EUR/CHF, SUGAR/USD and EUR/NZD on watch for me today.Good morning guys and girls,
I hope that you had a great weekend.
I've got quite a lot to get through this morning.
So I was tagged out of my EUR/CAD trade on Friday for a nice little profit of +1.94%. As price broke below our daily double bottom area I was keen to start locking in profit even more aggressively just above it and when price printed a one hour retrace at this double bottom area that's exactly what I did and then I was taken out by volatility shortly afterwards. It was touch and go whether I had this pair on watch again today for a potential buy, but I think what's looking more likely now is that price will push back up before it pushes back down to potentially given us an even better setup by way of a 1, 2, 3 touch structure which breaks below our daily low and then I will be most definitely looking to get long. But I think that this if this does happen it might take until tomorrow to do so and to give me the setup that I'll be looking for, so I'm happy to sit on my hands until then where this potential trading opportunity is concerned.
I placed another trade last night which was a short trade on NZD/JPY. It ticked all of the boxes and more and shortly after I placed my order I was triggered in and a lot of momentum came into the market in in my forecasted direction almost immediately and then I went to bed. However during the night price retraced aggressively and it took me out for a -1.00% loss. A lot of people question themselves when they take a loss, but I've been in this game long enough to know that if I took this trade 100 times it would make me money and therefore I don't think when such setups present themselves, I execute because through repetition and experience I've acquired a probabilistic mindset, which is vital to our success as traders. As I've said before we just roll the dice as traders and if we have an edge of the market as I do then that edge will play out over a large enough sample size of trades. Once again I considered having this pair on watch again today as I think just as with EUR/CAD price might be giving as an expanding pattern at structure which we can potentially capitlise on, however just as with EUR/CAD I think that this trade setup will likely not be ready until tomorrow. So once again I'm happy to sit on my hands until it does (if indeed it does).
Listed below is what I'll be looking for today and posted as separate screenshots this morning are both trade recaps and all three forecasts.
Have a great day!
EUR/CHF:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SUGAR/USD:
• If price impulses down further, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our rayline and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
