—waiting for a strong move before committing capital ✅ Avoiding impulse trades—letting the market tell me what’s next Traders who rush in too early this week could get chopped up in the indecision, while those who wait for a clear confirmation will be in the best position to capitalize. --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day percentage drop in history wasn’t 2008—it was Black Monday in 1987, when the Dow crashed 22.6% in a single day. 💡 The Lesson? Markets can collapse out of nowhere, but structured traders with hedges and a system don’t panic—they profit.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 1D MA200 hit after 16 months!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a multi-year Channel Up since the October 12 2022 market bottom and hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 16 months (since November 01 2023). This is naturally an excellent technical buy entry for the long-term on this structure but is also a Higher Low for the Channel Up. At the same time, the 1D RSI has almost reached its oversold barrier (30.00), which during those 2.5 years has offered the 5 most optimal buy signals. Given that each rally after such Higher Low has been -4% weaker than the previous, we can expect the one that is about to begin to be +20% (-4% less than the previous one of +24%). As a result, our new long-term Target is 6900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
5