UNF1! trade ideas
Nasdaq (March Contract) - Massive Meltdown!Stocks have had a rough week as uncertainty over President Donald Trump's tariff shifts whipsawed markets and overshadowed otherwise encouraging signals about the economy.
With 4 continuous weeks of bearish price action, it does not look like there is a end in sight. Sellside liquidity @ 20248.75 has not been used as a form of resistance, indicating weakness in the markets.
Going forward, my bias is neutral going into Sundays opening price
idea on a chartNasdaq index in correction territory, many investors are trying to decide if it's a buying opportunity or if they should run for the hills. A correction is marked by an index declining 10% from its all-time high, which isn't quite as severe as a bear market. Additionally, stocks aren't necessarily a blanket buy or sell right now. Instead, I think there are certain ones that look like great bargains and others that still seem overvalued.
Do we rally from here?
Word of day: Tariffs. As we all know the market entered correction territory. Now it is confirmed; The reason why investors were sitting with huge pile of cash. Now to the point, why do i think we rally from here? From a fundamental point of view the economy it's setup for a BOOM. From lower energy prices, lower taxes, D.O.G.E (Getting rid of wasteful spendings), tariffs (which makes our country rich), deregulations, To top 100 companies investing billions of dollars in the U.S (They will pay U.S taxes and add thousands of jobs) And when the president of the U.S openly tells wall street to invest in the U.S we shouldn't take that lightly. I mean... only a few short weeks in office we are already seeing result when it comes to lower inflation, lower egg prices, and gas prices. In my opinion, this puts Jerome Powell in a position were he will be forced to lower interest rates. Now from a technical perspective, we can see how the NQH5 found support at this FVG, now of course we are probably ranging due to FOMC meeting 7 days from now which is typical for the markets to consolidate ahead of the fed's decision. But see how everything aligns with a bullish bias (Too many confluences) Fundamental: Bullish, Technical: Bullish , Sentiment: OPTIMISIMS.
What's Next for Tech ?This is just a quick weekend analysis to help understand what's going on on the chart and prepare for what may come next.
So many tech investors got caught by a fast and vicious correction (slightly exceeding -14% from recent top) - Traders should have got out of the market earlier once the prior low / support was broken, but maybe it's not too late.
there's a very interesting confluence area where many MA's (20, 50, 100) converge with the trend line of previous bottoms. so we expect a possible market reaction around that area - if it acts as resistance and we bounce off of it - so that's a new "Lower High" (that's our next chance to get out, or get some hedging in place), we then look at where the market puts the next low - we're between repeating the pattern from Aug/Sep 2024 - or a continuation down for a confirmed bear cycle.
one assumption here is that we actually bounce up off the current closing from last week - on positive geopolitical news -that may not happen and this view becomes obsolete.
Note: these are just thoughts and the analysis i will use to drive my trading in the next few weeks. Please do your own research - if you agree or disagree, i'd love to hear / read your thoughts.
$NQ IdeaOn the monthly chart, NQ maintains its bullish structure, confirming an uptrend. However, in recent weeks, the price has undergone a correction, pulling back to an equilibrium zone before potentially resuming its predominant upward movement. We can see that the price is holding at the Mean Threshold of a monthly rejection block, while also forming an SMT on swing lows with ES and YM on the weekly chart.
Since we trade on an intraday basis, it is essential to analyze multiple timeframes to confirm our bias. On the weekly chart, last week's candle swept the previous week's low and closed below the range. However, given the presence of an SMT at the lows, it is unlikely that the price will target the PWL (Previous Week Low). Instead, a correction toward a discounted area on H4 could occur before the bullish movement begins.
This scenario makes sense because the H4 chart has engineered liquidity in a premium zone, and the price is still trading within that area. Furthermore, last week's shift in market structure confirmed a bullish bias on H4, but before resuming the uptrend, we might see a sell-off to clear liquidity, as the price remains in a premium zone on H4.
Based on the economic calendar, there is a possibility that the weekly low will be formed on Monday, creating an opportunity for a counter-trend trade early in the week. However, this setup carries high risk, requiring caution and confirmation before entry.
For this week, we are looking for bullish opportunities toward equilibrium or until the price encounters resistance to continue rising. However, this outlook will be adjusted as price action unfolds throughout the week.
It is also worth noting that this will be a challenging week, due to a lack of major economic news and an upcoming Federal Reserve speech on interest rates, which could significantly impact the market and increase volatility.
February trading statement (PROFIT & LOSS) :-(A snippet of my February trading journey!
The challenge i set for myself didn't quite pan out in the month of February.
In this video we have a display of my live trading account details for the month of February 2025!.
This is a personal journal and I will share the following month in a bit.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/14/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/14/2025
📈19570 19660
📉19380 19285
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
NQ Long (03-14-25)Wall Street will try and fix Washington Street's bad money manager (Your Fired). S/P at -10 and the NAZ was in front at -14% (from ATH). The NAZ will be used to help hold the it all together as we approach the true Danger Zone level (of NAZ and S/P). Look for the old Long side tricks to be played, starting with the Friday-Monday Long Rally and overnight weekend Gap Up. 19,200 and above is Long and below is Short. Look Long 1st and should the tricks not work, Strong Short it is.
$800 Profit in under 10 Minutes on NQ! Turned $800 Profit in Under 10 Minutes Trading NQ! 📈💰 Watch How It Happened! 👀🔥
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NASDAQ 100: Same Song, Different LyricsAfter a 12% pullback, NQ is retesting price levels from 400 days ago, and to many, it looks like a crash is coming. But what’s really driving the jitters?
1.Apple’s sales concerns & downgrades
2.Tariff fears (that haven’t even been imposed yet)
3.Doomsday takes on the U.S. economy
Sounds familiar? Same melody, just different words.
Yes, the stop is wide, but the profit target from here is at least 5X.
The question is—who sees an opportunity, and at what levels?
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19382.00
- PR Low: 19296.75
- NZ Spread: 190.75
No key scheduled economic events
Maintaining Tuesday's range, rotating back to Wednesday's lows
- Constant intraday swings has overall sentiment frustrated
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/14)
- Session Open ATR: 481.32
- Volume: 50K
- Open Int: 264K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
2025-03-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bulls can’t get anything going that’s not sold heavily. I can’t see this not closing at the lows tomorrow. The target is obvious, 2024-09 low at 18867. The tight bear channel started at 22245. This selling without any meaningful bounce is so weird and overdone, it’s hard to grasp. We went from melting higher on literally any news to not being able to close green on a week where news were all in line or not bad. I can not take this as a W1 of a new bear market where my next target is likely 18000 for W3 and 16000 for W5.
current market cycle: trading range - only daily closes below 20000 mark the end of this bull trend
key levels: 19000 - 21000
bull case: Easy as pie to write. Bulls need anything above 19800. Anything below is much more likely to that we sell hard again, since it’s not stopping. Bulls can not trap any bears and are quick to give up on any selling pressure. Best for bulls would be to stay above today’s low and make another higher low above 19165. Weekly close above 19500 would surprise me big time.
Invalidation is below 19140.
bear case: Bears are really overdoing it. A 5-10% up move is around the corner I think. Next target below is the September 2024 low at 18867, which aligns somewhat with the current bear channel. The channel is the dominant feature right now, so trade it. My base assumption for tomorrow is another try by the bulls and heavy selling into the weekend. Would not be surprised if we close the week below 19000.
Invalidation is above 19600 but bulls need something above 19800 if they want further upside. 19600 is just the break of the bear channel.
short term: Can only be neutral for now. Having a bullish bias but bulls are not doing enough for now. I wait. 20k is my first target. Nothing changed. Selling down here is not for me.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Will update this on the weekend. Bear trend has started.
trade of the day: Yeah. Globex printed the high of the day early and market could not get above it or 19600 for that matter. I thought a trading range day was much more likely and we had decent two-sided trading but bulls are running for the exists and just want out. 6 x 1h bars that struggled to stay above 19550 was the cue that we likely test down again.