Spx Bear case to 5700Spx following the trend line down. With volume poc and last support near 5700 it looks much more reasonable to expect a visit to 5700 before resuming the up trend. Shortby sk2011012
US500 SHORT For the US100 the market has broken the Daily Market structure line that had been established and has broken through the 50SMA and been consolidating here, forming a symmetric Triangle pattern. We are testing the 100SMA on the daily which is providing support, The Fib Retracement level for US500 for the weekly Move is at around 5300-5600, which is where we will target our short on clear break down of the symmetric triangle. Please like share and comment if you like the Idea and do tell me what else youd like to see! My Goal is to equip traders with the knowledge and ideas that will make them financially Free! Shortby EliteMarketAnalysisUpdated 3
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 5,924.14 1st Support: 5,838.66 1st Resistance: 5,964.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party. Shortby ICmarkets6
S&P 500 rangeThe S&P 500 Index has been ranging sideways since the US Election gap up on November 6th 2024. SPX support is by the October 2024 high 5850 area. Resistance is by the 6050 zone, even though there was an attempt to hit 6100 in the beginning of December before the FOMC rate cut and government shutdown fear drop on December 18th. Trading a range simplifies long and short entries and exits. However, it only works while the trading range continues. If there's a breakout or breakdown then this range will be invalidated. For the time being, my trade idea is straightforward on SPX. Go long at 5850 and go short at 6050. I think the market is in wait and see mode until Mega Cap earnings in a few weeks. A note of caution, options data is currently extremely bearish through the end of this month. Mega Cap earnings dates: 1/28 MSFT 4:05pm GOOG 4:05pm 1/29 TSLA 4:05 1/30 AMZN 4pm META 4:05pm AAPL 4:30pm SPX options data: 1/10 expiry Put Volume Total 152,200 Call Volume Total 69,422 Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.19 Put Open Interest Total 425,831 Call Open Interest Total 108,857 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.91 1/17 expiry Put Volume Total 129,140 Call Volume Total 97,195 Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33 Put Open Interest Total 1,917,625 Call Open Interest Total 1,013,708 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.89 1/24 expiry Put Volume Total 11,864 Call Volume Total 8,911 Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33 Put Open Interest Total 156,526 Call Open Interest Total 46,537 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.36 1/31 expiry Put Volume Total 36,487 Call Volume Total 12,299 Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.97 Put Open Interest Total 449,738 Call Open Interest Total 116,092 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.87 by Options3602
US500 SELL?hello guys Due to the failure of the ascending structure and hitting a lower floor, we expect to have a fall from the specified box range to the specified targets. Note that this analysis is technically reviewed. Be successful and profitable.Shortby TheHunters_CompanyUpdated 10
US500 We will conduct a top Down analysis for the US500. The US500 us currently In a large Bull run, it is forming a Series of Higher highs and higher lows on the Weekly Time frame. We are currently at the 100 Fib extensions Level taken from the 2020 Covid Low. Both Capital Inflows and Volume remain positive but at the highs right now seem to be decreasing but remains positive. Market has made a HH and is now testing the Market structure line that has been strong this entire bull run. Moving below to the Daily we can see clear weakness in the markets with multiple tests of the 50SMA and 10SMA now below the 50SMA. Whether this region holds is yet to be seen. We have a clear break of market structure from the bullish Wave that started on 6th of September with a retest of that took place on the 26th of December with a failure to break back above. Currently on the Daily TF, the markets are losing money with CMF below zero indicating distribution and OBV decreasing aswell. The break of market structure of this bullish Wave allows us to Identify retracement Zones where we can see 0.5 ot 0.618 level being of Importance. If we come down to the 4H we can see that currently the zone is range bound with ranging price action with the bottom of the range around the 5870 level, albeit with a succession of LH that have formed. The price in this Range has broken the 200SMA multiple times indicating market weakness in the intermediate Term. WIth price below the 20SMA we also see weakness. We have Resistance Trend Line that is forming with the LH on the 4H. On the 1H we remain firmly Bearish with immediate price action. This market seems like it has reached a top on the Weekly and needs resetting and the 4H and Daily price action confirm this with a break of the Large trend line. We are testing the Weekly Trend line that has been established For over 2 years. We are reactive and not predictive so we will wait to see what the market does, on breaks of the Range Zone the market will cool off on the Daily bullish Wave, but if this Daily bullish Cooldown breaks the Weekly Market structure we may be in for a large bear market this year. Shortby EliteMarketAnalysis4
SP 500 forming one of two count triangle or wave B low The chart posted is that of the sp 500 . I have taken profit in each rally and moved back to cash as the structure and model are in a opposition .I have now taken a minor long calls in QQQ and spy at a 20 % position . support for me is 5880 and 508.9 in QQQ I am in only long term Calls by wavetimer5
S&P Long1)Trend defined. 4h Uptrend. 2)Contradictory limit order entry. At the last point of stall. 3)Default loss. A bit lower . 4)Default target level. 5. 5)Risk <= 3%. 6)Singular trade. 7)Trades placed today <= 5.Longby koumkouatUpdated 4
Two Daily Gaps attract market for pullbackAlthough S&P500 is within uptrend, recent days has left two clearly visible gaps behind. That means that it is highly possible that SPX will come back to cover those gaps in the near future, before it continue uptrend (if it will). Same picture at NDX chart with two 4H gaps. I take this idea to apply to all markets including crypto. While chances to resume higher timeframe uptrend are valid for Bitcoin, Stock Indices will most probably influence it's short term price action.by WiseAnalyze0
S&P Short1)Trend defined. Daily range. 2)Contradictory limit order entry. At the upper extreme of the 1h range. 3)Default loss. Above the starting point of a massive bearish move. 4)Default target level. 4.09. 5)Risk <= 3%. 6)Singular trade. 7)Trades placed today <= 5.Shortby koumkouat0
Key Week: Trump takes office and Davos kicks offThis week, two events dominate global attention: the inauguration of Donald Trump as president of the United States and the start of the World Economic Forum in Davos. Both promise to set the political and economic agenda for the coming months, with significant implications for financial markets and international relations. Both scenarios promise to generate volatility due to the implications they have, whether for the first executive orders of the new U.S. administration or for statements by world leaders in Switzerland. Trump and His First Mandates: A Full-Speed Start The presidential takeover in the United States was formalized yesterday with the arrival of Donald Trump to the White House. In a start marked by immediate action, the president signed more than 200 executive orders, underscoring his intention to swiftly execute his policy agenda. These initial measures cover areas such as the economy, trade, energy and immigration, and are designed to fulfill the promises that marked his presidential campaign. Notable measures include halting regulations in the energy sector designed to encourage domestic oil and gas production, and initiating the renegotiation of key trade agreements aimed at strengthening the competitiveness of the U.S. economy. These actions underscore the “America First” approach, seeking to reposition the United States as a global leader under new trade conditions. However, these decisions have generated mixed reactions both at home and abroad. While his supporters interpret them as a firm fulfillment of his campaign promises and strong leadership, while the more critical ones warn about the possible repercussions on the global economic balance and international diplomatic relations. Davos Forum: A Platform for Global Dialogue Simultaneously, in Switzerland, the World Economic Forum kicked off in Davos, an annual event that brings together political, business and social leaders from around the world, held this year under the theme “Collaboration in a Fragmented World.” This year, the forum is marked by a global context of uncertainty. Political, business and social leaders are gathering to discuss crucial issues such as sustainability, energy transition and digital transformation. Trump's initial prominence has generated uncertainty in the discussions overshadowing part of the agenda. Leaders from Europe, Asia and Latin America are adjusting their strategies to face possible changes in trade and global diplomacy in the face of the possible implications of U.S. policies. Of particular note are the expected interventions of Chinese President Xi Jinping and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who are seeking to position their regions in the face of the new U.S. approach. The forum reflects an urgent need for international cooperation at a time when political and economic tensions challenge the global order. However, concrete responses will depend on the ability of leaders to coordinate actions in the face of common challenges. Market Impact: Volatility and Mixed Expectations Markets have reacted with mixed movements to the confluence of Trump's mandate and the start of the Davos Forum. In the United States, sectors such as banking and energy have shown significant gains, driven by expectations of deregulation and economic stimulus from the new administration. On the other hand, US Treasury bonds recorded slight declines, reflecting greater risk aversion among investors in the face of political uncertainty. In Europe, stock markets have shown a stronger performance, with value markets leading the rally in more traditional equities, outperforming their US peers, while in Asia, indices have maintained a cautious tone. Commodities have also been strong performers, especially oil, which is up 1.7% on expectations of increased global demand. Agricultural products, such as corn, have also strengthened, anticipating possible imbalances in the global economic cycle. From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 is at a critical point within a bearish channel. A breakout to the upside could mark a shift to a more optimistic trend, although sentiment indicators remain ambiguous: while retail investors show extreme enthusiasm, other general confidence indices point to a more conservative approach. Europe as a Strategic Haven Although the outlook remains fraught with uncertainty, Europe presents itself as an attractive option in the near term, especially with the optimism surrounding its value markets. As global leaders set the economic tone in Davos and U.S. policies take shape, investors should keep an eye on key indicators and technical movements in the major indices. As leaders in Davos set the tone for 2025 and the Trump administration moves forward with its policies, investors should keep an eye on key indicators and technical signals in the major indices. It will undoubtedly be a week loaded with information and events that will test the markets' ability to adapt to an ever-changing environment. Conclusion The week is marked by two events of major global significance: the start of Donald Trump's term in office and the Davos Economic Forum. Both have set in motion dynamics that could define the course of politics and the global economy in 2025. As markets navigate between volatility and expectation they face a week loaded with crucial information and events, the focus will be on how these developments will impact international relations and the outlook for economic growth globally. The challenge will be to adapt to a constantly changing environment, balancing risks and opportunities in an increasingly complex global scenario. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk. by ActivTrades1
S&P 500 LONG Following Trumps inauguration, President Trump didn't speak on his supposed tariff hike which caused the DXY to sink and the futures market to remind steady.Longby louis22090
SELL SPX *I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed. Sell SPX stop loss: 6025 Take profit: 5783Shortby DarthGhxst0
S&P 500: Bullish Outlook for Next Week, Targeting 6050 - Key Insights: The S&P 500 is on the brink of a bullish breakout, with strong support at 5900 and market sentiment leaning positively due to easing inflation fears. The index is currently testing critical resistance at 6000. Sustaining above this level could lead to further upward momentum. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 6050, T2: 6100 - Stop levels: S1: 5900, S2: 5850 - Recent Performance: The S&P 500 has seen a notable rally, bouncing off the 5750 support level and showing strong overall performance this week. The current price at 5996.66 indicates bullish trends, and market confidence appears to be returning. - Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view for the S&P 500, highlighting strong technical patterns and positive economic indicators. If the index can hold above 6000, this could trigger further gains and reinforce bullish sentiment. - News Impact: Recent economic releases regarding consumer sentiment and inflation have positively impacted market dynamics. The upcoming earnings season, featuring major companies like Netflix and Johnson & Johnson, could influence market sentiment. Additionally, speculation around President Trump's inauguration and potential economic policies adds to the bullish outlook, but traders should prepare for possible volatility in light of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.Longby CrowdWisdomTrading0
FIRE Plays: Riding the Uptrend Wave with Precision! Hey Traders! 👋 The market is heating up, and emotions are running high. Greed is in the air, and it’s time to channel that energy into smart, calculated moves. Let’s talk about a setup that’s too good to ignore—a classic uptrend channel that’s screaming opportunity. But remember, even in the heat of the moment, discipline is key. Here’s how to play it: The Setup: Uptrend Channel in Focus 📈 We’re looking at a beautifully improving uptrend channel, and price action is respecting those levels like clockwork. The higher highs and higher lows are telling us one thing: the bulls are in control. But don’t let FOMO (fear of missing out) cloud your judgment. This is where strategy trumps emotion. Key Levels to Watch 🎯 6.100 Level – The Profit Zone 🚀 This is where the party could start to wind down. As price approaches 6.100, it’s time to tighten those stops and consider taking profits. Greed can turn into regret real quick if you overstay your welcome. Lock in those gains and live to trade another day. Support Zones – The Safety Nets 🛡️ 5.922: The first line of defense. If price pulls back here, it could be a healthy retracement before the next leg up. 5.835: The second support level. A bounce here could signal another buying opportunity, but tread carefully. 5.740 – The Correction Zone ⚠️ If price dips to this level, it’s time to reassess. This could be a deeper correction, and you don’t want to get caught in a reversal. Stay patient and wait for confirmation before jumping back in. Why This Works 🧠 This setup plays on the two most powerful emotions in trading: greed and fear. The uptrend channel fuels the greed, tempting you to ride the wave higher. But the key levels act as a reality check, reminding you to stay disciplined and protect your capital. It’s a balancing act, and this strategy keeps you on the right side of the trade. The Bottom Line 💡 The market is a battlefield of emotions, and right now, greed is leading the charge. But smart traders know when to strike and when to step back. Keep an eye on that 6.100 level—it’s your cue to take profits. And if price dips to the support zones, wait for confirmation before making your next move. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and let’s make those FIRE plays! 🔥 What do you think? Are you riding this uptrend or waiting for a pullback? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. #TradingView #UptrendChannel #SmartTrading #GreedAndFear #TradeLikeAProLongby ayousry9431
SPX500 - still potential to reach a new higher highHello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!Longby QQGuo-Shane1
SPX500 BuysMy main focus is that 4hr BISI which is also an 1Hr BISI by the way. the moment we retrace into that area I'll look for a 5mins to 15mins change of structure then I can take it from there. using the London Am session or New York open session prices. Risk Management is the key to successful trading....Longby cloudy_Blank_0
Analyzing Key Forex Patterns and IndicatorsAnalyzing the SPX500 chart reveals several key patterns and indicators critical for forex trading 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: The blue-shaded area around the 6,071 level is a significant resistance zone where the price has struggled to break through. Support Level: The horizontal blue line at approximately 5,840 (labeled "SMS") represents a notable support level where buying interest has emerged in the past. 2. Swing High (SH): The red horizontal line marked "SH" around the 6,077 level highlights a failed swing high, indicating a previous peak in price. 3. Price Movements: There is a notable decline from the resistance zone around 6,020 to a low near 5,770, followed by a recovery towards the 6,000 level. 4. Volume: The volume, indicated as "Vol 7.14K" at the top of the chart, provides insight into the trading activity during this period. Potential Effectiveness of this Technical Signals: Resistance Zone: If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish trend continuation. However, failure to break through may indicate a reversal or consolidation. Support Level: Maintaining above this support level is crucial for a bullish outlook. A break below could signal a bearish trend and further downside potential which the break has occured. Swing High (SH): The swing high at 6,020 serves as a reference point for potential resistance. Approaching this level again will be a key area for observing either a breakout or a reversal. These technical signals are effective in predicting market movements as they reflect historical price action and trader behavior. However, they may fail due to unexpected news, economic events, or changes in market sentiment that can cause deviations from historical patterns. In summary, the chart offers valuable insights into support and resistance levels, swing highs, and price movements, which are essential for making informed trading decisions in the forex market. by BFUFX_MARKETS0
US100 Breakout Incoming US-500 Analysis Weekly Chart Overview • Trend: The US-500 is firmly in an uptrend, trading within a larger ascending channel since July. Price action continues to respect this channel, with the most recent weekly candle forming a bullish engulfing pattern off a key Fibonacci retracement level. • Volume Profile: Price remains in a medium-volume zone, with the weekly POC at 5,562, marking a critical level of interest for institutional participation. • Indicators: • EMAs: All EMAs are aligned upward with significant spacing, highlighting the strength of the current trend. • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well above the weekly cloud, confirming bullish momentum. • RSI and MACD: RSI has climbed from 53 to 59, aligning with the recent bounce, while MACD shows waning bearish momentum, supporting a potential continuation of the uptrend. • Fibonacci Insights: • The retracement from the 5th August to 2nd December wave suggests the 0.236 level played a role in the recent bounce, indicating that the current higher-low formation aligns with broader trend dynamics. • Using the breakout point from 9th September, the 38.2% retracement level aligns precisely with the recent reversal, providing additional confluence. Daily Chart Overview • Trend: On the daily chart, price action has been in a consolidation phase since breaking below an ascending channel on 17th December. However, the price has repeatedly bounced off a daily order block at 5,874 to 5,828, establishing a robust support zone. • Key Developments: • Recent price action shows a breakout above the daily POC at 5,919, with the price now above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. • Bollinger Bands: Price is within the upper band, signaling renewed strength. • Fibonacci Insights: • The bounce aligns with the 0.786 retracement level, suggesting the potential formation of a higher-low structure, which is often a precursor to trend continuation. • Fibonacci retracements and extensions provide insights into market liquidity levels, where institutional activity is likely to cluster. • Indicators: • RSI is back above 50, confirming a shift in momentum. • MACD has turned green, and CMF is positive at 0.03. • ADX at 30.57 shows a weakening bearish trend, while DI lines converge, indicating diminishing bearish pressure. 4-Hour Chart Overview • Trend: Price action recently broke out of a descending wedge, which had been characterized by lower-lows and lower-highs during the consolidation phase. This breakout aligns with bullish sentiment seen on higher timeframes. • Key Levels: • Price is testing a daily order block, showing initial rejection, with potential for short-term retracement. • Fibonacci extensions reveal the move has reached a 100% retracement of the previous downtrend, a critical level for monitoring potential liquidity grabs. • Indicators: • RSI is at 67.93, nearing overbought territory, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion. • MACD remains above zero, though bullish momentum is waning. • CMF is increasing at 0.16, signaling accumulation. Exclusive Indicator Insights Our custom indicators provide a critical edge in identifying key zones: • Weekly Buy Region: The first green bar since consolidation appeared last week, signaling a shift in sentiment and potential alignment with broader bullish momentum. • Daily Buy Region: Currently unshaded, reflecting a lack of confirmation on the daily timeframe, underscoring the importance of higher timeframe alignment. Summary and Outlook • Weekly Chart: The higher-low formation, supported by Fibonacci retracements and a bullish engulfing candle, points to strong bullish momentum. • Daily Chart: The breakout above the POC and key EMAs signals a potential end to the consolidation phase, with order blocks and retracements offering critical areas to monitor. • 4-Hour Chart: While the breakout is promising, near-term corrections are possible as the RSI approaches overbought levels and momentum wanes. Stay Tuned Our exclusive indicators, particularly the Weekly Buy Region and Daily Buy Region, are designed to highlight actionable zones with precision, making them invaluable tools for indices like the US-500. Stay connected to our Minds channel and follow our ideas to gain access to specific entries and further updates as we refine our setups. Longby EliteMarketAnalysis0
S&P 500 Hyperwave ScenarioIn a hyperwave scenario, where each phase achieves approximately the same return in half the time, the S&P 500 would be at around 8500 in August. An invalidation of this scenario would be a lasting break in the trendline and the target would be the base, which does not have to be reached.Longby ramon_markiewitz0
SP500 OUTLOOKActually SP500 is in a range because there's no break of any maximum or minimum. By the way, price has react on a discount level and it shows the firs sign of strenght. The periferic scenario is still long that's why I'm waiting for a break of this range and waiting for take a long position. On my analysis I've show you 2 possible scenarios. Let's wait and have a nice trading Longby NikoLyze0
US500 trading I deaAlso us500 it breaksout wait for pull back to demand zones for possible knew highs aswell,I just decided to share 4 of them soo that you can pick the one that is good for your mental health 😉 😊 soo please trade responsible trading is risky you might loose all your capitals enjoy...Longby mulaudzimpho0
US 500: Poised for Growth After Minor CorrectionUS 500: Poised for Growth After Minor Correction US500, following its recent correction, has formed—or is in the final stages of forming—a five-wave structure to the upside. Next, I anticipate a minor corrective pullback (3 waves down), likely aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels. Once the correction completes, I expect the upward trend to resume.Longby The_Traders_Memoirs0