GOLD- WATCHING IT CLOSELY.๐ Chart Analysis
๐๏ธ Structure & Patterns
A perfect Cup & Handle formation is visible.
Price has broken out above the neckline (~โน98,000) but is currently in a pullback phase, forming the handle.
A falling wedge breakout is also seen prior to the breakout โ a bullish continuation pattern.
๐ Fibonacci Retracement
0.382 level at โน96,132
0.5 level at โน95,132
These retracement levels align well with the handle zone and offer potential re-entry/buy levels.
๐ก๏ธ Key Support Levels
Level Description
โน98,000 Former resistance, now short-term support
โน96,132 38.2% Fib retracement
โน95,132 50% Fib retracement (also demand zone)
โน94,200 Major support
๐ต Note: Breakdown below โน95,132 is bearish confirmation.
๐ RSI Analysis
RSI = 54.59, cooling off from overbought levels.
RSI has crossed below the RSI-based moving average (63.43), indicating temporary loss of momentum.
๐ Projected Path
The handle curve suggests a possible rebound after this pullback, targeting previous high ~โน99,358, and possibly โน101,317 (height of cup projected upward).
โ
Summary
Category Observation
Pattern Bullish Cup & Handle with falling wedge breakout
Trend Bullish above โน95,132; Weak only if closes below
Key Levels Support: โน98,000 / โน96,132 / โน95,132 / โน94,200
Resistance: โน99,358 / โน101,317
RSI Cooling down; not overbought; healthy retracement
Bias Bullish with pullback in progress; re-entry near โน96kโ95.1k zone
๐ง Final Thoughts
Pullbacks are healthy in bullish setups like this โ watch for reversal signs near โน96,132 or โน95,132.
A daily close above โน99,358 can trigger Cup & Handle target breakout toward โน101,300+.
Maintain bullish bias unless โน94,200 is breached.
GF1! trade ideas
when price consolidates, its just setting upLooking for a bigger moving going into mid week. Tues spent the entire day consolidating. Now im thinking we getting ready for a bigger move. Just trying to be patient and wait for it. Price should give us some kinda sign on what it would like to do as we coming into the Asian Killzone.
Gold Update: Possible Triangular Consolidation Before New RallyIt looks like corrective wave 4 is in the making within a large Triangle
3 waves A, B and C already emerged in 3-waves structure
which confirms triangle
Wave D should stay under the top of wave B
Wave E could either touch or break down the support line
It should keep above the valley of wave C
Target area changed higher as this consolidation tends to narrowing within a
contracting triangle.
Lowest target now $3,900
Optimistic target is at $4,300
Breakdown below $3,123 would invalidate the pattern
Gold, GC!, Sideway to the Downside (Long Term)06/30/2025, 10:30 PM PT
GC! is currently at its max around 3,500.
On the Weekly MACD, the crossover between MACD lind signal line already happened. There is also a bearish divergence on weekly chart.
On the Daily chart, RSI just crosses below 50 on RSI, and MACD shows weakness on the bull (it still not in the bear's territory just yet).
Reversasl to bear side may happen if price stays below 3,200
Bullish will continues if price break out of all time high
Current range for big timeframe from 3,200 - 3,500
Plan for swing trade:
Bullish Case (short term): break trendline. If hold above 3,360, price could go up to 3,400 -> 3,450
Bearish Case (short term): If price rejects and stays below 3,360, price could go down 3,310 -> 3,280
***Disclaimer: This analysis and trade plan are for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
GOLD LONG IDEA MARKET STRUCTURE CHANGEgold futures were on a full sell off due to ongoing global turbulence in the month of June macro news is there to show the bigger picture but price tells the full story
imbalance was filled and the week opened with a bearish candle closing above 3,250 COMEX:GC1! price range now it is time to see It play out to the buyside for the precious metal
$GC / $MGC / Gold - Weekend Update - 6/29Hello fellow gamblers,
The target for the ABC retracement has been hit and we are now looking for a reversal confirmation to enter any buying positions.
- The target for a possible Wave 1 of a new cycle will be above 3402.
- 3283 level needs to hold. A break of this level could take price lower towards 3208 to fill the VP gap.
- Levels to watch: 3208 - 3283 - 3357 - 3418
Gold LongsBullish weekly bias for Gold.
Classic Expansion Weekly profile in play. Price opened lower first, Im treating this as the possible manipulation for the week. Tuesday swept key ssl and closed back inside the range.
Drop to a 4h and OB is confirmed. 1h CISD aligned with 4h. Execution off 4h OB with stop at OB Low / Tuesday low. If BSL is the draw, I would like to see Tuesday low be protected.
LRLR is first low hanging fruit objective. 3420 roughly, with equal highs at 3476 being final target.
Gold Market Under Pressure - Key Support Levels๐ Update โ Gold
Since Friday the 13th, buyers have been squeezed and sellers have taken control of the market.
The trend is currently bearish, and large buyers are not present. The price could drop toward the 3320 โ 3298 zone.
If this zone is broken, we could see a further decline toward 3255 โ 3175.
Today, while watching the New York session using order flow, we saw large buy orders hit the market.
GOLD FUTURES: LOADED COIL OR BREAKDOWN RISK
### ๐ **GOLD FUTURES: Loaded Coil or Breakdown Risk?**
**Symbol:** MGCQ25 / MGC1!
**Date:** June 24, 2025
**Session:** NY Open Pre-Market
---
### ๐ **Top-Down Analysis (TE GRID Aligned)**
#### ๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ 1D Macro Bias:
Goldโs daily candle is an aggressive rejection off the \$3,400s with a break of the prior demand zone. Heavy volume on the red day signals **institutional unwinding** ๐. Price cracked through the previous bullish imbalance zone and now floats just above key structural support at **\$3,295**.
* ๐ฃ **Bias:** **Bearish until proven otherwise**
* โ ๏ธ Watch: If today closes below \$3,295, opens door for \$3,170 sweep
---
#### ๐ง 4H/1H HTF Structure:
* 4H shows textbook lower high + BOS formation โ order blocks at **\$3,378โ\$3,400** rejected price multiple times.
* 1H VWAP anchored from the last major high at \$3,400 is pressing down โ no reclaim, no rally.
* Big liquidity cluster sits below at **\$3,170โ\$3,130**, possibly magnetic.
๐ต **HTF TE GRID Check**:
* โ
HTF Bias: Bearish
* โ
No support reclaim
* โ
Liquidity below
โ **Short bias confirmed**
---
#### ๐งช 15m Intraday Liquidity Check:
* VWAP = resistance
* EQ (Equilibrium) from consolidation = broken
* Price action: forming lower highs beneath \$3,336โ\$3,340
* Volume dropping on minor pullbacks = weak buyer response
๐ด **Intraday Bias:** Fade rallies into HTF resistance
---
### โ๏ธ **TE GRID Trade Setup Ideas** (Execution-Ready)
#### ๐ฏ **Setup #1 โ HTF Supply Rejection Short**
* ๐น *Entry:* \$3,336โ\$3,340 zone (intraday VWAP retest)
* ๐น *Stop:* Above \$3,350 (invalidates idea)
* ๐น *Target 1:* \$3,295 (gap fill)
* ๐น *Target 2:* \$3,170 (macro sweep target)
* ๐ง *TE GRID Alignment:*
* HTF down โ
* Liquidity above swept โ
* Rejection from imbalance โ
#### ๐ฏ **Setup #2 โ Breakdown Momentum Play**
* ๐น *Entry:* Break & retest of \$3,295
* ๐น *Stop:* Above \$3,305
* ๐น *Target:* \$3,170 โ \$3,130
* ๐ง *TE GRID Alignment:*
* Structure BOS โ
* Rejection of EQ โ
* No buyer absorption โ
---
---
๐จ **Gold Futures Breakdown In Progress โ Powell Speech Could Seal the Deal** ๐ง ๐ฃ
Gold is under heavy pressure as the market rotates out of safe havens amid a cooling in geopolitical risk โ but price action says this isnโt over yet ๐.
The **IsraelโIran ceasefire** may have stunned gold bulls, but the real signal is coming from **macro and technical structure**. Powellโs testimony today could either validate the Fedโs dovish lean โ or crush the dollar further. Either way, volatility is loading. โก๏ธ
---
๐ **TE GRID Top-Down Breakdown**
1๏ธโฃ **Daily:** Bearish rejection from prior demand
2๏ธโฃ **4H/1H:** Rejected from VWAP and macro imbalance at \$3,378โ\$3,400
3๏ธโฃ **15m:** Weak bounce volume, liquidity gaps below = fade rallies
---
๐ฏ **Key Trade Levels:**
* **Short Zone:** \$3,336โ\$3,340
* **Breakdown Trigger:** \$3,295
* **Targets:**
* \$3,170 = HTF liquidity draw ๐งฒ
* \$3,130 = macro flush if Powell disappoints ๐ช
---
โ๏ธ **Narrative:**
Gold is stuck between **a falling dollar** and a **waning fear premium**. Powell is the final wildcard โ if he leans dovish, the dollar could slide further. But without structural reclaim, **gold remains a short-the-rip environment**. Stay tactical. Let price confirm before you commit. ๐ง ๐
---
๐ *Disclaimer:* Not financial advice. This is professional-grade trade research. Execute with precision.
Gold GC1! heading to $3,476 next with a 4.15R long trade TVC:GOLD Gold/ COMEX:GC1! hit the 0.705 fib level right between the 0.618 and 0.786 what I like to call the sweet spot for fibonacci tools. If it misses the 0.618 then the 0.705 is just as good, signals are showing a bottom forming and slowly but sure the rsi is about to cross up over 50, it should pump hard this time
-4.15R trade
-1.5% capital risk
-as soon as gold starts to move, we'll drag our stop loss to or even past break even if it really pops up hard...
$GC/$MGC/Gold - Weekend UpdateHello Fellow Gamblers,
Gold is currently playing with our feelings. We've been trough these short up and downs this past week but I believe that we are now ready for a reversal. Price had a good bounce from the 3357 support, which broke the minor trendline and is now creating a flag pattern, hinting at a possible continuation.
- We need 3357 to hold and a break of 3418 and 3442 for a continuation up.
- A break below 3357 will bring us back to our bearish scenario.
- Levels to watch: 3283, 3357, 3418, 3504
YERPMGC1! Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis โ 8H & 2H by GOAT
This dual-chart setup provides an advanced Elliott Wave and pattern-based analysis on Micro Gold Futures (MGC1!), combining macro context from the 8-hour chart with precision from the 2-hour timeframe. The analysis incorporates trend channels, corrective structures, RSI divergences, and potential trade setups.
๐ก Left Panel โ 8H Chart:
Trend Structure: Price is respecting a rising wedge pattern with multiple internal flags and channels, indicating a loss of bullish momentum at the top of the structure.
Resistance Zones: Key supply levels are marked between 3,429 โ 3,537, with price recently rejecting from this upper zone.
Descending Channel: Current consolidation is forming a minor falling wedge, which could provide a temporary bounce before potential further downside.
Support Levels to Watch:
3,343: Minor structural support
3,312 โ 3,268: Major demand area (also aligns with previous breakout retest zone)
RSI Context: Oscillator is hovering near the midpoint (~50), showing indecision. Previous bearish divergences from highs hint at weakening momentum.
๐ก Right Panel โ 2H Chart:
Elliott Wave Structure: A completed 5-wave impulse has been marked, followed by a corrective ABC pattern potentially unfolding.
Scenario 1 (Bearish): Price rallies toward the yellow resistance trendline (Wave B) and rejects, completing Wave C toward 3,316 โ 3,268.
Scenario 2 (Bullish): Price breaks out of the falling wedge early, retests, and continues toward 3,429 โ 3,475.
Bollinger Bands: Price has re-entered mid-band territory, showing that volatility is compressing before a directional move.
RSI Analysis:
Multiple bearish divergences are visible, particularly between Waves 3 and 5.
RSI currently rising after a bounce from near 30, suggesting temporary strength, but still under 50.
๐ง Summary:
Gold is currently in a corrective phase following a 5-wave bullish impulse. While a temporary bounce is possible from the current wedge, the broader pattern points to a likely C-leg down unless key resistance (~3,394โ3,429) is broken decisively. RSI divergence across both timeframes supports caution on long bias until trend confirmation returns.
โ๏ธ Chart prepared for educational and strategic planning. Not financial advice.
Holiday yesterday so no play! can we get it today?As we get ready to close out the week we are looking for the reversal to play out. We have been in a casual consolidation all week. Just looking for price to step outside of value one more time so that we can get a entry for it to continue pushing bullish.
Gold to $3500-$3600Gold broke out of a two touch point downwards trend line recently and retested a previous swing high of around $3475. Since the swing high retest gold has dropped back to a retest of the trendline that was broken. Price has been holding above the lower green trend line with multiple touch points. With continued economic uncertainty among retail investors gold still stands as a safe haven investment so In the short term I can see it going to $3500 or even $3600.
If the lower trend line has a candle close below it then do not go long into this trade.