UNF1! trade ideas
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19037.00
- PR Low: 18819.00
- NZ Spread: 487.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
AMP temporarily increased margin requirements to double the standard rate ahead of Trump tariff announcement
- Over 740 point session gap down
- Extreme volatile open aligned with tariff anticipation
- Value decline continues to 18000 inventory following touch and go off daily Keltner average cloud
- Auction rotating back to previous session low
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/3)
- Session Open ATR: 484.77
- Volume: 85K
- Open Int: 249K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -15.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. However, following the announcement of mutual tariffs after the previous session’s close, the index experienced a significant gap-down. On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, generating a sell signal, though confirmation is still pending. If today's session closes with a bearish candle, we must monitor whether this leads to a third wave of selling, signaling further downside.
Due to the gap-down, the price is now significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (MAs), making it crucial to observe whether the price rebounds intraday or continues to decline further. With the first support level at 19,000 now breached, the next key support is around 18,500. When considering buy positions, it is essential to manage stop-loss risk carefully.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared but is not yet confirmed. If confirmed, it could trigger a third wave of selling pressure, potentially leading to further declines. Given the increased market volatility, a cautious approach is recommended—reducing leverage and only trading at key price levels to minimize potential losses.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher while maintaining a range-bound movement around $72. On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the signal line and the zero line, establishing a bullish trend. However, following the mutual tariff announcement, the price gapped down, dropping below $70. The strongest support zone lies around $68, making it crucial to observe whether the MACD adjusts and aligns with the signal line before rebounding from this support level to resume the bullish trend.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with multiple support levels nearby and both MACD and the signal line still above the zero line, the market is likely to attempt rebounds. A buy-the-dip approach remains favorable, but caution is necessary given today’s OPEC meeting, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day MA. Following the mutual tariff announcement, the price initially gapped up to around 3,200, before pulling back. As previously mentioned, the upward target for this wave is around 3,216, with strong buying momentum continuing. On the daily chart, gold is trading between the 5-day MA and the upper Bollinger Band, maintaining a one-way bullish structure.
A bullish strategy remains favorable unless the daily close falls below the 10-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and previously attempted to break above the signal line but has since pulled back. Since buying momentum is still present, if the price finds support at a key supply zone, another leg higher could occur, potentially triggering a golden cross in the MACD and leading to a third wave of buying pressure.
Short positions should be approached with caution, and given the increased market volatility, risk management is crucial. Whether buying or selling, stop-loss discipline is essential to manage potential risks.
Market volatility has surged since the pre-market session due to Trump’s mutual tariff policies. Volatility is both an opportunity and a risk for traders. Do not let greed lead to losses in a market that doesn’t match your trading style. Adjust position sizes accordingly and only trade within your comfort zone. The market is always open. Do not focus solely on today—take a steady and stable approach to trading.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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NQI have no idea what this market is doing, NQ is overbought on MFI and they're still trying to pump TSLA after bad news, lol.
In any case, I dumped my GLD calls after open, and bought back in after they sold it off to pump the market. Still going with long dated GLD calls, the Asians seemed pretty bullish on gold even if the US market is selling gold futures to buy index futures. Eventually they'll run out of gold futures to sell, lol.
NQ current Maket structure with 4 hour and 1 hour analysis.NQ is currently in a 4 HR range as well as a 1 Hour range, In the higher time frames we are bearish. I Will be scalping the market for buys if we get a MSS at the 1-hour support paired with a BOS and Demand set up. For shorts i will look for a Bearish BOS paired with a supply Order block to enter for shorts targeting a 1:3 RR or prior support/Resistance.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19697.00
- PR Low: 19595.25
- NZ Spread: 228.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
10:30 | Crude Inventories
Key daily zones updated
- 200+ point rotation above Monday's high
- Auction back inside previous week range
- Retraced 1/3 of Friday's selloff
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/2)
- Session Open ATR: 437.34
- Volume: 31K
- Open Int: 248K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. Although a sell signal briefly appeared in the previous session, the MACD failed to form a bearish crossover with the signal line, instead finding support and rebounding. The index strongly bounced from its low, reaching the 5-day moving average (MA) before closing with an upper wick.
Since the MACD is supporting the signal line and potentially resuming an upward trend, the key level to watch is whether the price can break through the strong resistance at 19,625–19,675. As long as the MACD does not confirm a bearish crossover, it is advisable to trade within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the index rebounded from the bottom while generating a buy signal. However, with strong resistance around 19,675, if the price pulls back once more, it could either form a double bottom or resume a strong upward move from a single-bottom structure.
Although the MACD has crossed above the signal line (golden cross) on the 240-minute chart, it is still far from the zero line, suggesting that further pullbacks may occur after additional gains. It is important to avoid chasing the price and instead focus on buying dips at key support levels while maintaining a range-trading approach.
Crude Oil
Oil closed flat, facing resistance at $72. On the daily chart, the price broke above the 240-day MA and is now testing resistance from a previous supply zone. It is likely to consolidate within a range while pulling up the short-term moving averages.
The daily MACD has moved above the zero line, lifting the signal line as well. If the price remains in a range-bound consolidation, the signal line will eventually rise above the zero line, further supporting a bullish structure.
Key upcoming events include today’s oil inventory report and tomorrow’s OPEC meeting, which could act as catalysts for either a continuation of the rally or a pullback. Since there is still a gap between the 3-day and 5-day MAs, range trading remains the best approach.
On the 240-minute chart, strong buying momentum continues, but given the heavy supply at previous resistance levels, a period of sideways movement or a pullback is likely.
If a bearish crossover occurs on the 240-minute chart, oil could drop below $70. For now, monitor whether the uptrend can hold, and if it does, consider trading within the range while managing downside risks.
Gold
Gold closed lower after an overshoot to the upside. On the daily chart, the price was in an overextended high position, with a significant gap from the 3-day and 5-day MAs. After a brief rally, selling pressure emerged, leading to a bearish close.
Since gold has yet to properly test the 5-day MA, a pullback to this level remains a possibility. However, the daily MACD is still trending upward, and liquidity remains strong, increasing the likelihood of a one-way rally unless the 10-day MA is broken. Short positions should be approached with caution.
On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover has occurred, leading to a pullback from the high. However, since the uptrend remains intact, even if the MACD crosses below the signal line, the fact that it is still above the zero line suggests a potential rebound.
The best strategy is to focus on buying dips at key support levels, as the market is likely to consolidate before resuming a trend move. Be cautious when trading within a range-bound market.
With Friday’s U.S. employment report approaching, market volatility remains elevated. Trump’s tariff policies are increasing concerns about inflation and a potential economic slowdown. The interpretation of upcoming economic data will be crucial in determining market direction.
Risk management remains essential, so trade cautiously and stay prepared.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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2025-04-01 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bear trend line from 20536 broken again and market is probing higher to remain in a trading range at the lows. Bears need lower lows below 19300 tomorrow and bulls want to continue with the higher highs and higher lows. As long as the big bear trend line from 20452 holds, bears remain in control and see this as a more complex W2. To keep this possibility alive, the bounce has to stay below 20000.
current market cycle: strong bear trend but currently in W2
key levels: 19000 - 20600
bull case: Bull wedge, stairs pattern, doesn’t matter what you want to call this, it’s not strong buying. We have deep pullbacks that retrace more than 60% of the move and we are barely making higher highs. If bulls want to hit 20000, they need a stronger breakout above this wedge and for now I doubt it. Bulls did good in trapping late bears hoping for bigger selling already but as long as bears can scale in higher and make money because we stay low, bulls are not winning this. Their next target is the big bear trend line around 20000 which is also close enough to the daily 20ema.
Invalidation is below 18960.
bear case: Bears can argue this is a retest of the breakout but they need to print a strong down day again soon. Otherwise this could lead to more sideways to up movement and break the bear trend line. For now the pullback is still minor, compared to the move from 20500 to 19000 and bears remain in full control until the bear trend line is broken. Problem for the bears is the weekly tf. We are at prior bigger support since market has not closed below 19000 since 2024-04. Bears don’t want to repeat the pattern from last year, where we went straight down for 4 weeks, to then rally 25% form low to high.
short term: Slightly bearish around 19600 for trading back down to 19500 or maybe 400. Bull wedge is valid until clearly broken and as of now I think the odds for either side to break out are even. The closer we get to the big bear trend line, the better they become for the bears again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks.
trade of the day: Big down, big up, big confusion. Buy low, sell high and scalp. Market clearly is not in trending mode since the pull-backs are too deep and every decent follow-through buying & selling is followed by disappointment. Best trade was buying near 19300, since it was bigger support yesterday and just a breakout-retest from Monday.
Double Bullish Divergence Flashing on $SPY and $QQQWe’re spotting a double bullish divergence across two major indices: the S&P 500 ( AMEX:SPY ) and the NASDAQ 100 ( NASDAQ:QQQ ).
On both daily charts:
Price is making lower lows, signaling continued downward pressure.
Meanwhile, the RSI is forming higher lows, revealing a potential loss of bearish momentum.
This kind of setup often precedes a trend reversal or strong relief bounce, especially when observed across multiple indices at once. The fact that both AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ are flashing the same signal gives added confluence and strength to this potential move.
Divergence = a potential bullish signal
Watch for confirmation: break of previous highs or strong bullish candles.
Caution: divergences don’t always play out — wait for confirmation before going long.
Are we looking at the bottom forming? 👀
Stay alert. A shift in sentiment could be underway.
Nasdaq updated forecast with sell-side & buy-side targetsNQ futures aiming at 18900 level off these last highs. Now seeing developing weakness... expecting sellers to take it down for one more low as we approach the implementation of Trump's tariffs on 4/2.
Look for renewed buyer strength after the next set of lows as we approach the next FOMC rate decision into first half of May 2025.
This is a great swing trade setup for TQQQ, if desired, or long dated in-the-money QQQ call options.
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning,
Today I am using NDX future to chart. As you can see NDX is forming a new trend, this will most likely be short lived.
This morning my portfolio was 75% SQQQ (I have sold these shares now), I held zero Crypto which I will start looking at accumulating again. I will look for stocks that mimic the NDX Index.
Thank you and have a great day!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19413.75
- PR Low: 19326.75
- NZ Spread: 194.25
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
- JOLTs Job Openings
Holding below previous week's low
- Advertising rotation above previous session high, into breakout range
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 4/1)
- Session Open ATR: 442.17
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 247K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -14.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 18675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop.
However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line.
On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum.
Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised.
Gold
Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely.
On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory.
Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected.
With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time.
As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Trading with the CoffeeKiller Suite: A Friend-to-Friend GuideHey there! So you've got the CoffeeKiller indicator suite loaded up on your charts, and you're wondering how to use them together as a cohesive trading system. Let me walk you through how I'd approach this setup with the Rev&Line with TrendMarker on your main price chart and the RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper and MACD Boundary as your oscillators below.
The Big Picture: How These Work Together
Think of this setup as a three-layer confirmation system:
1. Rev&Line with TrendMarker gives you the big picture trend and potential reversal points on price
2. RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper shows you the underlying momentum strength
3. MACD Boundary confirms cycle timing and helps with entry precision
What makes this system powerful is how they complement each other. When all three align, you've got a high-probability trade setup.
Reading Your Main Chart: Rev&Line with TrendMarker
This is your primary trend identifier. The key features to watch are:
- Background color: Green means bullish (both SuperTrend and PSAR agree), red means bearish. This is your first clue about trend direction.
- ZigZag lines: These connect significant pivot points, helping you visualize the trend structure.
- Marker lines: These track the price range of the current swing. The high (magenta) and low (cyan) marker lines create a channel that price tends to respect.
- Triangle signals: When you see a down triangle at a pivot high or an up triangle at a pivot low, pay attention! These often mark potential reversal points.
The beauty of the Rev&Line indicator is that it combines multiple technical concepts (ZigZag, SuperTrend, PSAR, and Donchian Channels) into one visual guide.
Checking Momentum: RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper
This oscillator is your momentum gauge, combining RSI and MFI for a more reliable signal:
- Zero line: Above zero means bullish momentum, below means bearish.
- Colored columns: Watch how these behave - the color changes tell you about momentum shifts.
- Marker lines: Just like on the main chart, these track the range of the current momentum swing.
- Peak markers: The yellow triangles mark significant momentum peaks and troughs.
When the marker lines are making higher highs in bullish territory or lower lows in bearish territory, the momentum is strong. When they start to flatten out, momentum is weakening.
Timing Entries: MACD Boundary
The MACD Boundary adds precision to your entries and confirms the other indicators:
- Histogram columns: The dynamic coloring tells you about strength and direction.
- Marker lines: These track the historical range of the current MACD cycle.
- Peak markers: Just like the RSI+MFI indicator, these show you momentum turning points.
One huge advantage of this MACD implementation is the timeframe flexibility - you can view a shorter timeframe chart but calculate the MACD on a higher timeframe for better trend alignment.
Putting It All Together: Trade Setups
Bullish Setup:
1. Main chart: Background turns green, ZigZag starts moving up, and we get an up triangle
2. RSI+MFI: Crosses above zero, columns turn green, and the high marker line starts making higher highs
3. MACD: Histogram turns green and crosses above zero
Bearish Setup:
1. Main chart: Background turns red, ZigZag starts moving down, and we get a down triangle
2. RSI+MFI: Crosses below zero, columns turn red, and the low marker line starts making lower lows
3. MACD: Histogram turns red and crosses below zero
Fine-Tuning Entries
For entry timing, I'd pay special attention to:
- When price tests the lower (cyan) marker line in an uptrend
- When the RSI+MFI indicator shows a yellow up triangle at a trough
- When the MACD histogram starts to turn back toward zero after making a notable low
Managing Risk
Use the marker lines on the main chart for stop placement - they create natural areas of support and resistance. In an uptrend, I'd place my stop just below the lower marker line. In a downtrend, I'd place it just above the upper marker line.
Pro Tips from Personal Experience
1. Watch for divergences: If the main chart is making higher highs but the oscillators are making lower highs, be cautious of a potential reversal.
2. Pay attention to confluences: When marker lines from different timeframes align at a similar price level, that's often a powerful support/resistance zone.
3. Don't fight the background color: One of the easiest mistakes is trying to short when the background is green or go long when it's red. Be patient and wait for full alignment.
4. Focus on peak markers: Those little yellow triangles on the oscillators often precede major moves, especially when they show up after a deep momentum thrust.
5. Use the percentage values: On the main chart, the percentage indicators show where price is within the current range - great for gauging how much "room" is left in the current swing.
Remember, no system is perfect, but this suite gives you a comprehensive view of market structure, momentum, and timing. When all three indicators align, that's when the highest probability setups occur.
Disclaimer
This trading system explanation is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The analysis, indicators, and strategies discussed do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or signals to trade. Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before implementing any trading strategy, consult with a licensed financial advisor who can provide personalized advice based on your specific financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment goals. Remember that no trading system can guarantee profits, and you should never invest money that you cannot afford to lose.