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UNF1! trade ideas

NQ Short IdeaNQ finally broke below its major uptrend for 2023. This is one of the most important charts right now in my view. This trend break is everything. Despite a big recovery, NQ remains well below this trendline. It has not retested since it broke and it looks like bulls may wanna push it all the way back up for a retest. I would fully expect a rejection here on the first try, probably a large one, but it could obviously be yet another dip buy for bulls if it does reject. Either way, if bulls can not reclaim this trend, the downside will continue. I think this short would be one of the best opportunities we've seen all year if it goes back for a retest and actually rejects.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by AdvancedPlays
3
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 18574.00 - PR Low: 18527.50 - NZ Spread: 104.0 No key scheduled economic events Week high inching back into 18500s - Lite volume relative to previous 2 weeks Evening Stats (As of 1:55 AM 8/9) - Weekend Gap: -0.66% (filled) - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 507.86 - Volume: 39K - Open Int: 239K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -11.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ sorta bullish, more neutral Whatever ya'll do this all the time. Okay, this is was a crazy recovery after all the drama on Monday BUT I'm looking for these lower lows to get taken out before considering a REAL recovery. NQ is at a pivot point for sure. I got smacked down by QQQ at this resistance the last hour of the market being open, as April open noticeable is now holding as support. BUT if we fall below it's PUT city for me. now if we hold above this level I'll have temporarily be bullish! This is a solid base. Unfortunately, I only saw a bearish divergence on the 10 minute timeframe and it's been negated thus far. What NOW?!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by RonRon7643
2
Is this what going "parabolic" looks like?Everyone is well aware of the fact that the Fed will soon be cutting interest rates. That's a given. If so, I'll be interested to see just what affect this will have on the market. It's hard to argue that it won't be a positive, but as some would say, there's a reason why the Fed would feel the need to lower rates...a slowing economy! I am not a prognosticator by any stretch, but just a chartist, and as such, it's hard to ignore what is beginning to look like a parabolic feature in the Nasdaq market. How will we know? Once rates are lowered (if and when), we look for either a continuation of the steepest uptrend channel and break of the July high, or down we go with a break of the uptrend channel to support levels.
CME_MINI:NQ2!Long
by EdStewart
1
Unemployment Claims at 08:30It seems that after the research done over the weekend, we had a very profitable week. Research that led to a much better analysis. Looks like we're gonna sell today. I have to warn you that this is a high impact news that may affect the market and change strategy. Today will be my last post as I will be away until August 23rd. I hope you will be profitable and be very careful when analyzing. We'll hear from you when back from vacation. For those who have some questions, you can contact me through comments or privately.
CME_MINI:MNQU2024Short
by Futures-Insights
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 17928.00 - PR Low: 17862.25 - NZ Spread: 147.0 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 13:01 | 30-Year Bond Auction Filled weekend gap then faded back inside range - Maintaining week range, running out of supply high & low Evening Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/7) - Weekend Gap: -0.66% (filled) - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 493.18 - Volume: 44K - Open Int: 244K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -14.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
Week of August 4- NQ/YM//VIX/CL/10yrWhat a great fresh week of selling we just had! Last week I was looking for a slight bounce in NQ before running to our 18.5k target area - but they wanted to run is down there faster. We have been writing about this 18.5k area for MONTHS - I'm just glad we finally got the entry we wanted. To be clear - I think the next move higher in markets will cement highs that we won't see again for decades, or possibly our lifetimes. But there is a LOT of upside between here and there Nasdaq - I am so bullish on the NDX here that it basically hurts. this 18.5k area has been a long held liquidity pool I wanted to see get visited so I could load the boat on longs. The weekly charts looks great - this was a textbook measured pullback, and I love the wall of worry that has been re-erected on the market. We got a garden-variety 12% pullback - and now we have bears on parade - and everyone is selling out of their tech stocks to go bid recession stocks like Utilities and Consumer Staples - at the EXACT wrong time. Investor psychology is truly a thing of beauty, and it's all playing out in the charts - exactly how we have been expecting. FROM HERE - I am expecting nATH on NDX. I am looking for ~ 22k on the NDX which is 18% higher from where we are now. The Dow I am much more bearish on. I think we need to see some cleanup work done to the downside on the DJI , and then it can really get going. I believe that tech will lead out of this correction into the final parabolic move higher - but when the DJI bottoms and starts to move higher - the entire market will broaden out. The current Draw on Liquidity for DJI is coming from the quarterly chart - we need to revisit the quarterly IRL while sweeping the equal lows down ~ 38k. Once that is complete, I am expecting nATH on the DJI as well. One thing we have noticed is that DJI and NDX tend to move inversely of each other - but when you average the 2 indexes together - you get the SPX. You could see NDX +3% - and the DJI -2%, and SPX would be flat - which is why we tend to focus on NDX/DJI as they offer cleaner directional plays. I think moving over the next 2 months or so, you will see DJI sell off, which will help power the NDX rally - and then once the DJI bottoms - everything everywhere will rally into the top . The main driver to this market melt-up is going to be based on 3 things - but its all technicals. VIX, Oil, and the 10yr. The VIX did a very VERY interesting move on Friday. The VIX was +60% on the day mid-Friday, but after we swept that weekly level the VIX started to retreat. I expect the VIX to possibly make one more sweep higher to run the stops ~ 31 - but that would be a HUGE buying oppty. WTI Crude Oil is on the verge of REALLY cracking to the downside. This is yet another indication of the weakening global economy - and affirmation that inflation is actually rolling over. The 10yr is always ahead of the game - the bond market is the smartest dudes at the table. We have been long bonds since the April highs and we are just now getting back into an area where we could see a sweep & bounce of the 10yr relatively soon. I want to see the 10yr REALLY smash the December Lows , and then I will be looking for a backtest. To be clear - I am looking for higher stocks, bonds, Precious Metals, and lower oil as we head into the Election. I believe that whatever highs we print (for stocks) wont be seen again for decades. I'm looking for the largest bear market in history to begin in Q1 of 2025 - and its all driven by global debt. So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ start the next and final leg up for the final top of 20-30%. I want to see the low of the week put in by lunch on Tuesday, and expansion higher starts soon. I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off towards 38k. I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower and take out the December Lows I also want to see Oil continue to march lower due to weakening global macro. Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by Baero-Trading
BOJ Rate Hike Causes Unrest in the Stock Markets: What next?When the Bank of Japan hiked its interest rate at the end of July, global markets went into turbulence. We will discuss what currency carry trade is, why the yen carry trade has caused this global volatility, and, importantly, whether the market will resume its uptrend. Micro E-Mini Nasdaq Futures and Options Ticker: MNQ Minimum fluctuation: 0.25 index points = $0.50 Japanese Yen Futures Ticker: 6J 0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Editors' picks
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
9
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/7/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 18140.50 - PR Low: 18030.25 - NZ Spread: 247.00 Key scheduled economic events 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Climbing back to weekly high - Previous session closed as inside print doji - Weekend gap remains unfilled above 18490 Evening Stats (As of 10:55 PM 8/6) - Weekend Gap: -0.66% (open > 18515) - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 481.22 - Volume: 44K - Open Int: 246K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -12.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
Stock Markets Uncovered Charles Dow the Co-Founder of DOWJONES Index. Introduced technical analysis to the public in the late 1800's, You really think his gonna show you how to beat his own market ??? I don't... That's why I see masses of people trade and fail. We are Thought How to trade the markets their way , Not giving us the chance to innovate our own strategy to beat the system with a much Higher edge than what they are trying to give us... Before the stock market crash, Brokers and Merchants were under an agreement under the Button Wood Agreement in 1972. A private Club were the insiders had to follow Common rules and boundaries. This closed the system against outside agents and auctioneers. But Margin buying during the 1920's was not controlled by the government. It was controlled by brokers interested in their own well-being. The Securities Exchange Act was signed on June 6, 1934, After the Stock Market Crash of 1929. The SEC used their power to change how Wall Street operated. Meaning they control the markets and Manipulate it how ever they want. See the markets with a new perspective, Study the markets itself, Not the material others try to give you. #SMU#WakeUp#Freedom>Security
CME_MINI:MNQU2024Education
by Pableeezy
2