NQ_F should be interesting this month CME_MINI:NQ1! is at a pivot-point - prepare yourself. NASDAQ:QQQ
UNF1! trade ideas
This is a 4-hour chart of the NASDAQ 100 index (NQ1!). Analysis:
Trend and Support: The chart shows an ascending trendline (black dashed line) acting as support, with the price recently bouncing off it around the 20,260 level. This suggests the uptrend remains intact for now.
Price Action: The price has pulled back from a high near 21,500 ish and is currently consolidating around 21,000. The recent bounce off the trendline indicates potential buying interest at lower levels.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: The yellow shaded area between 21,200 and 21,550 is a resistance zone where the price previously struggled.
Support Zone: The area around 20,800–20,900 (another yellow shaded area) may act as immediate support if the price dips again.
Targets: T1 (20,813.50) and T2 (20,626.25) are marked as potential downside targets if the price breaks below the trendline. On the upside, breaking above 21,550 could target 21,800 (top of the resistance zone).
Market Sentiment: The order book on the right shows the current ask at 21,531.25 and bid at 21,506.25, with a tight spread indicating decent liquidity. The price is slightly below the ask, suggesting some selling pressure or hesitation to break higher immediately.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If the price holds above the trendline and breaks 21,400, it could rally toward 21,800 or higher.
Bearish: A break below the trendline and 20,800 support could lead to a deeper pullback toward T1 (20,813.50) or T2 (20,626.25).
Insight: The NASDAQ 100 is in an uptrend but facing resistance near 21,400. Watch for a breakout above this level for bullish confirmation or a break below the trendline for a bearish move. The 20,800–20,900 zone is a key support to monitor.
Bullish BreakoutThere's a lot of greed towards the upside in this current market state. Fear consolidation is confirmation of this. Stoploss below said fear consolidation pricing.
Reversal Fakeout to Grab liquidity NQ1In this bullish continuation setup, big players (institutional traders, hedge funds, and market makers) are actively maneuvering around key levels. After price bounces from the Order Block area, these entities aim to manipulate liquidity by triggering stop-loss placements before continuing the trend.
How They Operate:
Stop-Hunting: Institutions know where retail traders place stops—often below key support or VWAP. They drive price lower to collect liquidity before pushing the market higher.
Fakeout Moves: A sudden dip below VWAP or the Order Block might shake out weak hands before price aggressively resumes the bullish trend.
Accumulation Before Expansion: Large players accumulate positions inside the Order Block area while creating an illusion of bearish pressure, trapping shorts before the next push up.
Trade Psychology & Execution:
Spot the Trap: If price dips unexpectedly, assess volume spikes—if liquidity is being swept without follow-through downside movement, it’s likely a stop-hunt.
Hold Strong Levels: A bullish continuation may unfold after liquidity is collected, as institutions reclaim price above VWAP, fueling the next leg higher.
Strategic Stop Placement: Avoid placing stops too close to obvious levels—consider wider stops below strong liquidity zones to survive manipulation tactics.
The key takeaway? Smart money plays around liquidity zones, forcing weak hands out before driving price in the intended direction. Stay patient, analyze the setup, and position wisely to ride the bullish wave after the institutions have had their turn.
Follow @GoldenZoneFX For more content and valuable insights.
long nasdaqheres 2 very basic examples of what i think could play out on the nasdaq... personally i think were overbought and need a pullback.. not looking to short this market tho, am watching for a momentous push threw the highs. or to get long on a pullback
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 21395.25
- PR Low: 21335.25
- NZ Spread: 134.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Rotation off 21850
- Previous session print advertising decline back to week low
Session Open Stats (As of 1:25 AM 5/30)
- Session Open ATR: 446.48
- Volume: 33K
- Open Int: 267K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22096
- Mid: 20383
- Short: 19246
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Poor executions on MNQ A little post for transparency, down -$225 for the day. Made some error trading mistakes. I should've just closed the charts and been content with my $60 profit. But I still learned a lot through staying on the charts and watching price.
10am candle not breaching its highs and failing to take it was a great indication that the candle wanted to target sell-side -- let my feelings get me a little excited today and that ended up resulting in losses. I will take the losses for today and check back in around 2pm and if not later today at 2pm, I'll be trading tomorrow morning NY session.
Talk to you guys soon! Give a 🚀 if you found this insightful.
MNQ Buy Idea 5.29.25 (Part 2)Continuation of the first video entry of this trade.
We were aiming for $200 in profits today but failed to get that, ending with $61 in profits. I don't think we will be entering another trade due to the time and also that I want to focus on reading my book "The Trading Game" by Ryan Jones.
If you guys found this insightful give it a 🚀, it helps me see that you guys learned something from watching this and motivates me to post more.
Drop your comments down below, do you think MNQ is bullish or bearish? What prices do you see MNQ reaching?
MNQ Long15min - awareness of lower POI
liquidity, manipulation, sweep, imbalance and mitigation around the 78.6
NASDAQ - Long strategyNASDAQ - Long strategy
After this big impulse is expected a retracement of price.
In this moment there isn't any certains .. we are a boat in Trump sea ..
From technical point of view we can approuch divided entry trade..
By anailys we can have a retracement for wave 4 and after a new long until end of 5 Wave .. ofter this last wave we can have a deep new short wave.
Final targer should be 22500
Nasdaq - 1 - 2 Months wavesAS outlined in the graph. Based on the current fib level it doesn't seem like a good enough correction, so I am assuming it could be an extensive correction wave. Great short zone at this moment.
Nasdaq 100 3 Bar Trendline now Intact!Hey traders so as you can see you don't need indicators just a simple drawing of a straightline to try to get on the right side of the market. Does it always work NO but most of the time it does. So now we need to wait for the pullback before considering to enter from the long side. Have your order ready and always use risk management.
Don't chase the market let it come to you!
Enjoy,
Clifford
Aggressive Moves Around VWAP: The CatalystWhen NQ1 exhibits an aggressive move relative to the VWAP, it typically indicates that large players—such as institutionals and hedge funds—are taking notice. An aggressive break above the VWAP can signal strong bullish momentum, while an aggressive breakdown below it suggests equally forceful bearish pressure. In both instances, the intensity of the move often precedes a significant directional commitment from the market.
The Critical Role of Pullback Confirmation
However, the initial surge or drop isn’t enough on its own for a reliable signal. The true confirmation comes when the price pulls back to the VWAP. For instance:
Bullish Scenario: After an aggressive upward breakout, if the price retests the VWAP and forms a solid bullish (green) candle, this pullback confirmation reinforces that the move is supported by institutional buying. It reassures traders that the upward momentum isn’t a false breakout, giving greater confidence in a long position.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price aggressively falls below the VWAP and then pulls back to retest it—this time showing a strong bearish (red) candle—it signals that the downtrend is supported and genuine. The pullback confirmation filters out noise and helps avoid premature exits or entries.
This "Break + Confirmation" setup is key to distinguishing between fleeting price fluctuations and sustainable trends in NQ1.
What This Reaction Tells Us
The way NQ1 reacts when nearing the VWAP is essential in shaping trade decisions:
An aggressive move signals a readiness of the market to commit in one direction.
A subsequent pullback and confirmation via a decisive candlestick pattern validates that initial move.
This dual-phase validation offers a high-probability scenario because it not only captures the momentum but also ensures that the price level around the VWAP holds up as a pivot point.
This approach helps to avoid false breakouts, ensuring that a directional bias—either long or short—is only taken once the market has clearly reasserted its intent through a retest phase.
In Summary
Observing how NQ1 reacts around the VWAP provides powerful clues about market sentiment:
Breakout or Breakdown: Aggressive moves away from the VWAP indicate that market forces are strong.
Retest Confirmation: A pullback to the VWAP with a confirming candle (green for bullish, red for bearish) is the reliable trigger for high-probability trading entries.
Institutional Insight: These moves often mirror the actions of larger market players who are shaping the next leg of the trend.
Ultimately, the strategy revolves around patiently waiting for both the aggressive move and the subsequent confirmation to align, thereby filtering out noise and solidifying a clear trade bias.
#202523 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Same as last week, markets are all very similar. Nq is also in a wedge right under the big round number. I doubt bears can prevent the bulls from printing 22000 but bulls have certainly tried long enough now. Either they get it next week, or it won’t happen for couple of weeks/months.
current market cycle: trading range on the weekly tf, bull wedge on the daily tf
key levels for next week: 20700 - 22000
bull case: Can bulls find enough buyers above 21900 next week to push for 22000 or even a new ath above 22656? Right now bulls are still favored for everything but that does not mean buying above 21500 is a good trade. If you were to buy right now at 21789, your stop has to be 21720 or better 21655. You would be buying at the very top of an ascending triangle we have been in since Thursday. It’s certainly not a good short but I wouldn’t buy it either.
Invalidation is below 21300
bear case: Bears need to close the gap down to 21300 and then we can talk about the highs being in, maybe. For now they fail at making lower lows and letting the bulls make higher highs. They are selling new highs but market is still grinding higher. For couple of weeks now I have been writing that for bears to change the character of the market, they would need a strong gap down or sell spike and leave an open gap. I do think it’s not bad by the bears that we have still not printed 22000, which everyone expected on Thursday but instead bulls had to give up again and we sold for 700 points. Long story short, bears have nothing and no one would be surprised if we print 23000 next week.
Invalidation is above 22100
short term: Neutral around 21800. Longs closer to the wedge trend line 21600 are likely decent. I expect at least 22000 to get hit before we could maybe turn. Most insane thing would be to see a giant melt-up next week and continuing for 23000 over the next 2-3 weeks. Certainly much higher possibility of that happening than a weekly close below 21000.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-07: Market is refusing to go down but I can not see this going much more up. Maybe we hit 22000 maybe we don’t. My assumption is still that latest around mid/end of July we begin to decline over the summer.
NQ channel to watch today Channel is there with the previous highs & lows. There are also some trendlines to pay attention to. I hope this helps
NQ: 204th trading session - recapFriday was definitely better than thursday, but again: bad price action... it wasn't that bad, but context and lack of momentum made it definitely not good
NQ: 203rd trading session - recapI'm posting this late because I forgot to do it on thursday, I need to get my grip back. Im just really falling into bad habits, not really specific anything that is bad for my journey, but it is not good and it certaintly won't be good for my trading performance
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
Week 23 Bullish speed delivery Bias on Nasdaq.Looking for speed to show up next week and expand higher to reach out 22, 672.00 breaching trough the D SIBI after a potential Mon-Tue LOW.
I don't really wants to see price gyration around the D +OB on Monday and Tuesday even if pre-CPI. Better it would be to see a opening gap higher and a retrace into the gap to form the Low of the week Mon-Tue and then rally.
+ We're 2 weeks a head of contract change. Acceleration towards liquidity before the change in contract is usual behavior
NQM June 6 Outlook: Break Above 21700 = Strong Uptrend📝 Description:
📅 Date: 06 June 2025
📍 Instrument: NQM2025 (Micro Nasdaq Futures)
NQM is currently trading inside a tight consolidation zone between 21605 and 21675.
This zone reflects indecision — but such ranges often precede strong directional moves.
🚨 Key Level to Watch:
➡️ Breakout Level: 21700
If price breaks and sustains above 21700, we could see a strong uptrend unfolding with:
📈 Target 1: 21850
📈 Target 2: 22000
💡 Trading Notes:
Breakout above 21700 should be supported by momentum or candle confirmation.
21605–21675 remains the consolidation zone — avoid trades within this choppy range unless clear signals appear.
This outlook is based on smart zone analysis using the Emperor Setup (Pivot + RSI Candle Logic) — designed to simplify trend reading and trade execution.
2025-06-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Good day for the bears but if you look at the daily or 4h chart, do you really want to sell this? Of course not. Most traders will wait and see where the bears fail to long this for another try at 22000. Technically we had at least 3 legs up in this wedge and 21936 qualifies as a top. I would still not sell this yet. Favoring the bulls for some bounce, can be higher or lower high. Below 21390 I would be neutral and we could try to test down to 21200 or 21000.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20700 - 22000
bull case: Bulls will likely be eager to buy close to the bull trend line which we have not touched since early Monday. Question then is, will we get a lower high or finally the 22000 print? You never know in advance. What you can know is that selling below 21600 is most likely a bad trade.
Invalidation is below 21390.
bear case: Bears getting more confident in shorting new highs since they make decent money doing so. Until we see 21000 again, they will still likely only scalp and not hold on to positions for longer. The bull wedge is too obvious to hold short and pray for a break. If bears would stay below 21700 tomorrow, that would certainly change their outlook and more bulls would start doubting that we can get to 22000. Daily 20ema is around 21200 and the bull trend line around 21400, those are the next targets for bears.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Neutral but if I had to have a position, I’d be long with stop 21050. I will sit on hands and wait for bears to give up and scalp some longs tomorrow. If bears continue down, it will be without me because I don't like getting trapped.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Longing 21700 was a good trade a couple of times today. You could have made decent money doing so and then getting stopped out on the break below 21630 but that would have been still a profitable day. Get comfortable losing.
NQ Bullish!I´m bullish on NQ until 1H Wick CE at 21849,75.
We are longterm bullish and we just made a large hourly wick wich we used to visit at its midpoint!
