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S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

S&P 500 Index - Standard & Poors 500 (SPX)

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SPXM trade ideas

5600 Really needs to hold...If this 5600 level breaks, I expect the decline to continue until may with support around 5400, 5200, and 5000 with 5200 being most likely. The market was hoping for consistent messaging from the Fed, which it did not get. The data shows that inflation is accelerating in the face of job cuts which makes their job very difficult. The are not helping with their rhetoric that the data is 'transitory'. The market is not enjoying their 'vibe' driven analysis. Volatility is bid for April and May, giving bears ammo for another leg lower. vixcentral.com The measured move and several demand zones sit around 5200.
SP:SPX
by NicTheMajestic
How low will it go? The S&P Bear MarketI don't believe the market has bottomed yet. There is more to come. Trump's tariffs will continue to cause uncertainty and as economic figures confirm a US slowdown, stock markets could fall further. From a technical perspective, I will be looking to buy between 4700 and 5200. This is based on evident weekly horizontal levels, bullish channel support, and 100 and 200 SMA's. VANTAGE:SP500 PEPPERSTONE:US500 ICMARKETS:US500 OANDA:SPX500USD
VANTAGE:SP500
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
Will the spring & summer of 2025 conclude our retrace in minor BIn the interest of full disclosure we have not even confirmed our minor A has in fact bottomed...but assuming we have struck a short term bottom, we are now embarking on a minor B wave retrace that I anticipate taking us into the start of summer. In any respect, I am viewing this as only a counter trend rally with a scary (c) of C of (A) to come into the low SPX 5,000 region eventually. There everything gets decided for the long-term. Be careful out there. Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
Pre-dump Stop Hunt Seems Likely HereMy previous forecast into the high of the rally was for a capitulation from the high, no major retracement in the drop and then once we broke the low - slam to 5500. This trade went well in the first stages. Top where it was expected. Sell off in the style expected. New low as expected - but there has yet to be a big follow through. This failed follow through (even although we are still sitting at the lows right now) makes me worry about the different trap variants of the break I expect. Here's the setup I am looking at. It's a bullish butterfly-like pattern off the high. I say butterfly-like because it doesn't perfectly fit the rules. C is a new high, for one. But I find this general M type of shape is useful for spotting lows or breaks. I tend to bracket all these things under a "butterfly". I know it's a misterm as per the books, but it serves the purpose I am using it for. Three main things can happen off a butterfly decision. One is the 1.61 breaks and we slam to 2.20. This was the OG forecast of 5500. This is the rarer of the outcomes but it happens so fast there's not time to deal with it - which is why I planned and positioned for this into the rally high. Second thing that can happen it a low. Butterfly can work. All can be well with the world. For a few reasons I don't think that's happening but it's a risk to be aware of. This could be a low. Finally, we have the dead cat and break pattern - the one that is the primary plan for now if we make the bounce. Here's an example of one of those. Notice how this trades under the support and then puts in a series of small spike out candles - then it makes the bull trap. Stalls a while and then the next break is the actionable one. Look at this little zone - we game this zone on both sides before the move. These look similar. If the break does not come now I think we'll see a bull trap atypical to the previous ones in that is moderately breaks the lower highs we've seen in all the previous rallies. Giving bears good reason to puke their positions and bulls good reason to think the low is in. Barcode there for a while and then setup the bigger trade. Ideally here I'd like to make a little money in the rally. Use this to bankroll my speculative OTM puts. Breaks lower are liable to cause an instant pivot to the plan for the run away break - but this bull trap move would be far more befitting of a pre-crash move I think. It really does feel a little too easy right now. Would be so many fewer bears if we made that little spike and stuck stubbornly at the high of it for a while. I've been hitting every rally in SPX since 6150. Done a lot of offloading of my positions yesterday and anything I am holding I have hedged with 580 calls. We may be very close, within months, of a real break - but we might have a big distraction rally to come first. No one has called me names for being a bear of late ... concerning. A good bounce would fix that.
SP:SPXLong
by holeyprofit
2
MARKET ALERT: Sound the AlarmOver the past few years as price has reached major potential turning points in the market I have sounded the alarm that LONG SIDE RISK has risen and to be on HIGH ALERT for a potential downturn. Of course as we have seen this Bull Market has had significant legs and has continued to grind higher. What now? I told you in September that it did not matter who was elected that the Market would turn weak...and it did We have been going essentially sideways since November I also said that around Jan 15th the market would turn lower...and it has I also said that lower move would take us down to the 5600-5700 region..and it did Now I am telling you that we are setting up for what appears to be ONE FINAL PUSH HIGHER Where does that move take us? Somewhere near 6500 What happens after that? You can expect a SWIFT CRASH LIKE move back to almost exactly where we are now but probably around 5400 And its at THAT point that ALL CARDS WILL BE ON THE TABLE You should expect a retracement back up from that 5400 region If that retracement is CLEARLY CORRECTIVE in nature then you can expect a move down to 5000 and if the market cant hold that region then its: GAME OVER Can I be wrong? Absolutely...and for the sake of the people I love, this country that I call home and my brotherhood of fellow humans around the world I HONESTLY HOPE I AM Because if I'm not wrong then whats coming over the next decade will be potentially MUCH WORSE THAN A RECESSION PREPARE YOURSELF
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
"US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500/SPX500" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (5780) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30m timeframe (5700) Day trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 5860 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "US500/SPX500" Indices Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Geopolitical and News Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Index-Specific Analysis, Positioning and future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FPMARKETS:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
US500 Price ActionHello Trader, As you can see, the market is currently moving to the downside, approaching a clearly identified Demand Zone. Remember, as I always emphasize: no liquidity, no valid zone. Therefore, I've also marked liquidity levels located just above this Demand Zone, along with a suggested safe Stop Loss (SL) placement. However, please keep in mind that no level is truly "safe" in trading, which is precisely why we always use stop losses and actively manage risk on every trade. Additionally, I've highlighted two potential Take Profit (TP) areas: one where you might consider closing your trade early for safety, and another where you could hold your position if price action continues to move favorably. As always, avoid greed, prioritize risk management, and trade responsibly. Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Thank you.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by SuvashishFx
SPX next 5 years outlookIn this chart I show my SPX long term view from covid recovery to about 2030. SPX is moving in a big rising wedge, I think that on the long term prospective we're still in the 3rd bullish wave targeting 6440 area. From there I see a retracement (4th wave) to 4800 area before last bullish 5th wave to 7400 area. From 7440 I see a sharp bearish retracement , the breaking of rising wedge will lead spx to target 4200 area. On the medium term I think that we've to test 3320 area before targeting 6440 (completion of 3rd wave), but on the short term I see a retracement to retest 6000 area before dump to 3320.
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by mpd
Trading a Pause in the Price Action Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move. While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions. What Is a Doji? A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close. The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period. Standard Doji Pattern Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms: • A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside. • A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable. This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge. A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout. Doji’s Range Becomes Significant Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Doji Breakout Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results How to Use the Doji in Trading The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading: USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower. Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher. Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop. These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move. Trading the Doji Breakout If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following: • Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue. • Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal. • Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range. Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation. Summary: The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger. While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500Education
by Capitalcom
S&P 500 Struggling Ahead of Key Economic ReportsThe S&P 500 is showing signs of weakness as it approaches a critical juncture ahead of tomorrow’s economic reports. After a sharp V-shaped recovery, the index is now facing resistance and struggling to maintain upward momentum. If key support levels fail to hold, we could see further downside in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: 5,700 - 5,720: A significant resistance zone where recent rallies have stalled. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum. 5,650 - 5,670: A minor support area that previously acted as a pivot. Losing this level could increase selling pressure. 5,520 - 5,504: A major support zone that must hold to prevent further downside. If broken, it could trigger a larger sell-off. 5,350 - 5,400: A potential next area of support if the index continues to slide. This level aligns with previous consolidation zones. 4,790 - 4,800: A worst-case scenario target if market sentiment deteriorates significantly. Technical Breakdown: The current price action suggests a potential reversal if support levels do not hold. The index has failed to reclaim key resistance and is now at risk of breaking down further. Volume has increased during recent selling, indicating stronger downside pressure. The next move will likely be dictated by tomorrow’s reports. If economic data comes in weaker than expected, it could fuel concerns of a slowdown, leading to further selling. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data may provide temporary relief, but resistance levels still need to be reclaimed for the uptrend to resume. Market Sentiment and Strategy: A break below 5,504 could trigger a wave of selling, making downside targets more likely. If support holds and we see a strong bounce, it could offer a short-term buying opportunity. Given increased volatility, traders should be cautious and monitor key levels closely. With economic data on the horizon, the S&P 500 is at a critical decision point. The next 24-48 hours will determine whether the recent recovery holds or if further downside is ahead.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
US500 Is Bearish! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,754.53. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,665.70 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
new indicator using options data ++ some project i'm working on. # Analysis of the S&P 500 Trading Dashboard Data I'll explain the key data elements used in this technical analysis dashboard and how they contribute to the trading conclusions. ## Key Price Levels and Their Significance The dashboard identifies several critical price levels for the S&P 500: - **Max Pain ($5,785)**: This represents the price level where options writers would experience the least financial pain (i.e., where the fewest options contracts would be in-the-money). The distance from the current price ($5,557.41) to max pain suggests significant upside resistance. - **Resistance Levels ($5,700 and $5,650)**: These represent areas where selling pressure is expected to increase. The $5,700 level is backed by data showing 13,877 call option contracts at this strike, creating a "wall" of resistance. - **Short Entry Zone ($5,595)**: This level was previously support that has been broken, making it a high-probability entry zone for short positions following the principle that broken support becomes resistance. - **Battle Zone ($5,550)**: An area with heavy options activity on both sides (puts and calls), indicating potential price volatility and uncertainty. - **Critical Support ($5,500)**: A psychologically important round number that also represents a significant technical level. - **Target Levels ($5,450 and $5,400)**: Projected price targets for short positions based on previous support levels and technical measurements. ## Options Market Data Two key options metrics are used to inform the analysis: 1. **Put/Call Ratio (1.80)**: This is significantly elevated above the typical range of 0.7-1.2, indicating: - Unusually bearish sentiment - Hedging activity by institutional investors - Potential for a contrarian bounce if it exceeds 2.0 The high ratio suggests market participants are purchasing put options for downside protection at an elevated rate compared to call options, confirming bearish positioning. 2. **Gamma Exposure (-$17.37 Billion)**: This negative value indicates: - Market makers are net short gamma - They must sell more futures as prices fall to maintain delta hedges - This creates a self-reinforcing downward spiral effect Gamma exposure represents the rate of change in delta (directional exposure) for options market makers. The large negative value suggests that downward price movement will accelerate as market makers must sell more futures to remain hedged, creating a "cascade effect" amplifying price movement. ## Technical Indicators and Their Interpretation The dashboard incorporates several technical analysis components: ### Price Action & Moving Averages The analysis indicates price is trading below all major moving averages (20/50/100/200 EMAs), a classic sign of bearish momentum across timeframes. When price trades below all these moving averages in sequence, it creates what traders call "bearish alignment," a strong confirmation of downtrend. ### Momentum Indicators - **RSI (Below 30)**: Indicates oversold conditions but in a strong downtrend, oversold conditions can persist. The analysis correctly warns against fighting the trend despite the oversold reading. - **MACD (Below signal line)**: Confirms negative momentum is in place, suggesting continued downward pressure. - **ACWF (Negative)**: A specialized momentum indicator showing continued bearish pressure. ### Volume Analysis - **On-Balance Volume (Declining)**: Indicates more volume on down days than up days, suggesting distribution (selling pressure). - **Volume on Down Bars (Increasing)**: Higher volume on declining price moves is a classic sign of seller control and distribution. ### Chart Patterns - **Head & Shoulders Pattern (Completed)**: A reversal pattern that typically projects further downside after completion. - **Elliott Wave Count (Wave 3)**: Wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave in Elliott Wave theory, suggesting significant continuation of the downtrend. ## Volatility Assessment The ATR (Average True Range) values of 9.18-98.75 indicate elevated and increasing volatility, which informs the risk management recommendations: - Reduce position size - Use wider stop losses - Expect larger price swings This is prudent risk management in high-volatility environments, as normal position sizing could lead to premature stopouts due to wider price swings. ## Trading Recommendation Logic The primary strategy (65% probability) of continued downside is based on the confluence of: 1. Bearish technical indicators across multiple timeframes 2. Negative gamma exposure creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral 3. Broken support levels and completed bearish chart patterns 4. Wave 3 Elliott Wave structure which typically has the strongest momentum The strategy recommends: - Entry at $5,590-5,600 (former support, now resistance) - Stop loss above $5,625 (limiting risk to approximately 30 points) - Targets at key support levels: $5,500, $5,450, and $5,400 - Reduced position size due to high volatility The alternative strategy (35% probability) acknowledges the potential for a reversal at the $5,500 psychological support level, but only with confirmation signals like volume decline and stabilization patterns. ## Educational Elements The dashboard incorporates several educational elements: 1. **Elliott Wave Theory**: The identification of Wave 3 of a 5-wave downtrend sequence suggests the current move is likely the strongest part of the larger bearish structure. 2. **Options Market Mechanics**: Explanation of how negative gamma exposure creates a self-reinforcing price action effect as market makers hedge their positions. 3. **Technical Analysis Patterns**: Clear labeling of patterns like the Head & Shoulders and broken uptrend line, along with their implications. 4. **Risk Management**: Specific recommendations for position sizing and stop placement in a high-volatility environment. This analysis combines price action, options market data, technical indicators, volume analysis, and chart patterns to create a comprehensive trading approach with specific entry, exit, and risk management parameters.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by user2839409
SPX500 Technical Analysis🔹 Trend Overview: SPX500 has been in a strong downtrend, and the price has already broken the 5,599.30 support level, confirming further bearish momentum. The next key support to watch is 5,506.40 (2025 lowest point). 🔹 Key Levels: 📈 Resistance: 5,599.30 (now turned resistance), 5,679.90 📉 Support: 5,506.40 – If broken, the sell-off could accelerate further. 🔹 Market Structure: ⚠️ Bearish scenario: Since 5,599.30 has already been broken, the price is likely to continue down to 5,506.40. A break below this level could push the market into new 2025 lows. 🚀 Bullish scenario: If the market pulls back above 5,599.30 and reclaims it as support, a temporary bounce to 5,679.90 could occur. 📌 Risk Management: -Wait for price action confirmation before entering new positions. -Monitor for potential retests of broken levels.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by juniormoseki1