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US30 trade ideas

DOW JONES 13-year pattern that never failed eyes $48000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the best bullish break-out signal exactly 1 year ago (December 13 2023, see chart below), as our buy entry at 36577 hit our 42900 long-term Target last October: At that time we made a clear point why that rally 'shouldn't surprise you' and it is because of this pattern's consistency for so many years. This 1W time-frame chart shows the cyclical behavior of the index, which peaks (Sine Wave top), then pulls back and starts forming a Rising Wedge (Sine Wave bottom) and when it breaks above the Rising Wedge, is where it flashed the bullish break-out signal we got a year ago. As you can see it then starts a gradual rise on the BB20 and completes the Cycle again (Sine Wave top) after roughly a +47% rally. The title mentions that this pattern 'never failed', practically it only broke during the COVID flash crash, which was a non-technical event than occurs once every 100 years. As you can see even the 1W MACD sequences between the cyclical patterns are identical. As a result, our Target towards the Sine Wave peak is 48000. If this is achieved in Q2 2025, based on Dow's current Channel Up (dashed), then we expect the index to remain on those high levels but turn more neutral sideways towards the end of 2025 and then eventual start of the new Bear Phase. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30)Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) – Bullish Reversal Opportunity This chart highlights a potential buying opportunity in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) after a sharp correction. The recent dip into a key support zone could set the stage for a bullish reversal heading into 2025. Technical Analysis: Key Support Zone: The gray zone around 41,200–41,400 represents a strong demand area. Historically, this level has acted as a base for bullish recoveries. Oversold Conditions: The steep sell-off suggests that the market might be oversold, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. Weekly Pivot: The weekly pivot line serves as a near-term resistance, and a breakout above this level could signal bullish momentum. Bullish Scenario: A bounce from the support zone followed by a break above the weekly pivot would confirm the start of a new leg higher, targeting 44,000 and beyond. Fundamental Analysis: Economic Resilience: Despite recent corrections, the U.S. economy remains robust, with moderate inflation and stable growth supporting equity valuations. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook: Expectations of a pause or potential rate cuts in 2025 could reignite risk appetite, favoring indices like the DJIA. Seasonal Trends: Historically, Q1 tends to favor equities due to renewed optimism and capital inflows at the start of the year. Conclusion: Traders may consider entering long positions in the highlighted support zone, with stop-losses just below it to manage risk. A break above the weekly pivot could provide further confirmation of bullish momentum.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by DreamsForx
How to Identify Market Downtrends Without Fundamentals🔍 A Fundamental Perspective On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to a range of 4.25%–4.5%. However, their guidance suggested a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025, with projections of only two reductions instead of four as previously expected. This cautious stance, driven by lingering inflation concerns and a resilient labor market, triggered a sharp market sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) plummeted over 1,100 points, recording its steepest single-day drop since 1974. 🔍 Market Breadth: A Technical Perspective If you’re not tracking fundamental events, Market Breadth indicators can offer valuable insights into market trends and the health of the index. 1️⃣ US30 Market Breadth EMA 20 The histogram bars in yellow reflect the number range of stocks in the DJIA with strong uptrends. Recently, the height of these bars has been steadily declining, signaling that fewer stocks are maintaining bullish trends. 2️⃣ Market Breadth MACD Conversely, the red line of the MACD indicator, which represents stocks in a strong downtrend, has been rising. This divergence indicates that bearish momentum is building across the market. 3️⃣ Market Breadth EMA Alignment The red line crossing above the green line in this indicator confirms a strong downtrend, providing additional evidence of bearish dominance. 📈 Price Action Analysis The price has broken below the ascending channel, which further supports the bearish case. Combining this with signals from the Market Breadth indicators strengthens the probability of a sustained downtrend in the DJIA. ✅ Key Takeaway By analyzing Market Breadth and combining technical indicators, you can gauge the market's strength even if you're not following the fundamentals. As DJIA breaks below critical technical levels, traders should exercise caution and watch for further confirmation of bearish trends.
TVC:DJIEducation
by Investic_analytics
US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350. A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 43580 Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070 Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900 Trend Outlook: Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900 PREVIOUS IDEA:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
US30: Bearish Momentum with CPI-Driven VolatilityTechnical Analysis The price dropped about more than 500 points as we mentioned previously, and is still under bearish momentum because already broken the bearish correction which is 44410. So as long as trade is below 44270 and 44410 it will drop to touch 43900, on the other hand, we have a CPI effect Today that will be expected with more than the previous result, in this case, will support the bearish movement for indices, especially realizing more than 2.7%. due to the high volatility, we have a bullish correction till 44300 or 44410. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44410, 44590, 44750 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43490 Trend Outlook: Bearish Momentum previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out. Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red) The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range. Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend. The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April. The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction. October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure. The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level. We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December. However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year. If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content! If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment. :0) See below for more information on our trading and trend-following techniques. As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
DJ:DJILong
by Sublime_Trading
US Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame AnalysisUS Index (US30) – Daily Time Frame Analysis Overview: Today, let’s analyze the US Index (US30) on the daily time frame. Over the past several days, spanning more than a week, the trend has been distinctly bearish. Key Observation: The price is now nearing a significant key level in the range of 43,200–43,300. This area could act as a strong support zone, offering a potential opportunity for a long trade. Trade Idea: Entry Zone: 43,200–43,300 Monitor this range closely. Look for bullish confirmation signals, such as wick rejections, bullish engulfing candles, or other reversal patterns before entering a trade. Potential Target: If the setup aligns, the trade could aim for the previous week’s high. Keep in mind this move could take up to a week to materialize, but the potential gain from this trade could be significant. Important Reminders: Wait for Confirmation: Ensure a clear rejection or reaction at the key level before executing the trade. Focus on Risk Management: Safeguarding your capital is crucial. Avoid impulsive or revenge trading. Be Patient: Allow the trade to develop at its own pace; rushing can lead to mistakes. Trading is Reactive, Not Predictive: Respond to price action as it unfolds rather than trying to forecast the future.
ICMARKETS:US30Long
by KainT21
Why is Dow Jones on a losing streak?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (Ticker AT: USAIND) recently experienced its longest negative streak since 2018, racking up eight consecutive sessions of declines. This downtrend began on December 4, when the index closed above 45,000 points for the first time in history. Since then, it has shown a downward trend, reflecting the volatility and fluctuations of the market in the current period. During this period, the DJIA has shown a downward trend, while other indexes such as the Nasdaq have experienced increases, reaching new all-time highs. For example, the Nasdaq rose 1.24% and closed at new all-time highs, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.38%. However, these positive closes were the result of the strong performance of a few stocks, such as Alphabet, Apple and Tesla, which set new all-time highs. The recent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is due to several factors that have generated uncertainty in the markets. Here are the main reasons behind this behavior: 1. Interest Rate Concerns 2. • The persistence of high interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) to combat inflation continues to negatively affect sensitive sectors, such as real estate and industrials. • Investors fear that these rates could be prolonged, limiting economic growth. 2.Recession Fears • Mixed economic data, such as a slowdown in consumer spending and industrial production, have fueled concerns about a possible recession in 2024. • Although the labor market remains strong, other indicators, such as the manufacturing index, reflect weakness. 3. Impact of the Industrial Sector • Given that the DJIA is largely comprised of industrial and consumer goods companies, any weakness in these sectors directly impacts its performance. • Key companies in the index, such as Boeing and Caterpillar, have suffered setbacks due to global uncertainty. 4. Strength of the dollar • The strengthening of the dollar against other currencies negatively affects DJIA companies with high international exposure, reducing the competitiveness of their products abroad. 5. Rotation to Other Indices • Investors are favoring indices more exposed to the technology sector, such as the Nasdaq, which has had a positive performance thanks to the momentum of artificial intelligence and other technological advances. 6. Geopolitical Tensions • Uncertainties in the Middle East, as well as trade tensions between the U.S. and China, have increased risk aversion, especially affecting global companies in the DJIA. On the technical side, the index has had several bearish days that are reaching its last support zone near 43,300 points. If this zone is pierced, it could evolve towards the checkpoint near 42,100 points. On the other hand, the index is currently oversold at 41.72% and its mid-range crosses do not indicate a change in direction. If we look at the MACD if there has been a turn of the trend of the average of 12 crossing below the average of 26, which shows that in the short term this situation does not seem to have changed. It is important to note that the DJIA is a price-weighted index, which means that higher-priced stocks have a more significant impact on its movement. Therefore, fluctuations in the prices of high-value stocks can significantly influence the index's performance. For investors and analysts, this negative streak in the DJIA underscores the importance of monitoring market trends and considering factors such as index composition, global economic conditions and monetary policies that can influence stock index performance. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USAIND
by ActivTrades
US30 Maybe Rallying for a reversal to begin a Bullish TrendUS30 rejected the 43300 support and is now above the weaker support of 43500. For potential longs, look for price to retest the upper support of 43500 for a buy opportunity or for price to indicate a buy but to wick out on the trend line only to fall again. For shorts look for price to fall bellow the current support line and retest it or for price to retest the upper area of the trend line. Make sure to send me any comments or questions>
OANDA:US30USDShort
by leslyjeanbaptiste
1
US30 Short Idea based on monthly-minute breakdownAfter thorough breakdown i see US30 diverging in the weekly & hourly TF, after that I measured the daily-weekly moving average and concluded that it has finished the average pip movement before usual daily retracements. So after deciding it will be bearish I’m looking for a bullish retracement in the 1min-15 min TF to the 45100 area where I’ll be looking to place my SELLS. TP targets have been set from TP1-TP6 (Make sure to set to break even after TP1 hits if deciding to swing trade). Bulls usually control December so I did mark up the possible bullish scenarios from the 1st 4 TPs. Let’s see if US30 can FEED US !!
THINKMARKETS:US30Short
by jcatchinpips
US30 Bearish To Bullish Play for the WeekAfter following US30 on the way down through a beautiful 1hr-4hr TL we might finally be getting to our final target 43,550. Will look for a slight move to the upside touching the sell limit which will then propel back down for another bearish move, after reaching 43,550 I expect sideways movement consolidating for a couple days/weeks hopefully giving us a clear view for a bullish set up in the process. I expect a Major move back up potentially creating new highs into 2025. 43,550 is the end of the daily average move and it will meet with a weekly trendline as it hits the weekly support zone. Let’s see if the streak on US30 continues.. May the markets be w us..! P.s only way I would switch my bearish outlook is if we break through 44,150 following a break through 44,300 into full bullish territory
THINKMARKETS:US30
by jcatchinpips
US30 painting a beautiful downtrendUS30 Technical Analysis Report December 16, 2024 Current Market Overview The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is currently displaying a significant bearish bias, with multiple timeframe analysis supporting a continuation of the downward momentum. Current price: 43,886 Technical Analysis by Timeframe Daily Timeframe (HTF) Confirmed bearish market structure break at 44,392 (December 10, 2024) Overall Higher Timeframe trend remains bearish This break serves as a key reference point for the current bearish momentum 4-Hour Timeframe (H4) Clear downtrend pattern formation Current price action showing retracement to sweep buy/sell liquidity zones Price action respecting the downward trendline range Suggested entry level identified at 43,809 1-Hour Timeframe (H1) Key resistance level identified at 44,058 Potential for temporary trend interruption if this level is breached Currently operating within Asian session range boundaries Key Trading Levels Entry Target: 43,809 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 43,345 Extended Target (TP2): 42,890 (conditional on market alignment) Key Resistance: 44,058 Previous Structure Break: 44,392 Volume Analysis Current phase: Asian session (characterized by lower volume) Critical observation period: New York session open Anticipating increased volume and potential trend confirmation during NY hours Risk Management Considerations Primary trend remains bearish Watch for potential temporary reversals at 44,058 Monitor NY session volume for trade confirmation Consider partial position closure at TP1 (43,345) Trading Session Context Currently in Asian trading hours Key decision point expected at NY session open Volume expected to increase significantly during NY hours, providing better trade execution opportunities Trade Strategy Summary The overall strategy aligns with the bearish bias across multiple timeframes. Entry opportunities are being monitored at 43,809, with a structured approach to take profit levels. The New York session will be crucial for volume confirmation of the anticipated moves. Note: This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All traders should conduct their own research and risk assessment before entering any positions.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by FXCapitalClub
9 Straight Down Days...and CountingHave you been paying attention to the Dow Jones Industrial Average ? Today marks the 9th Consecutive day it is down a record daily losing streak since get this,.. 1978. Lead lower by the collapse of United Healthcare, down 20 % (which I wrote to you about in my last TradingView post) traders at the mighty New York Stock Exchange are starting to get very concerned. With record investor and trader bullishness on stocks, paper asset class and the Fed now willing to grease the skids with another factored in rate cut tomorrow, the Dow is sending a clear warning that someone knows something you don't THE_UNWIND 12/17/24 Woods of Connecticut
TVC:DJIShort
by The_Unwind
Santa abandons the Dow 30Buyers in the Dow Jones are likely frustrated given the recent gains in other stock indices, and as sellers are aggressively challenging the bullish uptrend, with the index nearly erasing all gains of its 5% rally off the November 19 low. As the price approaches a prior consolidation zone between 43,319 and 43,557, a reaction is likely, potentially forming a bottom and pushing higher as the December Santa rally begins. We maintain a bullish bias above 43,111, the November 20 low. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:US30Long
by ThinkMarkets