NQ1! Outlook - 17-01-2025I am still bullish on the LTF, let's get price liquidate some shorts before dropping back lower to 20700.
UNF1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/17/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21239.50
- PR Low: 21209.25
- NZ Spread: 67.75
No key scheduled economic events
Inside print rotation back to 21000
- Retraced nearly 50% of Wednesday momentum breakout range
- Advertising daily pivot high off 216000 zone
Session Open Stats (As of 1:25 AM 1/17)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 384.63
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NasdaqI believe a good entry will be around 21224.50 on the 15min fvg. Price swept a low and hit 50% of the 5min PCE news candle. On the daily time frame from 1.15.25 the 1.26.25 candle retraced 50%. I believe Friday 1.27 will finish bullish for the week.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25 MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/16/25
📈 21732.75
📉 21188.25
1/2 way mark 📈 21596.75 & 📉 21324.5
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ closed lower, facing resistance near the 20-day moving average. It struggled at the midpoint of the long bearish candle formed on January 7 (21570), which coincides with the upper trendline resistance originating from the December 16, 2023 high (22450). The market's direction—whether it breaks above the upper trendline resistance around 21500 or reverts to the center of the downtrend—remains to be seen.
On the weekly chart, a sell signal has been triggered. On the daily chart, the significant gap between the MACD and signal line suggests a higher likelihood of continued downside. However, after consolidating around the center of Wednesday's large bullish candle, the market may trade sideways for a few days before determining its next direction.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are above the zero line. After consolidating in a box range, the market may see a bullish third wave supported by the MACD holding above the signal line. Alternatively, a dead cross could form, signaling a shift to bearish momentum. For today, a range-bound strategy focusing on selling at highs and buying at lows is appropriate. Note that Fridays can often bring choppy price action.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the upper monthly boundary. On the daily chart, the significant gap between the price and moving averages increases the risk of pursuing long positions at higher levels. If oil breaks below the 5-day moving average, the 10-day moving average or the $74–$75 range could act as support. A pullback to these levels would provide an opportunity for buying on dips.
The recent month-long rally has caused the MACD and signal line to diverge significantly above the zero line, supporting a buy-on-dip strategy during corrections. However, as mentioned previously, a sell signal has appeared on the 240-minute chart, along with MACD divergence, suggesting a higher probability of additional downside. The recent $79 rally could represent the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder acting as resistance upon a rebound. Below $76, strong support exists, so box-range trading near critical levels is recommended.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, supported by declining Treasury yields. The daily chart confirms a fully established uptrend, making it advantageous to focus on buying during pullbacks. Treasury yields, which have been inversely correlated with gold, are also showing sell signals, suggesting further downside in yields and strength in gold.
If gold breaks above the 2755 level, it could test the weekly chart resistance at 2788. However, resistance at this level may prevent the weekly MACD from forming a golden cross, leading to a consolidation phase over the next few weeks. On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum suggests a bullish third wave that could replicate the prior move from 2625 to 2735. With the clear daily trend and one-way price action, this is a favorable period for swing trading to maximize profits. Traders should consider this an opportunity to grow their accounts.
This week included major events like the CPI report. Next Monday, Donald Trump will officially be inaugurated as U.S. President. Given past market volatility during Trump's presidency, expect heightened price swings ahead. Always adhere to stop-loss levels and manage risks diligently. Wrap up the week well, and best of luck in your trading endeavors.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21150 / 21090 / 21020 / 20940
-Sell: 21330 / 21370 / 21420 / 21490
Crude Oil - Bullish Market (March futures)
-Buy: 77.50 / 77.00 / 76.20 / 75.70 / 74.90
-Sell: 78.55 / 79.00 / 79.35 / 80.30
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2738 / 2729 / 2722 / 2715 / 2700
-Sell: 2757 / 2765 / 2772 / 2780 / 2788
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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NQ: 123th trading session - recapI took a short today - losing trade
It actually was a pretty solid setup, losses happen - that's trading
I will say however that the candle in question that gave me my entry signal did NOT have as much momentum as yesterdays. Now, I'm not saying this to cope with a loss, I am completely fine with the fact that I lost money, that is just the reality of trading.
But in the future I can still look out for that, cause as I already stated:
momentum > structure
I marked out on the chart the most beautiful tiny range I've ever seen, the second one is alright. I am still working on a strat for choppy sessions because it would be stupid to only have one that makes money when there is movement in the market. For those who don't understand:
99% OF THE TIME IT'S JUST A RANGING MARKET AND CHOPPY SESSIONS!!!!!
But that wraps it up for today - excited for tomorrow
why is nobody using ICT setups on daily RTH charts?today going short from the very minute of the regular trading hours session
was possible because price was in FVG area and had a overbought setup on
percent R indicator
on prior days the FVG area had to be reached first and then a short was possible with low risk
now the trailing stop remains on top of the daily bar
It Works3 point drawdown,
548 point gain.
This was perfect price action today.
Low risk high reward setups
WITH HIGH PROBABILITY.
Once you see it you cant unsee it.
$nqI like the discount of SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST2:NQ below 21290
Otherwise just waiting on other setups to form right now
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 01/15/20225This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
NQ Trade Ideas📊 TRADE IDEAS: NQ FUTURES (NQ2025)
🟢 PRIMARY SCENARIO (BULLISH):
DIRECTION: LONG
STRUCTURE BIAS: Bullish
ENTRY LEVEL: 21,400
STOP LEVEL: 21,320
TARGET LEVEL: 21,600
R/R RATIO: 1:2.5
EXECUTION STRATEGY:
- Wait for pullback to 21,400 level (Thursday AM expected)
- Enter long position at near or into a 1 Hour Bullish Order Block.
- Valid only if price hasn't breached 21,600
- Anticipate move higher into Friday
KEY POINTS:
- H1 bullish order block provides short term AM support for today.
- Thursday AM pullback provides optimal entry
- Maintain bullish bias until 21,600 is reached
- 21600 is a Strong Level where price reversal is very likely.
🔴 SECONDARY SCENARIO:
DIRECTION: SHORT
ENTRY LEVEL: 21,600
STOP LEVEL: 21,680
TARGET LEVEL: 21,400
R/R RATIO: 1:2.5
EXECUTION STRATEGY:
- Only valid after completion of bullish move
- Enter short position upon reaching 21,600
- Intraday scalp opportunity
- Quick reversal play back to 21,400
MARKET BIAS:
SHORT TERM (1-2 DAYS):
Bearish bias for immediate price action
Looking to capitalize on potential reversal from 21,600
Expecting counter-trend movement typical of Thursday/Friday sessions
Focus on capturing the corrective move down to 21,400
Tight risk management essential for reversal trade
LONGER TERM (2-5 DAYS):
Maintaining overall bullish bias
Current correction viewed as temporary pullback
Higher prices expected after completion of reversal
Key level of 21,600 likely to be broken eventually
Using current correction as opportunity to identify better long entries
Stacked Unhit Highs on 4H above us are clear draw on price.
Long NQNQ disrespected daily bearish FVGs. I expect some continuation to fill 4H bearish FVG above before it might reverse.
NQ LongEntry Point: Price is reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, with the potential to buy near 20,865.75.
Stop Loss: Set just below the 0.79 Fibonacci level, around 20,690.00.
Take Profit: Targeting a move towards the 0.0 Fibonacci extension around 21,371.25 (blue rectangle area).
Analysis:
The market has experienced a retracement, reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This could act as a support zone for a possible upward move.
The price action suggests a strong potential for a rebound as it aligns with a previous high.
This trade setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the potential for significant upside towards the 0.0 Fibonacci extension.
buying over wednesday and fridays highthe Nasdaq seams to be most profitable when buying above the wednesdays and fridays high
this avoided entries in the bearish move on july 2024
breakeven stops in aug 2023
only small losses in jan/april/sept 2022
all in all a pretty good strategy when exiting below the low of prior two days
NQ1! outlook - 16-1-2025Either the price will fill its imbalance on the LTF or drops down to the bigger imbalance due to CPI.
Let's see if NQ will stay bullish.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/16/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21421.00
- PR Low: 21378.25
- NZ Spread: 95.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Full rotation back to 21400 range supply
- Pressure applied to long-term shorts below 21200
- Auction halted at edge of daily Keltner average cloud
- Holding below previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 1/16)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 383.66
- Volume: 23K
- Open Int: 253K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
JOURNEY TO 53K: Buy Idea for MNQ
🚨 Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure
Trading futures and other leveraged instruments involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any trades or strategies discussed are based on my personal analysis and approach. Results are not guaranteed, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a licensed financial advisor and do your own research before trading.
You are responsible for your own trades and financial decisions. By watching this video, you acknowledge that trading carries risk, and you should never trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
👉 If you enjoyed this video, don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more trading insights and breakdowns! Let’s grow and learn together.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, digesting the release of the CPI data. On the weekly chart, it faced resistance at the 5-week moving average, forming an upper wick. After a downtrend early this week, the market rebounded significantly. On the daily chart, the index rose to around the 20-day moving average but has yet to see the MACD cross above the signal line, making it premature to confirm a buying signal. Even if the uptrend continues, it would be prudent to wait for a golden cross in the MACD before committing to a buy position. Moreover, there is significant resistance from prior supply zones, making a sell strategy around higher levels valid.
On the 240-minute chart, as mentioned previously, a failed dead cross led to a rebound, forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The MACD is trending upwards and diverging from the signal line. However, since the signal line is still below the zero line, a sideways consolidation phase may be necessary before a sustained move higher. Today, it is advisable to focus on range-bound trading within a box, managing risks carefully with sell strategies at higher levels.
OIL
Crude oil closed higher as it absorbed inventory data and the pipeline shutdown news. On the daily chart, it found support at the 5-day moving average and broke strongly above $78 (March futures), the upper boundary of the monthly chart. However, the sharp upward move has created significant gaps between the moving averages, suggesting the potential for a corrective phase today.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has triggered a sharp rise, but the MACD has not yet surpassed its previous high. A failure to rally further could create bearish divergence. A significant correction and support at previous resistance levels, such as the $74–$75 range, could present a buying opportunity. Meanwhile, profit-taking may dominate as the market digests the recent rally. A box range approach with buy strategies on dips and sell strategies at higher levels is recommended.
GOLD
Gold closed higher after digesting the CPI data. On the daily chart, both the MACD and the signal line have moved above the zero line, signaling a confirmed buy trend. Further upside is expected, as it has also broken above the resistance line of a triangular consolidation pattern. A buy-focused strategy remains valid.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal preceded continued gains. Should the MACD and signal line diverge further, this would increase confidence in the uptrend. Even if gold consolidates instead of continuing to rally, the signal line above the zero line indicates a neutral-to-positive outlook. Considering that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is showing signs of peaking and pulling back, gold’s strong upward trend is worth monitoring closely. As numerous data releases are expected today, stay cautious and trade wisely.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21325 / 21270 / 21190 / 21140
-Sell: 21440 / 21500 / 21550 / 21590
Crude Oil - Bullish Market (March futures)
-Buy: 78.10 / 77.50 / 76.90 / 76.30
-Sell: 79.70 / 80.10 / 80.80 / 81.30
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2717 / 2709 / 2700 / 2696 / 2690
-Sell: 2726 / 2732 / 2738 / 2745 / 2754
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/15/25 (updated idea soon)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/15/25 (will update for second target)
📈 21323.5
📉 20764.25
1/2 way mark 📈 21183.75 & 📉 20904.25
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Thursday, thirsty for profit on Nasdaq, 25.01.16Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Key Levels and Monday’s Recap
Chart:
As mentioned in both Monday’s and Friday’s briefings, the importance of the 20207 level was highlighted. After breaking above this level, the NASDAQ rallied by approximately 245 points.
The breakout above this major zone was followed by a pullback, confirming its significance.
March Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
The March futures contract closed above the Ichimoku Cloud and formed a strong bullish candle. However, it finished near the 20 EMA, with the opening price currently sitting at the 20 EMA level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Maintaining support above the 20 EMA is crucial.
Resistance: The next critical level is 21455 (red horizontal line), which corresponds to the January 8, 2025, high following the long bearish candle on January 7.
Breakout Potential: If the 21455 resistance is broken, there’s potential for a strong rally, similar to the January 7 bearish candle's range.
Perpetual Futures Contract Analysis
Chart:
For the perpetual futures contract, the 20 EMA is currently at 21355.
Support: If the price remains above 21355, the next target is 21455, as highlighted earlier.
Resistance: Breaking 21455 could lead to further upside momentum.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Strategy:
Entry 1: Breakout above the blue box high at 21455.
Rationale: A major resistance breakout on the daily chart + breakout above the January 15, 2025, high.
Entry 2: Breakout above the blue resistance trendline within the orange box, approximately at 21588.
Rationale: This level represents the resistance zone following the long bearish candle, where dead-cat bounces previously faced resistance.
Sell Strategy:
Entry 1: Break below the blue ascending trendline.
Rationale: If the short-term support trendline from January 14–15 weakens and breaks, it indicates diminishing bullish momentum, making it a good short opportunity.
Entry 2: Break below the 21186 support zone.
Rationale: The 21123–20800 range is a strong support frame. If 21186 is broken, a test of the lower support near 21123 is highly likely.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, with key resistance and support levels coming into play:
For Buyers: Look for breakouts above 21455 and 21588 for opportunities to ride the bullish momentum.
For Sellers: Monitor breakdowns below the ascending trendline and 21186 for downside opportunities.
The market remains dynamic, so stay disciplined and trade wisely. 🚀
MNQ CPI News Drop Rallies the marketLooks like price has seen an impressive Bullish reaction today from the 0830 news drop that took out the past days highs that was housing a ton of BSL. Conveniently, price seems to be drawing into the D SIBI and is in close proximity to the High from Wed 08 Jan 2025. I can see price trading into the SIBI and finding some sort of rejection.
Now to go forward does this make my Bias Bullish leaving the focus on the SSL at 20640.00? No not just yet because I would like to see how price trades and respects the three Premium Arrays being the D -OB, D Volume Imbalance, and the D SIBI. If price is Bullish then it should see little resistance from the CE level and the MT of the D -OB but if price is Bearish then we will see it respect a Premium Array and then continue lower.
So far there is a nice sweep on SSL and the CPI rally could be the Displacement and MSS that price needed to make to turn things around to become Bullish and start to hunt the Highs for BSL from the Mon and Tue highs of last week.
NQ: 122th trading session - recapSo I actually could trade today cause school got cancelled last minute, lucky me
Today there was a really interesting setup. I didn't take it, but with the benefit of hindsight (AND YES I was thinking that this actually was a very solid setup at the time it unfolded, I just never had anything like it so I was a bit hesitant at first) I think that this is a really solid trade.
Although it ended up being a breakeven setup, it is still very good
I also learned something I should've a long time ago:
momentum > structure
that wraps it up for today
I'm excited for tomorrow and friday, I got a LOT of energy & motivation
NQ: Hit the first Supply Zonethe Impulse Master indicator for TradingView printed a bottoming green Demand Zone on Tuesday. Today this post CPI spike hits the first Supply Zone.
