NASDAQ & NFP- I expect BullishnessHello fellow traders,
Today is NFP and I expect a bulishness as per my PD Arrays analysis. Lets se if it words out.
I have higlighted all important PD Arrays in my chart, keep an eye.
NAS100 trade ideas
Behold the grand NAS100 short expeditionBehold the grand NAS100 short expedition, unleashed by my top-secret pyramidal formula (concealed in golden tombs and guarded by laser-eyed sphinxes):
Pharaoh’s Pivot Points
– We superimpose recent NAS100 peaks onto the Great Pyramid’s four secret chambers. When price breaches the “Upper Antechamber Zone” near 23,300, the ibis-headed guardian squawks—our signal to draw the short sword.
Oracular Sphinx Sentiment
– We feed Fed minutes hieroglyphs and mega-cap earnings scrolls into the Sphinx’s riddle engine. If the answer murmurs “overheating” or “tech fatigue,” it confirms our bearish quest.
Ra’s Wall-Street Candle Filter
– Only candles closing between 09:30–16:00 ET count as true “New York sun-blessed bars.” Any rogue moves in the witching hour? Mirage dust—ignored.
Anubis’ Volume Veil
– Volume spikes are weighed in pharaoh-ounces of pure gold. When daily turnover eclipses 30,000 pharaoh-ounces, the Underworld Flush ritual begins—time to tighten our longs… er, shorts.
Tomb-Run Trend Confirmation
– Trendlines aren’t drawn from ordinary swing highs; we connect the three sacred glyph-points carved into the sarcophagus walls. Once that “Tomb-Run Downtrend” appears, we descend into the dark.
Potential Shorts for NAS100After Last weeks NFP, price displaced very strongly to the downside. I would be considering shorts at the Daily CISD, which price is approaching rapidly.
NAS100 Slammed by Fed Data and Trump Trade Remarks Can 22,640 ?The NAS100 plunged after strong US economic data fueled expectations of tighter Fed policy, and Trump's renewed push for aggressive trade deals rattled tech sentiment. After rejecting the 23,665 🔼 resistance, the index dropped sharply through multiple support levels.
Price is now consolidating just above the 22,640 🔽 zone, a key near-term support.
Support: 22,800 🔽, 22,640 🔽, 22,500 🔽
Resistance: 23,025 🔼, 23,277 🔼, 23,332 🔼
Bias:
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 22,640 could trigger a move toward 22,500. If that fails, 22,400 becomes the next target.
🔼 Bullish: A reclaim of 23,025 would be the first sign of bullish recovery.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 - EXPECTING THE DUMPTeam, we got short well today with AUS200 - both target hit
we have set up the NAS entry , this is the entry price 23268 - 23200
STOP LOSS at 23100
Once it break above 23320 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 23320-60 - take 50%-70& partial
Target 2 at 23380-23400
LETS GO
NDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positionsNDX & SPX , Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
Despite downside volatility, the trend remains intact. I’m maintaining the same view as before—this is still a zone to stay heavy.
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq Index showed improvement at the market open today and is currently trading near the $23,300 level, with price action building at a key resistance zone.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price retraces to $23,170 and breaks below it, a move toward $22,970 could follow as the next support target.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above $23,300 and holds, bullish momentum could drive the index toward $23,600.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ-Lets catch 250 Points togetherHello Fellow Traders,
Nasdaq has been wild since a time now. Today, I have spotted a rade to share with my fellow traders.
Yesterday closed with a good bullish candle. As the NY seesion has begun now, I am anticipating price to retrace to the highlighted breaker block that accurately aligns with an IFVG as well.
I am waiting for the price to fall into my area where I will monitor price's reaction, if we see signs of ejection from the highlighted areas, I wuld love to take a Buy Trade.
Entry= If rice enters the Breaker and IFVG and shows a good rejection.
SL= 23340
TP= Today's highs or 23700.
Manage your risk according toyour capital and only enter the trade if we happen to see a good rejection from the area. Be patient and don't hurry.
NAS100 - BUYHuge drop as expected today. Now that we are reaching its key level of interest, I will wait for a buy confirmation to take our last nights highs.
NAS100 Buy Setup – VSA & Multi-Zone Demand Analysis✅ Primary Entry Zone: Major support for current week (around 23,325–23,350)
✅ Secondary Entry Zone: Potential reversal zone if primary support is broken (around 23,200–23,230)
🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Previous swing high near 23,500
🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Extension above 23,550
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below 23,170 (beyond secondary reversal zone to avoid false breaks)
📊 Technical Insight (VSA & Price Action Structure)
Support Structure:
The current major support zone has been tested multiple times with no follow-through selling, indicating strong buying interest from larger players.
Volume Spread Analysis Observations:
On the recent decline into the major support zone, we see wider spreads on high volume followed by narrow range candles on lower volume, a classic sign of stopping volume and supply exhaustion.
Within the secondary reversal zone, historical reactions show climactic volume spikes leading to sharp reversals, suggesting this level is watched closely by smart money.
Any test back into the zone on low volume would confirm the No Supply (NS) condition.
Trade Pathways:
Scenario 1: Price respects the major support and begins to climb, confirming demand dominance → target TP1 then TP2.
Scenario 2: Support is temporarily breached, triggering a liquidity grab into the secondary reversal zone, followed by a bullish reversal bar on high volume → strong buy signal with potentially faster move toward TP levels.
📍 Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above the secondary reversal zone.
📌 Execution Tip: Wait for a wide spread up-bar on increased volume from either zone to confirm the start of the markup phase.
Market will crash in August 2025, some gurus said !There are no lack of experts and gurus coming out to say the market will crash because of blah blah blah.......Take it with a pinch of salt and it is more important to base your decisions from your own research.
Of course, if you are heavily concentrated in one geographical region say US market or sector eg IT/AI/COMs etc then you might want to rebalance your portfolio a bit. However, if you know what you are doing or have domain knowledge , then stick to it.
Assuming these gurus are right, the market is going on a RISK off mode, ie, going to CRASH, then safe haven assets like GOLD, SILVER should rightfully be bullish.
In that case, let's monitor this chart and see how the market behaves in this month. It will be exciting !
Nasdaq faces a possible down 5-10/20% downturn.Overconfidence will foreshadow a correction. Risk posed by slowing growth in jobs, trade disputes and high valuations in growth focused companies in the index.
NAS100 - Stock Market Heading Down?!The index is trading in its medium-term ascending channel on the four-hour timeframe between the EMA200 and EMA50. However, if the index corrects upward towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Nasdaq with better risk-reward.
In recent days and weeks, the Nasdaq Composite Index once again approached its historic highs, even setting a new all-time record. However, following the latest jobs data and the Federal Reserve meeting, the index experienced a price correction.
Unlike many previous bullish phases that were driven largely by short-term momentum or emotional reactions, the current upward trend in the Nasdaq reflects structural maturity and market stabilization. Institutional capital inflows and strong corporate earnings have together painted a picture of a more stable and predictable future for this index.
According to recent financial data, U.S. equity funds received over $6.3 billion in net inflows during the final week of July—marking the first positive inflow after three consecutive weeks of outflows.
The key engine behind this growth continues to be the robust performance of tech companies. Firms such as Meta, Microsoft, and AI-oriented companies like Nvidia and Broadcom posted exceptionally strong earnings reports. These results not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also fueled significant gains in their stock prices, contributing to the Nasdaq’s momentum. Despite some sector-specific concerns—for instance, regarding Qualcomm in the semiconductor space—the broader tech sector has sustained its upward trajectory and even extended that momentum to adjacent industries, especially those involved in cloud and AI supply chains.
Meanwhile, advisors to Donald Trump revealed that he plans sweeping reforms at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This announcement followed the July jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs and sharp downward revisions to prior months’ figures.
On Truth Social, Trump accused the current BLS Commissioner, Erica McEnturfer, of politically manipulating employment data and ordered her immediate removal. Secretary of Labor Lori Chavez-DeRemer subsequently announced that Deputy Commissioner William Witrofsky would serve as acting head. Trump emphasized that economic data must be accurate, impartial, and trustworthy—and not politically skewed.
Following this leadership change, a broader debate has emerged around how employment statistics are collected and reported. While statistical revisions have long been a routine, non-political process since 1979, there are now growing questions about whether a better system for gathering and publishing this critical data could be developed.
As a nonpartisan branch of the Department of Labor, the BLS publishes its monthly employment report at 8:30 AM Eastern on the first Friday of each month. The data is gathered from surveys of around 629,000 business establishments.
Analysts have cited several reasons for the frequent need for revisions:
• Late responses from firms
• Delays from large corporations that distort preliminary figures
• Recalculations due to seasonal adjustments (e.g., holidays or weather)
• Demographic shifts impacted by immigration or deportation
• Annual revisions based on finalized tax records
With a relatively light economic calendar in the U.S. this week, traders have turned their focus to the latest developments in trade negotiations—particularly talks with countries that have yet to finalize trade agreements with Washington.
Although the U.S. has reached deals with key partners including the UK, EU, Japan, and South Korea, no formal agreement has yet been made with China to extend the current trade truce, which is set to expire on August 12.
The new U.S. tariff plan proposes a baseline 10% rate for most countries, but some—like India and Switzerland—face much higher rates of 25% and 39%, respectively. However, since implementation of the tariffs has been postponed until August 7, there’s still time for further negotiations and possible rate reductions. Sources close to the White House suggest the administration is eager to continue talks.
What’s now becoming clear is the sheer magnitude of the proposed tariff shifts—far beyond pre-trade-war averages. These changes could have more severe consequences than previously estimated, potentially pushing up U.S. inflation while simultaneously threatening global growth. As such, markets may be entering a fresh wave of volatility.
Compounding these concerns is the U.S. Treasury’s upcoming bond issuance schedule, which could add to market instability.
Also on the radar is the ISM Services PMI for July, due Tuesday. Its results will be closely watched for signs on the U.S. dollar’s direction and the Fed’s potential actions at its September meeting.
Notably, as of July 18, 2025, the widely-followed Buffett Indicator—measuring the ratio of market capitalization to GDP—was 2.3 standard deviations above its historical average. This level surpasses even the dot-com bubble era of the early 2000s. The indicator is now firmly in the “overvalued” zone, which often precedes market corrections or even crashes. For context, during the 2008 financial crisis, it was roughly 1.5 standard deviations below the historical norm.
US100 Buy-Limit on Support 4HUS100 Buy-Limit on Support 4H
01-08-25
06:57 PM
Low Risk Trade because market is bearish!
USNAS100 Correction in Play – Watching 23390 & 23440USNAS100
The price is undergoing a bearish correction while trading below 23440, with downside targets at 23300 and 23295, especially if a 1H candle closes below 23390.
A bullish scenario will be activated if price closes 1H above 23440, opening the path toward 23530 and potentially 23700.
At the moment, the market appears to be correcting toward 23295 before attempting a bullish rebound.
Support Levels: 23300 – 23210 – 23150
Resistance Levels: 23530 – 23700
US100 reacts at pullback resistance US100 price reacts nicely at a pullback resistance with a strong rejection which supports the idea of selling from the current price. Therefore, a sell opportunity is envisaged from the current market price.
NASDAQNASDAQ is showing strength as price reacts from a key weekly support zone, aligning with the latest COT report indicating increased institutional long positions. This confluence supports a continued bullish outlook.
Nasdaq Index (US100 / NASDAQ) Technical Analysis:The Nasdaq index experienced a sharp drop last week, as expected, testing the 22,680$ level. Today, it's showing signs of a corrective move, currently trading around 22,950$.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If the price drops back to 22,680$ and breaks below it with confirmation, the next support could be 22,400$.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If buying momentum pushes the price above 23,000$, and it holds, we may see an extension toward 23,240$ and possibly 23,500$.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
Us100 a strong buyUs100 broke out of your trendline, waiting for the market to retrace to your demand zone, and we can buy from there
Nasdaq is retracing to lower channal line.Nasdaq is retracing to lower channal line. This fall is attributed to Tarrif war.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index saw a slight improvement with today’s market open and is currently trading near 23,000 USD. The short-term trend remains bearish.
1️⃣ A break and close below 22,960 USD may push the price toward 22,670 USD as an initial target.
📉 Holding below that level could open the path to 22,400 USD.
2️⃣ However, if strong buying momentum leads to a break above 23,160 USD and price holds, we could see a move toward 23,300 USD, followed by 23,600 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
UPDATEFriday we closed on the breakeven after that the price reached our 50% level of the trade, so our TP was raised to the breakeven.
Follow for more trades to catch up the next week!
NAS100 Technical Outlook — Final Impulse Before the Fall?
The NAS100 has just completed its 5th touch on a long-term ascending trendline, forming a clear rising wedge pattern. Historically, each touch of this structure has triggered significant bearish reversals — and this time looks no different.
🔹 However, before the major drop, I'm expecting a final impulsive wave of around 1,000 pips— a last bullish move that could stretch toward the 24,300–24,400 zone. This would complete the wave structure and offer a strong sell opportunity.
🔻 After that, a deeper correction is likely, targeting the 19,000 area, which aligns perfectly with:
The midpoint of the wedge on the daily chart
A strong historical support zone
A potential area for medium-term consolidation
⚠️ As long as price remains below 24,400, the bearish scenario remains valid. Any daily close above that level would force a re-evaluation.
🧠 This setup reflects a classic distribution phase followed by a high-probability breakdown.
