NQ Range (05-12-25)Looks like it is "Rig in May and go Away". New range to watch would be the white arrow zone between the two orange TL's. The Channel below is a 2 standard deviation, NAZ should return to 19,750-18,750 at some point to retest. Looking for 21,256 to be next upper target for reaction. Flat NAZ YTD may do what, Run up 10-20%? or drop retest lower? Pick one. O/N group and Washington Street are very much in control here.
UNF1! trade ideas
NASDAQ Harmonic pattern indicating strong bounce incoming.AI vs. Dot-Com Bubble
When drawing parallels between #AI and the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, many express concerns that current valuations may be excessively inflated. However, significant differences are apparent.
To begin with, the current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of the NASDAQ-100 is approximately 30, whereas during the dot-com bubble, it skyrocketed to 200, with many companies lacking any earnings in sight.
Additionally, the market capitalisation to #GDP ratio reached unprecedented levels in the late 1990s, while today's figures, although still high, are supported by robust earnings and solid cash flows from established business models.
Innovations in AI, cloud computing, and digital transformation have fuelled revenue growth, exemplified by #NVIDIA's data centre sales, which surged 409% year-over-year in Q4 2024, and Microsoft's Azure, which experienced a 28% year-over-year increase in 2024. This surge in productivity is being driven by individuals, businesses, and governments alike.
As a result, major tech firms are making substantial investments in AI research and development, with clear strategies for monetisation.
AI is poised to become a transformative force, akin to the transistor, a groundbreaking invention that scales effectively and permeates various sectors of the economy.
Lastly, the Federal Reserve raised interest #rates to 6.5% to tackle inflation after previously lowering them to address Y2K concerns before the bubble burst in 2000.
In contrast, current expectations suggest that interest rates will stabilise or decrease, which would support valuations.
ChopFlow ATR Scalp Strategy (OBV EMA) on MNQThe ChopFlow ATR Scalp Strategy combines a low choppiness regime filter, on-balance volume with EMA confirmation, and ATR-based exits to capture quick micro-trends on the NASDAQ-100 E-mini (MNQ).
Strategy Logic
1. Choppiness Filter:
-Calculate the Choppiness Index over 14 bars.
- Trade only when chop < 60 (trending or mildly trending market).
2. Order-Flow Confirmation:
- Compute OBV and its 10-period EMA.
- Long when OBV > OBV EMA and chop < threshold.
- Short when OBV < OBV EMA and chop < threshold.
3. ATR-Based Exit:
- Exit at a fixed multiple of ATR (stop and profit target both = 1.5 × ATR).
How to Trade It
1. Confirm time chart with MNQ , preferably1-min chart.
2. Enable only the 17:00–16:00 CME session.
3. Look for low choppiness (< 60), then wait for OBV cross.
4. Enter with one-contract size, tight 1.5× ATR stops/profits.
5. Monitor DOM for liquidity shifts around entry levels.
NASDAQ - continue with the UptrendOn NASDAQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 20150.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
(FVG) - Fair Value GAP and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert!📈 Nasdaq – Daily Breakout Alert!
Wonderful breakout spotted on the Nasdaq Daily Chart after a prolonged consolidation of nearly 2 months. If the price sustains above 19,945 and breaks past the key resistance at 20,060, we could witness the beginning of a fresh rally in the index.
🔍 All eyes now on the price action in this critical zone. Continuation above these levels could trigger strong bullish momentum — assuming no major global turmoil disrupts the setup.
#NASDAQ #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #USMarkets #BullishSignal #ChartWatch #TradingView
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 20474.75
- PR Low: 20376.75
- NZ Spread: 218.75
No key scheduled economic events
Unfilled weekend gap up over 1%
- Gap fills below 20160
- Auction pausing at March 26 pivot
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 5/12)
- Session Open ATR: 551.42
- Volume: 47K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -10.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nasdaq 100: Bulls in Control for Now, but Key Hurdles RemainNasdaq 100 futures have gapped higher upon the Asia market open, leaving them sitting above the important 200-day moving average. With momentum indicators like RSI (14) and MACD generating bullish signals, it’s an environment that favours buying dips and topside breaks.
However, the coast is not entirely clear for bulls with the price struggling to take out the March 28 high of 20,536. The January 2023 uptrend is also nearby, sitting just above 20,600. Zooming out, the price has also been coiling in a rising wedge pattern, warning there may be an eventual resumption of the bearish trend seen between late February and early April.
While some bulls may be willing to buy above the 200-day moving average with a stop beneath for protection, others may prefer to wait for a decisive push above the top of the resistance zone around 20,650 before establishing positions. Topside levels to keep on the radar include 21,000, 21,420 and 21,969.
If the price were to reverse back below the 200-day moving average and close there, it would swing near-term directional risks lower, invalidating the bullish bias.
Good luck!
DS
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Not much changed last week so I do not change much of what I wrote then. Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s still too early to short. The bull wedge is about to break out over the next 1-2 days and if bulls stay above 19600, we should expect higher prices.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels for next week: 19000 - 21000
bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000. Nothing of this changed to last week. Bulls preventing the bears from getting any decent pullback, which is uber bullish.
Invalidation is below 19100.
bear case: Problem for the bulls is, that we have not closed above the weekly 20ema for two weeks now and bears defending the prior lower high 20536. That was and will be my line in the sand next week. Gap close to it, we have no reason not to print a new ath but below19600 I think more bulls will give up, depending on the strength of the selling. As of now, nothing about the chart is bearish but one decent down day > -2% could change that.
Invalidation is above 20620ish.
short term: Neutral. Market went nowhere and trading on hope and fairy dust is not my thing. I wait.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-11: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer. Same update as for dax, I guess we could go down and sideways over the next weeks/months and then have another squeeze into year end. Stairs up, elevator down.
NQ Analysis - 11th May 2025Here is my analysis of NQ, a pair I do not trade and only very seldomly do analysis for.
I've been wanting to get into indices futures, so I will be doing more analysis on them in the future. I still have to learn about the contract sizes, average moves, etc.
- R2F Trading
Nasdaq -Bitcoin’s $104K Frenzy Steals Nasdaq’s ThunderAs Bitcoin surged to $104,350 (up 9.5% weekly), retail traders pivoted to crypto, leaving Nasdaq’s momentum muted despite Lyft’s 21% pop on buyback news .
Going forward, I will be interested to see if Nasdaq is lagging behind Bitcoin and we can see bullish price action up into premium PD arrays.
NQ 1W Following weeks before summerIn my opinion these are the key levels which we have to look at to determine short narrative. If we consider higher prices then I would prefer the grey fvg stay unfilled and retest the current weekly tail. After which we shall run up strongly through the imbalance and likely revisit 21k.
On the other hand if we anticipate slower growth or even consolidation, I would like to see these levels inverted for this case. Important to mention we ve got a large monthly candle tail which can be easily rebalanced to during the summer season when less volatility can appear, which will be seen in consolidation and further continuation later on