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Skeptic | DXY Showdown: Battle at 104.403Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic Today, we're diving deep into the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index), analyzing key levels and potential triggers. 🔍 Recap & Current Structure: As highlighted in our previous analysis , the major daily support (0.618 Fib) held strong at 103.303 , with price reacting precisely at this level. Currently, the DXY is testing a critical 4H resistance at 104.403 , which aligns with: A 4H consolidation range breakout zone A potential fakeout trap if price fails to sustain momentum The RSI (65.92) suggests building bullish momentum, but confirmation requires a clean break above 104.403. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup): Trigger: Break & close above 104.403 Confirmation: RSI holding above 65.92 Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 104.000 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup): Trigger: Rejection at 104.403 + drop below 103.936 Confirmation: RSI reversal below 50 + bearish 4H candle close ⚠️ Key Notes: Fundamentals: Recent economic data favors dollar weakness—trade longs cautiously. Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
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by SkepticWise
3
DXY - How Instant Gratification Kills & Patience Pays Earlier in the month I shared a trading idea on the DXY looking at potential buying opportunities based on a Bullish Cypher & test of structure. There was some negative feedback from that original idea, simply because the trade didn't reverse "right away" - Today, I'm going to update you on this idea as well as share with you some thoughts on how instant gratification can ruin traders and how patience literally pays off when it comes to trading. If you have any questions and comments, please leave them below and I think the podcast episode that I'm referring to in the video was episode 1131 "How To Avoid Panic and Protect Profits" - Not 100% sure about that though. Akil
TLong
by Akil_Stokes
2
Weekly CLS I KL Monthly FVG, break out is inevitableHey Traders!! Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions! 🧩 What is CLS? CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion. ✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets. 🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2. These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions. 📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow. Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader! “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” David Perk ⚔
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by David_Perk
17
Mid-Week Analysis March 27-28: USD FX Majors Stock Indices, ...In this video, we look back on the forecasts from this past weekend, and check how they are playing out to this point in the week. USD Index, S&P500, Nasdaq ,Dow Jones, Gold, Silver, Platinum, Copper, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, JPY. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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by RT_Money
2
FVG The priority FVG IS Near the 1.06-1.07 and the DXY IS IN A W PATTERN WHICH IA USUALLY BULLISH, SO WHAT I THINK THE DXY WILL HIT AROUND 1.06+ before being rejected to the downside, as history can and will repeat itself with the trump presidency. Although I've heard people say will go to the 1.22 range but that seems a little far fetched, anything is possible but it seems more likely for price to do a hard rally and then be rejected to the downside, but I'm a complete noob so take this as a grain of salt
TLong
by christiansmithtrades
2
Breakout on the DXY - Is the DXY going higher?What is the DXY? The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of six major currencies. A rising DXY indicates a strengthening of the U.S. dollar. This can have significant effects on cryptocurrencies, particularly in the short- and medium-term. Here are some of the key impacts: What does an increase in the DXY mean for crypto? Negative Impact on Crypto Prices: As the dollar strengthens (rising DXY), the relative value of other assets, including cryptocurrencies, can decline. Many cryptocurrencies are priced in U.S. dollars, so when the dollar strengthens, the same amount of dollars may buy fewer crypto assets, leading to price declines for cryptocurrencies. Safe-Haven Movement: When investors flock to the U.S. dollar due to its rising strength, they may move capital out of riskier assets like crypto and into the dollar or U.S. Treasury bonds, which are seen as safer. This can cause a decrease in demand for cryptocurrencies. What can we conclude from the 4-hour DXY chart? The DXY experienced a rapid decrease this month, resulting in a drop from 108 to 103. However, after this sharp decline, the price has shown some bullish signs. First: The price action kept making lower lows while the RSI made higher lows, resulting in a bullish divergence. Second: The price action formed a specific pattern commonly found at the end of a downtrend. This pattern shows that the price is making small lower lows and lower highs, suggesting market exhaustion and a possible upside move toward the resistance zone. The resistance zone aligns with the golden pocket Fibonacci level, indicating it could be a strong rejection level. It is highly probable that the DXY could make an upside move to the resistance zone and golden pocket after breaking this bullish chart pattern. What do we see on the daily timeframe? The price dropped rapidly from 108 to the support zone at 103. After consolidating at this level, the price made a slightly lower low, while the RSI made a higher low. This indicates a bullish divergence on the daily timeframe. Before this drop, the DXY formed a typical bearish chart pattern known as Head and Shoulders (H&S). The neckline of the pattern coincides with the resistance zone on the 4-hour timeframe and the golden pocket. This suggests that it may be a difficult level to break. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment! Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
TLong
by Youriverse
14
A number of markets March 27th 11:00 PM this video was about 40 minutes and is a follow-up of what happened since yesterday's video. regarding gold and silver... the market went as I expected that made this a very profitable market for me when metals that I've held for a long. Of time. a number of markets went as anticipated.... and the video tonight shows what the market might do as it goes lower on coffee and what might happen if the dxy moves lower as I think it might and that this could further add to the bullish patterns for gold and silver.... we will have to wait let's see what the market does on Friday. I spend a lot of time trying to show what a market is probably going to do predicated on the tools that we use to give us a sense for how the buyers and sellers affect the market if you learn to spend time reading the market...... but you have to do the analytic process in real time and you need to be willing to make a decision in real time as opposed to waiting for the market to move for another hour or two or more before you see the pattern. part of the trick is to see the reversal pattern very early up to take more money out of the trade because you've got in early.... this matters. simple patterns like an ABCD pattern and extensions help you find the reversal before other Traders who do not use these tools see the opportunity. if you make more money when you get into a good trade sooner and you get out of a trade that has been moving in your direction because you see it's coming to the other side of the market... you might be bullish but the Market's coming to sellers so you get out. if you manage to do this your analysis will give you much more range when you need it and if you do this long enough you'll know when a market is trading in One Direction but it's ready to reverse. experience this doesn't just happen.... you have to be engaged and asking the questions in real time in order to find the opportunities also the risk.
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by ScottBogatin
Dollar Caught in Mixed SignalsThe US dollar is trading with relative stability this Wednesday, consolidating within a tight range as markets carefully analyze a series of recent economic data that suggest mixed signals about the strength of the world’s largest economy. The latest durable goods orders report for February surprised to the upside, showing an increase of 0.9%, compared to expectations of a 1% decline. Although lower than the robust 3.3% growth recorded in January, this data still reflects some resilience in key sectors such as transportation, machinery, and electrical equipment, which could partially ease concerns over an imminent economic slowdown. However, the optimism sparked by this figure is counterbalanced by a 1.5% drop in non-defense capital goods orders. This indicator, crucial for measuring business confidence and future investment, posted its first contraction in four months, declining 0.3% excluding aircraft. This setback appears to reveal growing caution among US companies, likely driven by uncertainty surrounding trade and tariff policies implemented by the Trump administration. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence showed concerning signs in March. The overall index plummeted to 92.9, reaching its lowest level since 2022. Particularly alarming was the decline in the expectations index, which fell to 65.2, hitting a 12-year low. This drop reflects growing pessimism among American households regarding the economic outlook, worsened by negative perceptions of trade policies and their potential impact on inflation and employment. Inflation, and its anticipated evolution in the coming months, has become a key factor influencing market sentiment toward the dollar. Markets are especially focused on the release of the PCE index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflationary pressures. Should this figure show a significant increase, the Fed may be prompted to maintain a cautious and restrictive stance, thereby supporting the dollar. Conversely, a more moderate reading could lead the central bank to consider less aggressive adjustments, putting downward pressure on the US currency. In conclusion, as markets continue to digest these contradictory signals, the dollar appears likely to remain within a tight range in the short term. Uncertainty over trade policy, combined with mixed signs of economic strength, create a challenging operational environment. As such, caution prevails among investors and businesses, and the market remains on alert, aware that in the current climate, more than ever, clarity on economic and trade policy will be crucial to shaping the near-term future of the US dollar. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
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by Pepperstone
Weekly FOREX Forecast Mar 17-21: Buy EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD vs USD!This is an outlook for the week of March 17-21st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD The USD Index is entering a Daily +FVG, which is nested in a Weekly +FVG. This is a bearish indication for the USD, which is a potential bullish situation for EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD. This will be potentially bearish for the USDCAD, USDCHF, and USDJPY. Wait for the market structure shift going in the direction of your TP, and enter on the pullback. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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by RT_Money
DXY FORECAST Q1 FY25 : zim dollar dollarBack again with a TVC:DXY doomsday post my judgement at the moment is based of the following reasonings. 📉 Tariffs & Global Trade Impact Tariffs weaken trade activity: If the U.S. imposes tariffs, it might reduce export competitiveness and disrupt global supply chains. That can lead to lower foreign demand for U.S. dollars, putting downward pressure on the DXY. Market uncertainty: Investors often move away from riskier assets during trade wars, but if confidence in the U.S. economy declines, they might shift into other safe havens (like gold or the Swiss franc) instead of dollars. 💰 Money Supply Contraction Dollar scarcity effect: The contraction in M2 money supply could strengthen the dollar temporarily due to reduced liquidity. However, if the Fed eases monetary policy to counter recession fears, it might reverse the effect, weakening the dollar. 📊 Inflation & Real Interest Rates Sticky inflation: If inflation remains above target (around 2.9%), and tariffs drive consumer prices higher, the Fed may face pressure to hold or hike interest rates — which could eventually support the dollar. Recession signals: On the flip side, if the economy contracts, rate cuts could come into play, flooding markets with liquidity and pushing the dollar down. in my opinion the shrinking money supply points to future deflationary pressures, which historically support the dollar however disruptive trade policies could destabilize growth, undercutting the dollar’s strength. If tariffs intensify and growth stalls, the dollar may stay weak or decline further despite the contracting money supply. But if the Fed stays firm on inflation control and global instability rises, the dollar could rebound as a safe haven... though this would depend on whether markets believe the U.S. can avoid a full-blown recession. Like Comment Follow Tip Gift its appreciated for more serious work like this.
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by Bekiumuzi_Dube