US30: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 40,580.88 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 40,403.97..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 trade ideas
us30 longKey Observations:
Strong Bullish Momentum (Preceding the current candle):
There was a significant bullish move leading up to 15:00, with large green candles pushing price from around 40,570 to 40,770.
This sharp upward move could be news-driven or reacting to a key level.
Current Candle Showing Rejection:
The latest 5-minute candle (red) shows a possible rejection at resistance around 40,780–40,790, where price has wicked to the upside but closed lower.
Indicates possible profit-taking or short-term reversal.
Overbought on Stochastic:
Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 3) is at 86.07 and 90.67 — in the overbought zone.
Suggests potential for pullback or sideways movement unless momentum continues.
Resistance & Support Levels:
Resistance Zone: ~40,780–40,788 (previous highs + possible supply zone).
Support Zone: ~40,571 (previous consolidation area and marked SL level).
If price breaks below ~40,690 with volume, watch for a dip toward 40,570 or 40,513.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT ) Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Recent strong rejection from the 36893 zone followed by a sharp V-reversal; currently recovering, but still under prior highs.
• MACD: Deeply negative but showing signs of reversal (momentum slowing).
• RSI: At 46.22 — mid-range, suggesting room to go higher.
• Bias: Recovery from oversold — bullish short-term momentum within a larger corrective phase.
15-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Strong impulse move up from 37092 area to 40395.
• MACD: Positive cross and momentum flattening — indicating potential short-term consolidation or continuation.
• RSI: 45.36 — still not overbought. Room to push higher.
• Bias: Bullish continuation with potential pullback entries.
3-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Recent micro consolidation with minor pullbacks.
• MACD: Near zero but ticking up, signaling possible small continuation wave.
• RSI: 45.87 — similar mid-range, no bearish divergence.
• Bias: Short-term bullish scalp opportunity.
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Fundamental Outlook (Macro Context)
• Recent Fed tone remains data-dependent, but no immediate rate hike expectations.
• Inflation cooling and market anticipating a potential rate cut later this year supports equities.
• US earnings season began; early sentiment is optimistic.
• Risk-on sentiment may support indices like US30 to grind higher short-term.
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Trade Idea: Long Position
Entry:
Buy Limit @ 40220
• Just below current price, near recent minor support and EMA bounce zone (15M + 3M confluence).
Stop Loss:
SL @ 39870
• Below minor support & key structure zone on 15M chart.
Take Profit:
TP @ 40990
• Next resistance based on Daily chart supply zone and prior rejection area.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 Trade Update – 15/04/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 15/04/2025 🚨
📊 US30 Testing Key Resistance!
The Dow is stalling just under 40,702, a critical resistance zone that has capped price multiple times. A breakout could spark continuation toward 41,500, but rejection here could drag price back toward 39,900 or even lower.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Strong recovery from 36,743 low
✅ Price consolidating just under resistance
🔺 Breakout above 40,702 opens path to 41,500
🔻 Support zone: 40,060 → 39,900
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long above 40,702 → Target 41,500
🔻 Short below 40,060 → Target 39,900
🔹 Range traders can fade the zone until breakout confirms
⚠️ Patience is key — this squeeze could go either way. Let price tip its hand.
US30 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 40693.92, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 39359.24, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 42215.43, which is a swing high resistance level.
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Long Term Market PredictionThis is based on 5 different indicators along with a deep analysis using AI. Based on repeating patterns. We see a 50% gain before dropping down to a 25-50% retracement of the total span, then a 100% gain from initial starting point at intervals. Looking at bar length:
From 1,400 up to 11,700 is +10,300
From 1,200 up to 6,400 is +5,200 (about half of 10,300)
From 2,600 up to 5,400 is +2,800 (about half of 5,200)
Seeing that these upward moves appear to be roughly halving each time, the next “up” might be around half of 2,800, i.e. about +1,400. Adding 1,400 to the most recent term (5,400) gives
5,400
+
1,400
=
6,800.
5,400+1,400=6,800.
So a plausible next term (if we follow that decreasing-up-jump idea) is around 6,800 bars. This concludes how we will get to the next increase - though much slower than the previous 2.
US30 Trade Update – 14/04/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 14/04/2025 🚨
📈 Dow Jones Back in Bull Mode!
US30 has surged back above 40,600 and is now approaching the key resistance at 40,860. Bulls are pressing higher, but price is now near a critical decision point.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Strong recovery from 36,743 support
✅ Higher highs + bullish EMA crossover
🔺 Resistance ahead at 40,860 → 41,200
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long above 40,860 → Target 41,200
🔻 Short only if price rejects 40,860 & drops below 40,450
🔹 Wait for breakout confirmation — no rush!
⚠️ Momentum favors bulls, but 40,860 is the gatekeeper. Let price prove itself.
Beyond the Noise: US30 Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas.Technical Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones)
📊 The US30 index is currently displaying a bearish trend on the weekly timeframe. We're observing a strong rally followed by a pullback into equilibrium when measured against the previous price swing range.
🔍 At present, the index sits in a premium zone, creating conditions where short positions may be accumulating for potential downside movement. However, market sentiment remains highly susceptible to external factors, particularly political statements and social media activity from key figures like Donald Trump.
⚠️ Given this unpredictability, a more prudent approach involves shifting focus to lower timeframes and following price action signals directly. The 30-minute chart presents a defined range that offers potential trade opportunities.
💡 Trade Idea: Monitor the current range on the 30-minute timeframe. A decisive break above the range could signal a long entry opportunity, while a break below may indicate a short entry position.
📈 This range-breakout strategy allows traders to adapt to market conditions rather than attempting to predict overall market direction, which has proven increasingly challenging in the current economic and political climate.
Not financial advice.
US 30 - Ranges overview Let's see what the charts are telling us on US 30.
Similarly to US 100 we are currently redistributing after a clean retracement towards the HTF sellside.
Pretty easy plan as always.
IF we hold 36970 expect us to aggressively trade towards 42500. From a LTF perspective - the current price action is ideal for scalpers. So don't hesitate to play the LTF ranges BASED ON THE HTF ranges.
IF deviate and hold below 36970 we will revisit 35597. We have a LTF inverted FVG sitting between 37620 and 36970 so keep an eye on it.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
NASDAQ100 - Bullish ??Perfect — now we’re on the 4H timeframe, which is great for refining entries. Let’s break this down again with the three frameworks:
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1. Smart Money Concept (SMC)
Key Elements:
• CHoCH (Change of Character) — clearly marked after price broke above a short-term structure, shifting market sentiment bullish on 4H.
• EQH (Equal Highs) — potential liquidity resting above; smart money may target these.
• BOS (Break of Structure) — further confirms internal bullish structure.
• Order Block (OB) or Demand Zone in the green box (~17,700–18,200)** — price respected this zone strongly after BOS, indicating smart money accumulation.
SMC Bias (4H):
• Currently bullish, moving from demand to premium pricing.
• Price is forming higher highs and higher lows post-CHoCH.
• Liquidity pool above EQH near 19,000 is likely next target.
• Potential long re-entry if price returns to demand zone (18,000–18,200).
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2. Elliott Wave View (Micro Count on 4H)
• If this is part of Wave 4 retracement on the Daily, this current 4H rally could be subwave A or B of the corrective structure (flat, zigzag, triangle).
• Alt. view: This may be Wave 1 of a new impulsive move upward if macro bearish bias gets invalidated.
• Current price action looks impulsive — strong vertical move (potential Wave 1 or 3).
If impulsive structure:
• Wave 1: 17,000 → 18,900
• Wave 2: pullback to ~18,100 (near OB)
• Wave 3 underway — targetting >19,000
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3. Dow Theory (on 4H)
• Short-term trend is now up: Higher high confirmed post-BOS, and higher low formed.
• To maintain bullish structure, price must not break below 17,900 (demand zone).
• Confirmation of strength if we break above 19,000 — forming a higher high again.
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Trade Idea (4H Setup) — Bullish SMC Entry
Entry (Buy Limit): 18,150 (mid-demand zone)
SL: 17,750 (below OB)
TP1: 19,000 (liquidity above EQH)
TP2: 19,800 – 20,200 (Daily supply zone)
RR Ratio: ~1:3+
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11/04/2025 us30 nq es ///read description pls ///yesterday i share with u why market should go down and go up already explain it in the last post go check it in my profile
now were waiting confirmation
this is not trade this just my vision to market and u should be aware we have news and last day of the week
dont take it as trade . cause we dont have confirmation yet its just a vision we need confirmation to take this trade
ill keep u update if we get confirmation in this post
never ever risk more than 1% from ur capital a day
respect ur plan even if ur plan goes wrong
any question feel free
be safe
US30 Outlook – April 11, 2025📉 US30 Outlook – April 11, 2025
US30 has staged a sharp V-shaped recovery from the recent low near 36,743, climbing back over 39,500. However, bulls are now showing signs of exhaustion after failing to hold above 40,000, a key psychological and structural level.
🔍 Chart Analysis:
✅ Strong recovery with bullish EMAs crossover
❌ Multiple rejections at the 40,000 handle — turning it into short-term resistance
🧨 Price forming lower highs after the spike — hinting at weakening momentum
🔻 Key support zone sits at 38,800–39,000, a break below opens downside
🧠 Outlook Summary:
Bias: Turning neutral after a strong bounce
If 40,000 is reclaimed and held → Bullish continuation toward 40,800 / 41,200
If price breaks 38,800, expect a retrace to 37,700 / 36,743
🎯 Key Levels:
Resistance: 40,000 / 40,800 / 41,200
Support: 39,000 / 38,800 / 37,700
US30: Downtrend vs. Support Battle - What's Next?US30 Daily Analysis
Technical Outlook — 10 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 is currently in a defined downtrend on the daily timeframe, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. The price has recently broken down from a potential bearish wedge pattern and is trading below key moving averages.
Key Technical Highlights:
Clear bearish structure evident with consecutive lower highs and lows.
Price has broken down from a potential bearish wedge formation, suggesting further downside.
Trading below the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating bearish momentum.
Key Support Zones identified around $37,000 - $37,500 and $35,800 - $36,200.
Key Resistance Zones located around $42,000, $45,000, and $47,800 - $48,000.
Momentum oscillator (MACD or similar) showing bearish momentum.
Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
If price remains below the descending trendline (around $40,000 - $41,000) and fails to reclaim the $37,500 level, expect bearish continuation.
A confirmed break below the $37,000 - $37,500 support zone could lead to targets at the $35,800 - $36,200 support zone.
Confluence of the bearish trendline and moving averages adds to the potential selling pressure.
Bullish Scenario (Invalidation Level):
A break and sustained trading above the descending trendline and the $42,000 resistance level could signal a potential short-term pullback towards higher resistance levels around $45,000.
Strong bullish reversal signals within the $37,000 - $37,500 support zone could also indicate a potential bounce.
Important Note:
Be aware of any upcoming economic data releases that could impact US indices and cause volatility.
Wait for clear candle confirmations at key levels before initiating trades.
Implement robust risk management strategies, including appropriate stop-loss placement.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Dow in relief until MayYesterday's historic bounce reacted a little to perfectly to the monthly trend-line pictured. Whether coincidence or not, this break in momentum will likely provide an interim bottom to the downtrend and give us a few weeks of reprieve before continuing with the bear market. $37,000 the level to watch.
My outlook is generally still flat although it is useful to remember that the biggest pumps happen during a bear cycle. We also have a full blown trade war on our hands so keep risk tight and trade with caution.