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NAS100 trade ideas

KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning, Those of you following the market would have seen that something in the world was going to happen. Yep we have it....trade war. The market is a great predictor at investor confidence which typically means - what is going on in the world to affect their assets. Right now we have a leg down in the NDX also in SPX & other American/Markets. The uncertainty of the trade war is causing investors to 2nd guess where they are putting their money. Currently on this chart we are seeing a bottom start to form - You will never be able to call a bottom 100% but can get close. This would be a good spot to start accumulating stocks that are matching the trend patterns of the market. Be careful, if this is only a corrective action it would go down after its reached target, again a time to sell your stocks and wait to see where it drops. It could also reach target and consolidate which would be a great area to review trades and see what you want to keep and those you may want to sell for profits. Thanks and have a great day!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by mindfullylost
NQ: Upcoming weekly analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Last week macro economic data came +/- inline which did not help to resolve the UNCERYTAINTY. 2- Trump tariffs flip plop confirmed the uncertainty. 3- This week, we have Job Jolts, CPI. PPI and Consumer confidence; they're all key data to resolve the uncertainty. Inline data won't help; we need an overshoot or undershoot. So until data news, price will continue in the consolidation and accumulation. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: We got a clear bearish close with a somewhat large wick. With the uncertainty context until Tuesday and Wednesday, price might move up to retest 20627. as shown in the chart. Daily TF: From daily perspective, we got a bullish close after price was rejected at Weekly support. Hence, I see price moving up toward 20529-20627. The chart shows the uncertainty via Extensions (represented by E in the chart). Price was unable to close below 20529 for 6 days creating extensions but no break. This tells you the battle between buyers and sellers to break or reject that level. All were fueled by inline data and tariffs flip plop. As a conclusion, I think the break down is not a question of IF but WHEN. Happy green week Everyone!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
Nas100- I was Wrong!! this is not the bottom Stocks continue falling as recession worries surface. Wall Street suffered its steepest decline of the year on Monday, a drop fueled by angst about the economy a day after President Trump refused to rule out the possibility that his policies could trigger a recession. The S&P 500 slid 2.7 percent, the worst daily fall in an already three-week-long stretch of selling. The index is now roughly 9 percent below a record set last month, and approaching a “correction,” a Wall Street term for a decline of 10 percent or more from a recent high.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Shane-investment
NASDAQ 100 Elliott Wave Analysis – A High-Probability Setup in P📌 Is the NASDAQ 100 in a Bearish Impulse Wave? Based on Elliott Wave analysis, NASDAQ 100 appears to be in Wave 3 of an ongoing bearish impulse (Wave A or 1). This setup suggests that after the current downward move, we might see a corrective structure before another leg down. Key Insights: 🔹 Wave Structure: The first wave of this move was a leading diagonal, followed by a pullback. Now, we are likely in Wave 3, which could extend further before a corrective phase begins. 🔹 Retracement Zones: After Wave 3 completes, we expect a corrective structure (Wave 4), which typically retraces between 38.2% and 50% of Wave 3 before Wave 5 resumes. 🔹 Trading Strategy: The most favorable entry zone would be during Wave 5 of A (or 1), ideally in lower timeframes such as H1, H4, or even M15. Before entering a trade, we need to confirm a three-wave corrective structure—whether it forms a sideways correction or a complex zigzag. 📌 Critical Levels to Watch: A break into Wave 1 territory could invalidate the impulse structure and shift the outlook. If the corrective phase is shallow, a deeper drop may still be on the table. 🚀 Patience is key! Once the correction completes, the next move could offer a strong trading opportunity. #NASDAQ100 #ElliottWave #StockMarket #TradingSetup #BearishImpulse 💬 What’s your take? Are we heading lower, or will the market surprise us?
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
USNAS100| Price Rebound and Expected ConsolidationAfter experiencing a sharp decline, the price rebounded within the support zone on Wednesday and has since traded above this level. If the price successfully closes a four-hour candle above this zone, it is likely to continue trading higher. In this scenario, I anticipate an upward movement toward the resistance area. Upon reaching this resistance zone, its strength is expected to exert downward pressure on the price, driving it back toward the support zone. Consequently, a period of consolidation between these levels may follow. Bearish target: 20,2800. 20,110. 19,735 Bullish target: 21,030. 21385. 21570
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
Approaching short-term bottom, watch for potential rebound(The following is solely a personal opinion and not investment advice. Please make your own judgment before making any decisions.) Last week, after rebounding to 21,075 on Monday, the price maintained a downward trend. Currently, the price is approaching a key short-term support level and has fallen below the 200-day moving average. There is a high probability that the market will bottom out and rebound in near term. Potential Rebound Scenario If the market rebounds next week, the price may consolidate and form a base on Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday and Thursday, it should at least break above 20,700 and stay above this level. Continued Downtrend Scenario If the rebound holds, the price should remain above 19,650. However, if it breaks below this level and stays below, further downside to 19,000 is likely. Watch Wednesday's CPI Data If Wednesday’s inflation data meets or lower than expectations, it could provide fundamental support for a market rebound. The initial rebound targets for next week are 20,700 and 20,900. If the CPI data is positive an upward breakout toward 21,345 could occur. Further Downside Risk After Rebound Even if the price breaks above 21,345, attention should be paid to its behavior in the 21,400–21,600 range and whether overbought conditions arise. The market may resume a downtrend after completing the rebound, so caution is advised when chasing highs.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by zygliu
Geopolitical and Trade Tensions Reignite Pressure on Wall StreetAfter a brief and limited reprieve observed in the previous session, negative pressures have returned to the U.S. stock market, renewing investor caution. During the current session, the Nasdaq 100 is down 0.6%, while the S&P 500 loses 0.4%, demonstrating the underlying fragility of the market despite recent positive signals on the inflation front. Although both consumer and producer inflation moderated in February, generating optimistic expectations about potential relief in the Federal Reserve's rhetoric, investors remain skeptical amid persistent geopolitical and trade uncertainty. The recent U.S. protectionist measures, including 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum, have once again heightened global economic risks, exacerbating tensions particularly with key partners such as Canada, China, and the European Union, who have responded with a more confrontational stance, unlike Mexico, which has been more cautious in addressing these new episodes of trade wars. The market's sensitivity to these risks was evident with the new U.S. threat to impose a 200% tariff on alcoholic beverages from the EU, suggesting that volatility will continue to dominate in the coming sessions. This complex scenario is expected to be carefully evaluated at next week's FOMC meeting, where the Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged. However, recent inflation data could encourage a more dovish tone regarding future rate cuts. Markets are currently pricing in three rate cuts this year, a divergent expectation from the central bank's stance in December, when it signaled only one. The March meeting will be crucial in assessing whether the Fed aligns more closely with market expectations or maintains a more cautious stance. Amid these circumstances, the sectors most exposed to uncertainty, such as discretionary consumption and technology, continue to be the most affected. In contrast, the materials sector is showing relatively strong performance. Looking ahead, focus will remain on how trade and geopolitical tensions evolve, key factors that will determine whether U.S. markets can finally find a turning point to sustainably resume their upward trajectory. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
USNAS100| SHORT TERM U.S. stock futures inched higher early as a correction Tuesday after the three major averages sold off sharply. Investors also awaited President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada and Mexico, which he said would take effect on Tuesday. The price declined as anticipated and has stabilized below 20,545. Today, it is expected to attempt a breakout at 20,345 to reach the next support zone between 20,110 and 20,935. Should the price fall below this zone, the next key support level is at 19,735. Bearish target: 20,345. 20,110. 20,935. From a technical perspective, a confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above the resistance zone between 21,385 and 21,030. Bullish target: 20,545. 21,385. 21,030.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets. As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals. The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets: - Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average). - Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence). - Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”). Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline. Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity. This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
FX:NAS100
by SEYED98
@Nas Bears seeks The 17,000 handle as Recession fears spark sellfor Mexico, Canada, and the U.S. due to the turbulent rollout of Trump tariffs, which has created significant uncertainty for businesses and policymakers. Concerns over inflation in the U.S., which were already growing, have intensified, making it more likely that the Federal Reserve will hold off on policy changes for the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, the risk of recession is increasing across all three countries, and that was witnessed On Monday as wallstreet painted its boards with Red arrows which was not a good sign that being said am anticipating that the Bearish rally will continue till we mitigate @17,000 handle. waiting for Retest @20,000 Before the bears come in Tp.17,000 which will be some days to come from today.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by que
NFP Big Day: How does impact NQ?Good day! Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty. 1- How to read and translate NFP data? * Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief. * Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received. In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market. * Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620. 2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut. Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data. 3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots. Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious. GL!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
"Backtesting a Trading Strategy on TradingView: Entry, Stop-LossThis chart represents a backtesting setup for a trading strategy on TradingView for the US100 (Nasdaq 100) index on a 1-hour timeframe. Key Observations: Price Structure: The chart displays a zigzag wave pattern, which resembles market structure movements in an uptrend. There are clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating a bullish trend. Entry & Stop-Loss Strategy: Entry Level: Marked in blue around 19,109.3. Stop-Loss: Positioned underneath the previous low at approximately 19,030.4, marked in red. This strategy suggests buying on a retracement after a pullback, which aligns with a classic trend-following approach. Target Profit Zone: The green line at the top represents a potential profit-taking area, aligning with a previous swing high. Volume Indicator: Volume is 6.33K, which suggests moderate trading activity. The red bar on the left indicates a possible sell-off before price recovery. Trading Strategy Insights: Bullish Bias: The setup is designed for long trades, capitalizing on higher highs and higher lows. Risk-Reward Ratio: A stop-loss below the previous low ensures risk management, while the take-profit level aims for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Backtesting Focus: This setup helps traders evaluate performance over historical price movements before applying it in real markets. Corrections: The text contains typos: “How to backtest a tarding startegy” → Should be "How to backtest a trading strategy". “Stop-loss (underneath previous low)” is correctly labeled, but formatting could be improved for readability
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Fx_olivia_queen