SPX bearishThe recent stock market selloff was stirred by Trump's bold ideas about the Panama Canal, Canada, and Greenland. Right now, the Index is flirting with its 100-day moving average. If it stays below 5,830, I predict another downward swing, aiming for a near-term target 5,600. Shortby IrinaTK0
US500 SHORT TERM LONG US500 Analysis: Waiting for Confirmation at Key Support The US500 is currently oversold and finding support at the 100 SMA, with price holding within a key bullish order block that previously set up the all-time high (ATH). This order block represents a level of significant institutional interest, as it required substantial volume to create the ATH. It has held as support twice before, reinforcing its importance. Current Outlook • Support Zone: Price is testing a strong bullish order block, a zone historically associated with high volume and institutional activity. • Oversold Conditions: Indicators suggest oversold conditions, aligning with a potential setup for a retracement move. • Waiting for a Bullish Change of Character: A bullish change of character (CoCh) will confirm that the current downward move has concluded and a retracement toward higher levels is beginning. Plan of Action We aim to take a long position upon confirmation of the CoCh, targeting the Fibonacci extension levels of 0.618 to 0.786. These levels are key for retracements and align with the potential formation of a lower high (LH), which would coincide with the descending triangle structure on the chart. Patience is essential. The market will dictate our entry, and we will react accordingly based on the price action. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making decisions. Follow us for more professional insights, high-probability setups, and disciplined strategies to stay ahead of the markets! Don’t miss your edge—let’s navigate the market together.Longby EliteMarketAnalysis1
Yearly view of SPXAnalysis based on yearly pivots, says to us that the drawdown on SPX is impulsive and it may continue till monthly S4 or it even might bounce from here, before the new president takes office and rally, since this is a prosper year, it will probably be double digits. The main event to watch out here is the inauguration rally, which will be "explosive", if the new president will want to sink it first, then "save" it later, it will probably dip even further, however the market will love the energy of the recovery. Things to watch out for: God forbid something happens to the new president and the inauguration gets delayed! One more thing, there's a prophecy been made by someone who has been right several times in a row, as follows: "Soon after Trump takes power, a great economic crash will follow". - which goes in line with the Trump rhetoric that Biden is leaving him a mountain full of debt. by Time_Oracle1
S&P500 // neutral zoneThe market is in a neutral zone. The trend is still long on the weekly, so a break above the long trigger (green), that is the previous daily breakdown, will invite more buyers, and the long expansion phase may kick in. If today it closes significantly below the weekly impulse base, the first targets are the daily and the weekly support levels. In my opinion, day traders have to wait. for the price to get out of this neutral zone. ——— Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated. Level colors: Daily - blue Weekly - purple Monthly - magenta H4 - aqua Long trigger - green Short trigger - red ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️ <<please boost 🚀 if you enjoy💚by TheMarketFlow0
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024🔮 Nightly SP:SPX / AMEX:SPY Predictions for 1.10.2024 📅 Fri Jan 10 ⏰ 8:30am 💰 Average Hourly Earnings m/m: 0.3% (prev: 0.4%) 👷 Non-Farm Employment Change: 164K (prev: 227K) 📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (prev: 4.2%) ⏰ 10:00am 📊 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment: 74.0 (prev: 74.0) 📈 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations: 2.8% 💡 Market Insights: 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: The markets are very sensitive right now with the pause. I wouldn't bet that it holds this gap for long. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A little more upside, and then markets will need the weekend to digest. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing by PogChan0
SP500 LOGI am going in long in the SP500, I am waiting for a breakout of the structure to increase my position and if I get out I would look for a re-entry according to the visible patterns.Longby soychrisalas2
us500 LONG💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20Longby RODDYTRADINGUpdated 2
Long US IndicesGoing long on US Indices on the back of a resilient US economy especially the services sector which is a big part of the US economy. I anticipate higher prices for US Indices even though the upside might be limited unlike the bull run we saw in 2024 since the FED will turn more hawkish. Near term target of 6172 on US500.Longby nevil_effortless0
Bulls and Bears zone for 01-08-2025Yesterday S&P 500 sold off and closed near LOD which could caution momentum traders. Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 5956 --- 5958 News to watch: US FOMC Minutes --- 2:00PM EST Wishing everyone Happy, Healthy and Wealthy Year !!!by traderdan590
Stock market correction in 2025??I personally believe we'll see a stock market correction in 2025. 1. 30yr treasury yield going higher while FED cut interest rates. Similar situation in 1970s and 1980s where we say a 50% correction in just 2 years in the 1970s (can't remember exact dates) 2. US 10yr/3m yield curve has turned positive. Last times it's done this has been 2000, 2008 and 2020. I'm guessing you know what happened each of those times. 3. Institutional investors increasing long contracts in the yen. The Japanese Yen is a 'risk-off' investment and investors tend to favour it when they don't have much faith in the stock market. 4. US have a volatile president in Trump. The power also seems to be getting to his head a bit - he disagrees with Fed Chair Powell over interest rates, despite not being as educated in economics. He has a lot of power right now and I don't think he will be able to stop a potential market crash for the first year or 2 of his presidency. 5. Back-to-back 20%+ years from the S&P500, could be due a pullback. These are some reasons, I have some more but I don't want to be sat here writing all day. Important to note that if you're a long term investor it's best to just ignore this. "Time in the markets beats timing the markets" as they say. But if you're a day trader I wouldn't be taking many long positions on stocks this year. Could be better to start looking at opportunities in the currency markets. Then again - you don't have to trust me. This isn't financial advice, just my opinion.Shortby ciantrades0
August SPY seasonalitySPY is seasonally weak in August. Thus the pullback is timely, especially after such a rally. Levels to look out for is 5200-5300 which constitutes about 5-8% DD. If it drops to 5100, then it's truly a gift to start leveraging into the EOY election rally.Longby harryexeUpdated 1
Bullish Continuation for SPX500After Trading in a small consolidation SPX looks to pick back up on its Bullish movement. - Price has broken and now retesting bearish trendline. -Price swept the lows of the liquidity and is now retesting the previous resistance of the zone. The Retest is taking place at the H1 lvl resistance 5,903 - Rejection wick with an inside bar pattern - There's a weak bullish divergence with the previous low. -Wait for your entry signal Longby brianfj1
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.08.2025🔮 📅 Wed Jan 8 ⏰ 8:15am 🧑🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K) ⏰ 8:30am 📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K) 🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks ⏰ 10:30am 🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M) ⏰ 2:00pm 📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes 📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ: Slight rally higher and then chop out. 📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ: A little more upside and then faced by some old-fashioned bearishness. 📉 GAP BELOW HCZ: Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here. #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing Shortby PogChan0
SPX500 H4 | Sideways price actionSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 6,004.61 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 6,060.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 5,825.91 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.Short02:38by FXCM0
#SPX Remember trend is your friend until it ends. After examining this instrument on multiple tf and with no drawings on my chart is was evident that we are in a W4 triangle on Dtf. We breakout long this week! #indices #tradingLongby BipPipN0
The USA S&P 500 Indexthe USA S&P 500 Index (15-minute timeframe), highlighting a recent price action scenario. It shows a rising wedge pattern followed by a significant bearish breakout. The price retraced to a resistance zone around 5984.20 and is now consolidating. Two potential paths are illustrated: either a continuation upwards toward the 6000 level or a rejection that could lead to a further decline toward 5940 support. Fundamental Note: Investors might be cautious due to mixed economic data or upcoming Federal Reserve commentary, which could influence volatility and overall market sentiment.by DreamsForxUpdated 7
SPX500 long termThe Pitchfan analysis suggests caution, as SPX500 may face downward pressure if it fails to hold critical support levels. A combination of macroeconomic factors and technical signals could contribute to a deeper correction in the long term. Traders should monitor support levels and look for confirmation of bearish breakdowns before making decisions.Longby spiritedPlayer937170
SPX 5620 HEAD & SHOULDER FORMING Head & Shoulder Formming Neck-Line At 5870 Global Scenarios- Iran War, Briac, Oil, Hmpv, Inflation Rates, Us Election Over Will Come To Retest 200ema After Aug 2024 1000pts Rally Healthy 10-15% Retracement Shortby abhishekeb981
Possible future pathS&N topped out finding new highs, currently looking as a possible ABC correction with target to the blue Box. Alternative count a double correction WXY for more downside if fib ext 1.618 level is broken by theonetheonly3100
SPX - Short Term Bear - Swing Trade (Continuation)This is a continuation to my previously posted trade... Unfortunately I stopped out on the previous trade. That's my fault. There's additional analysis I did that helped me understand where I missed. However, the pattern is still very much in tact and the opportunity still exists. Here's a summary of what I go through in the video, but most important is watch the video to get the full details to better understand the observations. 1hr Chart: After reviewing the weekly, daily, 4hr, 1hr, 5min, 1min charts I recognized the most important indicator for the current prices is the 1hr chart and most important the 50MA crossing down on the 200MA. In addition, there are additional indicators that currently and historically are most important for this setup. Here are the 5 mentioned in the video. - H&S Pattern/Triple Top/Divergence initial formation - Cross down on Strong Support Line - Retest/Fail Strong Support Line - A wave up/down, forming a downward trendline - QQE Signal triggering short as it approaches the channel support line towards a break Historically there have been 4 instances since 2022 when the 50MA has crossed below the 200MA on the 1hr chart July 26, 2024 - -5.0% in 48 bars (5-6 trading days) from time of cross to bottom of big move Apr 15, 2024 - -3.70% 35 bars (7 trading days) from time of cross to bottom of big move Aug 10. 2023 - -3.75% 40 bars (7 trading days) from time of cross to bottom of big move Feb 24. 2023 - -5.8% 75 bars (10 trading days) from time of cross to bottom of big move As mentioned in the video, it has been 7 trading days since the current cross of the 50MA of the 200MA, however, it's unique that the cross took place during the low volume holiday trading period which may have an effect on timing compared to historical moves. Please watch the video for more in depth insight into the historical pattern formations and the relationship to the current price action along with my prediction and trade potential. Fundamental Support: Is still intact from the prior trade - Buffer Indicator 203.7% (Near all time highs) - Buffet portfolio at highest cash level since 2008 (325B) - Shiller PE at 37.2, near 2022 peak of 38, Dot com bubble of 44 - FED announced fewer rate cuts in 2025 - Core PCE at 2.8% and rising since June 2024, above 2% FED target - Inverted Yield Curve is no longer inverted as of Sep 2024, the longest (793 days) and deepest inversion in history. All previous sustained inverted yield curves (8 Total since 1960) except 1 were followed by a recession within 6-12 months once the yield curve was no longer inverted. Economic Data: - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position. However, I went back and reviewed previous employment reports and market movements, and basically whatever the trend the market was in at the time of publication, it continued to move in, so I'm not overly concerned. - Next week PPI and CPI will be published on Tues Jan 14th and Wed Jan 15th respectively. These are both potential movers if they were to come in lower/higher, as it may impact the % chance of FED cuts. - Trump inauguration on Monday Jan 20th, also falling on Martin Luther King Day (Markets Closed). I would anticipate potential positive market reaction following his inauguration given the pro-business policies and potential rally, so this is a risk. Overall: If you've watched the video, you can see that the chart patterns historically match up very well to the current. Again, history doesn't repeat itself, but it rhymes. There's no sure thing in this business, however, considering all the factors, I find this to be a solid technical and fundamental trade and given the dominos fall in line I will be taking a position. Current Position: I currently have not taken a position on this trade. I am waiting for the QQE Short signal as mentioned in the video, or any other relevant move to give me the green light. However, here's what I'm looking for if all goes to plan...I will update in the notes if/when I take a position. SPXS Call Options Strike $6.00 Expiration Jan 24th, based on the estimated timeframe mentioned in the video Option Price: Ideally .20-.30 Options: 50-100 depending on my confidence in the chart and price above Stop: 1/2 my entry price Target: Given SPXS is 3x Bear the S&P...I estimate the first target range is $6.75-$6.90 which would be reaching the previous ATH of S&P of 5675 Option Price Est. $.85-$1.00 Approx: 3:1 - 5:1 Profit Loss Ratio The full target range would be between $7.00-$7.25 which would be reaching the H&S Target 5630 or 200 Day Moving Average 5577 Option Price Est. $1.00-$1.50 Approx. 3.3:1 - 7.5:1 Profit Loss RatioShort20:00by jaytmarquardt226
SPX JAN 7 2025| READ DESCRIPTION |Here we need to understand the power of money & risk management.If it goes to 6200 from here then our RR is just 1: 1.08 . The RR is the heart & soul of a trade. One should be discplined enought to understand this & if you are not getting minimum 1:2 & I have used the word minimum, then there is no point taking that particular trade. You need to think what if a trade goes against me? Always be open to both sides understanding the RR If you are not following RR & rules then this business will eat all your wealth You mind is actually the most powerful thing in the world.by THECHAARTIST333360
Bearish Omen For SPXWho else noticed the deteriorating market breadth for SPX 500? Now only 52% of stocks above their 200 day moving averages. Rising price of the index is hiding this bearish omen.by Badcharts117
SPX - Short Term Bear - Swing Trade SP:SPX Here's the details of my trade Short on SPX.... Daily Chart: - Rising Wedge Pattern - Strong Break of Support Line (Fed Announcement Dec 18th) - Retest of the Support Line - Break back down from the Support Line and below 50 day moving average - Divergence on the RSI Fundamental Support: - Buffer Indicator 203.7% (Near all time highs) - Buffet portfolio at highest cash level since 2008 ($325B) - Shiller PE at 37.2, near 2022 peak of 38, Dot com bubble of 44 - FED announced fewer rate cuts in 2025 - Core PCE at 2.8% and rising since June 2024, above 2% FED target - Inverted Yield Curve is no longer inverted as of Sep 2024, the longest (793 days) and deepest inversion in history. All previous sustained inverted yield curves (8 Total since 1960) except 1 were followed by a recession within 6-12 months once the yield curve was no longer inverted. Economic Data: - Next significant economic data is ADP employment report Wed Jan 8th and Unemployment Rate Fri Jan 10th - A lower or higher employment figure than forecast could move the market and is a potential risk to the short position if employment figures are positive - However, inadvertently, higher employment figures will reduce the likelihood of FED rate cuts, offsetting some of the upside potential Target: - Previous ATH at 5674 ~-4.5% from current price - Stop: A break back above the support line - Historic market breakdowns (ie Jan 2022, Aug 2024) typically the initial move took 4-9 trading days with potential for up to 10% breakdown before recovery Risks: - Return to normal trading volumes post-holiday could result in continued buying - Trump inauguration could trigger a wave of bullishness - Big news in any of the Mag 7 stocks Overall: The chart patterns and fundamental data not only support a greater chance of a short term move to the downside, but greatly increase the chance of further decline. At this point, the market is in a potential transition and more data and chart movements need to play out before determining if a bear market is underway. My Position: 30 Call Options in SPXS (3x Bear SPX ETF) $6 Strike, Current Price $6.20 Expiration Friday Jan 10th. Average Price is .20 a contract Investment $600 Target $1.00-$1.50 (8-13:1 Profit Loss Ratio) Stop .10 Potential Loss $300 Potential Gain $2400-$3900 Shortby jaytmarquardtUpdated 5