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Silver: History May Not Repeat, But it RhymesGold (June) / Silver (July) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2392.9, down 33.0 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 31.496, down 0.582 The metals complex was bludgeoned yesterday and given the late session selling, settlement prices do not do it justice. While risk management becomes more important than ever during times of uncertainty, pullbacks or corrections can last longer than one is comfortable, it is also equally as crucial to back out of the forest to see the trees. It is a time like this that I am reminded that during Silver’s path to $50 in 2011, there were multiple corrections of $3 or more. In February 2011, Silver broke out above its December high of 31.27 and on the third session, stretched to a high of 34.33 before consolidating a day and plunging to a low of 31.69. There were four instances like this before Silver peaked at 49.82 on April 25, 2011. Yes, our Bias remains more Bullish, and it becomes imperative for Silver to have a constructive path and hold out above our two waves of rare major four-star support. The first aligns the April high with the .382 retracement back to the May low at 30.19-30.27. Last night’s low was 30.36. In the case of additional pressures, we will look to a critical area at 29.50-29.72. If that is surrendered, the bigger broader narrative is bending. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2375.2-2377.8**, 2385.3***, 2389.6-2392.9***, 2398.9-2400**, 2408**, 2416.2-2417.4*** Pivot: 2369.7-2370.6 Support: 2356.8-2360.2**, 2349.8**, 2340.3-2343***, 2322.5-2325.1*** Silver (July) Resistance: 31.18***, 31.28-31.32**, 31.50-31.61*** Pivot: 30.91-30.96 Support: 30.63-30.73**, 30.36-30.43**, 30.19-30.27****, 29.50-29.72**** *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Silver Futures Under Pressure Yet Targets Remain Intact Today'sToday's silver futures are experiencing some pressure, reflecting a challenging day for the precious metal. Yesterday, there were outflows in the portfolio on June 25 from strikes of 32.5/35. Outflows of funds from the portfolio are partial and did not lead to the liquidation of the portfolio, which indicates the management of the portfolio in a negative scenario, however, they do not cancel the most bullish idea in the medium and long term. Despite this, the previously set targets based on the significant positions held by informed market participants mostly unchanged. in addition, it is not the first time that extremely aggressive portfolios appear, aiming at the area of 45-50 dollars. It's a reminder that in the commodities market, short-term fluctuations are often just noise against the backdrop of longer-term trends and targets.
COMEX:SIN2024Long
by ClashChartsTeam
Defining the Next Leg in Silver and GoldGold (June) / Silver (July) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2438.5, up 21.1 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 32.426, up 1.167 Gold and Silver futures each set a fresh record high on Monday and have since consolidated in a large range, which is to be expected. This range is now well defined with major three-star resistance in Gold at 2448.8-2454.2 and Silver at 32.58-32.75; a failure to move out above here could certainly encourage some profit taking, but it also does not have to happen today. To the downside, a soft tape early yesterday and overnight has defined support to be 2408.5-2411.1 in Gold and 31.11-31.28 in Silver. While we do see a number of significant levels of support below here, a range extension to the downside would encourage a consolidation that could last over a number of sessions. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2436.9-2441.5**, 2448.8-2454.2***, 2494*** Pivot: 2426-2431.5 Support: 2417.4**, 2408.5-2411.1***, 2400**, 2391.7-2395.5***, 2385.3-2389.6***, 2375.2-2377.8*** Silver (July) Resistance: 32.34**, 32.58-32.75***, 34.12*** Pivot: 31.69-31.85 Support: 31.11-31.28***, 30.73-30.79***, 30.39-30.43**, 30.00-30.19**** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Silver at the top of a channel?Silver has been trading traditional fib longs and and extensions in this big bull runup. However, we are very overextended, trading well in excess of big support over the past two days. We are also at a potential top in terms of it trend channel. The risk of a decline in silver is significant, and unlike gold which gives you a clue on the fifteen minutes charts, silver could simply start falling and keep going. Given the lack of bull fib support, I think this is a good spot to take profit and enter a small short position. There is a good chance that we begin the down leg of silver here.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by CeresTrader
1
SILVER (SILN2024, XAGUSD)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish. The reaction to news and world events was enough where there was no need for the +FVG to be mitigated before the rally. Lots of momentum in that move. All HTFs are bullish. Although we selll above highs as a general rule Expectations are for the DOL to be reached over the next week or so, as price grinds higher. For buyers, wait for pullbacks into +FVGs on LTFs. Buying at the top of a rally is risky bisky. Thank you for viewing! Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! May profits be upon you.
COMEX_MINI:SIL1!Long
by RT_Money
Another Viscous Wave of Selling From $30? Gold (June) / Silver (July) Gold, yesterday’s close: Settled at 2394.9, up 35.0 Silver, yesterday’s close: Settled at 29.729, up 1.027 Gold futures secured the highest settlement since April 19th, while Silver took out its April high settlement and traded to the highest level since February 2021. Despite the underlying strength and a terrific week, one could view the lack of overnight follow-through as disappointing, and question whether this is another magnificent failure for Silver at the $30 mark. It certainly sets the stage through the end of the week, and the precious metals complex must maintain this momentum or could face another wave of vicious profit-taking. In order to maintain yesterday’s momentum, we must see price action in Gold hold above first key support at 2380.3 and Silver above 29.72-29.80. Despite some of the near-term swings, we view the strength across both precious and industrial metals as sustainable over the longer-run. There is a push for increased electric power use because the green energy revolution, rising E.V. Vehicle demand, and advancements in A.I. have all strained the out-of-date electrical grid. The combination pushes demand for copper, silver, and other metallic metals higher for the first time in a decade. That comes at a time when increased regulation makes it harder to bring on additional supply. Bias: Bullish/Neutral Resistance: 2399.4-2404.3**, 2410.1-2413.8*** Pivot: 2385.3-2387.7 Support: 2380.3**, 2375*, 2369.7**, 2357.1-2359.9***, 2350.5-2351.6**, 2336.6-2342****, 2329-2330.7**, 2316.4-2318*** Silver (July) Resistance: 30.00-30.19**** Support: 29.72-29.80**, 29.58-29.63**, 29.37-29.44***, 29.12-29.26***, 28.93**, 28.76*** Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Several markets5.13.24 Looking for trades in the ES. possibly coffee. There's a chance that oil may move higher. Generally contracted markets are harder to trade than expanded markets... but some traders may feel there's less risk if they stick with the contracted markets... but this is probably not going to be a good way to trade because you want markets that really move away from your entry price which will give you very good reward for the risk.... and that's more likely to happen in an expanding market.
COMEX:SI1!
by ScottBogatin
2