APC trade ideas
Buyback Watch for Swing TradingEarnings are over so buybacks are back in the mix. The market is likely to continue to be volatile and choppy until all the ETF investors who want to sell have done so. Then, the uptrend is likely to resume because there are not enough barometers warning of a recession AND we just had one 3 years ago.
Buybacks tend to drive price up, so they are a good swing and momentum trading strategy. Notice how neatly the support from previous highs halted the run down. Reversal points at strong support levels are one area to watch for buyback patterns.
Ultimate Winrate KDJ Strategy by reset parameter!(best tutorial)You've ever had this happen?
Bought a stock at rock bottom, and it starts to rise a bit, and then the J line turns down on the KDJ indicator, telling you to sell. So, you sell, but then it quickly shoots up, leaving you pretty blue. like you missed out on a fortune. Was the KDJ indicator down?
Nope
Hold tight, cause we're about to see a miracle. By just tweaking a bit the KDJ indicator's parameters, you can nail those short-term highs and be on your way to the success.
So, how do you find the right KDJ indicator parameters?
Stick around, and I'll spill the beans!
First off, why do we need to optimize this lil' parameter?
Well, every stock moves differently cause the folks trading it are different. So, a one-size-fits-all KDJ indicator won’t always work well on every stock at every stage. To up our chances, we gotta tweak those parameters to find the best fit for our stock.
Now, onto the second question: how do you find the right ones?
Let’s go back to the Tesla stock chart.
After changing the KDJ indicator parameters to 74, the sell point lines up perfectly with the peak.
Why 74?
Well, from point A to point B, there’s exactly 74 candles. Why use the number of candles between those two points as the KDJ parameter?
Here’s the crux of it.
The KDJ indicator is a momentum oscillator, calculating the close price at latest candle with the highest and lowest prices of the previous nine candles since the default KDJ parameter is 9.
so If the price breaks above the highest price of those nine candles, it will be constantly giving false sell signals.
So, we need to set the KDJ parameter to the number of candles from the previous high to the low. This way, the highest price and lowest price are not broken.
Then, the KDJ works accurately.
Still lost? Let’s look at another example. Here’s an Apple stock chart.
With the default parameter of 9, we bought after the golden cross, but few days later, it prompt to sell signal, and then the price soared. Feeling furious yet?
But if we set the KDJ parameter to 95, we’d have sold right near the top, securing a nice profit!
Why 95?
Same method: from the highest point A to the lowest point B, there’s 95 candles.
Got it? Ain’t it something?
Check your stocks with this method. Got questions? Leave a comment, and I’ll get back to ya ASAP! Today we focused on using KDJ to find sell points. It’s just as magical for buy points, which I’ll cover in future videos.
So, please follow me and hit that boost bell so you don’t miss out!
An ADX Tip. :)Hello traders! I'm back from a few years away and found a little nugget on ADX in my trading notes which I wanted to share with you. As you may know I have focused the majority of my attention on candlestick analysis using Steve Nison training material. In one of his courses I have written down this quote by a significant trader he talks about sometimes,
" Some of the best buy signals are found when ADX is below 15 and begins to rise. " - Chuck Lebeau
Having seen that quote I brought up TradingView and found the most recent occurrence of that happening on the asset I was analyzing on the Weekly chart and look what I found:
Steve Nison teaches a strategy called "Trading the 9" which involves the 9, 20, & 50 period moving averages. Look, there was a Golden Cross of all of them exactly when ADX crossed above 15! Outstanding! Maybe look at adding an alert on the assets you watch for ADX crossing above 15! :)
What will happen to Apple stock? Is there a correction ahead?
If the price closes below the orange price zone ($223), it seems that we should wait for the correction of Apple stock.
Two red dotted lines are drawn as resistance.
Our first expectation is the price of $210 and it is possible that we will see a correction to $201.
what is your opinion?
AAPL: Warren Buffett accelerates sale of Apple sharesBerkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has dramatically reduced its holdings in Apple Inc., marking a significant shift in its investment strategy. Over the past seven quarters, Berkshire has been consistently selling off its Apple shares, with the process intensifying in the second quarter of 2024. During this period, Buffett disposed of over USD 75 billion in stocks, including a substantial portion of his Apple holdings, reducing Berkshire’s stake in Apple from 789 million shares at the end of Q1 to 400 million.
The massive sell-off contributed to Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves reaching a record high of USD 276.9 billion. Buffett’s strategic move reflects broader market sentiments, where investors are increasingly cautious, favouring the security of high-yield US government bonds amid expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Technical analysis of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)
Reviewing Apple’s stock performance in light of recent developments:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend: the stock is in a downtrend, exacerbated by the negative sentiment pervading the stock market and Buffett’s significant sell-off
Resistance level : 225.60 USD
Support level : the previous support at 214.50 USD has been breached
Short-term target : if the downtrend continues, the next target could be 181.45 USD following a rebound from the broken support
Medium-term target : a continued decline might see the stock reaching 172.70 USD
Potential uptrend scenario : if market conditions improve and the stock reverses its current trend, a potential growth target could be set at 235.00 USD
Investors and market watchers should closely monitor Apple’s stock, particularly in the context of Berkshire Hathaway’s reduced exposure and broader market dynamics. A significant divestment by a major investor like Buffett could influence other stakeholders and affect Apple’s stock performance in the near to medium term.
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Apple (AAPL) Share Price Influenced by Psychological FactorsApple (AAPL) Share Price Influenced by Psychological Factors
The first factor is the news that Warren Buffett is halving his position in AAPL shares. Whether this indicates that the legendary investor foresees the company losing its market leadership or a recession threat, Buffett's authority may create a psychological effect on retail investors and prompt them to sell their shares.
The second factor is the breach of the $200 psychological level. After the strong rise above $200 per share in June, it seemed the price had securely settled above this round number. However, it's not uncommon for breakout tests to occur, stop-loss orders to be triggered, and the supply-demand balance to shift, resulting in price growth. For example, yesterday's price action saw the bulls nearly close a 7% bearish gap.
Today's technical analysis of the AAPL stock chart shows that:
→ Opening at the lows and closing at the highs for the last two wide candles indicates demand activity.
→ Since May, the stock price has been moving within an ascending channel (shown in blue). Yesterday, the price closed near the median line, where it might stabilize.
→ If the bears attempt to resume pressure, pitchfan ray #4 may provide support. As the AAPL chart shows, the stock price found support in the previous three instances, visualized on the chart as days of upward trends with decreasing angle steepness.
Interestingly, CNN Money's Fear & Greed Index showed a further decline in overall market sentiment, moving into the "Extreme Fear" zone on Monday. Would Buffett now follow his famous 1986 advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful"?
According to a survey of 32 Wall Street analysts by TipRanks, 24 recommend buying Apple stock. Their average price forecast for AAPL is $248.96 over the next 12 months.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$AAPL Correction to persistI'm currently seeing a partial pullback,
gauging AAPL's current pullback and comparing it to historical pullbacks and current market conditions.
I forsee $appl at 209,
And quite possibly 200,
and even as step as 191
This will all depend on market's liquidity testing, but overall, I'd opt for aapl puts over aapl calls.
Is APPL priced to perfection?
NASDAQ:AAPL
It's really starting to feel like AAPL is getting ahead of itself here. Sure, their recent earnings report looked decent, but I think some big takeaways are the decrease in China sales and decrease in iPhone sales. Sure, their services revenue will continue to increase and their buyback props up the stock, but there has been no true innovation in this company. False hopes of an Apple car, now an overpriced VR headset, and iOS that will incorporate other companies' LLMs?
Everyone is talking about the next upgrade cycle like it's going to change the outlook of the company. Yeah, Siri might improve, but there won't be any drastic impact on productivity with this first iteration.
With all that said, it looks as though the stock is starting to settle down. Recent reports of Warren Buffett halving his stake in AAPL will likely translate to further downward pressure on this stock.
AAPL has recently broken below the 20-day MA, retested, but failed to break back above. Now it is sitting between the 20 and 50-day MA. If it breaks below its 50-day MA, it will likely retest previous ATH support.
My plan is to buy puts in the short term and hope for a pulldown towards $198.
Apple - Technically OverboughtI saw in the news that Mr. Buffet sold half of his ownership stake in Apple. In reality, he made the perfect decision to sell his Apple stock at a time when the market was technically overbought. It is without question. When he believes the price of Apple stock is appropriate, he will most likely repurchase the shares.