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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)SS

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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Markets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout BeginsMarkets Meltdown - Trade War Fallout Begins? | SPX Market Analysis 3 Feb 2025 Ahoy there Trader! ‍‍⚓️ It’s Phil… Markets are waking up in full meltdown mode, all thanks to weekend tariff mayhem and rising tensions throwing a wrench into global trade. SPX futures are deep in the red, but that’s not necessarily bad news if you’re positioned right! With bear swings already paying out big and bull swings needing some management, the real question is—do we get follow-through selling, or is this just another knee-jerk overreaction? Let's dig in! SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🔥 Trade War Whiplash Hits Markets Hard The overnight futures carnage was triggered by new tariff disruptions, retaliatory measures, and escalating trade war tensions—all set to take effect on Tuesday. The global market reaction was swift and brutal. SPX Futures: Hit a low of -120 points before bouncing to -80 points (-1.3%). Similar Pattern to Last Monday: Another huge gap down breaking out of last week’s range. Bearish Follow-Through or Bullish Bounce? Watching for a continuation lower or a bounce. 💰 Trade Plan: Profits on Bear Swings, Managing the Bullish Side Friday’s range reversal gave us an edge before the market even opened: ✅ Bear swings from Friday = Near-maximum gains at the open. ✅ Rolling the bull swing may be required—assessing once we see price action. ✅ Large gap downs = Risky entries—patience required before placing fresh trades. ⏳ Key Levels to Watch 📌 Gap Fill Potential: Do we snap back into the prior range or confirm a deeper decline? 📌 Early Flush or Fakeout Rally? Let the first 30-60 minutes set the tone before making big moves. 📌 Fast Forward Group Call Strategy: Real-time assessment of market direction at the open. For now, the plan is patience and precision—we wait for confirmation before making the next move. Fun Fact: 📉 The Worst Market Drop from Tariff Wars? In 1930, the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act triggered a global trade collapse, slashing world exports by 66% and worsening the Great Depression. Lesson Learned? Tariffs are rarely good news for markets. Every major tariff war in history has caused volatility, market corrections, or outright crashes. Whether today’s chaos is temporary or the start of something bigger remains to be seen! Happy trading, Phil Less Brain More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
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by MrPhilNewton
SPX: spooky words “DeepSeek” and “tariffs”It was a shaky week on the US equity markets, which included a lot of news. The week started with shocking news that a Chinese, a $6 million start-up company overtook the AI market with its program DeepSeek. As per news, the program was superior to the ChatGPT and swiftly took the first place at the Apple store in terms of downloads. No need to say that it was quite painful for the price of Nvidia shares, which tumbled immediately, ending the week at 16% loss. The next important event during the week was the FOMC meeting and rate decision. The Fed decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was expected by the market. And the minute investors thought that the rest of the week would be calm, the next news came from the new US Administration, that the US will impose trade tariffs for goods imported from Canada, Mexico and China. The tariffs will be applied from Saturday, while markets had a strong negative reaction on Friday's trading session. During the week the S&P 500 was traded in a mixed manner, considering a bunch of significant news. Although the index tried to reconcile during the week, from its starting point at 5.970, it is ending the week at the level of 6.040, after reaching the highest weekly level at 6.115. Certainly, there is the weekly gain, however, what is actual investor sentiment regarding the tariffs will be seen at the beginning of the week ahead. For the moment, investors are still optimistic with respect to tech equities. If we exclude the “out of nowhere” shock related to DeepSeek, investors are waiting with anticipation for the quarterly results of Nvidia. Apple posted relatively solid results during the previous week. Although the sale of IPhones is not doing quite well, still, Apple is able to cover the decrease in sales with an increase of income from services. Amazon and Google are also posting results in the week ahead. With nonfarm payrolls scheduled for a release, it is a promise of another challenging week on financial markets.
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by XBTFX
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮 📅 Fri Jan 31 ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%) 📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%) 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
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by TrendTao
SPX - Presidential Update - Downside potential to 3500 in 4 yearHello everyone! Apologies for the audio quality - my laptop has been acting up. I take this moment to update a prior video I did 4 years ago looking at presidential cycles. Historically speaking, looking at the 90s through today, we tend to see bigger corrections during republican leadership. Clinton - Essentially no corrections. Bush - Two major corrections (dot-com bubble and housing bubble) Obama - Essentially no corrections. Trump v1 - 3 corrections, including COVID Biden - 1 correction in 2022 Trump v2 - Remains to be seen Trump has already made significant waves and has demonstrated that he is not afraid to do so. We will probably see some volatile times ahead. I outline in the video 3 important levels to watch: SPX 4800 - Prior all time high in late 2021 SPX 4200 - Seen as support and resistance in 2022/2023 (was the low in Oct 2023) SPX 3600 - 2022 low and Oct 2021 high A correction to 3600 would be a huge correction and would be worst case scenario in my eyes - I'd be more inclined to think 4800 will be the place we will go. This likely will take *years* to complete and is fully dependent upon how Trump situates the USA from a global perspective. Don't get caught on the wrong side of the trade. Make sure you are diversified and have some cash on hand to take advantage of value plays that will almost certainly present themselves to us. Trade safely, friends!
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by bitdoctor
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 5,979.20 1st Support: 5,818.18 1st Resistance: 6,113.40 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Short
by ICmarkets
1
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 2.3.2025🔮 📅 Mon, Feb 3 ⏰ 10:00 AM ET 📊 ISM Manufacturing PMI Previous: 49.3 Forecast: 49.2 💡 Market Scenarios: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then chopping near the EEZ. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:Breakout to the EEZ, make a higher push, and round out the top. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
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by TrendTao
Heading to the daily 50 (6000)Two days with a devastating selloff at the close, a clear sign that the index is not yet ready to position itself above 6100. The first short-term light blue support was broken at Friday's close, and now the index will move towards the underlying support indicated by the blue trendline, where the daily SMA50 also passes through near 6000 points . Holding this support will initiate a new attempt to break 6100. Conquering 6100 is an important phase that will start a new bullish cycle and subsequently act as strong support. The breakout must occur with strength and large volumes.
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by balinor
Market SnapshotHmmmnnnnn....... www.dailymail.co.uk "Hedge funds are making a multi-billion-dollar gamble against the US economy, betting Donald Trump's presidency will result in a massive market crash that could devastate 401(k)s, pensions, and household savings across America. Data from Goldman Sachs has sent shockwaves through financial circles, revealing a dramatic surge in 'short' positions against US stocks - a move that signals a belief the market is headed for a precipitous crash. Throughout January, investors placed 10 times more bets on American stocks falling than on their continued rise, a staggering shift that reflects growing unease over Wall Street's future under Trump's leadership. The timing of such financial revolt is no coincidence and comes just as the world witnessed a $600 billion wipeout in major US tech stocks earlier this week, driven by fears over Chinese AI rival DeepSeek, which disrupted the once-unshakable dominance of America's technology sector. "
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by Heartbeat_Trading
Down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD did exactly what I've said in my outlook. On Monday it dropped impulsive to the downside and after it reached the Daily FVG it correctively went up again. On Friday it started the next move down. So next week we could see the finish of the corrective move down into the lower 4H FVG and after that more upside. Or if it breaks the low from the (orange) Y-wave, the correction down becomes bigger. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the bigger correction down to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish again. After that you could trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 31, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current weekly trading session, the S&P 500 has successfully retested the significant threshold of the completed Outer Index Rally at 6123. The market is presently exhibiting a downtrend phase, as the bullish momentum appears to be temporarily suspended. Analyses indicate that this downward trajectory will likely persist, with targets set at the Mean Support levels of 5996 and potentially 5936. This considerable corrective pullback may create an opportunity for the re-establishment of a bullish trajectory toward further rally targets. Should this development occur, the market could be favorably positioned for the subsequent phase of the bullish trend, which would involve retesting the completed Outer Index Rally level of 6120 and targeting the following Outer Index Rally levels of 6233 and the highly anticipated target of 6418.
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by TradeSelecter
S&P500 is back on trackAfter a turbulent week, S&P 500 is recovering, displaying resilience and improving risk appetite. Both market strength and breadth are improving, and in spite of tech stocks having taken a hit, financial and communication sectors lead the rally. With new earnings week coming in, S&P500 is on the rising track with an open road to achieving 6200 zone: the borderline of Bollinger Bands indicator with a parameter of 20. Political narratives play on the side of growth, though create additional concerns, but market seems to be more focusing on growth. Always do your own reserch and manage risk at all times!
CLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness