[GC] Gold trade ideaThis trade idea has to be managed in live because we are very high on gold for now but the fondamentals are here and technicals too.
Great Trade !
GF1! trade ideas
Getting close to sell zone for last correction before the major Getting close to sell zone for last correction before the major for this bull run.
GOLD, Is it 5th Wave?1. Sharp Movement, Steep Trade Angle
2. Length of 3rd Wave is equal to 5th Wave
3. Ascending Channel TGT is completed
4. Divergence in the Price Movement
5. Nifty Price Movement - It is at a breakout point. The Correlation between 2 asset classes is approximately Negative 0.30 to 0.35 post Covid
If this is the case, then price may not move beyond 1 Lakh
This will be a great opportunity to book the profit in gold; it may correct to 70000 or below in the next few months.
Short trade
15min TF overview
📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (GC!1 – Gold Futures)
📅 Session: Tokyo to London AM
⏰ Time: 4:45 AM
📉 Pair: GC! 1 (Gold Futures)
🧭 Direction: Short (Sell)
Trade Parameters:
Entry: 3324.7
Take Profit (TP): 3288.2 (–1.10%)
Stop Loss (SL): 3331.3 (+0.20%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.53 ✅
🧠 Trade Narrative:
A short setup during the transition between Tokyo and London. The trade idea is based on combining session timing with the sweep of Tokyo high, where gold often reacts to macro flow and liquidity grabs for a sellside trade idea.
GOLD is sending a clear signal!TVC:GOLD has been raging for years now and is sending a clear signal!
Are we going higher or are we due for a major correction!
Gold Futures– Expanding Triangle Top HypothesisAs of April 14, 2025, gold has surged to record highs near $3,265, but the technical picture suggests trend exhaustion. Price action resembles a potential expanding triangle top, with bearish divergence on RSI and momentum, declining volume on rallies, and seasonal cycles hinting at weakness into May–June. This may not be a fresh impulse but rather a volatile topping formation. If the triangle pattern holds, we could see a breakdown toward the $2,950–$2,800 zone before another base forms. Short-term traders should be cautious and consider scaling into shorts only on failed bounces near resistance. Longs may want to wait until strong support zones around $2,750–$2,850 show signs of stabilization. Risk/reward now favors defense over chase.
Bearish Divergence Across the Board:
RSI & Momentum indicators failed to confirm new highs
Volume spiked on selloffs, not on breakouts
Possible expanding triangle top forming (ABCDE pattern), often a major topping structure
Cycle & Fibonacci Confluence:
Seasonal weakness into May–June aligns with cycle top
Key retracement targets: $3,045 → $2,950 → $2,870 → $2,800
Support zone to watch: $2,750–$2,850
Trade Strategy Ideas:
Short-Term Plan (1–3 Weeks)
Bias: Bearish or Neutral
Pattern: Expanding Triangle (C Wave Possibly Unfolding)
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,265 (recent high), $3,200 (round-number, prior Wave B)
Initial Downside Targets: $3,045 (23.6% Fib), $2,950 (38.2%)
Stretch Target: $2,870–$2,800 (50–61.8% Fib, Cycle Support Zone)
Entry Plan (Short Bias):
Consider short positions on weak bounce rejections near $3,200–$3,240 if momentum remains divergent.
Watch for breakdowns under $3,100 with high volume confirmation.
Stop Loss: Above $3,275 (new highs invalidate C wave assumption)
Scale Out: Partial profits at $3,045, more at $2,950
Final Target: $2,870–$2,800 zone
Re-evaluate: If strong reversal candles or bullish volume return before $2,950, exit early.
Medium-Term Plan (1–2 Months)
Bias: Wait for correction to finish before new long
Key Timing: Cycle projection into late May–June 2025
Buy Zone (if correction unfolds):
Primary: $2,750–$2,850 (50–61.8% retracement & prior breakout zone)
Entry Strategy:
Wait for a weekly bullish reversal candle or a clear RSI bottoming with momentum confirmation in the $2,750–$2,850 zone.
Prefer entries during a low-volatility retest or after a capitulation flush into major support.
Stop Loss: Below $2,700
Initial Targets for Bounce: $3,045 → $3,200
Scale Out Strategy:
Scale in between $2,800–$2,750
Begin scaling out above $3,045 and $3,150 if bounce occurs
Long-Term Plan (3–6+ Months)
Bias: Neutral to Cautiously Bullish (contingent on structure post-correction)
Trend Review: If correction resolves and price bases around $2,800, long-term bulls may re-enter.
Invalidation of Bullish Thesis: A sustained break below $2,700 with heavy volume and commercial selling.
Next Major Bullish Cycle Potential:
Wave structure reset scenario: After expanding triangle resolution and larger ABC correction, new 5-wave impulse could begin in late Q2 2025.
Macro-Level Support: If global macro uncertainty rises again, gold could re-target $3,300 and higher.
Action: Remain flat until a confirmed low forms. Position building to be considered once weekly momentum resets and smart money returns.
📌 DYOR. Not financial advice.
#Gold #GC_F #Futures #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #Seasonality #Momentum #RSI #ShortSetup
gold trend direction .. Follow upGold 92870 - Has given a inside bar pattern ( bearish ) and signals are diverged suggests drop to 87300
goodreturns.in wrote :
Market Outlook for Gold Prices in India According to a recent report by FXStreet, "Gold prices may witness a short-term pause as bulls take a breather following an extended rally. The report notes that while the fundamental outlook remains bullish, the metal appears slightly overbought on the daily chart." "From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently hovering just above the 70 level, indicating overstretched market conditions. As a result, analysts suggest that it would be wise for traders to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest price correction before entering new long positions."
Gold Trade Review – Potential Pop, Drop, then ATH's SetupWe are currently watching a potential pop and drop and potential ATH scenario developing in gold. Price is holding above a key daily level at $3,021.4 , which will serve as the critical pivot area. A sustained move below this level will likely trigger continuation toward the next significant daily level at $2,968.5 for T1, and potentially further into the weekly/daily support zone at $2,953.2 , with an extended target at the daily level of $2,929.0.
I would expect that zone to provide support, though there is an untested area lower near the recent lows at $2,893.6. Ideally, I do not want to see price move much beyond our first weekly/daily support zone mentioned above but would lean on the lower level as a last ditch effort to hold the structure.
From the current price structure, based on Fridays close there's also potential for a move higher into (#1) $3,058 , which is an untested daily level (approached from below). If this level acts as firm resistance, it could trigger the anticipated drop into the zones outlined above. Keeping an eye on being above or below $3,021.4 will be critical for progression in either direction.
Gold Tesla4.28.25 In this video I talk about gold and Tesla. at the end of the video I suggested that there are times when the market isn't doing quite what your rules are but you have a feeling that the market is going to move in your favor... and in your opinion it's worth the risk even though you would not entirely be following your rules. the simple response would be that you're not following your roles at your decision is impulsive and that you shouldn't take that trade... but you believe that even if your trade breaks your rules you believe there's something in the pattern that tells you it's worth the risk you're willing to take. I'll tell you right now I did not upload this video until that bar completed... and I would have been stopped out of that trade because I would have gone short and the market went higher for a bit... but I realized something that I know about and I want to talk about that on a future video. to be clear I think the market is still going to go lower even though it would have taken out my short trade.... I'll talk about this tomorrow or the next day.... and by that time we'll see if the market really did go lower.
The Gold-Silver Ratio ExplainedCOMEX: Micro Gold Futures ( COMEX_MINI:MGC1! ), Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! )
The Gold-Silver Ratio is a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. Specifically, how many ounces of silver it takes to buy one ounce of gold.
The Gold-Silver Ratio is an important tool for traders and investors. It has been used to indicate the market sentiment towards these two precious metals. A high ratio suggests that gold is more valued than silver, often seen during economic turmoil or when investors seek safe-haven assets. On the contrary, a lower ratio implies that silver is gaining value relative to gold, which normally occurs during periods of economic growth and strong industrial demand.
The ratio fluctuates over time due to supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and changes in the global economy. By analyzing the ratio, traders can make informed decisions about when to buy or sell. This ratio reflects not only the market’s valuation of these metals but also an instrument for profit-making in the commodities market.
Historical Gold to Silver Ratio
Since 2000, the Gold-Silver Ratio has seen considerable fluctuations, reflecting various economic and market conditions. In the first decade of the 21st century, the ratio hovered around 65:1, meaning it took 65 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.
However, the ratio has spiked during times of economic uncertainty. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008, the ratio reached highs not seen in decades. More recently, in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing economic turmoil, the ratio surged, at one point exceeding 110:1 in 2020, indicating a strong preference for gold as a safe-haven asset compared to silver.
Over time, the Gold-Silver Ratio has been trending up, meaning gold has gained value at a faster pace compared to silver.
As of last Friday, gold is trading around all-time high at $3,330, while silver is quoted at $33.0. This makes the Gold-Silver Ratio almost exactly at 100.
When to Buy and Sell based on the Gold-Silver Ratio?
The decision to buy or sell the ratio hinges on interpreting its current value in the context of historical trends and market conditions.
When to Buy Silver: A high Gold-Silver Ratio, typically at or above the 90:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver. In such scenarios, silver is cheaper than gold, and investors may see it as an opportunity to purchase silver at a relatively low price. The rationale is that if the ratio decreases, the relative value of silver will increase compared to gold, potentially leading to significant gains.
When to Sell Silver/Buy Gold: Conversely, when the Gold-Silver Ratio is low, say around 50:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive, or gold is undervalued. In such situations, investors might consider selling silver and buying gold. The expectation is that the ratio will normalize or increase, meaning that gold’s value could rise relative to silver, offering a favorable return on the gold investment.
The Gold-Silver Ratio can be a valuable indicator of when to buy or sell gold and silver. However, since the ratio is not stable but upward trending over time, we could not use a mean-reversion strategy. The price band for normal, high and low ranges should be updated regularly.
Trade Setup with Micro Gold and Silver
Traders could deploy the Gold-Silver Ratio trading strategy using COMEX Micro Gold Futures ( AMEX:MGC ) and Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage.
MGC contracts have a notional value of 10 troy ounces of gold. With Friday settlement price of $3,330.7, each June contract (MGCM5) has a notional value of $33,307. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $1,500 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to less than 0.5 ounce, traders could gain the full exposure to 10 ounces of gold. If gold prices move up by 5%, a long futures position would double in value (= (33307*0.05) / 1500 = 111%). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 22:1.
Conversely, Micro Silver (SIL) contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $33.02, each June contract (SILM5) has a notional value of $33,020. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $3,000 at the time of writing.
By putting a deposit equivalent to 91 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move up by 5%, a long position in Micro Silver futures would gain 55% (= (33020*0.05) / 3000). This futures contract has a built-in leverage of 11:1.
Micro gold futures (MGC, 10 oz) contracts tap into the deep liquidity of standard-size gold futures contracts (GC, 100 oz). As of last Friday, GC has an open interest (OI) of 447,356 contracts, while the OI for MGC is 44,449, according to data from CME Group.
The OI for standard Silver Futures (SI, 5000 oz) and Micro Silver Futures (SIL, 1000 oz) are 154,276 and 12,345, respectively.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Gann Box stacking and Gold...funny things alignNot much to explain here...just the boxes all aligned and stacked up onto each other starting from the 1999 low to the bull run high of 2011, and then copied and stacked to show current price action.
However, there is a weird thing with boxes of the Gann type. Usually 25 and 75 time allotments, or 1st and last boxes, are the most aggressive moves. But this one has already almost broken the box in the first panel of the 25%.
So you will either have a stagnation and then slight down or up drift until you hit the later 75% box at the most right....or you just go "nah, Irish goodbye to yah lad" and jump to the next box up...we shall see.
But those lines do hold some weight and you can see the Gann angles had a few good pivots and one generally good line to follow through this initial explosion up.
But we go sidesways if the house of bird poo color can clean up their act...pull a Styx and "Come sail away with me..." to the next box up and run to the like 5K limit, who shall know....
--------
from 1999 summer to 2011 summer to move the height of the box....
and its been achieved in merely 2 some years as of this point...oh boy
VVVV Notice the 3 peaks at 1900 perfectly aligning with that box edge before the next box is stacked up to accommodate current price action...
Your thoughts...right...wrong...or just a :) all welcome
PS...These boxes arent made to fit this chart...It is just a pivot low to pivot high and then copied and stacked/extended....But see how that 2nd box times the triple peak and explosion into the newest up move...crazy hmm
GOLD Follows "Buy The Dip" Mode, Being Supported by 200-hour SMAGold prices have experienced significant volatility over the last days, with conflicting reports on the current trend. According to some sources, gold prices have increased, with spot gold reaching $3,500 per troy ounce, new all the history high on Tuesday, April 22, 2025.
The $3,500 milestone has sparked increased interest from investors and market analysts, meaning that Gold spot doubled in price over the past 5 years, 3rd time in history ever.
Despite the short-term volatility, gold has shown a strong performance since the beginning of 2025, with an increase of approximately 30-35% year-to-date. Market analysts remain bullish on gold, with some forecasting prices to reach $ 4'000 per ounce in the near term.
The main 1-hour graph indicates on 200-hours SMA technical support, with further upside opportunity due to forming on the chart descending triangle (flat bottom/ descending top) breakthrow.
--
Best #GODL wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
GOLD - 4 HRS HEAD SHOULDERMCX:GOLD1! Four hrs chart shows negative head shoulder - just wait for either side breakout for more confirmation. Most probably distribution seen on higher levels.
GOLD weekly outlook Part 1
COMEX:GC1!
Weekly Power of Three. Explained the overall price action how it moved why it moved. Different timings involved for the displacement
Watch to Watch - Gold Bearish Head and ShouldersWith the recent strength in US equities, the long gold trade may be over. Gold broke below a key trendline and formed a distinct bearish head and shoulder pattern signifying possible downside pressure coming up today and into the next week. Definitely worth watching for futures traders. First target with a break lower would be around $3240 with a lot of downside from there.
Long trade
1Hr TF overview
Trade Overview: GC1! (Gold Futures) – Long Position
Entry Price: 3395.9
Profit Target: 3469.0 (+2.21%)
Stop Loss: 3311.4 (–0.33%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.68
🕕 Entry Time: 6:00 PM
📅 Date: Wednesday, 23rd April 2025
🌍 Session: New York PM
⏱ Entry Timeframe: 5-Minute TF
Reasoning Narrative
GC1! displayed signs of bullish continuation going into the New York PM session, with price consolidating between 3.325 - 3,319 in a tight range above a recently reclaimed support zone, followed by the breakout.
Gold Is Surging , Remains in Bullish Uptrend### **1. Overall Trend**
- **Trend Direction:** Strong **uptrend** from early October 2024 to April 2025.
- **Price Action:** Gold surged from around $2,800 to over $3,300, hitting a high near $3,329.
---
### **2. Indicators & Strategy Setup**
**Strategy Used:** Steve’s DC-MACD Strategy (Manual Settings)
- **DC Length:** 20
- **MACD Fast:** 12
- **MACD Slow:** 26
- **Signal Smoothing:** 9
- **Moving Averages Type:** EMA
**Overlay Elements:**
- **Green/Red Channels:** These represent **Donchian Channels** or volatility-based bands, indicating consolidation vs breakout.
- **White Line:** Possibly a shorter EMA used as a dynamic support/resistance guide.
---
### **3. Signal Arrows**
- **Red Down Arrows (BEAR):** Sell signals, typically at local tops or when the MACD crosses down.
- **Green Up Arrows (BULL):** Buy signals, often following a breakout from consolidation.
Recent Signal:
- **Latest signal is BULL** in early April, aligning with a breakout above $3,100.
---
### **4. Volume**
- **Spikes in volume** around signal points suggest institutional participation.
- Noticeable volume increases in:
- October (2024)
- January and April (2025)
---
### **5. Market Context**
- **Current Price:** $3,324.5
- **Pullback Potential:** After hitting $3,329, a short-term correction is possible, but the trend remains bullish unless price breaks below $3,200 with heavy sell volume.
---
### **6. Strategy Effectiveness**
- The strategy has **accurately captured several trends**, especially the bullish breakout in late March.
- However, **multiple false bear signals** during the uptrend suggest better performance in trending markets than in sideways conditions.
Remember DEATH CROSS ? 50----200 upside down on a daily chart is a complete death cross for a price we are on 15MTF only but still bearish on it-- heavy selling volume each hour, we can pick some for our holiday season pocket.... Good Luck Bears
The Gold Rush is overA rejection off of 3508 level with an evening star or shooting star (depending on how you view candlestick patterns) and a close below other key Fibonacci and sup/res levels will likely cause a downtrend in the foreseeable future. Any closes below key levels should be viewed as bearish price action.
Sell zone worked now the price will go to buy zone Sell zone worked now the price will go to buy zone. Then new highs again. Not trading advise.
200 SMA pie for Bears SMA is a bold indicator to know analyze the price run & reccent prices was up by 21% & gap up opening in few trading sessions--makes a great bear move to catch let's understand.
___________________________________________________________________________________
1) Gold is a commodity.
2) Which oftely don't show the big price moves.
3) 4 gap up opening in last 15 sessions.
4) Unusual volumes and move of the price.
5) Geoplitical Tensions of US-Tarrifs making gold the most attractive investment.
6) 20.65% up from 200SMA.
___________________________________________________________________________________
Less favroble for buyers and with good money for bears to make, unless some investment bank put in a 1/2 Billion.... GoMakeIt
asymmetric triangle or Rising wedge ? This chart shows the potential formation of either a symmetrical triangle or an ascending wedge on MGC1! ( Micro Gold Futures). The distinction -- Both suggest consolidation, but the edge leans bearish while the triangle is more neutral until broken.
I identified the prior impulse move downward as the dominate leg. Price is currently forming higher lows, but may fail to break past the highs with strength, suggesting potential exhaustion from the bulls.
I'm watching for:
*A possible false breakout, then breakdown continuation.
*The wedge's lower support to be tested.
* Confirmation via a clean hourly close or with a bearish engulfing below $3,371.0
My ideal entry would be at the 50% FVG pull back of the engulfing candle.
My First TP would be $3303 then my extended would be $3260, stop-loss above $3,380.
Reasoning: this idea combines FVG imbalance, 50% institutional discount levels, and price action structure. The pattern also hints at market indecision, so I remain reactive rather than predictive. The market isn't worth it just tells a story and I'm listening to the chapter before the breakout.
Mid-Week Market Forecast: GOLD, SILVER, COPPER & PLATINUMIn this video, we'll present analysis and best setups for Wednesday, April 22nd to the end of the week.
Gold is still a buy.
Silver may present a sell opportunity at current levels.
Copper looks like it is setting up for a valid sell.
Platinum has showed weakness early this week. We'll watch for continuation.
Be patient, and wait for confirmations!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
