US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 41,170 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred. And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 41,039..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
US30 trade ideas
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025 🛑
📈 Strong Bounce – But Watch This Supply Zone!
US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 🔥 — but now we’re seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200–41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building 🥵.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price holding above 40,700 (key support)
🔹 41,200–41,300 = local resistance zone
🔹 42,359 = next major upside target 🎯
🔹 EMAs still bullish but starting to curve → 🌀 possible slowdown?
⚠️ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon — market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback 💣.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Current range = 40,700 – 41,300
🔻 Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359–42,787
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
🔁 Don’t chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection
⚡ When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode
💎 Patience + plan = edge
Dow Jones Wave Analysis – 2 May 2025- Dow Jones broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 42000.00
Dow Jones index recently broke the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 40815.00 (former support from March and the top of wave A from the start of April) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse 5 from March.
The breakout of this resistance zone continues the C-wave of the active ABC correction (2) from the start of April.
Dow Jones index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 42000.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
US30 - AnalysisKey Levels to look for:
Resistance - 41250
Support - 40800
Currently price show a neutral trend. Resistance level must be broken for a bullish outlook as long as support is respected. A double top formation near resistance level. Failure to break this level will result in retest of support level.
US30 Long Setup | Targeting the Unfilled 4H Gap🧠 Technical Analysis
🔹 Unfilled Gap (Target Area)
A large 4H imbalance/gap remains unfilled between 41,500–41,600, highlighted in yellow.
This acts as a magnet for price — the market often retraces to fill inefficiencies after structure is built below.
🔹 Breakout and Retest
Price has broken above a consolidation structure and returned to retest the breakout level.
The "Invalidation Zone" (~41,147–41,222) is clearly marked — if price breaks below this area, the long idea is invalidated.
Current candle shows strong bullish follow-through after testing the invalidation area.
🔹 Bullish Market Structure
The overall price action is forming higher highs and higher lows.
The recent impulse move confirms bullish momentum and continuation potential.
🛠 Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish
Entry: ~41,237.50 (current price)
Stop Loss: Below 41,147 (clear invalidation zone)
Target: 41,541.52 (unfilled 4H gap)
Risk:Reward: High (approx. 1:3+)
✅ Why This Trade Makes Sense
Clean structure breakout
Clear imbalance target above
Strong follow-through candle at breakout retest
Logical invalidation level below the range
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Watch for volatility around news events (US data, FOMC, etc.)
A close below the invalidation zone would signal failed breakout
🧭 Trading Plan
If price continues to hold above 41,200 and prints bullish continuation patterns (e.g., bull flags or strong engulfing candles), holding toward the 41,540–41,600 range remains valid.
DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but today’s NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 – Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action
The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle — a potential signal that bulls are losing control.
Technical Outlook:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 – 41,020
Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger
Demand Target Zone: 39,938 – 40,000 (orange block)
Observations:
Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone
A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance
Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon)
Trade Idea (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 40,486
Target: 39,938
Stop Loss: Above 41,020
Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level.
Invalidation:
If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table.
Fundamental Alert:
US data/events may trigger volatility soon — watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below!
Like & follow for more clean price action setups!
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
US30 (Dow Jones) – Short Setup in Play – May 2, 2025🔍 Setup Summary:
Price is trading within a bearish internal channel and has shown a reaction from a lower high inside the upper boundary. There’s clear intent to grab liquidity, possibly sweep the short-term high above the descending wedge, then reject sharply.
📉 Trade Idea:
Looking for price to spike up toward the upper channel resistance (~41,250–41,300), potentially sweep liquidity, then reject and break below the ascending trendline. A clean short could target the 15-min FVG zone and demand block around 40,600, with extended targets toward 40,300.
✅ Confluences:
Bearish market structure and channel
Potential liquidity sweep + internal market trap
Fair Value Gap + previous demand zones below
Trendline break setup for entry confirmation
📌 Bias: Bearish – short-term rally expected before a move lower
🕒 Timeframe: 15-minute chart
📈 Risk-to-Reward: 2.5–3:1 depending on entry point and target zone
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is my personal outlook based on technical analysis. It is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research, manage risk appropriately, and use proper trade management. Markets carry risk — trade safe.
US30 – Chop or Fakeout?🔴 US30 – Chop or Fakeout? 🔴
May 2, 2025 – 1H Chart Update
After the bullish breakout above 40,700 yesterday, US30 surged to 41,051, but we’re now seeing price stalling just under that level, forming a potential double top or distribution pattern ⚠️
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🧱 Price rejected at ~41,050 (previous swing high zone)
📉 Small pullback forming after strong bullish leg
📍 Key short-term support still at 40,700
🧠 Market could be consolidating post-FOMC run or prepping for a deeper pullback
🎯 What to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Setup:
✅ Needs a 1H candle close above 41,050
🎯 Target: 42,000 → 42,359 resistance zone
Bearish Scenario:
🔻 Break below 40,700 flips structure short
🎯 Downside targets: 40,260 → 39,775
Neutral Bias If:
Price consolidates between 40,700 – 41,050 = no clear trend → stay flat
long ideaThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension.
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US30: Time to Reverse or Push Higher?Hey Traders,
As you can see on the chart, price tapped into a major level around the $37,000 area, where we saw a weekly liquidity grab followed by a 4H change of character — leading to a strong push up to the $40,800 zone.
Now, we’re looking at two possible scenarios:
📌 Scenario 1:
Price pulls back to the $39,100 area and gives a solid 4H confirmation → Targeting the $41,000 zone.
📌 Scenario 2:
Price breaks below the $39,100 area and the trendline, then pulls back into the same level with confirmation → Targeting the $37,000 / $36,000 area.
⚠️ This is not financial advice — just sharing my view on the current setup.
Be safe, be happy, and have a great trading day.
– Mr. Wolf 🐺
US30 (Dow Jones) Daily Analysis — Make or Break at DowntrendUS30 Daily Analysis
Technical Outlook — May 1, 2025
🔍 Current Market Condition:
US30 is trading near a critical confluence zone where price meets descending trendline resistance and horizontal supply. This level previously acted as a strong rejection point, making the current test significant.
🧩 Key Technical Highlights:
Price testing descending trendline from March highs.
Horizontal resistance zone around 41,000–41,300 is being challenged.
Stochastic oscillator is nearing overbought levels, suggesting caution.
The ascending channel’s lower boundary recently held as support near 38,000.
Compression forming between trendline resistance and rising support.
📈 Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Break and close above 41,300 could open path to retest 43,000 and 45,000 levels.
Look for a bullish daily candle with strong volume above trendline.
Bearish Case:
Rejection from current resistance could send price back toward 39,500–38,000 support zone.
Watch for bearish divergence on Stochastic or failed break above resistance.
📌 Important Note:
This week's economic calendar includes key data releases—stay alert for volatility that may trigger a breakout or reversal.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30: Long Position Setup – Buyers Target Key ResistanceOverview:
The US30 index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) presents a clear long setup as price tests a crucial support zone, with potential bullish momentum targeting higher resistance levels. The chart's long position tool highlights a well-defined risk-to-reward framework.
Key Details from the Chart:
Long Position Tool Breakdown:
Entry Point: Price hovering near the support level, suggesting a strong buying opportunity.
Stop-Loss Level: Positioned slightly below the support to limit downside risk.
Take-Profit Target: Aiming for the next resistance zone above current price levels.
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support Zone: A reliable level where buyers have repeatedly entered the market.
Resistance Zone: Above the take-profit target, where sellers might step in and stall upward movement.
Volume Insights:
Increased buying interest near the support level signals bullish sentiment. Volume profile analysis confirms strong participation at these levels.
Long Trade Plan:
Entry Strategy: Initiate long positions near the support level, ensuring confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or a surge in buying volume.
Stop-Loss Placement: Secure the position with a stop-loss below the support level to protect against adverse price movements.
Take-Profit Levels: Target the resistance zone, maximizing potential gains while maintaining favorable risk management.
Market Sentiment:
The chart reflects growing buyer interest, with price action likely to push higher as long as the support zone holds. Traders should remain vigilant for reversal signals and manage positions accordingly.
Closing Thoughts: This long trade setup on US30 offers a well-balanced approach, allowing traders to capitalize on bullish momentum while minimizing risk. As always, patience and discipline are key to executing trades effectively.