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UNF1! trade ideas

Nasdaq Trading for the last January 25.01.27Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Friday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results Chart: On Friday, the NASDAQ broke above the purple box resistance trendline but failed to break through the next major resistance zone at 22093.5–22111.25. After the ascending trendline broke, the sell entry zone at 21854.25 was triggered. Although there was a brief rebound before the U.S. session closed, the price eventually dropped further on Monday. Currently, the price has fallen approximately 300 points from the entry, yielding a profit of around $6,000 per contract. Detailed Analysis of Friday’s Patterns Chart: One key point to note from Friday’s briefing was that the upward pattern was forming a pennant. When the black box supply zone broke, the chart showed signs of consolidation, as seen with the light blue trendlines. This consolidation involved higher lows and lower highs, but the breakout signal came from the red box. However, the breakout attempt failed after the price couldn’t break through the green box. If the green box had been broken, the pattern would have shifted from a pennant to an ascending triangle, signaling stronger bullish momentum. Instead, the failure to break out suggests that the pennant formation remains valid. Also, considering the timing, the breakout attempt coincided with a scheduled economic indicator release, which is why setting a break-even stop-loss would have been the prudent choice. Economic data releases often disrupt natural chart trends with sudden bursts of trading volume, which is why it’s generally recommended to avoid trading immediately before or after such events. Trading Within Trend Breaks Chart: Using the red box as an example: Let’s say you entered after the red box breakout 15 minutes before the economic release, even though it wasn’t an ideal entry. Stop-Loss Strategy: A break-even stop-loss should be applied to protect against volatility during the announcement. First Stop: If the price falls below your entry level, it’s the first signal to exit the trade. Second Stop: If the price breaks below the blue box, you must exit because the ascending trendline is broken, invalidating the uptrend. Stop-loss levels are challenging to specify as fixed numbers because they depend on time and price movement. For trend trading, entry and exit decisions must be adaptive and based on real-time conditions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: The daily chart shows: A significant bearish candle following a break of the short-term ascending trendline and the major support level. A gap-down open, with the price now inside the Ichimoku Cloud. The current price is testing support near the daily 20 EMA. Potential Scenarios: Upside: There’s a slight chance for a gap-filling rebound. Downside: A retest of the red box support zone near 21308. Support at the 60 EMA or Ichimoku Cloud bottom near 21220. Further major support levels are 21006 and 20694. Weekly Chart Analysis Chart: Last week’s bearish weekly candle completely engulfed the previous week’s body. The remaining lower wick reaches down to around 21377.75. Current Market Momentum Chart: The NASDAQ is currently in a steep, almost vertical downtrend. This movement makes it essential to remain cautious: Entering short positions at this stage carries the risk of a rebound to fill the gap. Entering long positions could result in further losses if the trend continues downward. Since most entry points have already been invalidated, it’s best to stay on the sidelines for now. Conclusion With Asian markets observing holidays next week (Korea from Monday, China from Tuesday, and Hong Kong from Wednesday), trading volumes are expected to decrease. Given the current market conditions, taking a step back and avoiding unnecessary trades might be the wisest approach. Unless significant news impacts the market, there’s a possibility of the session closing with some recovery. Thank you for your hard work this week, and let’s finish strong. See you in the next briefing! 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, Nasdaq & DXY for Jan 26 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix. Disclaimer The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions. The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Tradius_Trades
HTF PREMIUM LIQUIDITY ATTACKIt seems to me like the market will continue to be bullish. The target for this week is the Weekly High (22111.00) which would mean All Time High for ES (given the effect of President Trump that is a very likely scenario). Coupled with the Premium Liquidity are the Premium levels of an old Opening Range Gap and a 1H FVG. If it trades there and bullish PDAs support price it might run for the ALT. On Friday, the market already drop below a Daily Low and filled the ORG around 50% which could be enough to project price higher (potential Daily IOFED). Although there still are two Daily Discount FVGs and a 4H Breaker where price could trade to before running. Therefore, I want to see how price trades on Monday / Tuesday and depending on the signatures I will trade it accordingly.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by TheMatrix-
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line. This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered. The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks. OIL Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it. If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks. If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable. GOLD Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal. If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely. On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended. This Week’s Key Events: FOMC meeting (Wednesday) Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday) Apple earnings report (Thursday) Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530 -Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40 -Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752 -Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25 📈 22207.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22234.5, 22242.5) 📉 21830 (NEXT LEVELS: 21812, 21671.50, 22639) *The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!* Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
2
NQ: 127th trading session - recapToday was rather uneventful largely due to really ugly price action, but also cause of PMI news at 3:45pm. That time is actually the worst since when I do get a setup I can't really take it cause news will fuck it up. OR, I get a setup the moment news hit, making my setup yet again invalid. I mean I don't really mind tbh, the chance of getting a setup is pretty low, I don't get that many in a month, usually like 1-4. Been a good week, only really had 2 real sessions tho, bit sad. See y'all next week.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by GRBmlr
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25 (most recent)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25 📈 22139.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22281.75, 22424) 📉 21766.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 21624.25, 21482) *The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!* Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
NQ Range (01-21-25)Basically we are 2 weeks into 2025 and 2 weeks until month end. The games have not changed and are still working, just fine. The battle continues to be between the Overnight (O/N) and Regular Session price action. O/N moves up and Reg Session is sideways to lower (struggling lower). Yellow arrow is 12/18 and a Reg Session route. This was after 11 trading days with O/N PA used to lift, then the 2 hour Reg Session drop erased the lift. Yellow circle is drop in Reg Session (struggling lower). This U Turns into the channel up of TLX 758 (all O/N PA). I just feel we will see another 12/18 move around the corner. The 18th was 1,000 point drop (Do I hear, 1,500, 2,000, 2,500...). YTD Open is 21,250, you can see we are rotating around, TLX's above and below, White Arrow is breakout long (needs to pass TLX) and Yellow is Short. 21,200 & 20,200 are 2 U Turn Zones, we just saw 21,200 do exactly that. Back under will try lower zone and maybe that is the 1,000 point 1-2 move that is on its ways mostly likely in a Reg Session.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
10