REPEATING 2022 PATTERN?We humans love to see patterns so we can try to understand our own existence and our perception of almost everything.
Very interesting comparison between 2022 and 2025. Though market conditions seem different we can see clearly the failed attempt to break above de 200 SMA in 2022. It may repeat again.
NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ 100 on dayly This NASDAQ 100 chart shows an inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. The "head" is near 18,800, with the "left shoulder" and "right shoulder" around 19,200-19,400. The neckline is at approximately 19,800, and the price has broken above it, indicating a bullish reversal. The measured target is around 22,800, based on the pattern's height projected upward.
US100 - Correction Required Before Next Major Rally PhaseThe US Tech 100 index is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong recovery rally from April lows, with price action now facing resistance at the upper blue box around 20,200. The index appears to be forming a short-term top as momentum wanes, evidenced by recent candle patterns displaying indecision and inability to sustain new highs. The downward-pointing red arrow suggests a likely move toward the middle support zone around 19,000, which would represent a healthy correction of about 5-6% from current levels. This pullback would help reset overbought technical indicators and potentially shake out weak hands before establishing a stronger foundation for the next leg higher. Given the sharp rally we've witnessed from the April lows near 16,400, this correction would be technically justified and provide a more sustainable launching pad for continuation of the longer-term uptrend once complete.
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US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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US100 BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 20,075.8
Target Level: 19,221.3
Stop Loss: 20,643.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks:
The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs.
Global Market Reaction:
Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
US Tax Policy:
Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples).
Panasonic Job Cuts:
Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20530
Resistance Level 2: 20730
Resistance Level 3: 20950
Support Level 1: 19640
Support Level 2: 19325
Support Level 3: 19030
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100USD: Discount Reversal & Bullish Continuation NarrativeGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe the market operating within a bullish institutional order flow—a clear signal for us to align with the prevailing momentum and look for high-probability buying opportunities.
Market Context:
The market has established a well-defined bullish swing, followed by a retracement that delivered price action deep into discount territory. Within this zone, a prior low was taken out, serving as a liquidity grab where institutions could execute order pairing—buying against the willing sellers (sell stops) positioned at discounted prices.
Key Observations:
Optimal Entry Zone: Price retraced into the 62%–79% Fibonacci levels, historically considered the optimal reversal zone. Following this, we observed a rejection—an early indication of bullish re-engagement.
Breaker Block Alignment: The rejection coincides with a breaker block array, a zone where previous selling orders are mitigated and fresh institutional buying begins. This strengthens the validity of the expected reversal.
Bullish Continuation Signs: Post-rejection, price action confirmed a shift in market structure, and prior order blocks have now begun to act as bullish support arrays.
Trading Strategy:
With institutional footprints aligning at key technical zones, I am anticipating further upside. Upon receiving confirmation on the lower timeframes, I will look to enter buy positions, aiming to target the liquidity pools resting in premium prices—the next logical draw for institutional interest.
Stay focused, follow the smart money, and let the structure guide your entries.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 Cash (NASDAQ CFD) – 1H Timeframe using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 19,964.8
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,799.3
Point of Control (POC): 19,936.4 (current session), 19,817.5 (previous session)
High-volume nodes: 19,850 – 19,950 (sustained consolidation and acceptance)
Low-volume gaps: 20,000 – 20,070 (inefficient move up; could act as a magnet on retrace)
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stop clusters likely at:
Above 20,125 (recent high and breakout level)
Below 19,800 (previous rejection and consolidation)
Absorption zones: Near 19,820–19,850, where strong wicks and CVD upticks indicated passive buyers stepping in
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High: 20,125.8 (sharp rejection, low follow-through volume)
Swing Low: 19,713.4 (high absorption, spike in CVD)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Bullish (CVD rising, price confirming higher highs)
ADX Strength: ADX ~22, DI+ > DI- → Confirmed uptrend
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + rising price = strong demand
Momentum stalling near 20,125, signaling potential short-term pullback
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 19,799.3
POC: 19,936.4
Swing low: 19,713.4
Resistance:
VAH: 19,964.8
Swing high: 20,125.8
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Recent swing low: 19,713.4
Retracement levels (from 20,125.8 high to 19,713.4 low):
1/3: 19,850.9
1/2: 19,919.6
2/3: 19,988.3
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bullish (ADX > 20 with CVD and price agreement)
b) Notable Patterns:
Bullish channel breakout forming
Retest of 19,936 POC aligning with previous breakout level
Potential continuation pattern (ascending wedge forming within purple projection channel)
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 19,925 – 19,940 (POC + Gann midpoint)
Targets:
T1: 20,070 (gap fill)
T2: 20,125 (recent high)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below 19,799 (VAL / swing low)
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If rejection near swing high + falling CVD):
Entry Zone: 20,120 – 20,125
Target:
T1: 19,936 (POC)
Stop-Loss (SL): Above 20,150
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
Nasdaq Short: completion of wave structureA few days back, on the weekend, I posted an idea about pending short but price went down first to create a 4th wave before going back up to complete the price target last night. So, this is the updated wave count. Wait for retracement to short. Stop above the high.
NASDAQ Bulls Pushing – Will 20,347 Hold or Break?Price is currently approaching the 20,347 🔼 resistance zone after a strong bullish rally from the 19,150 🔽 support level. The market structure remains bullish with consistent higher highs and higher lows, showing strong buyer momentum.
Support at: 19,670 🔽, 19,150 🔽, 18,500 🔽, 17,600 🔽
Resistance at: 20,347 🔼, 20,600 🔼, 21,000 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: If price breaks and holds above 20,347 🔼, we could see a continuation toward 20,600 and 21,000.
🔽 Bearish: A strong rejection from 20,347 🔼 could send price back down toward 19,670 and 19,150 for a retest.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RRNAS100 BUY Trade ideia. 1-10RR. After the TP hit from yesterday Im still expecting more bullish momentum so Im waiting to see if I can get this 1-10RR or at least 1-5RR from this. Remember we need confirmations to enter the trade. It has to brake structure in 5min before we enter.
Lets see