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DXY Bullish Reversal Setup – Long Entry from Support Zone TowardEMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 99.700 — tracks short-term trend, and price is hovering near this level. EMA 200 (Blue Line): At 100.935 — indicates long-term trend, acting as dynamic resistance above. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Entry Point: Price: 99.699 Rationale: This level has been tested multiple times, forming a support zone. A bounce here signals a potential long entry. 🎯 Target Point (Take Profit): Price: 102.738 Distance: ~3.04 points or 3.43% potential move upward. Note: Marked as EA TARGET POINT, which suggests a calculated area possibly based on previous resistance or algorithmic strategy. 🛑 Stop Loss: Price: 98.624 Reasoning: Just below the defined support zone (highlighted purple area), ensuring protection against downside breakouts. 📊 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry: 99.699 Target: 102.738 → Gain of ~3.04 Stop: 98.624 → Risk of ~1.08 R/R Ratio: ~2.8:1 — favorable setup 📌 Overall Sentiment This chart indicates a bullish reversal setup from a strong support zone, possibly targeting a mean reversion or trend reversal toward the 200 EMA and beyond. However, keep in mind: The price is currently below both EMAs, so the trend is still bearish. The trade is counter-trend, relying on support holding and momentum shifting.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
1
.DXY (U.S.DOLLAR INDEX) M30 ANALYSIS UPDATES 🔍 **Chart Overview:** - The chart shows a recent **bearish movement** after a double top pattern, indicated by the red arrows. - Price has dropped significantly and is approaching a **key support zone** around **99.209 – 99.253**. - A potential **bullish reversal** is anticipated from this support zone. --- 🧠 **Trade Idea:** ✅ **Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):** 1. **Wait for price action** confirmation around the support area **(99.209 – 99.253)**. 2. Once bullish confirmation appears (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or double bottom), look for **buy entries**. 3. **First target:** **99.839** (minor resistance zone). 4. **Final target:** **100.607** (major resistance & previous high). ❗️**Invalidation:** - If price breaks and closes **below 99.209** with strong bearish momentum, the bullish idea becomes invalid and further downside may be expected. . 🧩 **Strategy Notes:** - This setup assumes a potential **V-shaped recovery** after a liquidity grab below the recent low. - Watch for **U.S. economic data releases**, as marked on the chart – they may trigger volatility and impact DXY movement.
TVC:DXYLong
by EA_Gold_Man
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025. The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis). In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below). Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017) It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty. But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
The DXY shows a downward tendency.In the long run, the implementation of tariffs will prompt trading partners to take countermeasures 😡, resulting in a contraction of the global trade scale 😔. American enterprises will face higher import costs for raw materials, and their export markets will be restricted, thus curbing the economic growth of the United States 😩. This will put depreciation pressure on the US dollar, causing the DXY to decline 📉. U.S. Tariff Policies Since April 9th, the United States has levied tariffs ranging from 10% to 25% on goods from China, the European Union, Canada, and other regions. These tariffs cover crucial sectors like automobiles, steel, and semiconductors 😒. Countermeasures of Various Countries China: On April 4th, China declared that it would impose a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting from April 10th. Then, on April 9th, the tariff rate was further hiked to 84%, applying to all U.S. goods 😠. The European Union: Announced that it would impose a 25% tariff on U.S. motorcycles, diamonds, and other goods as of May 16th 😤. Canada: On April 9th, imposed a 25% retaliatory tariff on U.S. automobiles, while exempting auto parts 😏. 💰💰💰 DXY 💰💰💰 🎯 Sell@ 100 - 101 🎯 TP 98 - 97 Traders, if you're fond of this perspective or have your own insights regarding it, feel free to share in the comments. I'm really looking forward to reading your thoughts! 🤗 👇The accuracy rate of our daily signals has remained above 98% within a month! 📈 We sincerely welcome you to join our channel and share in the success with us! 👉
TVC:DXYShort
by PearlMichael
Bullish IntradayPrice made a higher high at 99.836, breaking the previous lower high. This suggests a potential shift in structure to bullish. Buy Stops Above Highs: The high at 99.836 likely took out buy stops from traders expecting a breakout above 100.000. ICT emphasizes that smart money often hunts liquidity above equal highs or below equal lows. Bearish Order Block: The green box around 99.750–99.800 (before the drop to 99.500) acts as a bearish order block. This is a zone where institutional selling occurred, leading to the sharp decline. Price briefly retested this zone before rejecting it, confirming its significance. Last scenario would be, Pullback and Reversal: A likely ICT setup would be a pullback to the 99.650 pivot or the 99.500 bullish order block, followed by a move higher to target liquidity above 100.000.
TVC:DXYLong
by ObakengNthoiwa
DXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting BreakoutDXY Forms a Contracting Triangle: Awaiting Breakout On the 60-minute chart, DXY has developed a contracting triangle, which is typically a trend continuation pattern, suggesting a potential downward move. However, since this consolidation is taking time and DXY’s price action remains complex, movement in either direction is possible. The breakout will ultimately determine the next price direction, but based on current conditions, an upward move seems more likely in the near future. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXY
by KlejdiCuni
7
How to Trade the Tariff Turmoil: Markets Now Move on HeadlinesMarkets in 2025 have become increasingly unpredictable, largely driven by one factor: tariffs. President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy has shaken investor confidence and turned global markets into a rollercoaster. The key to navigating this new environment? Understand that markets are no longer just reacting to economic data—they’re reacting to headlines. The biggest shock came on April 2, when Trump announced a 145% tariff on all Chinese imports and “reciprocal” tariffs on dozens of other countries. The reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 dropped nearly 15% at its lowest point that week, and investors rushed to sell risk assets. Days later, markets sharply reversed after Trump temporarily suspended some tariffs. That sparked a rally—tech stocks soared, Apple rose 5%, and the Nasdaq gained over 2%. But the relief was short-lived. Conflicting messages and partial rollbacks continued to send markets up and down. Earlier, on March 4, tariffs were placed on Canada and Mexico, while China’s rates were doubled. These moves led to more selling in stocks and a spike in demand for bonds. By mid-April, exemptions for electronics boosted tech names again, but overall market sentiment remained fragile. How to Trade This New Market The main lesson for traders and investors is clear: We’re now in a headline-driven market. Traditional strategies that rely solely on fundamentals or economic cycles are being overshadowed by sudden political developments. Here’s how to adapt: Stay Nimble and News-Aware Be ready for fast moves. Market direction can flip in minutes based on a single press conference or tweet. Have alerts set for major geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. Reduce position sizes during uncertainty and avoid holding large trades through major announcements. Rethink Your Safe Havens The U.S. dollar is no longer acting like the safe haven it used to be. With rising fiscal concerns and volatile trade policy, investors are shifting toward alternatives. Gold and the Swiss franc (CHF) have become more reliable options during risk-off moments. If uncertainty spikes, these assets may offer better protection than the dollar. Focus on Sectors Sensitive to Policy Tech stocks have been among the most affected. Tariff exemptions caused sharp rallies, while new restrictions triggered big drops. If you trade sectors like tech, consumer goods, or industrials, stay especially alert for trade-related headlines. Bottom line: In 2025, geopolitics is moving markets more than ever. The old playbook needs updating. By staying flexible, tracking headlines, and turning to traditional safe havens like gold and CHF, traders can better navigate the noise—and find opportunity in the chaos.
TVC:DXY
by Jacques1000
1
DXY FORECAST Q1 FY25 : zim dollar dollarBack again with a TVC:DXY doomsday post my judgement at the moment is based of the following reasonings. 📉 Tariffs & Global Trade Impact Tariffs weaken trade activity: If the U.S. imposes tariffs, it might reduce export competitiveness and disrupt global supply chains. That can lead to lower foreign demand for U.S. dollars, putting downward pressure on the DXY. Market uncertainty: Investors often move away from riskier assets during trade wars, but if confidence in the U.S. economy declines, they might shift into other safe havens (like gold or the Swiss franc) instead of dollars. 💰 Money Supply Contraction Dollar scarcity effect: The contraction in M2 money supply could strengthen the dollar temporarily due to reduced liquidity. However, if the Fed eases monetary policy to counter recession fears, it might reverse the effect, weakening the dollar. 📊 Inflation & Real Interest Rates Sticky inflation: If inflation remains above target (around 2.9%), and tariffs drive consumer prices higher, the Fed may face pressure to hold or hike interest rates — which could eventually support the dollar. Recession signals: On the flip side, if the economy contracts, rate cuts could come into play, flooding markets with liquidity and pushing the dollar down. in my opinion the shrinking money supply points to future deflationary pressures, which historically support the dollar however disruptive trade policies could destabilize growth, undercutting the dollar’s strength. If tariffs intensify and growth stalls, the dollar may stay weak or decline further despite the contracting money supply. But if the Fed stays firm on inflation control and global instability rises, the dollar could rebound as a safe haven... though this would depend on whether markets believe the U.S. can avoid a full-blown recession. Like Comment Follow Tip Gift its appreciated for more serious work like this.
TVC:DXYShort
by Bekiumuzi_Dube
DXY Starts the Bearish Trend!DXY Starts the Bearish Trend! Yesterday, the DXY made a clear breakout on the daily chart from a strong structure zone located near 106.20. Since that moment, the DXY hasn't paused, leading to a weakening USD. Even if the DXY corrects, it is expected to be short-term. The DXY may test the 105.7 - 106.20 range as a maximum before a more significant bearish wave occurs. The U.S. dollar dropped to a near three-month low against major peers on Wednesday, following the latest round of U.S. tariffs and countermeasures from Canada and China, which stoked fears of an escalating trade war. Fears about weaker U.S. and global economic activity are driving the sell-off. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXYShort
by KlejdiCuni
6
DXY Squeeze Incoming? Watch 99.00 ReactionFundamental Analysis: The TVC:DXY has weakened as recent data shows GDP growth slowing to 2.4%, inflation cooling to 2.4%, and unemployment rising to 4.2%, increasing expectations of potential Fed rate cuts despite rates holding at 4.5%. Investor confidence has also dropped, with consumer sentiment at 50.8, and the trade deficit still wide at $123B, signaling softer economic momentum. 📉 Projection: Continued soft data could keep the dollar under pressure unless the Fed reinforces a hawkish stance. ⚠️ Risk Level: A strong upside surprise in inflation or employment data could reverse sentiment and push DXY higher abruptly. Technical Analysis: DXY is currently hovering around 99.65, just above a key support zone near 99.00 (PWL), where a potential liquidity grab may occur. The RSI is near 30, signaling oversold conditions, which often precede a short-term bounce. 📈 Projection: If price holds above 99.00, a rebound toward the 100.91 gap and possibly 103.19 (PWH) is likely. ⚠️ Risk Level: A clean break below 99.00 would invalidate the bullish setup and open the way to 97.50–98.00.
TVC:DXYLong
by rTrader_official
Last Week’s FX Recap: April 7–11 (Zone Reactions & Trade Notes)📈 Weekly Forex Recap – Market Reactions & Lessons (Apr 7–11) Last week there were about +320 pips of reaction potential (excluding Gold, which I was completely off on). There were multiple opportunities to capture solid intraday or swing setups. 3 out of 6 weekly targets were hit. 5 out of 6 trend biases were either accurate or neutral —meaning no major misreads, aside from one or two volatile zones. The only pair that really got me was Gold. Let’s run it back real quick: ✅ AUDJPY Bearish bias accurate. 30 pip reaction off zone with just 1 pip drawdown. Weekly target hit. ✅ NZDJPY Bearish bias accurate. Weekly target hit, though price never reached the watch zone. No setup triggered, but direction was respected. ⚠️ EURUSD Range-bound bias played out majority of the week. Gave about 90–100 pip drop from the hot zone mentioned. Weekly target came close but didn’t hit. ⚠️ GOLD Watch zone completely failed. Short-term bounce gave 480 pip reaction—but that volatility was tough to catch cleanly. Directional bias wasn’t helpful here. Gold was chaos. ✅ EURGBP Cleanest setup of the week. Bias was bullish, price tapped the buy zone and ran 100 pips. Weekly target hit. Textbook move. ⚠️ GBPUSD Consolidation-heavy. Watch zone gave 100 pip reaction, but weekly target didn’t hit. Bias was unclear—no real conviction either way. 📉 Total Zone Reaction Potential: 320 pips 🎯 Weekly Targets Hit: 3/6 📊 Trend Accuracy: 50% (3 clear hits, 2 neutral, 1 miss) But that’s done now. Whether you hit it last week or fumbled the ball, let it go. We trade forward. Eyes up. Mind clear. Time to dive into the new week. Let’s get it. 👊
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by elevatedinvestor