Market Crash SPXOverall market crash. At a minimum 20% correction down to the 200MA. Second scenario is a bounce off the 200MA to form a head & shoulders with an approximate 50% drop similar to 2000 and 2008. Bottoming around July 2026.Shortby JeJ777Published 0
SPX500 correction soon to be finishedQuick idea to show that the Hash Ribbon indicator has turned green on 1D an Hourly timeframe. The MACD is about to touch bottom and reverse. These are signs that this correction is about to end. The SPX 500 just needed some cool down before continuing its uptrend, starting Monday I think.by CryptoNikkoidUpdated 6
Is The US Stock Market Overvalued? Ask Buffet Indicator.The Buffett Indicator, named after renowned investor Warren Buffett, is a popular metric used to assess the valuation of the US stock market by comparing it to the nation's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). This ratio provides a clear picture of how the market's value stacks up against the economy's overall output. Understanding the Buffett Indicator - Buffett Indicator measures the ratio of total US stock market value to GDP. - Current value: 197% as of May 31, 2024. - Historical trend suggests a typical value closer to 100%. - 1.9 standard deviations above the trend line indicates significant overvaluation. Market Growth vs. Economic Growth - High Buffett Indicator value suggests a potential market bubble. - Disparity between market growth and economic output. - Historically, high ratios have led to market corrections. - Overvalued markets increase the risk of significant retracements. Impact of Interest Rates - Low interest rates drive investors towards equities, inflating stock prices. - Bonds offer lower returns, pushing capital into the stock market. - Rising interest rates could shift money back to bonds, pressuring stock prices. - The indicator's high value underscores the risk of a correction if interest rates increase. International Sales and Overvaluation - The indicator does not account for international sales of US companies. - Global revenues can distort the picture of domestic economic health. - High Buffett Indicator may reflect these global sales, adding to overvaluation. - Investors should consider conservative strategies until valuations return to historical norms.Educationby MarkitMavenPublished 223
SPX Secular Bull Trend AnalysisFollowing this bullish trend upwards, the upper bounds of the channel lines up with 7500. I am bullish until 7500. I don't know what kind of retracement we will get after that but it will be quickly bought back up. The ultimate price target is 16,000 It seems like a sideways price delivery under 7500 until the breakout possibly 2029. This seems to line up with my Dow Jones thesis as well. I am 100% bullish for the next 15 years and will keep buying every available, buyable dip up until 16,000 At no point will I ever fear a "Crash". I see all declines as buyable opportunities on both S&P and the Dow. End of Secular Bull Trend Price Targets: S&P: 16,000 Dow: 150,000Longby Dow_Jones_MaestroUpdated 221
SPX Buy At 5350 Target At 7500 (Buy Trade Setup)I will be placing my buy order on ES market open Sunday afternoon. The S&P is EXTREMELY bullish and still has over 2000 points of upside potential before the November 2025 dump. My ultimate price target for S&P for 2042 is 16,000 I will be risking 100 points or at 5250 for 2150 points One MES contract if that is all one is able to afford, is $500 risk and $10,000 reward. 25:1 The S&P is extremely bullish compared to Dow Jones. I believe S&P is leading while Dow is slightly behind. The conservative entry would be the daily close above the counter trend line.Longby Dow_Jones_MaestroUpdated 0
US500 ABCIt is about reading the price pattern and the result of the indicators I will only share with you what the result of the analysis shows. This could be wrong, but I believe it will rise MD♣Longby MoralDiscipleUpdated 2
SPX is expected to pull back in the coming August and September. Seasonal Patterns: The chart shows that historically, August and September tend to have negative performance for the S&P 500 (SPX). August has an average return of -0.05%, while September shows an average of -1.83%. Current Trend: The recent price action shows a significant downturn, which could continue into these traditionally weak months. Volatility: The large red candle on the most recent bar suggests increased volatility, which often precedes further pullbacks. Volume: The high volume accompanying the recent drop (7.191B) indicates strong selling pressure, which might persist. Technical Setup: The double top formation visible on the chart often precedes extended downward moves. Trading Recommendations: Short-term Short: Given the clear downtrend and technical patterns, further decline is possible. Consider establishing short positions for the short term. Set Stop-Loss: If going short, suggest placing stop-loss just above previous highs, around 5,600-5,650 points. Target: First target could be set near 5,200 points, a potential support level. Watch for Rebounds: If a strong rebound occurs, especially with high volume, it might present a long opportunity. Risk Management: Given high market volatility, use smaller position sizes and adhere strictly to stop-losses. Shortby curtischangTWPublished 0
SPY - AI ViewThis auto view shows a significant drop to SPY 2250 levels. Good idea to raise cash and sit back waiting for the dust to settle. But have been building a short position at the 5500 level.Shortby AssetDesignPublished 0
S&P 500 is gonna fall soon!!As you can see the rising wedge has broken and now price can fall to PRZ zone . the safe zone for s&p500 is's $5000 . ✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad. _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!Longby CobraVanguardPublished 44106
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index (Spooz) displayed notable volatility during the current week's trading session, departing from recent trends. As an analysis of the Weekly Chart for July 26 reveals the index reached the projected Mean Support level of 5402 before surging to the designated target, Mean Res 5567. Upon achieving this target, the Spooz dropped to our selected Inner Index Dip 5345 target like a bad habit. The prevailing price action suggests a sustained uptrend toward the Mean Res 5449 and a possible extension to the Mean Res 5525 in the upcoming week's trading sessions. It is worth noting that these attained targets are likely to exert downward pressure.by TradeSelecterPublished 2
SP500 SP 500, Parabolic move coming in equities soon. Livermore Speculative ChartLongby coding_thoughtsPublished 2
Clear Rollover Market TopNo one really saw this coming A world economic slowdown at our doorstep...? Right now...? Talk about an early Halloween trick or treat. Just 48 hours ago, the Federal Reserve Bank Chairman of the United States exuded confidence that the central bank was threading the needle on both dual mandates on their charge, inflation and job growth. Well so much for that. Todays US job report for June,squashed the endless bubble that had been brewing. US economic growth and massive debt financing,finally caught up with big business. Don't feel too sorry for them. They still make billions. Technically the two charts included here,show a clear rollover stock market top. I mean if it wasn't so classic a rollover pattern it then it wouldn't have been so obvious. The S+P 500 has topped, and rolled over. The VIX hit 30 today. SPX Close 5346.55 I'll let you guess how this is all going to play out,.. in the weeks and months ahead. THE_UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT Shortby The_UnwindPublished 7
Time to Exit?Although i will not be taking my own advice... Looking at the SPX and comparing it to the USINTR (US Int Rates) historyically, it looks like the best time to sell is right before they begin to cut rates and the best time to buy is right when they finally stop cutting rates... I'm too deep in the market and my plan still has more time in it so i'm not exiting until 2025... Lets see how this cookie crumbles... May the luck forever be in our favor. Z - 8/2/24 7pmby Zavon123Published 1
SP500 Ending Diagonal from the COVID low.Here's a potential SP500 wave count. The current selloff looks like a ABC corrective pattern a 3-3-5 wave count if the current selloff is the 5 wave C wave down to complete the selloff. It just needs a lower low to complete the 5 waves down from the high of the B wave.by RonBjustromPublished 0
A potential SP500 wave countHere's a potential SP500 wave count. The current selloff looks like a ABC corrective pattern a 3-3-5 wave count if the current selloff is the 5 wave C wave down to complete the selloff. It just needs a lower low to complete the 5 waves down from the high of the B wave.by RonBjustromPublished 0
Potential Wave Count for SP500Here's a potential SP500 wave count. The current selloff looks like a ABC corrective pattern a 3-3-5 wave count if the current selloff is the 5 wave C wave down to complete the selloff. It just needs a lower low to complete the 5 waves down from the high of the B wave.Longby RonBjustromPublished 0
S&P 500 makes island top today indicates more selling to come 5%Bearish case - Island top reversal made today suggests further selling unless the gap can be closed Expect the price to move back to the 200EMA which is 5% away If it does not stop there it could be a small trend change as it happened on NFP non farm payrolls day Not advice only for educational purposes Shortby William_PlayfairPublished 3
SPX | Market Cycles, Life Cycles & The Technological CycleThe biggest index in the world, goes bearish... Hello my dear reader, are you ready for more? The markets have been around for hundreds and hundreds of years. The markets will continue to exist for hundreds and hundreds of years more. We cannot let negativity take the best of us. We cannot lose focus because the market is doing what it is supposed to do and what it has always done; it moves through different cycles, alternating between down and up. We cannot fight between each other just because it is night, and soon, it will become day. At one point in time we have summer but then comes winter, after a short while, summer again. We can see cycles all throughout nature; the flowers, the animals, the moon, the sun and the stars. The markets are no different, everything is part of nature and thus the market must follow a cyclic pattern because life is not random at all. The good news is that we know that it doesn't matter what happens, it is not the end of the world. Prices can move down, and this immediately guarantees that eventually they will move back up. The long-term trend is maximum growth and this positive ascending life cycle is only starting... We are set to experience thousands and thousands of years of sustained growth. The SPX Technical Analysis We will be looking at mainly two signals: 1) Rising wedge. A rising wedge pattern has already been broken, with three consecutive weeks closing red. These are strong red candles supported by high volume. 2) MACD bearish divergence. The SPX produced a strong bearish divergence with the MACD. This is a very, very strong divergence and a bearish cross is also present on the MACD. Similar signals were present mid-2023, which led to a ~10% correction. The difference this time around is based on the change of the FEDs policies and the USA elections. Bearish volume is also higher and the stock market is all-around over-bought. A correction tends to balance things out, and once the correction is over, we resume our trajectory of sustained long-term growth. Life Cycles There is a tendency to belief that the world, the financial markets and anything we can think of is always on the brink of collapse, this due to the news and also past experiences. If we go by real data, facts and available global statistics, all the doom scenarios that have been proposed in the past 100 years or so never materialized. There has been some scenarios saying that we would run out of oil, energy, etc.; Other scenarios would say that the earth would freeze by 1980. Others instead said the earth would drown due to high heat by the year 2000. Others instead insist that if the world population reached 5billion, we would all be dead for one reason or the other. Needless to say, we are now at almost 8billion and growing. The reason why the world never ends is because we are in the positive, ascending, life growing cycle. We are just at the beginning of a massive technological cycle. Each time there is a problem, a new solution is developed. "The Financial system is doomed!" Bitcoin shows up. Whenever a problem becomes apparent, just know that is not the end of the world, the world will continue to do just fine and we humans will continue to live and evolve. There is no way out of life, so get used to it... We are only getting started... After the bear-market/correction, we are definitely set for maximum growth. The stock market will not stop existing. The banks will adapt and evolve. Many outdated systems will be weeded out, but this is not the end of the world. Life is good. Pain encourages growth. If you prepare, you can even avoid the pain and profit from this drop. Namaste.Shortby AlanSantanaPublished 6638
The Graveyard in the SkyI won't be analyzing any paterns.I will let you enjoy the beautiful shooting star near the all time highs.Shortby MonstralianUpdated 2219
Breakdown of our SHORT SPX TRADEExpected move yesterday close was 5380 Morning Call we said 5380 will Resistance Traget was 5312 I we teach SPX reset everyday, VWAP great tool for direction . Happy everyone in the room made money!! Stay Frosty!06:13by Beyond_ChartsPublished 0
Remember March 2020? $spx $spyRemember when we had the market crash of days with more than 4% decline daily? Well we are about to have a short taste of what was like, be prepared the market will moon very quicky... the factors could be many but the direction is clear. the markets are overly extended and have already touched the yearly h5 resistance. the political factors together could lead to this big decline combined with the fed policy. Tomorrow is the day and after the initial dumb and delight that will have from the FED I expect a taste of the March 2020 days. Get ready and see you at the end of august! more information on my socials ,see you thereShortby Time_OracleUpdated 665
SPX 666The S&P has proven itself a safe haven over the years and will likely continue doing so. There are a ton of reasons why the markets should collapse, nonetheless here we are rallying into the sunset. Taking a step back on the logarithmic scale we can see the pattern clearly. We are in the midst of a 3rd wave up with plenty of room to run... but where to? Near term and long term targets below. Using the Fibonacci extension tool we can overlay a road map to the next destinations. No surprise there is a near perfect match. The Near Term Top The 2.618 level above at 4,500 is an area to pay attention to and is the current near term target. My strategy continues to be 'buy the dip' all the way up to these macro levels using the 1 hour chart with an RSI set to 10. However, 4,500 on the S&P does not look like the end of this cycle. The Long Term Top My long term call for the top is around 6,660. Not only is it sandwiched in between the last fib extensions. It is a historically significant pivot point. No, I'm not a conspiracy guy but I do think it's hilariously entertaining that the major pivot points all happen near 666 levels. Looks to me as if the market is flying towards 6,660 like a bat out of hell. Trading is risky. Don't do it. Live trades with entries and exits will be updated on the post linked below titled "S&P 5,000,000" Long: MES futures + a basket of other equitiesLongby trade-GodUpdated 335
Time Is Melting UpA decisive moment draws near as a familiar, but forgotten trend incredulously appears. Outlined in "S&squeezed" linked below, caution was appropriate until new highs were confirmed. Enough time has passed. The carcasses of blown accounts can serve as a launch pad to revisit the fib that was lost at 4500. This is now underway. Soon to find out which way things tumble Longby trade-GodUpdated 226