Dollar Index Weekly Recap!U.S. Dollar Index:
•Dollar Weakness: The DXY experienced a decline this week, influenced by Trump’s calls for immediate rate cuts & extreme tariff policies.
USDINDEX trade ideas
Trading Idea for EUR/USD with Confirmation from DXYThe DXY chart shows a QML (Quasimodo Level) already confirmed through a BOS (Break of Structure). The next step is a return to the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) zone, where the daily order block (OB) is located. On DXY, we expect a reaction to the daily OB or the 4-hour GAP, signaling further index downside and confirming long entries on EUR/USD.
Scenario for EUR/USD:
DXY reacts to the daily OB or 4-hour GAP, confirming its decline.
This confirmation supports opening long positions on EUR/USD.
Entry on EUR/USD is made at the OTE zone from the daily OB.
An additional entry point is the 4-hour FVG on EUR/USD.
Strategy:
Confirmation: Reaction to the daily OB or 4-hour GAP on DXY.
Entry: Long EUR/USD from the daily OB or 4-hour FVG.
Stop-loss: Beyond the OB boundary.
Take-profit: At the true supply level.
Using DXY’s reaction as confirmation helps minimize risks and improves entry precision.
New home sales that affect dollarIf the data realese higher than forecast, dollar may go to bulish but its just become correcton before continue the bearish trend.
dxy on supportdxy is on support area
by the arrow on chart we can see the final point of Us Dollar
here is a powerful support for dxy and in H4 timeframe it have a upward price Chanell
Analysis of the dollar indexMy analysis with goals
The index updated after seeing the goals,everything is clear
DXY reversal, Bullish for BTC, but 50 day chop is likelyGood Sunday, dear friend! I'm scribbling down some ideas I had. It's good to be back home after a week on a job project. TradingView on a phone is awesome, but I definitely prefer a bigger screen.
The chart was not as clean as I wished, but it just tells some history with the correlations between DXY and BTC. For instance:
Q4 2022 - DXY tops (BTC bottoms).
Trend reversal for DXY (BTC corrects ABC after W1 after bear market).
DXY declines to a WCL, BTC soars from 25k to 73k.
In the meantime, as BTC soared, DXY also inclined, which led to an extended correction of 7.5 months. DXY rolled over in June 2025, and there was a 60-day lag before BTC felt the boost from the DXY decline.
This leads us to today. DXY and BTC have gone up together. I believe the last leg up is a consequence of the June - September decline of DXY, and BTC went up with DXY, and BTC is now left to feel the consequences of the DXY upturn. Given DXY (most likely) topped 11 days ago, we might chop for 50 more days before BTC resumes upward.
In the last WCLs, DXY retraces a minimum to 0.786. In this case, the trendline suggests a March timeframe for a low in DXY. History suggests the BTC local top is in when DXY bottoms, or is soon to top in about 2 months.
DXY on high time frame
"Regarding DXY, the price has reached the (FVG) on the monthly chart and is displaying signs of rejection. On the daily timeframe, candle formations indicate bearish momentum."
If you have any specific questions or if there are particular aspects you would like me to focus on, feel free to let me know!
DXY Broken the channal with bearish momentumDXY Broken the channal with bearish momentum. It may retrace before bearish momentum continues
DXY, what, when & why?, through patternsH!, trying to give some reasons behind the DXY movement during previous few months and weeks using patterns
going to add few more graphics below
hope u like it
thanks
Dollar Index for Next 2 yearsThe Dollar Index (DXY) has been a critical gauge of the U.S. dollar's strength, and its movements are closely monitored by traders worldwide. Based on my analysis, I believe the next two years will bring significant challenges for the dollar, potentially leading to a heavy decline.
In my view, the DXY will struggle to hold above 120, even in the case of temporary fake breakouts or sharp rejections. This level represents a strong historical resistance zone, and any attempt to break higher is likely to face immense selling pressure. However, what’s more concerning is the potential for a deep bearish trend, with the index dropping below 95 during this period.
Several factors could contribute to this scenario. A pivot by the Federal Reserve toward more accommodative policies, slowing U.S. economic growth, and the growing global efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade could all weigh heavily on the index. Technically, the long-term charts indicate that the dollar is already facing structural resistance, and a break below key support levels could accelerate the decline.
If the DXY does drop below 95, it could trigger ripple effects across global markets, impacting currencies, commodities, and equities alike. This level represents a critical threshold that could reshape market sentiment and trading strategies.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice. The markets are highly volatile, and unexpected macroeconomic or geopolitical developments could drastically alter this outlook. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully when trading.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments—do you see the Dollar Index heading for a crash, or do you have a different outlook? Let's discuss!
#DXY #Forex #DollarIndex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
DYX 4H Buying IdeaUptrend continue
Everything is on the chart
Please take Profit @161.8% Fib
Patient is the key
Goodluck
DXY Possible Daily Formation?This may just be a massive rationalization but let me know what your thoughts are please.
I feel that maybe this is a very sideways H&S, with NFP data earlier today price shot higher into a big daily resistance, thus making me feel it will reject and complete this pattern. Unless of course it continues to break ceilings, then we can give the dollar a new name. Bitcoin.
This is not an idea for marking TPs and SLs i am just curious if fellow traders could see this as a possibility.
Feedback greatly appreciated. Preferably kind feedback lol. Ive noticed trading view minds and ideas are quite aggressive and condescending at times in the replies to others ideas.
Global Markets Show Moderate OptimismGlobal markets closed the week with a tone of moderate optimism, driven by President Trump's statements at the World Economic Forum, where he advocated for an immediate reduction in interest rates and a softer approach to imposing tariffs on China. However, uncertainty regarding the trade and fiscal policies of the new U.S. administration, coupled with mixed economic data, kept investors cautious.
Stock indices record weekly gains
Major global stock markets ended the week in positive territory, with the S&P 500 reaching new all-time highs. Optimism fueled by Trump's remarks, along with strong corporate earnings, boosted stocks. The German DAX extended its winning streak to nine consecutive days, while the French CAC 40 reached its highest level in seven months. In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng posted weekly gains thanks to Beijing's support for the stock market.
The dollar weakens against stronger counterparts
The U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies, hitting a one-month low. The strength of the euro, British pound, and Oceanic currencies reflected uncertainty surrounding Trump's policies and optimism from economic data in Europe and other regions. The Japanese yen also appreciated following the Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates.
Key movements in Latin America
In Latin America, the Brazilian real appreciated to an eight-week high, supported by foreign direct investment inflows and easing inflationary pressures. The Colombian peso also strengthened, while the Mexican peso posted significant weekly gains. However, Mexico's economic activity slowed more than expected in November, raising concerns about the recovery pace of Latin America's second-largest economy.
Mixed trends in commodities
Gold approached its all-time high, driven by the weak dollar and Trump's comments on interest rates. Silver also appreciated, while copper showed operational weakness due to supply concerns. Oil recorded a weekly decline due to Trump's pressure to lower crude prices.
Economic data and monetary policy
Economic data released during the week painted a mixed picture of the global economy. Private sector activity in the Eurozone unexpectedly expanded, while German manufacturing contracted at a slower pace. In the UK, services sector activity exceeded expectations, though employment growth remained weak.
Regarding monetary policy, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates and hinted at further increases. The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates next week, while the Bank of England may follow suit in February. The U.S. Federal Reserve meets next week, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, investors will closely monitor signals regarding future policy directions.
Key factors to watch in the future
Markets will closely follow the Trump administration's policies, particularly regarding international trade and fiscal policy. The trajectory of the global economy, decisions by central banks, and geopolitical tensions will also be critical factors to watch in the coming weeks.
In summary, global markets remain in a state of cautious optimism. Mixed signals from the Trump administration, economic data, and uncertainty about the future of the global economy keep investors on alert.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
DXY morning analysisTechnical analysis of DXY.
This is a bearish analysis which sees price in a wave (c) of ((B)), looking for sub-100 target at median line, above support at 89.209. Key resistance now at 110.176.
DXY short model..?Down at about 106 we believe we have early buyers who are trying to buy the 3 , 4 H time frame $$...so here's another model let's see if it's gonna play...
Patience Patience Patience...
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
XAUUSD shortDXY-XAUUSD SMT 5min control
Taking Liquidity and balanced previous high on the chart
24.01.2025 daily journal
The dollar collects the first stage of the ABC correction to risThe dollar collects the first stage of the ABC correction to rise to the
ICT/SMC Analysis DXYRight now at Weekly OB+FVG , if today closed bearish then our structure on daily will be bearish... potentially could be retracement/consolidation in the area below ...
The DXY broke up in October and pin point nailed the 702 After the DXY broke up in october, and markets have been bleeding for almost two months (expect from the election hype in november) the DXY just hit the 702 retracemnt and turned around. Expect it to re visit the lows. IF markets are booming under this retracemnt i expect the dxy lows to hold, and reverse to the up side when markets collapse on them selfs.
