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UNF1! trade ideas

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/31/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 18998.00 - PR Low: 18861.75 - NZ Spread: 304.5 Key scheduled economic events 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 09:45 | Chicago PMI 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Statement - Fed Interest Rate Decision - FOMC Press Conference Maintaining range of previous week Evening Stats (As of 10:45 PM 7/30) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 354.45 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 252K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -9.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
Week of July 28 - NDX/YM/CL/10yrThe past 2 weeks of selling in the NDX has been exactly what I wanted to see on the weekly charts. We have been talking about a Tech sell off for a while- into a bottom ~ 18.5k where we can position for the BIG & FINAL Long entry - and we almost got it this week. The Nasdaq sold off this week finally filling the quarterly FVG that we have been looking for. From HERE, we are going to print a new bearish FVG on the weekly chart that I want us to backtest & respect. The weekly chart has given us our step 1 of 3 in the form of displacement lower - now we need to see step 2 via respecting the overhead FVG that will form . The DOW however - gave us an entirely different view. The Dow has a quarterly FVG ~ 7% lower from here that I want to see visited. Couple that with the equal lows on the quarterly and weekly chart at 37,881 - that to me is the BIG draw on liquidity that we are hunting. SO FAR - the h4 has rejected the 50% level and this breaker block - I want to see follow through next week on DJI sell pressure. Crude Oil has been a super tough trade lately. I am still bullish short term into a top ~ 84 so we can setup the big sell - but the tape has been just so so tough lately. Its fun to observe oil but at this point, I am about to throw in the towel on commodity trading. Indexes have been FAR smoother and better respect my models. That said - what oil IS SAYING for those that are willing to listen - is that inflation is rolling over, and the global economy is weakening. The 10yr has continued its march lower. This is driven by the same macro forces that are taking Oil lower - a weakening global economy So here is the setup I am watching for this week; I want to see NQ start the next up leg here - I'm looking for a 6% pop or so into the weekly IRL. This will setup for a weekly TS sell to our final bottom target ~ 18.5k. I Want to see The DJI continue to sell off. I want to see the 10yr and oil continue to march lower Until next week - We'll be watching.
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by Baero-Trading
2
NQ Sell-Side LQ Grab then Higher into Daily Imbalance!Market is pretty darn bearish in the past 2 weeks. After hours we have had a slow drip down, low volatility/resistance. Going to bed soon but we may get a drop down during the London open to grab that highlighted 15m sell-side LQ before starting the ascent higher to run shorts. I just feel like everyone is looking for a short setup so its a great time for the big guys to go counter trend here. Big tech earnings do start tomorrow AH thru Thurs so these next 3 days could be very eventful.
CME_MINI:MNQU2024Long
by cashcow04
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19237.50 - PR Low: 19206.75 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence - JOLTs Job Openings Maintaining previous week end range - Showing potential to roll over below 19100 Evening Stats (As of 10:15 PM 7/29) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 329.53 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 254K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Long (NDX, QQQ)NQ is showing the first signs of recovery from its recent decline. The overall decline and first day of recovery is structurally similar to the last pullback in April. Price has pushed through the bottom BB and is starting to bounce back inside. RSI has turned up on the daily after being pushed below the lower threshold which has only happened 3 times this year and price has bounced each time. Given that the latest PCE was on target, rate cuts appear to be within sight. For the period between now and when the first rate cut actually occurs, I think NQ will rally to the previously developing POC around 20,000. The 20,000 level is also supported by a massive open interest for QQQ 496 calls (image linked below) which roughly works out to the 20k NQ level. The call wall should act as a progressively stronger magnet since MMs will buy the underlying to hedge their exposure. It will also act as a major resistance which is why my final scale out is a range to be adjusted as the trade progresses. Risks There is a lot of uncertainty at the moment, so these assumptions are based on macro data meeting forecasts and the remaining MAG7 earnings being neutral to favorable. If the remaining MAGs miss on earnings, then I expect a drop to around 18,500. QQQ Open Interest drive.google.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by proteus_1
2
Mag 7 Earnings and Fed PlaybookE-mini S&P (September) / E-mini NQ (September) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 5499.00, up 57.75 on Friday and down 54.75 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 19,174.50, up 182.25 on Friday and down 538.50 on the week We are embarking on one of the most pivotal weeks of the year. Earnings announcements from the largest companies surround the Federal Reserve’s policy decision Wednesday afternoon. There is only a 4.1% probability the Federal Reserve will cut rates at this meeting, but the committee is expected to telegraph a September rate cut. In fact, the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool is pricing in a September cut with 100% certainty. As for earnings, according to The Transcript there are 171 companies in the S&P 500 reporting this week. Furthermore, four out of the top five or four out of the top six (if you combine GOOG and GOOGL). Bill Baruch joined the CNBC Halftime Report on Thursday, where he reiterated his confidence in strong big tech earnings that will help alleviate waning confidence and reinvigorate its outperformance. E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures again tested a critical area of major three-star resistance at 5528.75-5533.25 and 19,356-19,390 this morning. These pockets of resistance are the first in a wave of thick overhead supply the indices must chew through in order to recoup the July 23rd close, when GOOG and TSLA reported. The July 23rd settlement aligns to create rare major four-star resistance. To the downside, price action associated with a choppy Thursday and Friday trade helps build out supports, most importantly that which aligns with Friday’s weekly settlement; while holding above here, we see the trade most constructive in attempting higher prices. Bias: Neutral/Bullish Resistance: 5528.75-5533.25***, 5542.75***, 5551.50-5553.75**, 5572.75-5576.75***, 5599.25-5611**** Pivot: 5522.25 Support: 5508.50-5509.25**, 5499-5501.75***, 5478.50-5482***, 5470-5472.50**, 5448.25-5453.25***, 5439-5441***, 5432.50**, 5391.25-5398.25***, 5366.50-5370.50**** NQ (September) Resistance: 19,356-19,390***, 19,496-19,501**, 19,654-19,686***, 19,728-19,751**, 19,809-19,828**, 19,925-19,933**** Pivot: 19,250 Support: 19,159-19,174***, 19,104**, 19,040-19,060**, 18,945-18,992****, 18,883**, 18,727***, 18,645-18,675****, 18,482-18,500*** Micro Bitcoin (August) Last week’s close: Settled at 68,775, up 3,385 on Friday and 530 on the week Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 71,125*** Pivot: 69,090 Support: 68,775***, 65,390*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/29/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19242.25 - PR Low: 19167.75 - NZ Spread: 166.75 No key scheduled economic events Daily print showing potential reversal long Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM 7/29) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 336.61 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 248K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -7.9% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5