Acw Nas100 Feb analysis We see bullish momentum on the nas100 pair provided the low for Feb isn’t broken in the first week of Feb , this will position nas100 to break the Dec 2025, high and head towards 23900-24000 on or before the 20-24th of Feb . We see price action similar to Feb 2020 and a possible crash based scenario off the 24000 dropping to 17000-19000 mid March / early April 2025 , and a 5 year bull run begins once again
UNF1! trade ideas
Wednesday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.05Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Tuesday’s Briefing Results
Chart:
Let's begin by reviewing Tuesday’s briefing results.
On Tuesday, as the price broke above the resistance trendline, our first long entry was taken. A second long entry followed when the price broke above 21600. The target—a horizontal line at 21685—was reached before a correction occurred.
From the entry point, the price rose by approximately $245, yielding a profit of about $4,900 per contract on the long side.
On the sell side, no entry signal was triggered, so no sell position was taken.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Looking at the daily chart, the NASDAQ appears to still be converging within a narrowing range.
The current position seems to be right before a directional decision is made, positioned near the middle of the Ichimoku Cloud. However, this sideways movement may persist, and the longer it continues, the more likely it is that a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant trend reversal.
Key Support and Resistance Zones on the Daily Chart
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: Breakout above the purple box at 21200.
Rationale: Rather than trading impulsively, a long entry is recommended based on the possibility of filling the gap if today’s high is broken.
Risk: The overall trend remains bearish.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger:
Option 1: A break of the short-term ascending trendline, or
Option 2: A break below today’s low at 20943.
Rationale:
This signal indicates significant risk and suggests that the market is overheated—possibly nearing a bubble burst.
Risk:
Although the trend is bearish, entering a short position late in the move raises concerns about how far the price may fall. It is advisable to set targets based on major support levels.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is currently in a converging state, and it seems best to trade only when clear breakout signals emerge, while staying on the sidelines in ambiguous zones.
For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above the key levels (21779 and 21812) for potential continuation of the uptrend.
For Sellers: Monitor for a break below the ascending trendline or 20943 to confirm a trend reversal.
Stay patient, watch key levels closely, and trade strategically. Happy trading, and let’s finish the week strong! 🚀
Journey to 53k: Mitigating my losses during London SessionTrading Ideas shared here, with a reversal trade after market decided to manipulate lower to that 50% Bullish FVG level outlined by ICT.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Journey to 53K: MNQ London Buy IdeaLondon Trade Idea reversal after tapping the FVG pointed out by ICT twice.
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
NFP looming - Stuck in the middle
If you cannot define exactly what you are doing in the market—what you’re risking, why you’re entering, and where you’re wrong—then you aren’t trading, you’re guessing. Precision is not optional; it’s the barrier between strategy and self-deception.
📌 Liquidity & Market Structure
Currently, market structure and liquidity are at odds—common behavior leading into major data events like NFP . As liquidity thins, price action can become erratic before the release.
A pennant-like formation is developing, but this isn’t a decisive factor in my approach—it provides context, shaping how I navigate the environment.
These conditions can easily catch traders off guard. Even a well-executed trade can fail if trade context and market context are misaligned.
📌 Important Note:
We may need to come lower on the daily or weekly timeframe to establish liquidity before any sustained move higher. NFP could act as the catalyst for this.
📈 Intraday Volatility Outlook
As volume picks up periodically , we could see strong intraday volatility.
The key question:
🔹 Will we see an early move lower before NFP , followed by a continuation higher?
🔹 Or will the market remain in positioning mode until the release?
🎯 Trading Approach
As traders, our job is to respond, not react. The goal is to adapt to liquidity shifts and execution flow rather than forcing a bias.
⚡ Let’s see how the market unfolds.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21594.50
- PR Low: 21550.00
- NZ Spread: 99.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Value decline below previous session close, inside the wide overnight range
- Lowest volume of the week, resting above daily Keltner average cloud
- Distant sell liquidity below 21240
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/5)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 413.33
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq initially declined in pre-market trading due to escalating tariff tensions between China and the U.S. but ultimately closed higher. A sell signal appeared on the daily chart but was reversed into a buy signal with yesterday’s bullish candle.
This suggests that the market is still moving within a large box range, with moving averages converging. This consolidation phase indicates that a trend expansion phase—marked by a strong bullish or bearish breakout—may emerge soon. Until then, it is best to trade within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the market has been making stepwise upward movements, with the MACD forming a golden cross over the Signal line. Despite a strong price surge due to divergence, the index has entered a resistance-heavy zone, and liquidity is currently tight, which could lead to frequent sharp fluctuations.
For now, the best strategy is selling near the upper boundary of the range and buying near the lower boundary. Given the ongoing trade tensions under Trump's tariff policies, risk management is crucial—placing stop-loss orders is highly recommended to protect against increased volatility.
OIL
Oil gapped down but found strong support around the $70 level, closing with a bullish candle. News of the U.S. tightening sanctions on Iran initially sent prices down by 3%, but a sharp rebound followed.
While the daily chart still shows a sell signal, the $70 price area has historically provided strong support, as previously emphasized. Thus, the overall strategy should be buying on pullbacks rather than chasing sell positions.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD continues to create bullish divergence, forming a buy signal. This increases the likelihood of further upside movement. However, since the MACD and Signal lines are still below the zero line, further price increases are needed to widen the gap between these indicators and confirm bullish momentum.
Overall, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but traders should be cautious of potential volatility spikes due to today’s Crude Oil Inventories report.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. On the daily chart, as long as the 10-day moving average holds, gold should be viewed from a bullish perspective.
The MACD on the daily chart is trending sharply upward, so until a MACD-Signal line death cross occurs, buying on pullbacks remains the best strategy. Similarly, on the 240-minute chart, the MACD has repeatedly formed golden crosses, reinforcing a strong one-way bullish trend.
From a flow of funds perspective, buying pressure remains strong, so buying dips continues to be the most favorable approach. However, traders should be aware of potential high volatility due to the upcoming ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report today and the Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday. Given gold's recent sharp rally, a major inflection point could emerge, using economic data as a catalyst.
The current market environment is characterized by high volatility and rapid price movements, increasing the likelihood of sudden price swings leading to stop-outs. However, if stop-losses are properly managed, losses can be quickly recovered.
In a highly volatile market, profit opportunities increase, so maintaining strict stop-loss discipline while seeking the next trade opportunity is key to successful trading.
Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21500 / 21425 / 21340 / 21250
-Sell Levels: 21665 / 21735 / 21830 / 21930
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.20 / 71.60 / 70.90
-Sell Levels: 73.20 / 73.80 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2864 / 2859 / 2850 / 2845
-Sell Levels: 2876 / 2881 / 2889
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
Nasdaq ... Now a Trump Dump ?I am expecting Nasdaq Futures to drop 900 points by the close of markets on February 4th.
I see support at the 20,690 area.
Technically this is from the current Wolfe Wave and a pending Harmonic Shark Pattern.
As for reasons:
1. The current ill advised trade dispute and its economic implications.
2. Confusion over the role of DeepSeek and it future role
3. A generally over extended sector which many held on to into the new year for tax and other reasons.
Tariffs IMHO are a lose-lose situation.
Not investment advice. Do your own due diligence.
Good Luck
S.
2025-02-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Higher highs and higher lows. Market have formed another bull wedge but until bears break below 21500 again, we can’t know for sure that we top out around 21700. Bears need something big tomorrow or we will likely reverse the complete sell-off and go above 22000 again.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21300 - 22000
bull case: Bulls want all those stops above the start of the sell-off on Friday and print 22k. They have closed the gap and closed today at the highs. They are in control and favored to continue higher. Can you long above 21600? I would not. We will likely get better pull-backs to 21550 or the 1h 20ema where r:r will be better.
Invalidation is below 21450ish.
bear case: Bears need a big surprise tomorrow or we will go higher again. They failed to make lower lows again and every bear bar after EU open printed big tails below it. Sure sign that bears are weak, despite the decent selling during Globex session. First target for bears is 21500 and if they get below 21450ish, they are favored to break below the bull wedge and go down further. Below targets are 21350, 21200 and then 21000.
Invalidation is above 21900.
short term: Neutral. Can go both ways but I think bulls are favored as long as the bull wedge holds.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying US open since bears just gave up after the gap close. Shorting 700 was also decent since every new high was heavily sold this week.
NQ: 133th trading session - recapOverall good session, bit of an unlucky opening range break but whatever. The range later formed was actually pretty solid, not perfect tho.
I might be nearing a burnout from trading, it could also just be my private life burning me out but idk. I won't trade the opening tomorrow and I'll just look at the chart a few times 2h after the opening. That also might help - convenient.
Journey to 53k: 50 point trade on MNQ with my ideasQuick Idea, I am on the run today. Have alot going on! But I wanted to catch another one. Got stopped out at 51 points I believe. But I am content with the trade.
Give a like if you enjoy me sharing these ideas!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Feb 2nd - Feb 9th, 2025 Week - Trade Case BuildSUNDAY 2nd Feb
Looking at the economic calendar of the week, there is no High Volatility Red Folder News in the week however there is Medium to High Volatility News everyday of the week.
On the daily chart, the DOL for NQ which is the all time high has not been taken out yet and the structure price on the high timeframes suggests that price is still looking bullish.
With ES however, price crept high towards the High and all time highs set 2 weeks ago and is also suggesting that it is still bullish.
With that in mind, I’d like to see structure form a reversal from its current bearish end from last week with a CISD in the 1 Hr preferably, and then would look for long opportunities everyday after that right up until DOL is met.
Usual Rule of not trading Monday will be followed and price will just be observed. Every other day however will be watched for trading opportunities.
The New Take Profit strategy seems promising and will be continued to be used until proven otherwise.
And Patience…
www.tradingview.com
ICT trades this AM NY session was truly amazing I listened to ICT telegram for price action lesson and it was on point all morning. such an incredible learning opportunity during live price action. again learning lesson and NOT trading signals! the OB at 415 was seen on a 5 min and 15 min chart and was within a 5 min and 1 min FVG with PT at 515 100 points within minutes! watch, listen and learn ICT! THANK YOU ICT!!!
When 50% FIB retracement does not hold true for a long or short With my 3 strong candle displacement theory to the upside or downside leaving a fair value gap.
I have noticed that if there is a strong reaction to the 50th percentile retracement with continuation to the up or downside, this is a confirmation that this may hold through.
But if there is a deep dive below the 50% retracement, it tells me in most cases that we should expect a reversal.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21600.00
- PR Low: 21553.50
- NZ Spread: 104.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
Weekend gap quickly filled through previous session
- Strong Asian hour value decline retracing >50%
- 21200 to 21000 inventory still showing strong "support"
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/4)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 431.53
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 259K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Tuesday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.04Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results
Chart:
Let’s start by reviewing Monday’s briefing results. On the buy side, after the breakout above 21200, the bullish trend continued without any reversal to a sell perspective, and the gap was completely filled. From the entry point, the price increased by about $360, yielding a profit of roughly $6,000 per contract.
On the sell side, no sell entries were triggered, so there were neither profits nor losses.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Looking at the daily chart, although the gap was filled, the price started to decline again. Overall, the market appears to be converging, and if a breakout occurs in either direction, a major trend reversal is likely. The upper target seems to be around 22100, and the lower target is approximately 20640.
Convergence Movement
Chart:
Since the market is showing converging movement, it makes sense to trade on a breakout from within this convergence.
Buy Perspective:
Entry 1: Enter long on a breakout above the resistance trendline.
Take Profit (TP): At the horizontal level indicated on the chart.
Entry 2: Enter long on a breakout above 21600.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Rationale:
The resistance trendline reflects a short-term trend, and a breakout above 21600—which is near the high of the U.S. session close—confirms bullish momentum.
Sell Perspective:
Entry 1: Enter short if the ascending trendline is broken.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Entry 2: Enter short if the price breaks below 21113.
TP: At the horizontal level.
Entry 3: Enter short if the price breaks below 20943.
Rationale:
The ascending trendline has been in place since February 3, 2025, and has not been broken since.
In a gap-filled scenario, if a break of the trendline is confirmed, it is appropriate to enter a short position.
The level 21113 represents the lower boundary of a short-term supply zone and is considered a critical support level.
For 20943, which is the low of the sharp drop on February 3, a break could trigger a move down to the major convergence level of 20640.
The white and black boxes on the chart denote areas where significant trend reversals have been observed on the daily chart.
Conclusion
The gap has been filled, so there is no further reason for the price to continue rising, and it’s difficult to confirm a bearish trend solely based on that. We believe that it is best to trade according to the market’s movement.
Let’s adapt our strategy accordingly. Have a great day of trading!
Journey to 53k: Trade Idea Execution 2.4.25Will we see lower prices from here? SL is already at BE and in profits in case price reverses against us.
drop a like and a comment if you like this type of content!
Forex, Crypto and Futures Trading Risk Disclosure:
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the regulatory agencies for the forex and futures markets in the United States, require that customers be informed about potential risks in trading these markets. If you do not fully understand the risks, please seek advice from an independent financial advisor before engaging in trading.
Trading forex and futures on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite.
There is a possibility of losing some or all of your initial investment, and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Be aware of the risks associated with leveraged trading and seek professional advice if necessary.
BDRipTrades Market Opinions (also applies to BDelCiel and Aligned & Wealthy LLC):
Any opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, or other information contained in my content (including live streams, videos, and posts) are provided as general market commentary only and do not constitute investment advice. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including but not limited to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
Accuracy of Information: The content I provide is subject to change at any time without notice and is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. While I strive for accuracy, I do not guarantee the completeness or reliability of any information. I am not responsible for any losses incurred due to reliance on any information shared through my platforms.
Government-Required Risk Disclaimer and Disclosure Statement:
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Performance results discussed in my content are hypothetical and subject to limitations. There are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading strategy. One of the limitations of hypothetical trading results is that they do not account for real-world financial risk.
Furthermore, past performance of any trading system or strategy does not guarantee future results.
General Trading Disclaimer:
Trading in futures, forex, and other leveraged products involves substantial risk and is not appropriate for all investors.
Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
I do not provide buy/sell signals, financial advice, or investment recommendations.
Any decisions you make based on my content are solely your responsibility.
By engaging with my content, including live streams, videos, educational materials, and any communication through my platforms, you acknowledge and accept that all trading decisions you make are at your own risk. BDRipTrades, BDelCiel, and Aligned & Wealthy LLC cannot and will not be held responsible for any trading losses you may incur.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The Nasdaq closed lower, forming a lower wick at the bottom. The market initially dropped in pre-market trading due to Trump’s tariff imposition issue but recovered to close the gap after the one-month grace period for Mexico was announced.
At yesterday’s closing price, the daily MACD triggered a sell signal. Although there was a gap-up today, further declines are likely as the resistance level holds. However, the MACD and Signal lines are still above the zero line on the daily chart, and it will take time for the 3-day and 5-day moving averages to pull down, suggesting that the index may form a wide-ranging box pattern before the trend leans towards further declines.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal appeared, and after a rebound, the MACD and Signal lines are reconnecting. Since a golden cross has not yet formed, a sell strategy on rebounds would be favorable. If the MACD fails to break above the Signal line and declines, a third wave of selling could follow.
From a broader perspective, the 5-day moving average on the monthly chart coincides with the lower boundary of the daily box pattern. Until this level is strongly broken downward, short-term buy opportunities remain valid near the lower boundary of the range.
OIL
Oil gapped up but closed lower. The price failed to break above $75, leaving an upper wick. The one-month tariff grace period for Canada resulted in a gap-down movement.
The key question is whether oil will attempt another rebound, using the 240-day moving average as support. It is crucial to see if a bullish candlestick forms while maintaining support above the 240-day moving average.
On the weekly chart, oil is trapped within a box range, and as the week progresses, it will be important to assess whether conditions develop for a breakout next week.
On the 240-minute chart, a rebound has occurred up to the 60-day moving average, following the characteristics of the 240-day moving average. Since the MACD and Signal lines remain below zero, selling pressure may persist. However, this is a high-probability divergence zone. If the third wave of selling fails and prices rebound, a sharp surge is possible, so traders should be cautious with aggressive short positions.
The overall approach should be to trade within the range, favoring buy positions on pullbacks.
GOLD
Gold dropped to the 10-day moving average but found support and closed higher. On the monthly chart, a pullback to the 3-day moving average around 2,770 is possible, and a correction to the low 2,800s has already occurred.
Gold's volatility is extreme due to tariff issues, so traders must carefully adjust their leverage to ensure safe trading.
On the daily chart, MACD continues to rise, so as long as the price does not close below the 10-day moving average, a buy strategy is recommended.
On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a buy signal after a pullback and is attempting a third wave of buying. However, it is crucial that gold continues rising to avoid forming a bearish divergence. If further gains do not materialize, gold may enter a box pattern.
Overall, a buy strategy remains favorable for gold. However, traders should be cautious of increased volatility due to today’s JOLTS report.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21510 / 21410 / 21345 / 21220 / 21120
-Sell Levels: 21580 / 21640 / 21680 / 21780
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 71.80 / 71.30 / 70.50 / 69.85
-Sell Levels: 72.75 / 73.15 / 73.80 / 74.50
GOLD - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 2844 / 2832 / 2827 / 2820
-Sell Levels: 2859 / 2864 / 2870 / 2874 / 2885
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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