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APC trade ideas

Triple top pattern on $AAPL ?Seeing a possible triple top pattern on apple, this could have me going medium term bearish if it starts to roll over. Average analyst prediction is around $244 and we are already quite near that although it should be considered a longer term prediction. Therefore it would be fair to expect some consolidation. Volume doesnt seem to be significant enough to signify a breakthrough of this resistance. Recent earnings had a negative surprise. However, there is still a fair chance for it to breakout. Apple is always very consistently bullish, so even with some clear signals I cant be entirely certain. Buying a small PUT position, could see a false breakout potentially but if it rolls over Ill increase position.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by mattbuns61
AAPL: 2025 Strategic Outlook: 75%+ BUY/HOLD🔸Time to update the AAPL outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in AAPL going forward. 🔸AAPL price action is contained within rising bullish price channel established since 2021. Havin said that we've entered premium / overprice zone and I'm expecting limited upside going forward over the next few month. Risk/reward is favoring a pullback/correction before a healthy uptrend can resume in 2025. 🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback/correction to start in Q1 2025, 20/25% pullback is normal and therefore we may hit 170/180 USD in the correction stage of the bull market in AAPL. Bulls should wait for better prices / reload zone near 170/180. TP BULLS is 260/280 USD. this is obviously a setup for patient traders, do not expect overnight gains in this market. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProjectSyndicate
12
AAPL: Eyeing the Channel Breakout – Reduced Market HoursTrading Plan and Technical Analysis for AAPL Price Action Overview: AAPL is consolidating near $235.25, maintaining its upward channel structure. Recent price action suggests the stock is gearing up for a potential breakout as it tests the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The MACD histogram is showing early signs of bullish momentum, while the volume remains consistent, hinting at possible accumulation. Liquidity Zones and Order Blocks: * Liquidity Zone (Support): $230.00-$231.00 - Buyers have been actively defending this area, establishing it as a strong demand zone. * Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $236.50-$238.00 - Price rejection here would confirm a double-top pattern, but a breakout could invite significant upward movement. Key Support and Resistance Levels: * Support Levels: * $233.50 - Intraday pivot level; watch for consolidation above this. * $230.00 - Strong support where the lower channel line aligns. * Resistance Levels: * $236.00 - Immediate resistance aligning with the channel's upper boundary. * $238.00 - Critical breakout level, marking potential for a new high. Scalping Gameplan: * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Long above $236.00, targeting $237.50 and $238.50. * Stop-loss: Below $235.00. * Confirmation: Look for a 5-minute candle close above the channel with increased volume. * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Short below $233.00, targeting $231.50 and $230.00. * Stop-loss: Above $234.00. * Confirmation: Watch for rejection at the upper channel boundary followed by a breakdown. Swing Trading Playbook: * Bullish Case: * Entry: Confirmed breakout above $236.50, holding for a target of $240.00. * Stop-loss: Below $234.00. * Indicators to Watch: RSI crossing above 60 and MACD line diverging upward. * Bearish Case: * Entry: If price fails to break $236.50 and reverses below $233.00, enter short. * Target: $230.00 and potentially $228.00. * Stop-loss: Above $235.00. Thoughts and Suggestions: AAPL's current price action reflects cautious optimism as traders position themselves ahead of reduced market hours tomorrow. A breakout above the channel could lead to a quick surge, especially with volume confirmation. However, failure to breach resistance may result in a pullback to test support at $230.00. Scalpers should stay vigilant, especially during the first hour of trading, while swing traders can use breakout or rejection setups for multi-day positions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please consult a financial professional and conduct your own research before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL: Is a Breakout Brewing? Complete Scalping and Swing TradeAAPL is trading at $235.41, consolidating near a key resistance zone within an ascending channel. This movement suggests a potential breakout or a pullback in the near term, offering both scalping and swing trading opportunities. Let’s dive into a structured game plan with actionable insights. Technical Analysis Market Structure & Price Action * Trend: The stock is trading within a clear ascending channel, demonstrating bullish momentum. However, it’s nearing the upper trendline, suggesting a potential pause or correction. * Liquidity Zones: * Liquidity resides around $230-$232, where previous consolidation occurred. This could act as a magnet for price if a pullback occurs. Key Levels to Watch * Support Zones: * $230.48-$229.75: Strong support zone, aligning with the midline of the ascending channel. * $225.74: Critical support and potential stop-loss area for long trades. * Resistance Zones: * $235.65-$236: Immediate resistance; a breakout above this level may trigger further bullish momentum. * $240: Psychological level and the next target for bullish continuation. Scalping Plan 1. Entry Point: * Enter long on a breakout above $236 with volume confirmation. * Alternatively, scalp short if the price rejects $235.65, targeting $233.20. 2. Targets: * Long Target: $238, then $240. * Short Target: $233.20, then $230.48. 3. Stop-Loss: * Tight stop-loss at $234.50 for longs. * For shorts, stop-loss above $236.50. Swing Trade Plan 1. Bullish Setup: * Wait for a breakout above $236 and hold for $240 and beyond. Use $230.48 as the stop-loss level for swings. 2. Bearish Setup: * Enter short if price breaks below $230, targeting $225.74. This would signal a breakdown from the ascending channel. 3. Volume Analysis: * Volume will play a crucial role in confirming the breakout or breakdown. A spike in volume above $236 is bullish; declining volume during pullbacks favors the bulls. Order Blocks and Liquidity Insights * Bullish Order Block: Around $230, aligning with support levels and prior accumulation zones. * Bearish Order Block: Near $236, coinciding with the resistance zone and potential liquidity grab. Thoughts & Suggestions 1. Bullish Scenario: * If AAPL clears $236 with volume, we could see a rally to $240 or even higher. The ascending channel supports this outlook. 2. Bearish Scenario: * A rejection at $236 or a breakdown below $230 would attract selling pressure, potentially testing $225.74. 3. Scalpers and Swing Traders: * Scalpers should focus on intraday price reactions at the outlined key levels. * Swing traders can lean on the channel structure and broader bullish trend for position sizing and risk management. Final Thoughts Apple is sitting at a critical juncture within its ascending channel. Both bulls and bears have opportunities depending on how the stock reacts to key levels. Stay patient, watch volume, and plan your trades accordingly. Disclaimer This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a professional before making trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Near Key Breakout Zone: Scalping & Swing Trade Plan Nov. 25AAPL is trading in a tight ascending range, approaching a critical resistance level. With increasing bullish momentum, it presents exciting opportunities for both scalping and swing trades. Here’s a detailed technical analysis and game plan to navigate the current price action. Market Structure: 1. Trend Direction: AAPL is in a short-term ascending channel, with higher lows confirming bullish momentum. 2. EMA Analysis: The 9 EMA is positioned above the 21 EMA, indicating upward momentum on the hourly chart. 3. Volume Activity: Gradual volume increase on upward moves suggests growing buyer interest near resistance. Key Levels: * Resistance: $230.72, $234.00. * Support: $228.05, $225.84. Liquidity Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): $228.00–$228.50. Buyers have consistently stepped in around this level. * Supply Zone (Resistance): $230.50–$231.00. This area is a key level where sellers have been active. Price Action Insights: 1. AAPL is forming an ascending triangle pattern, often a bullish continuation signal. 2. Resistance near $230.72 has been tested multiple times, making a breakout increasingly likely if volume supports it. 3. Rejection from this level could push the price back to the demand zone at $228 or lower to $225.84. Order Blocks: * Bullish Order Block: $228.00–$228.50. This area is likely to see strong buying interest if the price pulls back. * Bearish Order Block: $230.50–$231.00. Sellers have actively defended this zone, and it remains the main hurdle for bulls. Entry & Exit Suggestions: For Scalping: * Entry: Buy near $229.50 if the price bounces off the 9 EMA with bullish candles. * Target: $230.50 (partial profits), $231.50 (final target). * Stop-Loss: Below $228.50 to limit downside risk. For Swing Trade: * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $230.72 on a confirmed breakout with strong volume. * Target: $234.00, followed by $236.00 for extended gains. * Stop-Loss: Below $229 to minimize losses in case of a false breakout. * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: If price breaks below $228.00 with a strong bearish candle. * Target: $225.84, followed by $224.00. * Stop-Loss: Above $229.00 to avoid premature exits. Thoughts & Projections: * Bullish Outlook: AAPL looks poised to break out of its ascending triangle. A successful close above $230.72 could lead to strong upside momentum toward $234. * Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds and price drops below $228.00, the focus shifts to downside targets near $225.84. Playbook & Game Plan: 1. Pre-Market Prep: * Highlight $228.00 and $230.72 on your chart. * Monitor pre-market volume for signs of momentum in either direction. 2. Scalping Checklist: * Look for strong price action near $229.50 or $230.50. * Use the 9 EMA for trend confirmation. * Take quick profits in case of high volatility. 3. Swing Checklist: * Wait for confirmed breakouts with increased volume. * Use higher time frames to validate support or resistance zones. * Set conservative stop-loss levels to protect gains. Conclusion: AAPL’s current setup offers a great opportunity for both scalpers and swing traders. Watch for a breakout above $230.72 for bullish continuation or a breakdown below $228 for bearish moves. Stick to your game plan and manage risk carefully. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage your risk before trading. Dear
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Apple Inc. (AAPL) short term outlookApple Inc. (AAPL) is exhibiting an ascending triangle pattern on its daily chart, a formation that often precedes a bullish breakout. The chart shows a horizontal resistance level around $235, where the stock has encountered selling pressure multiple times, while higher lows form a rising trendline. This pattern reflects increasing buying interest and suggests a potential upside move if the resistance is decisively broken. A breakout above the $235 resistance level, particularly if accompanied by higher trading volume, could signal the start of a strong upward trend. Traders may look for confirmation of the breakout with a daily close above resistance, supported by robust volume to validate the move. For risk management, stop losses could be placed below the ascending trendline or the most recent higher low. Profit targets can be projected using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level, providing potential upside targets in the $245–$250 range. While this setup is promising, it’s essential to remain cautious and monitor market conditions, as broader market movements or news events could impact the stock's trajectory. Using proper risk management strategies will be critical when trading this pattern.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TraderhrTrading
APPLE The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on APPLE and concluded the following: The market is trading on 229.82 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 226.87 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnabelSignals
1
AAPL's Key Levels: Scalping & Swing for Nov. 20, 2024AAPL is presenting an exciting opportunity for traders as it consolidates within a rising channel on the hourly timeframe. With well-defined support and resistance zones, coupled with strong trendline dynamics, AAPL offers setups for both scalping and swing trading. Here’s a detailed breakdown to guide your trading strategy. Market Structure Overview * Channel Formation: AAPL is trading within a broadening rising wedge, indicating potential for volatility as it nears upper resistance levels. * Price Action Dynamics: Currently trading at $228.50, it is positioned between critical support and resistance levels, suggesting a breakout or retracement is imminent. * Volume Insights: Increasing volume near resistance hints at market participants taking positions for the next leg. Liquidity Zones * Demand Zone (Support): $224.00 - $225.50. Buyers have consistently stepped in around this zone, making it a potential bounce area. * Supply Zone (Resistance): $230.00 - $231.50. Sellers are likely to emerge here, especially with recent rejections at this level. Order Blocks * Bullish Order Block: $224.00 - $225.00. Look for this zone to act as a base for any pullbacks. * Bearish Order Block: $229.50 - $231.00. Watch for bearish pressure near this level to take partial profits. Key Levels * Support Levels: $224.00, $225.50. * Resistance Levels: $230.00, $231.50. Technical Indicators * 9 EMA & 21 EMA (Hourly): AAPL is trading above these EMAs, signaling short-term bullish momentum. * MACD (Hourly): Bearish crossover forming, suggesting a potential retracement before the next leg up. * RSI (Hourly): Approaching overbought territory, hinting at a potential cooldown. Scalping Plan * Entry: Enter long near $227.00 - $227.50 on bullish confirmation at support. * Exit: Target $229.50 for partial profits, with a secondary target at $230.00. * Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below $226.50 to manage risk. * Game Plan: Wait for high-volume candles at support zones for entry. Avoid chasing momentum near resistance. Swing Trading Plan * Entry: Accumulate positions near $224.50 - $225.00, as this zone has historically seen strong buying activity. * Exit: First target at $229.50, with the potential for $231.50 on sustained bullish momentum. * Stop-Loss: Set below $223.50 to protect against invalidation. * Game Plan: Watch for confirmation of the rising channel support to validate the trade. Projection AAPL's current setup suggests a potential test of $230.00 in the short term. A break above this level could lead to $231.50, while failure to hold $227.00 may result in a retest of $225.00 or lower. My Thoughts AAPL's price action is primed for scalping opportunities around $227.00 and $230.00 levels. Swing traders can consider accumulating on pullbacks to $224.50 for a higher probability move toward $231.50. Stick to your trading rules and let the technicals dictate your entries and exits. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Perform your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
2
The Overlooked Indicator Outstanding SharesThe Overlooked Indicator: How Changes in Outstanding Shares Impact Long-Term Investments When evaluating a company for long-term investment, most investors focus on familiar metrics such as revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. However, one crucial indicator often overlooked or misunderstood is the change in a company's outstanding shares over time. This variable plays a significant role in determining the market capitalization and, ultimately, the shareholder's stake in the company. Understanding Outstanding Shares and Market Capitalization Outstanding shares represent the total number of shares a company has issued and are held by all shareholders, including institutional investors, retail investors, and insiders. These shares are a key component in calculating a company’s market capitalization, which is simply: Market Capitalization = Outstanding Shares × Share Price Market Capitalization=Outstanding Shares×Share Price While market capitalization is widely referenced, changes in outstanding shares are often neglected, even though they can significantly influence the per-share value of a company. Issuing and Repurchasing Shares: A Tale of Two Strategies Companies can increase or decrease the number of outstanding shares for various reasons: Issuing New Shares: When companies issue additional shares, often to raise capital or fund growth initiatives, they dilute existing shareholders' ownership. This dilution can have a material impact on the value of each share, as the same company’s equity is now spread over a larger number of shares. Share Buybacks: Conversely, when companies repurchase their own shares, they reduce the number of outstanding shares, effectively concentrating ownership among the remaining shareholders. This often boosts metrics like earnings per share (EPS), making the company appear more attractive to investors. Case Study: Microsoft and MicroStrategy To illustrate the impact of changes in outstanding shares, let’s examine two contrasting examples: Microsoft (MSFT) and MicroStrategy (MSTR). Microsoft (MSFT): In 2020, Microsoft had 17.8 billion outstanding shares. By 2024, this number had been reduced to 15.2 billion—a 15% reduction. This significant buyback program demonstrates Microsoft’s commitment to returning value to shareholders. Reducing outstanding shares enhances per-share metrics and can indicate confidence in the company’s financial health and future. MicroStrategy (MSTR): In stark contrast, MicroStrategy increased its outstanding shares from 100 million in 2020 to 197.2 million in 2024—a staggering 97% increase. This massive share issuance reflects a dilution of shareholder value. While the additional capital raised might have been used to fund growth or acquisitions, existing shareholders now own a smaller percentage of the company. The accompanying charts vividly illustrate these trends, highlighting how these strategies can dramatically alter the ownership landscape over time. Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors As a long-term investor, it’s essential to look beyond surface-level metrics and consider how changes in outstanding shares affect your investment. For example: Dilution Risk: A company that frequently issues new shares may struggle to generate sufficient internal capital, signaling potential financial challenges or aggressive expansion strategies that could dilute shareholder value. Share Buybacks: While buybacks can enhance per-share metrics, they are not inherently positive. Investors should ensure the buybacks are funded by strong free cash flow rather than debt, which could jeopardize the company’s financial stability. Impact on Valuation: Adjusting for changes in outstanding shares provides a more accurate picture of a company’s valuation and its ability to generate returns for shareholders. Conclusion Changes in outstanding shares are a critical but often overlooked factor in evaluating a company’s long-term potential. By understanding the implications of share issuance and buybacks, investors can make more informed decisions and avoid common pitfalls in their investment journey. The examples of Microsoft and MicroStrategy serve as a reminder that not all changes in outstanding shares are created equal. For long-term investors, keeping an eye on this overlooked indicator can be the difference between a growing stake in a thriving company and an increasingly diluted piece of the pie.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by controllinghand
AAPL Forming a Potential Cup and Handle PatternThe AAPL stock is showing signs of a potential Cup and Handle formation as it approaches a critical resistance zone at $236.52. This level has acted as a significant barrier, with multiple failed attempts to break above it. The stock is now consolidating, which could indicate the development of the "handle" in this bullish continuation pattern. Pattern Breakdown: Cup Formation: The rounded bottom structure represents the "cup," with a resistance level at $236.52 acting as the rim. The stock has gradually recovered from its lows, forming a smooth upward curve that aligns with this pattern. Handle Formation: Recent price action shows a slight pullback below $236.52, forming a potential "handle." This pullback is characterized by a narrowing range, which is typical before a breakout. Key Resistance and Breakout: The breakout point lies at $236.52, where a confirmed breakout with strong volume could validate the pattern. Upon confirmation, the measured target for the pattern suggests a move toward $250 or higher, calculated by adding the depth of the cup to the breakout level. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $236.52: The rim of the cup and the breakout level. Support: $220.00: A minor support level within the handle. $193.29: The primary support level if the stock fails to maintain its current range. Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $236.52 with strong volume could trigger a rally toward $250 and possibly $260, depending on the momentum. Bearish Scenario: Failure to break above $236.52 could lead to further consolidation or a retest of support at $220.00 or even $193.29. Conclusion: The potential Cup and Handle pattern on AAPL suggests the stock is gearing up for a bullish breakout. Traders should closely monitor the $236.52 level, as a confirmed breakout could signal a strong upward move. However, caution is warranted, as failure to break out may lead to further consolidation or a retest of lower support levels.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by abulyan